EUR/USD: Break $1.1253 Resistance or Await a Pullback?EUR/USD is currently climbing around $1.11950, strongly supported by two solid "fortresses" at EMA 34 and EMA 89, located at $1.11390 and $1.11107.
A clear uptrend has formed, with solid support at $1.10864, ensuring the momentum remains intact.
The key focus now is on the critical resistance at $1.1253 — the gatekeeper determining whether the uptrend can break through to new highs.
With significant economic factors from the US and Europe on the horizon, including key Fed speeches and PMI data, the market may experience sharp volatility.
Traders should be ready for action: will you seize the breakout opportunity or wait for a pullback to enter at an optimal level? Opportunity favors the prepared!
EURUSD
EMAs Support Bullish MomentumEUR/USD is showing signs of recovery, with the price trading near the resistance at 1.1200. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have both undergone a crossover phase, which is usually a positive signal, suggesting that the bullish momentum could continue. The current chart shows the pair breaking out from lower levels, heading towards the resistance levels above.
Based on the current EUR/USD chart and the bounce from recent support levels, the prediction is that the pair could continue to rise in the short term. The crossover of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, coupled with the price currently testing the resistance zone around 1.1200, suggests that the bullish momentum could continue. If the price successfully breaks above 1.1200, the next target could be the 1.1250 area.
EUR/USD: Breakout or Pullback Amid Volatility?EUR/USD is "hovering" around 1.11636, with a significant "barrier" at 1.11826 and a key "support" at 1.11034.
The widening Bollinger Bands signal that a wave of volatility could strike at any moment.
RSI is at 59.09, indicating strong buying pressure, but still has room before entering overbought territory.
If EUR/USD breaks past 1.11826, it could continue its upward surge, but failure to do so might lead to a pullback towards 1.11034.
The "winds" of inflation data and interest rates from the Eurozone and the US will shape the next move!
EUR/USD: The Game Speeds Up Ahead of Fed’s Crucial HourEUR/USD is currently in a “pressure-cooker” phase as the price climbs to 1.11677, approaching the critical resistance level at 1.11916.
The bullish momentum is like an arrow shot straight upward, but will it have enough strength to break through and reach 1.12444? Or is this the moment when the market prepares for a “reversal” towards the support at 1.11225?
The EMA 34 and 89 are still holding the bullish trend intact, but don’t forget that this afternoon’s Fed meeting is a “ticking time bomb” for major volatility. With each interest rate announcement, the EUR/USD pair could either be “propelled” higher or experience a sharp “reversal.”
Traders need to buckle up, as this event could trigger a strong breakout or potentially signal the end of the current upward movement.
EUR/USD Awaits Fed Signals, Potential for CorrectionEUR/USD paused its short-term rally on Tuesday, remaining hesitant above 1.1100 as traders anticipate Wednesday’s Fed meeting.
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.11302 after peaking at 1.11455.
If it fails to break the strong resistance at 1.11455, the price may correct towards the support level at 1.10741, before recovering back to 1.11135.
The EMA 34 (1.11029) and EMA 89 (1.10841) continue to support the uptrend, but indicators show signs of weakening.
MACD convergence signals a potential short-term correction.
EURUSD: Bulls struggle to keep control on FOMC DayEURUSD picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s retreat from a month-old horizontal hurdle as traders prepare for the all-important US Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision. In doing so, the Euro pair defends last week’s U-turn from a 200-SMA while making rounds to a four-week-long bearish channel’s top line.
Buyers are cautious
Along with the strong rebound from the 200-SMA, a positive RSI (14) supports the bullish outlook for the EURUSD pair. However, the key resistance area, a potential bearish signal on the MACD, and the cautious market sentiment ahead of the FOMC meeting may challenge any upward momentum.
Key technical levels
For EURUSD bulls to take charge, they must break above the key horizontal resistance zone around 1.1145-55, especially if the Fed signals a dovish stance. If they succeed, the focus will shift to the yearly peak near 1.1200. After that, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) levels of August-September moves at 1.1215 and 1.1265 will be next, followed by the previous yearly high of 1.1275.
Conversely, any pullback in EURUSD should find strong support at the 200-SMA level around 1.1045. Even if it falls below this, the monthly low of 1.1000, the lower boundary of the bearish channel near 1.0980, and an upward trend line from late June around 1.0930 will likely hold the bears back before they gain control.
Sellers have a long and bumpy road ahead…
Even if buyers face challenges, EURUSD sellers still have a tough road ahead before taking control. Key obstacles include the Fed's potential consecutive rate cuts in 2024 and a rising support line around 1.0930, which are both important factors to watch.
EURUSD: Bears Eye 1.0980 as ECB Interest Rate Decision LoomsEURUSD prints its first daily gain in five days as traders recover from a month-long low, preparing for the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming policy announcements. Despite the recent slowing of US inflation and speculation about possible significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in late 2024, the Euro bulls remain cautious due to the ECB's dovish stance and economic concerns in the Eurozone.
EURUSD sellers keep control
Even though the Euro is recovering before the key event, the overall bearish outlook for the pair remains intact. It continues to show weakness with the 20-EMA breakdown early in the week, bearish MACD signals, and a steady RSI (14) line.
Key technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, sellers are particularly focused on the convergence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a previous resistance line around 1.0980. Following that, an ascending support line from late June near 1.0900 is also important to monitor. If the price remains below 1.0900, it could drop further to the previous monthly low around 1.0790.
On the other hand, for EURUSD buyers to regain control, they need to see the price break above the 21-day EMA at around 1.1050 and a falling resistance line at about 1.1070. Additionally, a hawkish rate cut from the ECB would support this move. If the price manages to rise past 1.1070, it could test the monthly high of 1.1155 and the yearly peak around 1.1200.
Downside bias gains acceptance
Looking ahead, there's uncertainty about the ECB’s upcoming rate decision. Some traders anticipate a 0.50% cut, while most expect a smaller 0.25% reduction. If the ECB surprises the market with a more aggressive or unexpected rate move, it could lead to significant volatility. Therefore, EURUSD traders should hold off on new trades until the ECB's decision is announced. They should set a stop-loss to manage their risk if they are currently holding short positions.
EURUSD 1.1032: Resistance at 1.1300, Pressure from ECB & FEDEURUSD is currently fluctuating around the support level of 1.10320, where it has bounced several times. If this level holds, the price could rise towards the resistance level of 1.1300.
The RSI is at 39.81, indicating strong selling pressure, but potential buying interest may emerge at this support. The short-term downtrend remains intact as the price is below both the EMA 34 and EMA 89.
In terms of news, the ECB is expected to adjust its monetary policy this week to tackle high inflation in the Eurozone. Meanwhile, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the FED will continue its tight monetary stance. These factors from the ECB and FED will significantly impact EURUSD’s next moves.
EURUSD Awaits Nonfarm, Potential for Price IncreaseNonfarm Payrolls data and U.S. labor statistics have a strong impact on the USD and EURUSD trend. If the data is unfavorable, EURUSD may see a price increase.
On the chart, EURUSD is fluctuating around 1.11077 after reaching resistance near 1.11500.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are supporting the short-term upward trend, indicating that the price may continue to rise after the current adjustment.
EURUSD could make a slight correction to 1.10760 before rising again. If support holds and economic news is favorable, the next target is 1.11389.
EURUSD // Levels // 2 hour "Welcome to SkyTradingZone "
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Support Levels:
1.1060: This level has shown strong support recently.
1.1000: Another significant support level, often considered a psychological barrier.
Resistance Levels:
1.1140: A key resistance level that has been tested multiple times.
1.1200: Another resistance level to watch, as it has capped the price in the past
EURUSD Faces Resistance, Downtrend ContinuesThe price is fluctuating around the EMA lines, with the EMA 34 above the EMA 89, signaling a short-term recovery but not strong enough to break the main downtrend.
A strong support level at 1.10300 has previously caused the price to bounce back. This is also the level that may be revisited if the downtrend continues.
The 1.1158 zone is a strong resistance. If the price fails to break through this area, the downtrend is likely to persist.
The RSI is at a neutral level, near 50, indicating that the market is balanced, with no signs of being overbought or oversold.
EURUSD could continue to decline towards the support level before retesting the resistance. If it fails to break the resistance, the downtrend may continue in the near future.
EUR/USD Near 1.11400 Resistance: Breakout or Pullback?The chart shows an upward trendline with EUR/USD approaching the key resistance level of 1.11400, where selling pressure may arise if the price fails to break through.
The crucial support currently lies around 1.10500, a level to which the price might retreat if it fails to surpass the resistance.
EUR/USD is testing this resistance zone, with the potential for a breakout if buying pressure strengthens. Otherwise, the price is likely to retest the rising trendline.
EURUSD: Sellers stay optimistic, watching 21-EMA & US dataThe EURUSD pair has lost momentum after briefly recovering from the 21-EMA support level. Traders are now focused on upcoming US job reports, including the Initial Jobless Claims, ADP Employment Change, and ISM Services PMI. This cautious mood is making it hard for the Euro to gain traction.
Multiple catalysts lure Euro bears
The EURUSD pair has been stuck in a trading range for a week, with the RSI (14) showing no strong trend. However, a bearish chart pattern and bearish MACD signals keep sellers hopeful. Optimism about strong US data and concerns about an economic slowdown in the Eurozone add to the negative outlook for the Euro.
Technical levels to watch
EURUSD pair’s repeated bounces of 21-EMA support of 1.1050 highlights the numbers as a tough nut to crack for short-term sellers. Following that, a three-month-old resistance-turned-support near 1.0980 will lure the bears. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0980, a gradual decline toward the rising wedge confirmation’s theoretical target near 1.0700 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, EURUSD buyers need validation from 1.1080 to regain control. Even so, the aforementioned rising wedge’s bottom line surrounding 1.1210 will be a crucial resistance to watch for the bulls. Following that, the pair’s gradual run-up toward the previous yearly high of 1.1275 appears more likely.
Looking ahead…
A slew of US employment and activity data will decorate Thursday’s economic calendar and direct EURUSD traders. However, the quote’s failure to cheer the US Dollar’s weakness can please sellers should the scheduled statistics favour the Greenback’s run-up by dimming the odds of heavy Fed rate cuts.
EURJPY SELLING Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 6
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!
AUDJPYEntry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 6
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!
Update idea
EUR/USD Near 1.10300 USD Support, Short-Term Upside PotentialThe H3 chart of EUR/USD shows the price approaching a crucial support level around 1.10300 USD, a zone that has held firm previously and may trigger an upward move if unbroken.
The 20 SMA is currently exerting downward pressure, but if the support holds, a short-term recovery is possible.
The price is also trading near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating the potential for a bounce from this support level.
Traders might consider buying near the 1.10300 USD support if clear reversal signals emerge.
Market sentiment for EUR/USD is still influenced by economic and political factors from both the Eurozone and the U.S.
EURUSD: Rising wedge signals bullish exhaustion, focus on dataEURUSD pares its biggest daily loss in 11 weeks early Thursday. In doing so, it's bouncing back from a key support level and the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
EURUSD bulls take a breather…
This rebound suggests that the Euro might be running out of steam before important economic data is released. Among them, the first reading of Germany’s inflation for August and the US Q2 GDP’s revision gain the attention of intraday traders. That said, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators suggest a potential bullish trend, but confirmation is needed.
Key technical levels to watch…
The EURUSD buyers need validation from a one-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.1150 and the US/German data to keep the reins. Following that, the yearly high marked earlier in the week around 1.1200 will lure the Euro bulls. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.1200, the aforementioned wedge’s top line of near 1.1250 and the previous yearly top of 1.1275 will act as the final defenses of the sellers.
On the contrary, EURUSD sellers must wait for a clear downside break of 1.1100 to confirm the bearish chart formation and aim for further declines. In that case, a convergence of the 200-EMA and an ascending trend line from early June, the previous resistance near 1.0980, will be in the spotlight. Should the pair remain bearish past 1.0980, the odds of witnessing further downward trajectory toward the rising wedge’s theoretical target of 1.0680 can’t be ruled out.
What next?
In summary, the EURUSD is currently on a positive track, but further gains may depend on upcoming economic data and potential pullbacks.