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EURUSD

EURUSD: Price wedge widening, what is the next trend?Dear readers, EUR/USD has once again dropped to a low of 1.0850 as the currency pair continues to fluctuate within familiar levels this week. The downward price trend has pushed the Euro lower against the US Dollar following the ECB's decision to maintain interest rates and better-than-expected US GDP data. On the 4-hour chart, the currency pair is trading near the lower end of an ongoing consolidation process around the 1.0890 level, indicating a period of consolidation. Support is seen at 1.080. On the other hand, upward price movements may attempt to reach the 1.090 level, but prices could decline further from this area as it completes a test of the EMA 34, 89.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: discount?Dear friends, overall EURUSD is not receiving much support as the main trend is downward, surpassing the psychological support level of 1.090. The prevailing risk aversion sentiment, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, is causing traders to favor the US dollar (USD), putting downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair, which is trading near 1.083 today. This week, we will have several important news releases, particularly the US Housing Price Index and Consumer Confidence data, which will be released on Tuesday, providing more detailed information about the market. This careful consideration is expected to strengthen following the upcoming statement from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Hello dear friends, today EURUSD continues to decline as widespread forecasts of weak US PMI data have weakened market sentiment and pushed EUR/USD lower as investors anticipate the momentum of the day and retreat to the safe haven of the US Dollar (USD). The price is currently trading within a downtrend channel, while it has completed a correction at the resistance level of 1.093. The chart shows a convergence between EMA 34, 89, and resistance, indicating a high likelihood of further price decline with a target set at the support level of 1.0756.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD fades bounce off 11-week-old support on ECB dayWith the US Dollar’s failure to cheer upbeat PMI details, the EURUSD pair managed to rebound from an upward-sloping support line from early November, especially when the activity data from Germany and the Eurozone came in positive. The recovery moves, however, failed to cross the 50-SMA hurdle on a daily closing basis and tease sellers ahead of the all-important monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB). While the bloc’s central bank is likely to keep the monetary policy unchanged, the focus will be on the signals for future rate cuts as market players expect the first rate cut before June but the policymakers appeared hesitant for the same of late. That said, any hawkish clues will allow the Euro pair to cross the immediate upside hurdle, namely the 50-SMA hurdle surrounding 1.0920. However, the support-turned-resistance line stretched from November 01, close to 1.0985 at the latest, will precede the 1.1000 psychological magnet to challenge the pair buyers before giving them control. Meanwhile, the downbeat RSI conditions and the limited odds of favoring the ECB hawks suggest further weakening of the pair. The same highlights the aforementioned nine-week-old ascending trend line support line, near 1.0830 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the monthly low of 1.0820 and the previous monthly low of around 1.0720 will act as additional downside filters before a smooth sailing toward the late October swing high of near 1.0700.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD declines? What is the reason?Dear friends, it's RKarina again. Are you curious about the next trend of EURUSD? Here are some insights I have about this currency pair. Looking at the daily chart, we can see that the previous upward momentum of EURUSD is gradually weakening, especially as it started to decline from the near 1.111 level. The trend seems to be shifting sideways and may even decrease further, especially as the RSI indicator and candlestick patterns are showing divergence, indicating a gradual decrease in buying pressure. Furthermore, the recent weakness of the US dollar (USD) has not generated significant momentum for EUR/USD, and has even added downward pressure on this currency pair. For these reasons, RKarina sets a target and expects EURUSD to decrease to the support level of 1.076.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: DowntrendThe EURUSD continues to show no change in its bearish trend from yesterday until now, further damaging the European currency and pushing EUR/USD to new lows in weeks around the 1.0820 level. The continued strong buying interest in the greenback has reduced risk appetite and pushed the US Dollar Index (DXY) to new yearly highs around 103.80, supported by higher US bond yields, particularly at the long end of the maturity spectrum. This serves as a strong psychological arrow to traders, prompting them to sell EURUSD massively and pushing this currency pair down to near the support level at 1.0777.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: stuck in a downtrendHello dear friends, let's discuss the previous week's performance of EURUSD with RKarina and talk about strategies for the upcoming week! Last week, EURUSD was trapped in a downward trend, closing below the support level of 1.090 and currently trading around 1.089. As a result, there was a slight price recovery during the correction, but it is expected to encounter resistance at the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 - 0.618. The possibility of further price decline for this currency pair remains high as it is still in a long-term downtrend, with a short-term target of 1.078.
Short
by RKarina
1
EURUSD: buy or sell?Hello dear friends, are you curious about the trend of EURUSD? Today, EURUSD continues to fluctuate below the resistance level of 1.0900 and still maintains its short-term upward momentum on the 1H chart. However, when looking at the overall trend, this currency pair is still moving sideways within the price range below the resistance level of 1.090 and the support level of 1.084. The USD index (DXY) is still maintaining its upward trend and is further supported by comments from R. Bostic (Atlanta), which continue to put pressure on the EURUSD pair. Another evidence for this downward price movement is that it continues to trade below the exponential moving averages (EMA) 34 and 89. Karina still highly regards the Sell strategy today with the idea of trading the double top pattern displayed on the analysis chart.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: Price increasing but ambiguousIt's great to see you again and talk about the EURUSD price today! Yesterday, the EURUSD received some upward momentum. However, this price increase is considered only as a correction within the downtrend wave of DOW, as this pair has been experiencing weakness since the beginning of the new week. Accordingly, the hawkish stance of the ECB has pushed back expectations of an early interest rate cut, providing additional support for the currency pair. However, the 4-hour chart is currently showing a further downward trend in the very near future as the EURUSD approaches the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.618 - 0.5. Breaking below the level of 1.0844 will not receive significant support until reaching the level of 1.0773.
by RKarina
EURUSD rebound needs validation from 1.0940 to convince bullsEURUSD extends recovery from a five-week low while defending the previous day’s bounce off a one-month-old falling wedge’s bottom line. The Euro pair’s recovery also traces the RSI (14) line, as well as justifies the impending bull cross on the MACD indicator, which in turn suggests further advances of the major currency pair. However, the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 1.0920 guards the immediate upside of the quote. Following that, an ascending resistance line stretched from early November, previous support near 1.0940, will join the top line of an aforementioned bullish chart pattern, namely the falling wedge, to challenge the buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0940, the 1.1010-15 region and the previous monthly high of near 1.1140 could act as intermediate halts during the run-up towards the theoretical target of the falling wedge, close to 1.1240 On the flip side, EURUSD sellers remain off the table unless they witness a clear rejection of the falling wedge chart pattern, via a downside break of the stated formation’s bottom line surrounding 1.0840. In that case, the early November swing high and the previous monthly low, respectively near 1.0755 and 1.0720, will lure the Euro bears. It should be noted that the quote’ sustained weakness past 1.0720 will make it vulnerable to slump toward October 2023 bottom near 1.0450. To sum up, EURUSD pares recent losses but the bulls are far from taking control.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: buy or sellWhat are your thoughts on EURUSD as the market experiences a significant week with many enticing fluctuations? Today, we witnessed EURUSD succumbing to the downward trend, aligning with our prediction from yesterday. This currency pair is under pressure as the USD begins to regain strength, heavily impacting these major currencies. On the analysis chart, EURUSD has surpassed the Trend Line and dropped below the psychological support level of 1.090. The 4-hour chart indicates that this downward trend may continue soon. By violating the level of 1.0861, we may not encounter any significant support until reaching 1.078
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: Buy or sell?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on EURUSD today? Currently, EURUSD is still in a downtrend after forming a double top pattern and starting to decline further with a reversal signal from the EMA 34. Market risk concerns have pulled down risk assets like the Euro in the context of escalating tensions in the Red Sea. Our priority target is to SELL because the main trend is still bearish and trading with the trend is always an effective and safe trading approach
Short
by RKarina
2
GBPUSD: directly facing the resistance level of 1.2800Dear friends, Overall, GBPUSD had a successful week as the price continued to rise without any significant breakthroughs. The currency pair remained supported as the USD struggled to recover. In terms of long-term trends, this currency pair is currently facing resistance at 1.2800. However, the upward trend is still supported by positive signals from the 34 and 89 EMA lines. On the other hand, the RSI indicates that buyers are no longer eager to break through this resistance level. Therefore, our upcoming target is to sell when the price breaks the trendline.
by RKarina
EURUSD bulls remain unconvinced despite recent reboundEURUSD remains mildly bid within a 10-week-old bullish channel as market players seek more clues to justify the previous day’s strong US inflation report, as well as comforting comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde. That said, the 21-SMA and Thursday’s Doji prods the Euro bulls amid bearish MACD signals. Even if the pair buyers manage to cross the 1.0985 immediate SMA hurdle, November’s peak of around 1.1020 and the previous monthly high surrounding 1.1140 will test the upside momentum. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 1.1220 at the latest, will act as a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Alternatively, the EURUSD pullback needs to defy the bullish channel formation by slipping beneath the 1.0910 support to convince sellers. Even so, the 200-SMA support of 1.0845 can challenge the Euro bears before giving them control. In that case, December’s bottom of 1.0723 and October’s peak of near 1.0700 will be the final defenses of the buyers ahead of directing prices toward the yearly low marked in October around 1.0450. Overall, EURUSD manages to consolidate the previous weekly loss and defends the bullish chart formation but the recovery appears fishy and hence needs confirmation from 21-SMA.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: increasing rapidlyToday, the EURUSD currency pair is showing a good recovery momentum. This recovery is supported by the weaker US dollar. The 4-hour chart continues to indicate some short-term consolidation as the pair successfully breaks through the resistance level at 1.096, with a reversal signal from the 34 EMA line. It is expected that after a retracement and testing the breakout level, EURUSD will utilize this newly established support level to reach its price target of 1.099 and potentially even 1.106.
Long
by RKarina
EURUSD: Sell on price breakout after news?Dear friends, Currently, EURUSD is experiencing minimal volatility and remains relatively stable around the 1.093 level. This is confirmed by the narrowing of the Bollinger Band indicator, indicating a preparation for the next breakthrough. Speaking of breakthroughs, EURUSD is being constrained below the resistance level of 1.096 and finding support at 1.090. The market is currently focused on the latest consumer inflation data from the United States, which will be released on Thursday, to gain significant directional momentum. After the news is announced, this currency pair may experience a breakthrough in two scenarios as mentioned: an increase upon breaking the resistance level and a decrease if the bearish side breaks the support. On a personal note, I am expecting a decrease in EURUSD. What about you? Please leave your comments below!
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: Quiet tradingHow do you assess EURUSD? Today, EURUSD is still in a downtrend with sideways movement and is limited below the resistance level of 1.097. Currently, this currency pair is fluctuating around 1.093 and is expected to decrease further due to the increase in US Treasury bond yields, which has been supportive of the US Dollar (USD). The EMA 34 line on short-term timeframes and convergence on the 4-hour chart continue to reinforce the bearish outlook. What about you? Do you think EURUSD will rise or fall in the near future?
by RKarina