EURUSD: Rising wedge signals bullish exhaustion, focus on dataEURUSD pares its biggest daily loss in 11 weeks early Thursday. In doing so, it's bouncing back from a key support level and the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
EURUSD bulls take a breather…
This rebound suggests that the Euro might be running out of steam before important economic data is released. Among them, the first reading of Germany’s inflation for August and the US Q2 GDP’s revision gain the attention of intraday traders. That said, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators suggest a potential bullish trend, but confirmation is needed.
Key technical levels to watch…
The EURUSD buyers need validation from a one-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.1150 and the US/German data to keep the reins. Following that, the yearly high marked earlier in the week around 1.1200 will lure the Euro bulls. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.1200, the aforementioned wedge’s top line of near 1.1250 and the previous yearly top of 1.1275 will act as the final defenses of the sellers.
On the contrary, EURUSD sellers must wait for a clear downside break of 1.1100 to confirm the bearish chart formation and aim for further declines. In that case, a convergence of the 200-EMA and an ascending trend line from early June, the previous resistance near 1.0980, will be in the spotlight. Should the pair remain bearish past 1.0980, the odds of witnessing further downward trajectory toward the rising wedge’s theoretical target of 1.0680 can’t be ruled out.
What next?
In summary, the EURUSD is currently on a positive track, but further gains may depend on upcoming economic data and potential pullbacks.
EURUSD
Euro Dollar looking Bullish!Recently we saw US dollar getting weak and falling, which made the fundamentals favorable for the dollar crosses like GBP, AUD, EUR , NZD etc. This is an idea to get long on the Euro if the price pulls back a bit to the demand zone and riding the uptrend, which will give a good RR of 1:3.
Note- This is my own trading idea and not a financial advice, trading is highly risky.
EURUSD Awaits Rate Signals, Risk of Bullish ReversalInvestors are waiting for rate signals from the Fed as U.S. inflation remains high, while the ECB faces pressure to adjust rates due to the Eurozone's sluggish economy.
The short-term downtrend in EURUSD is prevailing, confirmed by the EMA 34 crossing below the EMA 89, indicating growing selling pressure.
The chart shows strong support around the 1.10630 level, where prices have bounced multiple times, creating a solid support zone.
The resistance zone is around 1.11450, which is a potential target area if prices rebound from the support level.
The RSI (14) is currently hovering around 36-38, suggesting the market is in an oversold state. This indicates a potential reversal or a short-term pullback.
If the price holds the support at 1.10630 and shows a rebound signal, there is a possibility that EURUSD will retest the resistance at 1.11450.
EURUSD LONGFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
EURUSD jostles with key resistance, PMI, Fed’s Powell eyedEURUSD traders are taking a break at its highest level since July 2023 as they await August PMI data for the Eurozone and the US. They are also keeping an eye on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole event on Friday. The overbought RSI indicates a potential pullback, with immediate support around the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from July-October 2023, near 1.1100. If the price falls, the rising support line near 1.1030 and the range of levels from late November 2023 around 1.1010-1.0980 might hold strong against further declines.
For EURUSD buyers to regain confidence, they need to break the yearly high of around 1.1175. Overcoming this could lead to resistance around 1.1200-1.1210 before reaching the late 2023 high of around 1.1275. If the pair surpasses 1.1275, it might gradually rise towards the 2022 high near 1.1500.
In summary, EURUSD is still in a bullish trend, though a short-term pullback is possible.
EURUSD: Confirming the bullish recovery trendEURUSD is moving around 1.1079 today and the bullish move seems to be still strong.
On the analytical chart we can clearly see that EURUSD is on the rise of the uptrend with increasing confirmation highs and lows.
The EMA 34, 89 are still giving good signals for the buyers and the price breached above these two EMAs so the continuation of the upward move is still preferred.
Good luck to you, don't forget to leave your comments in the comment section.
Rising wedge portrays EURUSD buyer’s exhaustion ahead of US dataEURUSD is bouncing back after a big drop, as traders wait for the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for August. This bounce reverses the previous day’s decline from the highest level of 2024 and moves off the bottom of a four-week bearish chart pattern called rising wedge. The RSI indicates that the recent price increase might continue, but the MACD suggests weakening buyer interest. For sellers to take control, they need to break below the wedge’s bottom line at around 1.0960 and the 50-SMA support at 1.0946. If they succeed, they might face challenges at the 200-SMA and an upward trend line near 1.0875 and 1.0830, respectively. After that, the price could drop toward the wedge’s theoretical target of around 1.0700.
On the other hand, the 1.1000 level is attracting buyers, with the recent high of 1.1050 in sight. The top line of the wedge near 1.1055 could also act as resistance. Future resistance points include December and July 2023 highs near 1.1140 and 1.1275, and the 1.1200 level might provide a resting point for buyers.
Overall, the EURUSD pair is struggling to gain momentum in a bearish pattern ahead of US economic data. Sellers need confirmation from both technical and fundamental factors to take control.
EURUSDEUR/USD still has a gap to fill from the NFP, which could lead to a push to the downside, allowing buyers to enter at discounted prices. Therefore, I’ll be looking for possible sell opportunities until the price drops to the target and potential buy zone. Then, I’ll wait for buying opportunities.
DXY 1 D - ANALYSIS 10 AUG 2024
Definition: Explain what the DXY (US Dollar Index) is and how it measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of major foreign currencies.
Importance: Highlight why the DXY is a crucial indicator for forex traders, investors, and economists.
2. Market Analysis
Current Trends: Present recent trends in the DXY, including historical data and recent movements.
Technical Analysis: Use charts and technical indicators to analyze patterns that suggest a potential decline in the DXY. Include tools like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and support/resistance levels.
3. Economic Indicators
Impact of Economic Data: Discuss how economic data (like GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation rates) affects the DXY.
Federal Reserve Policies: Explain how interest rate changes and monetary policy from the Federal Reserve influence the DXY.
4. Global Factors
Geopolitical Events: Examine how global geopolitical events, such as trade wars, political instability, or international conflicts, can impact the DXY.
Comparative Currencies: Compare the US dollar’s performance with other major currencies like the Euro, Yen, or Pound.
5. Risk Management
Risk Factors: Outline potential risks involved in selling the DXY, including unexpected economic announcements or geopolitical events.
Strategies: Offer strategies for managing risk when betting against the DXY, such as setting stop-loss orders and diversifying investments.
6. Case Studies
Historical Examples: Provide case studies or historical examples where selling the DXY proved profitable or unprofitable. Analyze these cases to offer insights into current market conditions.
7. Expert Opinions
Interviews: Feature insights from financial analysts, economists, or trading experts who can provide professional opinions on the DXY’s future.
Market Sentiment: Summarize current market sentiment and how it aligns with or contrasts against your position on selling the DXY.
8. Actionable Insights
Investment Strategies: Suggest specific trading strategies for those interested in selling the DXY, such as short selling, options trading, or futures contracts.
Tools and Resources: Recommend tools, platforms, or resources that traders can use to track DXY movements and execute trades.
9. Conclusion
Summary: Recap the key points discussed and reinforce why selling the DXY could be a profitable strategy.
Charts and Graphs: Use visual aids to illustrate trends, technical analyses, and economic impacts.
Infographics: Create infographics to simplify complex information and make it more accessible.
Videos/Webinars: Host video analyses or webinars to provide a dynamic and engaging way to discuss DXY selling strategies.
EURUSD portrays bullish exhaustion, focus on 1.0960 and US dataEURUSD is seeing its first daily gains in three days as buyers gear up to tackle key resistance levels ahead of upcoming US employment data. Supported by positive RSI indicators and bullish MACD signals, the Euro pair aims to extend its recent uptrend towards a 13-month-old descending resistance line around 1.0950. Beyond this, it targets the upper boundary of a bullish channel stretched from April, near 1.0960. Breaking above these levels could pave the way for a challenge of the psychological barrier at 1.1000, with potential further gains towards the late 2023 peak near 1.1140.
On the downside, June’s peak at approximately 1.0915 and the 1.0900 mark, along with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.0860, act as immediate support. Deeper declines might find additional footing near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around 1.0790 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.0765. Euro buyers maintain optimism unless there is a daily close below the bullish channel’s lower boundary near 1.0700.
Overall, while EURUSD bulls show signs of slowing down, bearish momentum is muted, even if US economic data boosts the US Dollar.
EURUSDLet's look at EU, NFP caused EURUSD to rise by nearly 150 pips, breaking previous structures and forming a new trading range. While the range's extent is uncertain, I am looking for buy opportunities next week, given the current weakness in the US economy. The price action appears bullish. We might see a sell-to-buy setup, but if not, I will wait and look for buy setups.
EURUSD rebounds from key EMAs as bearish channel, US NFP eyedEURUSD remains mildly bid around 1.0830 early Thursday as it defends the previous day’s recovery from the 200-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) after the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt of the benchmark rates. It’s worth noting, however, that bearish MACD signals and a week-long descending trend channel challenge the Euro pair buyers ahead of the top-tier activity and employment clues from the US, scheduled for publishing later today and on Friday. That said, the steady RSI (14) line hints at a continuation of the latest rebound. As a result, the bulls should wait for a clear upside break of the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.0855 at the latest, and the US ISM PMIs and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for conviction. Following that, the quote’s gradual run-up toward the 1.0900 threshold can’t be ruled out. However, an upward-sloping resistance line from early April, near 1.0950 by the press time, followed by the 1.1000 threshold, will be tough nuts to crack for the buyers to crack.
On the flip side, an area comprising the 100 and 200 EMAs surrounding 1.0810-800 restricts the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. If the Euro bears manage to smash the stated EMAs on a daily closing basis, the falling channel’s bottom line will act as the final defense of the sellers around 1.0785. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci ratios of the pair’s April-July rise, respectively near 1.0730 and 1.0670, could act as intermediate halts during the pair’s weakness past 1.0785 and on the way to the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain firmer but the room towards the north appears limited. Also challenging the pair buyers is the cautious mood ahead of the US ISM PMI and employment figures for July.
EURUSD bears keep reins with eyes on US GDP, ECB’s LagardeEURUSD licks its wounds at the lowest level in a fortnight as sellers jostle with a 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support ahead of the US Q2 GDP and a speech from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the early-week breakdown of a month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance near 1.0900. However, downbeat RSI conditions and a looming bull cross on the MACD hint at the quote’s corrective bounce off the stated EMA support of 1.0825. In a case where the Euro prices remain weak past 1.0825, the 1.0800 threshold and 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of April-July upside, near 1.0735, followed by the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.0675, will be important to watch for the bears ahead of targeting the yearly low marked in April surrounding 1.0600.
Alternatively, downbeat US statistics could join the hawkish comments from ECB’s Lagarde to underpin the EURUSD pair’s rebound from the key EMA support of 1.0825. The same line highlights the support-turned-resistance line stretched from late June, near the 1.0900 threshold at the latest. It’s worth noting, however, that the Euro buyer’s ability to keep the reins past 1.0900 depends on a clear upside break of an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from early April, around 1.0950 as we write. Following that, the bulls can easily challenge the 1.1000 psychological magnet.
Overall, EURUSD prices are likely to remain weak unless crossing 1.0950. However, the downside room appears limited and may lack momentum due to the scheduled data/events.
UPDATED THOUGTHS ON VIDEO ANALYSISHello traders, I am here with another video, this time with update from the last video I posted as today is Wednesday already. Currently it seem that some good set ups are developing on: NzdCad, EurJpy, AudNzd, AudChf, NzdUsd, EurUsd. I will be waiting to see what price will show me on this pairs. Thank you for following me, I will update you all with new analysis and thoughts once I see something interesting.
Impending Golden Cross keeps EURUSD bulls hopeful ahead of ECBEURUSD retreats from the highest level in four months as traders await monetary policy announcements from the European Central Bank (ECB) early Thursday. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the overbought RSI conditions. However, a successful break of a descending resistance line stretched from early January, now immediate support near 1.0890, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful. Even if the quote drops beneath 1.0890 resistance-turned-support, a convergence of the 50-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.0810-05, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears. It’s worth mentioning that the 50-SMA is approaching the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover called “Golden Cross”, which in turn suggests further upside of the major currency pair.
Meanwhile, EURUSD bulls can aim for the 1.0980-1.1010 resistance zone during a fresh upside. Following that, 1.1040 and the 1.1100 threshold may act as intermediate halts while directing buyers toward the late 2023 peak of 1.1140. In a case where the Euro pair remains firmer past 1.1140, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the previous yearly high of 1.1275 and then to the year 2022 top surrounding 1.1495 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD remains in the upward trajectory despite the pre-ECB pullback. However, the upside room appears limited unless the quote offers a daily closing beyond 1.1010. It should be observed that the ECB is likely to keep the monetary policy unchanged but bears are waiting for the signals of further rate cuts in 2024.
Low-Risk Opportunity in EUR/USD Near Key Supply ZoneMarket Overview:
In the 1-hour timeframe, the FX:EURUSD pair has shown a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, indicating a potential bullish momentum. The price is currently approaching a significant H4 supply zone, which could act as a strong resistance area.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
H4 Zone (Supply): This zone represents a potential area where sellers might step in, leading to a price reversal.
H1 Zone (Demand): This lower zone can act as a strong support area if the price retraces, offering a potential entry for buyers.
Recommended Strategy:
Given the current market structure, the least risky direction appears to be shorting from the H4 supply zone, as the price is more likely to encounter resistance here.
Entry, Stop-Loss, and Take-Profit:
Entry: Monitor the H4 supply zone for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Stop-Loss (SL): Place above the H4 supply zone to protect against a false breakout.
Take-Profit (TP): Target the H1 demand zone for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Recommendation:
This setup suggests a good opportunity to short EUR/USD as it approaches the H4 supply zone. Traders should look for bearish price action signals in the supply zone to confirm the entry. Proper risk management is crucial, and adjusting the stop-loss to break even once the trade is in profit is advised.
Happy trading!