Inofosys Limited 15% Downside PossibilityNSE:INFY
Information technology Sector is going through a difficult phase after a strong rally in 2021 Since then this INFY has nor made any returns to the investors and just drifting sideways in a wide range.
Recently it has broken down below the major swing low support on monthly timeframe and the selloff seems to be very strong on huge volumes.
While most of the short term supports are also broken, The big question for all of the investors is where will this fall end?
And Many waiting with a question when i should invest in this?
So here is a complete technical view on NSE:INFY
Since it has broken support the next major support is 15% below from CMP of 1154
Why that support is very important and will trigger a Bounce?
1. That is a major demand zone on the monthly chart if you look at the left of the chart a pullback or doji candle will act as a base.
2. At that level long term 12 EMA will support strong cause 6Month EMA is already broken so thats a resonable next stop.
3. After such big fall bears will exhaust and New Buyers will come in.
4. On monthly chart itself 200EMA is also aligned there.
IT Sector monthly chart - is also approaching next demad zone which is 5-7% down.
This is the complete long-term technical analysis for INFY I hope you all find it usefull, hit like and comment your views.
Keep Learning,
Happy Investing .
Fall
Nifty can give new opportunities, Huge crisis on the way When gas supply shocks happen, the impact spreads far beyond energy.
Hotels close. Restaurants slow down. Small food stalls disappear.
Food manufacturing (chips, wafers, biscuits) runs on gas-powered heating systems.
Fertilizers like urea are made using natural gas.
If gas shortages persist:
• Factories slow down
• Fertilizer supply tightens
• Farmers face input shortages
• Food prices rise
Lower production → revenue loss → job cuts → loan defaults.
And that’s why banking stocks often fall first during global energy shocks.
Energy crises rarely stay limited to energy.
Golden Peak Ahead? Watch These 2 Key Scenarios! Last Dance.Current Price: $3,327
Chart Structure: Massive parabolic rally post-2023 with no major correction yet.
Bias: Bullish – but nearing a potential macro inflection point.
📌 Key Zones:
🟨 Strong Buy Zone: $3,087–$3,120
🔹 This zone aligns with the broken long-term trendline from early 2023 — a powerful demand area.
🔹 Backed by past consolidation (Feb 2025) and breakout candle base — makes it a high-probability liquidity zone.
🔹 If gold dips here, expect aggressive dip-buying from both retail and institutions.
🟥 Resistance / Final Upleg Zone: $3,660–$3,700
🔹 Psychological level + Fibonacci extensions from prior legs land here.
🔹 The zone overlaps with speculative price targets forecasted by hedge fund models (e.g., war premium, monetary shifts).
🔹 A blow-off structure around this level can trap late buyers → watch for reversal signs.
🔀 Dual-Scenario Projection:
🔸 Scenario A — Pullback Before Euphoria
🔹 Narrative: Market needs to cool down.
🔹 Gold retests the broken trendline (around $3,100).
🔹 This creates a liquidity sweep → flush weak longs → and invites smart accumulation.
🔹 Rally resumes → heads toward $3,660+ with stronger internal structure.
🧠 Strategic Tip: If this plays out, it gives one last high R:R entry before the potential macro top.
🔸 Scenario B — Direct Vertical Pump
🔹 Narrative: Global macro fear (e.g., tariff war escalation, Fed panic pivot, safe-haven buying) drives panic FOMO.
🔹 Gold pumps without retesting the trendline — hits $3,660–$3,700 in vertical style.
🔹 Looks euphoric on charts — could be a classic parabolic exhaustion.
🚨 Aftermath Warning:
This often ends in a violent rug-pull. The correction could be fast and ugly. Price might collapse back to $3,100–$3,000 in weeks.
🧠 Strategic Tip: If price runs without correction, lock-in profits or hedge above $3,600.
📊 Market Psychology Layer:
🏦 Central Banks: Still net buyers, especially from BRICS. Adds real backing to long-term support zones.
📈 Retail Flow: Chasing momentum — increasing risk of late-stage entries.
🧠 Smart Money: Will likely unload around $3,660+, using war headlines as exit liquidity.
📉 What Triggers the Drop?
De-escalation of geopolitical events
Fed regaining control of inflation
Dollar strength comeback
Profit booking by institutions
⚖️ Risk-Reward Thought:
EntryZone Risk (SL below) Target R:R
$3,120 $3,060 $3,660 ~9:1
$3,300 $3,200 $3,660 ~3.6:1
$3,660 (Short idea) $3,200 ~5:1
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold is not just rallying — it's sending a message. A deep macro shift is brewing.
But no asset rallies in a straight line forever.
If you missed the rally, don’t chase blindly now. Wait for structure.
If you're long, don’t get greedy — start building exits beyond $3,600.
📌 Remember: The higher the climb, the more dramatic the fall — and in gold’s case, both are golden opportunities. 💰✨
Nifty Bearish Reversal to 21800 and 19900. If May fall if 24500 is broken , Targets are based on fib extension. on weekly 23.6 % retracement and Fib extension meeting at 21800. This is likely to happen in coming few weeks or months.
once 21800 is broken next target would be 19900. This seems too much however this can be used as best time and level to invest for long term. 19900 is 23.8 % retracement from all time high. This is ideal level for long term investment for 4-5 year horizon.
IIFL Finance-A risky potential trade!The stock IIFL finance has recently crashed post news release of RBI debarring the company from sanctioning and disbursing fresh gold loans.
However, such news based falls are good opportunity for long term investors to accumulate.
Short term traders can also be interested in this stock since it has started some recovery.
The stock can show sudden spike like the one seen in Polycab and Manappuram post news based fall.
Trade is risky but has a big potential.
Nifty SmallCap under selling pressure1) Nifty SmallCap Index is under strong selling pressure.
2) Index may fall further 3.25% in the upcoming days.
3) 14900 will act as a good support area.
4) Time to cut positions from SmallCap stocks and move to cash.
5) If the Index breaks 14900 again, This will lead to another 4% fall.
Nifty Prediction and Bank Nifty Analysis for Friday 19 January 2🔴Disclaimer: This information is solely for Education Purposes only and to provide information and is not intended to give any advice. Please consult your financial advisors before making any decisions. Stock Market investments are subjected to market risks.
⏺In this video, we'll give you a nifty prediction and Bank Nifty analysis for Friday, 19 January 2024.
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Disclaimer: Any information shared would be only for educational purpose...
I am not a sebi registered analyst. This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, i am not responsible. Before taking any trade please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
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NIFTY... THE BOTTOM IS SOMEWHERE NEAR...The 16700 which was a resistance level during August should be a strong support to Nifty now.
This line also corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement in Nifty.
Once Nifty reaches 17700 to 17600 I'll close my short positions in Nifty as a quick short covering rally might occur.
If nifty breaks and closes below 17600, then we can short again for 0.618 retracement which is at around 17200 levels.
NIFTY-50 will come down again1.Head & Shoulders Pattern Breakout
2.1066 Points of Depth in Pattern
3.Fibonacci 61.8% level exactly matching the next support and Depth low
4.Next Nifty comes Up to 16700 Level.
Disclaimer:
This view is purely for educational purpose and it's my personal.
Please consult your financial advisor before attempting any trade.
We're not responsible for any loss or profits.






















