Black Friday saleUp to 70% OFF

Fed

USDJPY drops to three-week low on breaking 150.00 key supportUSDJPY prints a three-day losing streak as it slides to the lowest level in three weeks amid early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the previous day’s downside break of the 150.00 support confluence comprising the 200-SMA and a 2.5-month-old bullish channel’s lower line. Adding strength to the downside bias are bearish MACD signals. However, the oversold RSI (14) line appears to challenge the south-run of late. With this, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of September-November upside, near 148.20 and 147.30 respectively, act as strong challenges for the sellers. Following that, the quote becomes vulnerable to plunge towards the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of 145.90 and then to September’s low of 144.43. On the flip side, the USDJPY pair’s recovery needs validation from the 150.00 support-turned-resistance confluence. In a case where the Yen buyers manage to keep the reins past 150.00, the last swing high surrounding 151.45 and the monthly peak of 151.90, as well as the previous yearly top of near 151.95, will test the bulls before allowing them to prod the 152.00 psychological magnet. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s successful trading above 152.00 will enable it to challenge the June 1990 top surrounding 155.80. To sum up, USDJPY is likely to witness further downside but the fall appears slow beyond 147.30.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD hovers around key resistance, focus on ECB’s LagardeEURUSD appears all-set for the weekly gain even if a three-month-old descending resistance line and the overbought RSI (14) restrict the pair’s immediate upside. It’s worth noting that the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s successful trading above the key Fibonacci retracement ratios, as well as the SMAs, keep the buyers hopeful. That said, the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the Euro pair’s August-October downside, respectively near 1.0830 and 1.0755, initially test the bears before directing them toward the 50-SMA 1.0745. It’s worth noting that the 200-SMA level of around 1.0620 acts as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will make the pair vulnerable to a drop to the previous monthly low of 1.0450. Alternatively, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-August, around 1.0885-90, appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD bulls as they await European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde’s speech. Following that, tops marked on August 30 and 15, close to 1.0945 and 1.0955, will act as additional upside filters before directing the Euro bears toward the 1.1000 round figure and then to the August month’s top of near 1.1065. In a case where the major currency pair remains firmer past 1.1065, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the yearly high of near 1.1275, marked in July, can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar even if the upside room appears limited ahead of a speech from ECB’s Lagarde. That said, Lagarde is likely to defend the Euro bulls by being hawkish but a reference to the economic hardships and recently easy inflation numbers might allow the pair traders to consolidate weekly gains.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price recovery appears elusive below $1,975Gold price braces for the first weekly gain in three while defending the week-start rebound despite the previous day’s retreat from a convergence of the 100-SMA and a two-week-long falling resistance line, currently around $1,973-75 by the press time. It’s worth noting that a one-month-old horizontal area joins upbeat RSI (14) and bullish MACD signals to keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful of crossing the aforementioned resistance confluence. Following that, the metal’s run-up to the $2,000 psychological magnet and then to the previous monthly high of around $2,010 will be imminent. However, the yearly high marked in May around $2,067 and the previous year’s peak of near $2,071 could challenge the bullion buyers afterward. Meanwhile, a horizontal area comprising levels marked since early October joins the 200-SMA to highlight $1,931-30 as a short-term key challenge for the Gold sellers. In a case where the precious metal drops below $1,930, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its October-November upside, close to $1,910, will precede the $1,900 round figure to act as the final defense of the buyers. It’s worth noting that 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci ratios, respectively near $1,885 and $1,850 could test the XAUUSD bears past $1,900 and before October’s bottom of $1,810. Overall, the Gold price appears in recovery mode but the upside needs validation from $1,975 and the US data.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD fades bounce off 21-SMA, UK inflation, US inflation eyedGBPUSD snaps a two-day winning streak with mild losses around 1.2270 as traders await the UK employment and the US inflation data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair fades bounce off the 21-day SMA. However, the absence of an overbought RSI (14) line, bullish MACD signals and the quote’s defense of the early-month resistance breakout keeps the buyers hopeful. With this, the tops marked in October around 1.2290 and the monthly high of near 1.2340 could lure the Pound Sterling bulls during a fresh run-up. However, the 200-day SMA level surrounding 1.2440 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls, a break of which won’t hesitate to direct the prices toward the August month’s swing low of around 1.2550. It’s worth noting, however, that the fundamentals are against the bullish technical signals considering the UK’s economic weakness vis-à-vis the US. Even so, the 21-day SMA and the previous resistance line, respectively near 1.2200 and 2120, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. In a case where the Pound Sterling bears dominate past 1.2120, a five-week-old horizontal support near 1.2070, the previous monthly low of near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet could test the sellers before giving them full control. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to edge higher unless the scheduled data posts too disappointing numbers.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls eye another battle with 4.5-month-old resistanceUSDJPY rises for the sixth consecutive day while poking the yearly high marked in October, mildly bid near 151.70 during early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies an upbeat RSI (14) line while signaling the fourth attack to cross an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from June 30, around 152.50 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the previous yearly peak of near 152.00 guards the quote’s immediate upside. That said, the pair’s successful trading beyond 152.50 enables buyers to aim for the June 1990 high of 155.80. Meanwhile, the 150.00 round figure and the 50-day SMA surrounding 149.20 restrict the USDJPY pair’s short-term downside. Following that, the 100-day SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late March, respectively near 146.20 and 145.30, will act as the final defense of the Yen pair buyers. In a case where the bears dominate past 145.30, June’s high of near 145.00 can test the downside moves targeting May’s high near 141.00 and then toward the 140.00 psychological magnet. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains in the bullish trend but the upside room appears limited as the multi-month-old rising trend line joins nearly overbought RSI conditions to suggest one more retreat of the buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD drops towards 1.2200-2190 support confluenceGBPUSD remains on the way to posting a weekly loss after declining in the last four consecutive days, pressured around 1.2220 during early Friday. The Cable pair’s U-turn from the seven-week-old horizontal resistance area and the broadly firmer US Dollar join bearish MACD signals to underpin the downside bias. However, the cautious mood ahead of the key UK GDP and the US consumer sentiment details join a convergence of the 100-SMA, SMA and a fortnight-long rising trend line to challenge the pair bears around 1.2200-2190. In a case where the Pound Sterling drops below 1.2190, the monthly low of around 1.2095 and the late October bottom surrounding 1.2070 could lure the bears before probing them with the previous monthly trough near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet. On the flip side, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the GBPUSD pair’s September-October downside, respectively near 1.2300 and 1.2355, guard near-term recovery. Following that, the aforementioned horizontal resistance surrounding 1.2425-30 will be a tough nut to crack for the Pound buyers. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s ability to stay firmer past 1.2430 enables the bulls to challenge the late September swing high of around 1.2550. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bear’s radar unless it stays below 1.2430. Hence, any data-driven rebound will be elusive below the stated upside hurdle and needs to be traded with caution.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD edges higher within bear flag, central bankers eyedEURUSD consolidates the previous losses within a six-week-old rising channel, forming part of a multi-day-long bearish flag chart formation, currently between 1.0760 and 1.0590. It’s worth noting that the firmer RSI (14) line, not overbought, joins the bullish MACD signals to favor the Euro pair’s further recovery towards the 1.0760. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around 1.0800, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls afterward. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0800, the bearish bets will be off the table and will enable the buyers to challenge the late August swing high of around 1.0950. Meanwhile, the 50-SMA level of around 1.0620 acts as an immediate downside support to watch during the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside. Following that, the stated bearish flag’s bottom line of near 1.0590 will be crucial as a break of which will theoretically confirm the pair’s gradual fall toward the sub-1.000 region. However, the yearly low marked in October around 1.0445 and the August 2022 peak of around 1.0380 could test the Euro bears on their way. Overall, the EURUSD is likely to remain in the recovery mode but the upside room appears limited. That said, today’s speech from the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
Bull flag challenges Gold sellers, Fed Chair Powell eyedGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in two weeks, down for the third consecutive day, as market players await Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech. That said, a downside break of the 100-SMA joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the XAUUSD bears hopeful. However, a bull flag chart formation defends the commodity buyers unless the quote stays beyond the $1,960 level comprising the stated flag’s lower line. In a case where the bullion prices remain weak past $1,960, the 200-SMA level surrounding $1,921 will act as the final defense for the buyers. On the contrary, the Gold Price recovery needs validation from the 100-SMA level of around $1,975. However, a confirmation of the next bull run could only be made if the XAUUSD manages to defy the short-term bearish channel pattern, forming part of the bull flag, by crossing the $2,000 round figure. Even so, the monthly high of around $2,010 and the $2,050 round figure might test the commodity’s upside before pushing them toward the yearly peak of $2,067. Overall, the Gold fades bullish momentum ahead of the week’s key event. However, the chart formation can surprise the markets with a fresh run-up if Powell advocates one more rate hike in 2023.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD extends pullback from 100-SMA despite RBA rate hikeAUDUSD drops nearly 50 pips even after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) matches expectations of announcing a 0.25% rate hike. In doing so, the Aussie pair extends the previous day’s pullback from the 100-day SMA while poking a five-month-old horizontal support. It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the nearly overbought territory also suggests the quote’s further declines past the multi-month-old horizontal support surrounding 0.6460. In that case, the 50-SMA support of 0.6390 will act as the final defense of the buyers before dragging the pair toward a one-month-old horizontal support zone nearing 0.6290 and then to the yearly bottom of 0.6270. On the contrary, the AUDUSD’s corrective bounce off the immediate horizontal support of near 0.6460 will need validation from the 100-SMA level of 0.6500 to convince the bulls. Even so, the monthly high of around 0.6525 and June’s low close to 0.6600 will challenge the Aussie pair’s upside. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6600, a nine-month-old falling resistance line near the 0.6700 round figure and the late July swing high of around 0.6740 will be on the buyer’s radar. Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s latest decline shows the market’s lack of belief in the RBA’s hawkish move, which in turn joins the bearish signals to keep the sellers hopeful.
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge confirmation favors USDCAD bears at 13-day lowUSDCAD posted the biggest weekly loss in more than seven months amid broad-based US Dollar weakness and the upbeat performance of WTI crude oil, which is Canada’s biggest export earner. In doing so, the Loonie pair also confirmed a two-month-old rising wedge bearish chart formation. Also strengthening the downside bias are bearish MACD signals and an absence of oversold RSI. With this, the quote is likely to extend the latest south-run towards the theoretical target of rising wedge confirmation, i.e. 1.3220. That said, the 50-SMA restricts the immediate downside of the pair to around 1.3630 while a convergence of the 100-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-November upside, near 1.3490, will act as an extra filter toward the south. Meanwhile, the USDCAD pair’s corrective bounce appears less impressive unless it stays below the aforementioned wedge’s bottom line, close to 1.3760 by the press time. Even if the Loonie pair crosses the 1.3760 immediate upside hurdle, the wedge’s top line and the recent peak, respectively near 1.3890 and 1.3900, should check the bulls before giving them control. Additionally, the previous yearly top surrounding 1.3980 and 1.4000 psychological magnet will also prod the quote’s upside. Overall, the USDCAD pair is likely to remain bearish during the trading week comprising lesser data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold pares weekly loss below $2,000 on NFP dayGold price edges higher after bouncing off 50-EMA as markets brace for the US employment report for October. In doing so, the XAUUSD rises for the second consecutive day but remains on the way to posting the first weekly loss in four. That said, the steady RSI and sluggish MACD suggest a gradual recovery in the metal’s price. The bulls, however, need validation from a six-week-old rising resistance line surrounding $2,015. Ahead of that, the $2,000 threshold guards the immediate recovery of the bullion while a clear upside break of $2,015 will allow buyers to challenge the yearly high marked in May at around $2,067. On the contrary, the 50-EMA level of around $1,980 restricts the immediate downside of the Gold price. Following that, a two-month-old horizontal support zone around $1,953-48 will be a tough nut to crack for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the precious metal manages to keep the reins past $1,948, the mid-September bottom of near the $1,900 psychological magnet will act as the final defense of the commodity buyers before leaving the battle zone. Overall, Gold lacks bullish momentum ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day while snapping a three-week uptrend. The bears, however, need to conquer $1,948 and gain support from a firmer US employment report for conviction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD rebound approaches key upside hurdle on BoE DayGBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from an eight-month-old ascending support line as the Cable traders await the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. While recovering from the stated support line, the Pound Sterling respects the upward-sloping RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggests the quote’s further upside. However, a falling resistance line from mid-July, close to 1.2220 by the press time, guards the immediate upside of the pair. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of 1.2220 will allow the bulls to challenge the previous monthly high of around 1.2340 but a convergence of the 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently near 1.2400, will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward. On the contrary, the GBPUSD pullback needs validation from the aforementioned support line and 78.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, close to 1.2080. Following that, October’s bottom of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold will test the Cable bears before giving them control. In that case, the yearly low marked in March around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, a GBPUSD rebound appears imminent but the BoE’s likely dovish halt and stated EMA confluence prod the bullish bias.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD challenges bullish channel formation on Fed daySofter prints of the Eurozone inflation joined the overall risk-off mood and slightly upbeat US data to drag the EURUSD pair down on Tuesday. Adding strength to the bearish bias are the hopes of witnessing one more rate hike from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) during 2023, as well as the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI. However, a one-month-old ascending trend channel, currently between 1.0710 and 1.0540, provides headwinds to the Euro sellers. In a case where the major currency pair breaks the 1.0540 support and defies the bullish chart pattern, the yearly low marked in October 1.0450 and the August 2022 peak of around 1.0370 will lure the bears afterward. On the flip side, the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) surrounding 1.0615 guards the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair ahead of the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.0710. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October downside, near 1.0750, will act as an additional upside filter for the bulls before taking control. Following that, a quick run-up towards the late August month’s high of around 1.0950 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD challenges the four-week-old recovery as markets await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting results on Wednesday.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY challenges rising wedge on BoJ status quoUSDJPY bounces off 200-SMA while testing the previous day’s rising wedge confirmation as Yen traders respond to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) inaction. With this, the risk-barometer pair not only challenges the bearish chart pattern but also teases the buyers, especially amid the looming bull cross on the MACD and a quick rebound in the RSI (14) line. However, the bullish bias remains elusive unless the quote stays beneath the aforementioned rising wedge’s upper line, close to the 151.00 round figure. Following that, the previous yearly top of near 152.00 may prod the buyers targeting the mid-1990 peak surrounding 155.80. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair’s fresh selling needs validation from the 200-SMA support, currently around 149.00. Even so, the monthly low close to 147.30 could challenge the Yen pair bears before directing them to September’s bottom of around 144.45. In a case where the sellers keep the reins past 144.45, the 140.00 round figure will be in the spotlight. Overall, the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish bias keeps USDJPY buyers hopeful. However, a clear upside break of 151.00 and downbeat comments from BoJ Governor Ueda will help the bulls to keep control.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD begins eventful week on a front foot, 0.6380 eyedAUDUSD prints a three-day winning streak on upbeat Australia Retail Sales for September during the initial trading hours of an eventful week comprising the FOMC and US NFP. In doing so, the Aussie pair extends the previous week’s rebound from a monthly support line while also justifying the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line. With this, the pair buyers are confident while planning the battle with the 0.6380-85 resistance confluence comprising the 200-SMA and descending trend lines stretched from late September, as well as from early October. Also acting as the upside filter is the previous weekly high of around 0.6400 and the monthly peak surrounding 0.6450, a break of which will give control to the bulls. On the contrary, the 0.6300 round figure restricts the short-term downside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, a slightly rising support line from early October, close to 0.6290 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the Aussie pair buyers. It’s worth noting that the monthly trough near 0.6270 will also challenge the sellers before allowing them to target the previous yearly bottom close to 0.6190. Overall, the AUDUSD pair remains in the recovery mode but the upside momentum needs validation from the 0.6380-85 hurdle and the scheduled key fundamental data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers approach $1,990 resistance amid overbought RSIGold Price rises to the highest level in three months on early Friday, rising for the fourth consecutive day, amid a softer US Dollar and mixed sentiment. That said, the Greenback dropped heavily on Thursday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled no rate change in the short term. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD’s successful break of the 200-day SMA and previous resistance line stretched from May added strength to the bullion’s run-up earlier in the week. With this, the precious metal is all set to poke a three-month-old horizontal resistance region surrounding $1,990. However, the quote’s upside past $1,990 appears difficult as the RSI (14) line hovers within the overbought region, suggesting a pullback in the prices. Even if the bulls manage to cross the $1,990 hurdle, the $2,000 psychological magnet will act as an additional upside filter before giving control to the Gold buyers. Alternatively, the 200-day SMA and the multi-month-old resistance-turned-support line, respectively near $1,930 and $1,905, appear as short-term key supports to watch for Gold sellers during the price reversal. Following that, the $1,900 round figure and August month’s low of around $1,885 will act as the final defense of the XAUUSD buyers ahead of directing the commodity prices to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to May 2023 upside, close to $1,842. In a case where the bears keep the reins past $1,842, the monthly low of near $1,810 and the $1,800 threshold will be on their radar. To sum up, Gold price is likely to remain sturdy unless it breaks $1,905. However, the metal’s pullback appears overdue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bears again approach 0.6285 key supportAUDUSD extends the previous day’s retreat from the weekly top towards the bottom line of a three-week-old descending triangle surrounding 0.6285, tested twice in October. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and hence challenges the Aussie bears around the key support. The same highlights the probability of witnessing a bounce from 0.6285 support but the recovery remains elusive unless the quote confirms the aforementioned bullish triangle, by crossing the 0.6390 upside hurdle. Even so, the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early August, close to 0.6400 and 0.6440 respectively at the latest, will test the Aussie bulls before giving them control. Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated 0.6285 key support will need validation from the November 2022 low of around 0.6270 to keep the AUDUSD bears on the table. In that case, the 0.6200 round figure and the previous yearly low of around 0.6170 could lure the pair sellers. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.6170, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the April 2020 bottom of around 0.5980. That said, softer Australia Employment Change and Participation Rate join the broad US Dollar recovery to weigh on the AUDUSD pair. However, the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD stays pressured on UK inflation dayGBPUSD prints mild losses below 1.2200 during early Wednesday as market players await the UK inflation data while consolidating the week-start gains of the Cable pair. That said, a likely easing inflation pressure in Britain joins the downbeat RSI (14) and the impending bear cross on the MACD keeps the pair sellers hopeful. With this, the quote’s fall toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.2090, becomes imminent. However, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding 1.2070 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers afterward. In a case where the bears manage to conquer the 1.2070 support, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and March’s bottom of around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, GBPUSD recovery needs validation from the strong UK inflation data and the US Dollar’s weakness to convince intraday buyers. Additionally, a three-month-long descending trend line, close to 1.2280 at the latest, holds the key to the bull’s conviction. Following that, the Cable pair’s run-up toward the 200-day SMA level of around 1.2445 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth observing that the Pound Sterling’s successful trading above 1.2445 will aim for August month’s low of around 1.2550 while May’s high of 1.2680 could lure the optimists after. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to witness further downside but the road toward the south is long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays in bear’s jaws ahead of US Retail SalesEURUSD stays within a three-month-old bearish trend channel despite rising the most in October the previous day. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the looming bear cross between the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, as well as the steady RSI (14) line. However, three-week-long horizontal support surrounding 1.0500 joins the bullish MACD signals to restrict the immediate downside of the Euro pair. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.0450 will act as the final defense for the bulls before driving prices down towards the aforementioned channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0350 by the press time. Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery needs to defy the bearish channel pattern, by clearly crossing the 1.0600 hurdle, to convince the short-term buyers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since May, near 1.0620-35, will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, near 1.0830 at the latest, holds to key to the bullish trend. To sum up, the EURUSD remains within a bearish trajectory as markets await the Eurozone/German ZEW data and EU EcoFin Meeting, as well as the US Retail Sales. The same suggests that the outcome favoring the US Dollar, or weighing on the Euro, will have a clearer response than the otherwise.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold eyes the first weekly gain in three, focus on $1,885Gold Price reverses the post-US inflation retreat from a two-week high as market players await more consumer-centric details on early Friday. In doing so, the XAUUSD bounces off 100-SMA and justifies the firmer RSI (14) line. However, bearish MACD signals will join a two-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $1,880-85 to provide a tough fight to the metal buyers. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the September-October downside, near the $1,900 round figure, will be the final defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls. Meanwhile, stronger US data may drag the Gold price beneath the 100-SMA support of around $1,869, which in turn highlights the $1,860 and $1,855 as the following barriers for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the bullion prices remain weak past $1,855, the $1,830 and the latest bottom of around $1,810 could test the commodity sellers ahead of the $1,800 psychological magnet. It’s worth mentioning that the metal’s sustained decline below the $1,800 threshold will make it vulnerable to test the late December 2022 swing low of around $1,770. Overall, the Gold price slips off the bear’s radar and braces for the first weekly gain in three but the buyers need to remain cautious unless the metal stays beneath the $1,900 resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.2510GBPUSD seesaws at a three-week high ahead of the UK data dump, probing a six-day winning streak. However, the RSI (14) line steadies near the overbought region and joins a looming bear cross on the MACD to suggest that the bulls are running out of steam. With this, a pullback towards the late September swing high of around 1.2270 becomes imminent but a convergence of the 100-SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October downturn, near 1.2215, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable bears afterward. Even if the quote drops below 1.2215, the previous resistance line stretched from late August, close to 1.2090 by the press time, will precede the monthly low of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold to act as final defenses of the Pound Sterling buyers. Meanwhile, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio of nearly 1.2320 guards the immediate recovery of the GBPUSD pair ahead of the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2375. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement surrounding 1.2415 can lure the Cable bulls. Above all, the 1.2510 resistance confluence comprising a convergence of the seven-week-long descending trend line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the Golden Ratio, will challenge the Pound Sterling buyers before giving them control. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2510, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the August 30 peak of around 1.2750 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, the bullish momentum fades but the road toward the south is long and bumpy while the upside needs validation from 1.2510.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD recovery fades below key resistance surrounding 1.0630EURUSD bulls struggle at a weekly high while waiting for inflation clues from Germany and the US, as well as the Fed Minutes, on Wednesday. That said, an upside break of the 21-day SMA and bullish oscillators keep Euro buyers hopeful. However, a three-month-old falling resistance line and a horizontal region comprising multiple levels marked since late May, around 1.0620-35, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Should the upcoming data fail to inspire the US Dollar bulls and allow the quote to cross the 1.0635 hurdle on a daily closing basis, a run-up toward the mid-September swing high of near 1.0770 can’t be ruled out. Following that, the 200-day SMA surrounding 1.0825 will be the last defense of the bears. On the contrary, the EURUSD pullback needs validation from the 21-day SMA level of 1.0600 and the scheduled data/events. Should the Euro sellers return, a fortnight-long horizontal support zone of around 1.0500 can test the bears before directing them to the yearly low of near 1.0450. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.0450, the August 2022 peak of near 1.0370 and the late November 2022 low of near 1.0220 can lure the sellers. Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to consolidate the previous monthly losses but the road towards the north is long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD pares losses within five-week-old bearish channelEURUSD stays defensive within a short-term bearish chart pattern after recovering from the Year-To-Date (YTD) low in the last two consecutive days. The corrective bounce also crossed a two-week-long falling resistance line and gains support from the bullish MACD signals, as well as the upbeat RSI (14) conditions, to suggest the Euro pair’s further advances. However, the top line of a downward-sloping trend channel established since August 30, close to 1.0575 by the press time, guards the immediate recovery of the pair. Following that, an 11-week-old descending resistance line and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.0660 and 1.0700, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the buyers. Meanwhile, the resistance-turned-support line stretched from September 20, surrounding 1.0530, puts a floor beneath the EURUSD price for the short term. In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0530, the 1.0500 round figure and the yearly low marked on Tuesday around 1.0450 will test the bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the bottom line of the aforementioned bearish trend channel, close to 1.0420 at the latest. Should the major currency pair remain bearish past 1.0420, and also break the 1.0400 threshold, a gradual south-run toward the late November 2022 swing low of around 1.0220 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further recovery but the bearish trend prevails unless the quote stays beneath 1.0700.
by MTradingGlobal