EURUSD FORECASE 13TH MARCH 2023This morning, the EUR/USD was up 0.73% to $1.07169. A bullish start to the day saw the EUR/USD rally from an early low of $1.06638 to a high of $1.07369. The EUR/USD broke through the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0702.
The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through R1 and the $1.0638 pivot to target the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0765. A move through the morning high of $1.07369 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need hawkish ECB chatter and risk-on sentiment to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test resistance at $1.08. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0892.
A fall through R1 and the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0575 into play. However, barring a risk-off-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0550 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0511. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0384.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 200-day EMA ($1.06609). The 50-day EMA closed in on the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA narrowing to the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.
A hold above R1 ($1.0702) and the 200-day EMA ($1.06609) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0765) and $1.08. However, a fall through the 200-day ($1.06609) and 100-day ($1.06324) EMAs would bring the 50-day EMA ($1.06117) and S1 ($1.0575) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
