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AUDUSD stays pressured around yearly low on RBA status quoAUDUSD holds lower grounds near 0.6335, close to the yearly low marked last week, after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left its cash rate unchanged as expected. It’s worth noting that the RBA Rate Statement appeared a bit dovish and hence allowed the Aussie bears to keep the reins, especially amid a broadly firmer US Dollar. Additionally, the bearish MACD signals and an absence of the oversold RSI line also keep the pair sellers hopeful. With this, the quote is likely to revisit a seven-month-old downward-sloping support line surrounding 0.6310, quickly followed by the 0.6300 round figure. Following that, the November 2022 bottom of near 0.6270 may act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the pair toward the previous yearly low close to 0.6170. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce can aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380 by the press time, ahead of directing the AUDUSD buyers toward the 50-day SMA level of around 0.6470. In a case where the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6470, a five-week-long descending resistance line near 0.6505 will be the last hurdle for the upside targeting June’s low of near 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful run-up beyond 0.6600 enables the quote to reverse the 2.5-month-old downtrend by aiming for July’s peak surrounding 0.6900. Overall, AUDUSD remains in the bearish trend even as the multi-month-old descending resistance line challenges the sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY renews one-year high near 150.00USDJPY extends Friday’s rebound from the nine-week-old rising support line while printing the fresh high of the year 2023. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI (14) line and lackluster MACD signals suggest hardships for the pair buyers moving forward. Also challenging the upside is the 150.00 psychological magnet and a seven-month-old ascending trend channel’s top line, surrounding 151.00. In a case where the Yen pair stays firmer past 151.00, the previous yearly high of around 151.95 and the 152.00 round figure could lure the bulls. Following that, a gradual run-up towards the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to January 2023 downside, close to 158.80, is highly expected. Meanwhile, the aforementioned immediate support line joins the late October 2022 swing high to challenge the short-term USDJPY bears around the 148.90-85 zone. However, the quote’s weakness past 148.85 will make it vulnerable to dropping toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around 146.70. Should the Yen pair sellers keep the reins past 146.70, June’s high of around 145.00 might become their favorite. Above all, a convergence of the stated bullish channel’s top line and 61.8% Fibonacci ratio, close to 142.60, becomes the key to witnessing a reversal of the seven-month-long bullish trend. Overall, USDJPY’s pullback appears overdue but the bulls are more likely to keep the reins.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bounces off 10-month-old support but remains bearishEURUSD pares weekly losses ahead of the key inflation data from the Eurozone and the US. In doing so, the Euro pair rebounds from horizontal support comprising lows marked since November 2022, around 1.0485-80, as the RSI (14) takes a U-turn from the oversold territory. The same joins the looming bull cross on the MACD to direct the pair towards the nine-month-old previous support line, close to 1.0650 at the latest. However, the mid-September highs of around 1.0765-70 and the convergence of the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA, surrounding 1.0830, will act as tough nuts to crack for the buyers before retaking control. On the contrary, the EURUSD pullback remains elusive beyond the immediate horizontal support line surrounding 1.0480. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of September 2022 to July 2023 upside of near 1.0400 will precede the late November 2022 bottom of around 1.0220 to test the Euro bears. In a case where the major currency pair remains bearish past 1.0220, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.0200 will act as the final defense of the pair buyers. Overall, EURUSD remains bearish below 1.0830 but the corrective bounce may recall 1.0650 for a while on the chart.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears cheer death cross, trend line break to target $1,860Gold licks its wounds at the lowest level in more than six months after falling the most since late July the previous day. Although the oversold RSI prods the XAUUSD sellers, the bearish MACD signals, a clear downside break of the previous key support line stretched from February and a death cross on the daily chart together suggest further downside of the previous metal. That said, the death cross is a bearish moving average crossover wherein a short-term SMA pierces the longer one from above. With this, the bullion appears well set to decline towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of February–May upside and then to the early March swing high, respectively near $1,860 and $1,858. In a case where the precious metal remains bearish past $1,858, March’s low of $1,809 and February’s bottom of $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 threshold, will lure the commodity sellers. On the flip side, the previous monthly low of around $1,885 and the $1,900 round figure guards the immediate upside of the Gold Price. Following that, the support-turned-resistance line stretched from February will join the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the Golden Fibonacci Ratio, to challenge the XAUUSD buyers around $1,905. In a case where the quote remains firmer past $1,905, the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA will restrict the asset’s further upside to around $1,923 and $1,928 in that order. Overall, the Gold Price is likely to decline further towards the yearly low.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD eyes yearly low despite upbeat Australia inflationAUDUSD breaks a three-week-old rising support line even as Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) matches upbeat market forecasts for August with 5.2% YoY figures. The trend line breakdown joins bearish MACD signals to keep the Aussie pair sellers hopeful. However, the RSI (14) line is approaching the oversold territory and hence suggests a limited room towards the south. The same highlights the yearly low marked earlier in September around 0.6360. In a case where the pair bears ignore the oversold RSI and refresh the yearly low, the 0.6300 round figure and November 2022 bottom of around 0.6270 will be on their radars ahead of the year 2022 low of 0.6170. On the contrary, the support-turned-resistance line of around 0.6415 guards the immediate recovery of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and the 50-SMA, around 0.6440 by the press time, will challenge the Aussie bulls. Should the quote remain firmer past the key SMA confluence, the 0.6500 round figure and a six-week-long horizontal resistance around 0.6530 will be crucial to watch for clear directions as a sustained break of them will welcome the buyers with open hands. Overall, AUDUSD remains in the bearish trend despite upbeat Australian inflation data.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD jostles with multi-month-old support around 1.2200GBPUSD stays depressed at the six-month low even as bears struggle with a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early February. Also challenging the downside bias is the oversold RSI (14) line. With this, a corrective bounce toward May’s bottom of around 1.2310 can be witnessed. However, the 200-SMA on the daily chart, around 1.2435 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable pair buyers afterward. Even if the Sterling manages to cross the 1.2435 hurdle, a downward-sloping resistance line from July, close to 1.2540 by the press time, will act as the last defense of the pair bears. On the contrary, the Pound Sterling’s sustained weakness beneath the 1.2200-2190 key support zone could quickly drag it to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of September 2022 to July 2023 upside, near 1.2090. Following that, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and a 10-month-old broad support area surrounding 1.1900-1860, adjacent to the yearly low of around 1.1800, will be in the spotlight. Overall, GBPUSD bears appear running out of steam but the bulls have a long and bumpy road to travel before taking control.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls struggle within rising wedge, focus on 147.30USDJPY stays defensive at an 11-month high, losing upside momentum after a three-week winning streak, as market players await this week’s key Japan inflation data, as well as the US Durable Goods Orders. Also, sluggish RSI (14) line and MACD signals add restrictions to moves and challenge the Yen pair buyers. Furthermore, a rising wedge bearish chart formation comprising levels marked since early August also keeps the pair sellers hopeful. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the stated wedge’s bottom line, close to 147.30 at the latest, becomes necessary for the sellers to retake control. Even so, the 200-SMA and the monthly low, respectively around 146.40 and 144.45, may test the buyers ahead of highlighting the rising wedge’s theoretical target of 140.30 and 140.00. On the contrary, the latest high of around 148.50 guards the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair ahead of the stated wedge’s top line of around 149.00. In a case where the Yen pair remains firmer past 149.00, the 150.00 round figure and the previous yearly high of around 152.00 could lure the pair buyers. Following that, the June 1990 peak of around 155.80 will act as the last defense of the bears. Overall, USDJPY bears appear tiring but the buyers seem determined to give a tough tight before leaving the throne.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price consolidates within symmetrical triangle above $1,900Gold price bounces off a one-week-old rising support line, as well as the 200-SMA, within a symmetrical triangle comprising levels marked since late July. Given the near-50.0 levels of the RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD, the XAUUSD is likely to extend the latest rebound. The same highlights the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its July-August downside, near $1,937, ahead of shifting the market’s attention to the stated triangle’s top line, close to $1,947 at the latest. In a case where the bullion price remains firmer past $1,947, the monthly high of around $1,953 will act as the final defense of the bears. On the flip side, the 200-SMA and an ascending support line from the previous week limit the immediate downside of the Gold price near $1,918 and $1,916 respectively. Following that, the triangle’s lower line surrounding $1,906 and the $1,900 will be crucial to watch for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the metal remains bearish past $1,900, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July’s low of $1,885 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the Gold Price is likely to remain sidelined within the aforementioned triangle but advocates more volatility ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD sellers keep their eyes on 1.2200 and BoE decisionGBPUSD renews a 5.5-month low while extending the previous week’s downside break of the 200-day SMA, as well as drilling the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside. In doing so, the Cable pair ignores the oversold RSI (14) line while taking clues from the bearish MACD signals, which in turn suggests limited downside room for the Pound Sterling. As a result, a horizontal support zone comprising multiple levels marked since early February, around 1.2200, will be the key to watch during the quote’s further downside. In a case where the pair declines below 1.2200, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and February’s low, respectively near 1.2090 and 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. That said, the 1.2000 psychological magnet may offer intermediate stops during the pair’s fall towards the 1.1800. On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the 200-day level of around 1.2435 becomes necessary for the intraday buyer’s turn. Even so, the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a downward-sloping resistance line from July, close to 1.2480 and 1.2570 in that order, will be tough nuts to crack for the GBPUSD buyers before retaking control. Should the Pound Sterling remain firmer past 1.2570, May’s peak of around 1.2680 will act as the final defense of the Cable bears. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to remain bearish, unless the Bank of England (BoE) surprises, even as the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays defensive near key support line on Fed dayEURUSD fades bounce off an ascending support line stretched from early January as market players brace for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements on Wednesday. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and the MACD flags bull cross, which in turn favors the Euro pair’s sustained trading beyond the stated support line, close to 1.0640 by the press time. That said, the quote’s weakness past 1.0640, will make it vulnerable to decline towards March’s bottom surrounding 1.0515 before testing the yearly low of around 1.0480. Alternatively, the EURUSD pair’s recovery moves will initially aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of January-July upside, near 1.0790. However, a two-month-old descending resistance line and the 200-day SMA, respectively near 1.0815 and 1.0830, could challenge the Euro buyers past 1.0790. In a case where the pair manages to remain firmer past 1.0790, as well as cross the 1.0800 round figure, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the late August swing high of around 1.0940 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD remains bearish even if the oscillators challenge the downside bias.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD sellers need validation from 1.3430 and Canada inflationUSDCAD stays pressured at the lowest level in a month after breaking a six-week-old horizontal support. Adding strength to the downside bias is the Loonie pair’s sustained trading below the 200-SMA. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals prod the bears, which in turn highlights a two-month-old ascending support line, close to 1.3430 at the latest. It should be noted, however, that a downside break of the 1.3430 support will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-September upside, near 1.3390, and to the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of 1.3320 ahead of directing the bears toward multiple tops marked in July and August around 1.3230. Meanwhile, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early August, between 1.3490 and 1.3500, guards the immediate recovery of the USDCAD pair. Also acting as the nearby upside hurdles for the Loonie pair is a one-week-old descending trend line and 200-SMA, respectively near 1.3510 and 1.3530. It should be noted that the quote’s run-up beyond 1.3530 will aim for the 1.3600 and the double tops marked in late August around 1.3635-40. In a case where the bulls manage to keep the reins past 1.3640, the monthly high surrounding 1.3700 will be in the spotlight. Overall, the USDCAD pair is likely to decline further but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY edges higher within multi-month-old bullish channelUSDJPY defends a two-week uptrend within an ascending trend channel established since early March. In doing so, the Yen pair stays near an upper limit of the stated channel, recently wobbling between the 21-day SMA and a one-month-long resistance line. It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line suggests the bullish exhaustion while the MACD also lacks directional momentum and hence a pullback towards the 21-day SMA level of around 146.55 appears imminent. Adding strength to the stated SMA support is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn. In a case where the Yen pair drops below 146.55, July’s peak of 144.90 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 142.55 can test the bears before allowing them to challenge the key supports, namely the 100-day SMA and the aforementioned channel’s bottom line which are around 141.80 and 141.40 respectively. Meanwhile, an ascending trend line from mid-August, close to 148.80, guards immediate recovery of the USDJPY pair ahead of the bullish channel’s top line, close to 149.80 at the latest. Following that, the 150.00 psychological magnet and 150.30 levels may test the Yen pair buyers. In a case where the risk-barometer pair stays firmer past 150.30, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards challenging the previous yearly peak of around 152.00 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, USDJPY buyers keep the reins at the start of the Fed week, even as Japan’s national holiday and sluggish upside momentum prod the bulls of late.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls challenge five-week-old descending triangleStrong China data and a clear upside break of the 10-day SMA allow AUDUSD buyers to prod the resistance line of a five-week-old descending triangle on early Friday. Adding credence to the Aussie pair’s upside bias is the upward-sloping RSI (14) line, not overbought, and the bullish MACD signals. With this, the risk-barometer pair is likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding 0.6460, which in turn will open the door for the pair’s run-up toward the 50-day SMA level of around 0.6560. It’s worth noting that the 0.6500 round figure and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6550, act as extra upside filters to watch during the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair price remains firmer past the 50-DMA, the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600 will act as the final defense of the bears. Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s failure to provide a daily closing beyond 0.6560 could drag it back to the 10-day SMA level of surrounding 0.6415. However, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio and the stated triangle’s bottom line, respectively around 0.6380 and 0.6355, will test the Aussie pair sellers afterward. Should the quote stay weak past 0.6355, the November 2022 low of around 0.6270 and the previously yearly bottom of around 0.6170 will lure the sellers. To sum up, the AUDUSD pair is likely to witness additional recovery but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD pares US inflation-induced losses ahead of ECBEURUSD braces for the first weekly gain in nine as markets await the key European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate announcement. In doing so, the Euro pair extends the previous week’s rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.0680 by the press time. The corrective bounce also gains support from a looming bull cross on the MACD indicator, as well as the gradually rising RSI (14) line from the oversold territory. It’s worth noting, however, that the 1.0800 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers as it comprises the six-month-old previous support line, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from late July and the 100-EMA, respectively near 1.0855 and 1.0865, will act as the final defenses of the pair sellers. On the contrary, the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside could aim for the latest swing low of around 1.0700 before poking the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.0680. In a case where the Euro pair remains bearish past 1.0680, May’s bottom of 1.0635 may act as a buffer during the quote’s slump targeting March’s low of 1.0516. It’s worth observing that the yearly low marked in January around 1.0480 could test the pair sellers past 1.0516 before giving them control. Overall, EURUSD builds upside momentum but the recovery moves need validation from the hawkish ECB signals, especially after the previous day’s US inflation numbers challenged the pair buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears prepare for another stunt as US inflation loomsGold Price again prods the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, after failing to break the same during late August, within a 2.5-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation. The sluggish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14), not oversold, also favor the XAUUSD bears in breaking the 200-EMA support of around $1,910, which in turn will allow the precious metal to test the $1,900 threshold. However, the stated wedge’s bottom line of around $1,880 could challenge the commodity sellers afterward. In a case where the quote remains bearish past $1,880, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its February-Mary upside, close to $1,860, will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the prices toward the early 2023 low of around $1,805. On the contrary, the Gold Price recovery will aim for the 100-EMA hurdle of surrounding $1,930. Following that, the aforementioned bullish chart pattern’s top line, close to $1,945, and the monthly high of near $1,953 could challenge the XAUUSD buyers. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past the $1,953 hurdle, the odds of witnessing a rally towards July’s peak of $1,987 and then to the theoretical target of the wedge formation, close to $2,045, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the $2,000 psychological magnet acts as an extra filter toward the north. Overall, the Gold Price appears to decline further but the downside room seems limited unless the US CPI offers an extremely strong figure for August month.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD recovery hopes to stay valid beyond 1.2430GBPUSD consolidates losses made in the last three consecutive weeks ahead of the UK’s employment report. Adding strength to the recovery momentum is the RSI (14) line’s rebound from the oversold territory, as well as a six-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation, which in turn suggests an immediate run-up to cross the 1.2600 round figure. However, the upward trajectory needs validation from the stated wedge’s top line, close to 1.2640 by the press time, to highlight the theoretical target of around 1.3190. During the theoretical run-up, the 50-SMA level of around 1.2750, June’s high surrounding 1.2850 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will act as intermediate halts. Meanwhile, the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s March-July upside, near 1.2470, limits the immediate downside of the GBPUSD pair. That said, a convergence of the 200-SMA and the wedge’s bottom line, close to 1.2430, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable pair sellers. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of the 1.2430 support confluence won’t hesitate to quickly drag the Pound Sterling to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 1.2315 before testing the mid-March swing high of around 1.2200. Overall, GBPUSD buyers are in the driver’s seat ahead of the UK employment data.
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge lures USDJPY sellers amid hawkish BoJ concernsUSDJPY begins the week on a negative note while extending a downside gap during the early hours of Monday. Adding strength to the bearish bias about the Yen pair are the concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) exit from the ultra-loose monetary policy easing and a five-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern. It should be noted, however, that multiple supports stand tall to test the pair sellers on their way to the theoretical target of the rising wedge confirmation, around 139.20. That said, the stated wedge’s bottom line of around 145.60 acts as an immediate challenge for the bears to retake control. Following that, the 200-SMA and an ascending trend line from mid-July, close to 144.70 and 143.40 in that order, will precede the 140.00 round figure to also check the pair’s downside momentum ahead of highlighting the 139.20 mark. On the contrary, another rejection from the BoJ policymakers to the hawkish bias and strong US Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for Wednesday, could renew the upside bias about the USDJPY pair. In that case, the tops marked since last Tuesday around 147.90 will provide headwinds to the Yen pair’s recovery. It should be noted that the stated wedge’s top line, around 148.10 by the press time, holds the key to the buyer’s entry. In that case, the north run will aim for the 150.00 psychological magnet ahead of targeting the previous yearly high surrounding 151.95, as well as the 152.00 threshold. To sum up, USDJPY bulls appear to run out of steam but the bears need validation from 145.60, BoJ officials and the US inflation to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold has limited downside room unless it breaks $1,900Gold price appears well set to print the first weekly loss in three as it defends the previous Friday’s U-turn from a key resistance line below the important Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). However, the 50-EMA pierces the 200-EMA from below and prints a “Golden Cross” bullish moving average crossover suggesting a corrective bounce in prices. Additionally, the RSI (14) also rebounds from the oversold territory and hence increases the odds of witnessing a corrective bounce towards the EMA convergence surrounding $1,930. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August downturn, near $1,937, may please the XAUUSD buyers before testing them with a seven-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $1,950. Adding strength to the stated trend line resistance is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio”. Meanwhile, the Gold buyer’s failure to defend Thursday’s corrective bounce needs to break $1,915 support to recall the sellers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late June, close to $1,900, appears a tough nut to crack for the XAUUSD bears afterward. It should be observed, though, that a clear downside break of $1,900 won’t hesitate to challenge the previous monthly low of around $1,884 while targeting the early March swing high of around $1,858 and then to the yearly bottom of $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 round figure. To sum up, the Gold price remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest recovery.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD remains on the back foot within bearish channelEURUSD braces for the eighth consecutive weekly loss despite the latest hesitance of the bears surrounding the bottom line of the 1.5-month-old descending trend channel. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI line and sluggish MACD signals suggest a corrective bounce of the Euro pair, which in turn highlights the previous support line stretched from late June, close to 1.0750 by the press time. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0750, September’s peak of around 1.0885 and the aforementioned channel’s top line surrounding 1.0900 will lure the pair buyers. It should be observed, however, that the bullish bias remains elusive unless the quote stays below the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.0925, a break of which could challenge July’s peak of 1.1275 gradually. Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s weakness might dwindle around the stated bearish channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0695 by the press time. Following that, the lows marked in May and March, respectively near 1.0635 and 1.0515 could lure the Euro sellers. Should the pair bears remain in control past 1.0515, the yearly bottom of around 1.0480 will act as the final battle point for the buyers before giving the throne to the sellers. Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain bearish but a corrective bounce can’t be ruled out.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bulls jostle with 1.3640-50 crucial resistance on BoC DayUSDCAD bulls struggle to keep the reins at a five-month high as markets await the all-important Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision and the US ISM Services PMI for August. That said, the nearly overbought RSI and impending bear cross on the MACD checks buyers as they attack a convergence of an 11-month-old descending resistance line and a horizontal region comprising multiple levels marked since late April, close to 1.3640-50. As a result, the pair’s upside appears difficult and hence needs a strong boost from the BoC, as well as US data, to cross the stated hurdle, which in turn could propel prices towards the yearly high marked in March around 1.3865. Following that, the late 2022 peak of 1.3980 and the 1.4000 psychological magnet will gain the market’s attention. Meanwhile, the USDCAD pullback may initially aim for the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August-October 2022 upside, near 1.3500, ahead of retesting the 200-DMA support of 1.3465. In a case where the Loonie pair remains bearish past 1.3465, the early July swing high of 1.3385 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement surrounding 1.3200, also known as the Golden Fibonacci ratio, will be on the seller’s radar. Finally, the yearly low marked in July around 1.3090 acts as the last battle point for the buyers, a break of which won’t hesitate to drag the pair below the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Overall, USDCAD remains bullish but may witness a pullback before the further upside, unless the BoC and US data offer surprises.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bears flex muscles on RBA DayAUDUSD bulls struggle to hold the forte after posting the first weekly gain in seven on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision Day. That said, the Aussie pair trades within a three-week-old bearish triangle, staying below the convergence of the 100-SMA and 50-SMA surrounding 0.6450 on the key day. It’s worth noting that the steady RSI and bearish MACD signals lure the sellers to sneak in and break the stated bearish triangle’s bottom line, close to 0.6420 at the latest. In a case where the risk-barometer pair remains weak past 0.6420, it confirms the bearish chart pattern and can well refresh the yearly low, currently the August 13 bottom of around 0.6360. On the other hand, an upside clearance of the previously stated triangle’s top line, near 0.6530, could unleash the AUDUSD buyers. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July around 0.6600 will precede a five-week-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 0.6625 to test the upside momentum. In a case where the Aussie pair buyers keep the reins, backed by the hawkish RBA actions or signals, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward July’s peak of around 0.6900 can’t be ruled out. Overall, AUDUSD bulls run out of steam but the bears need approval from the RBA and the triangle breakdown.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD buyers remain hopeful despite latest disappointmentGBPUSD managed to confuse pair sellers last week by defending a one-month-long falling wedge bullish chart pattern despite declining in the later days. Also challenging the Cable pair’s downside is a weeklong rising support line, as well as a nearly oversold RSI (14) line. It’s worth noting, however, that the MACD still flashes the bearish signals and hence the Pound Sterling buyers need to wait for a clear upside break of the stated wedge’s top line surrounding 1.2720, as well as the 200-SMA of near 1.2755, to retake control. That said, a horizontal support-turned-resistance stretched from early August, close to 1.2620, guards the pair’s immediate recovery whereas a clear break of 200-SMA will enable the quote to challenge the yearly top marked in July around 1.3145, with a likely pause in the run-up around the 1.3000 round figure. Meanwhile, a downside break of the immediate one-week-old rising support line surrounding 1.2580 could convince GBPUSD bears to test the falling wedge bullish formation. In doing so, the quote will poke the wedge’s bottom line of around 1.2530. Should the Cable pair sellers dominate past 1.2530, the odds of witnessing a gradual downside toward May’s bottom near 1.2300 can’t be ruled out. Overall, GBPUSD bears run out of steam but the recovery needs validation from 1.2755, as well as this week’s key data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers remain hopeful on NFP day, focus on $1,955Gold braces for the second consecutive weekly gain as it confronts the key resistances on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. Among them, the four-month-old descending trend line is the immediate challenge for the XAUUSD bulls around $1,945 ahead of the $1,955 crucial hurdle comprising the 100-SMA and the previous support line from late 2022. It’s worth noting that the quote’s successful rebound from the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its November 2022 to May 2023 rise joins the bullish MACD signals to favor the upside bias for the metal price. However, the RSI line speedily approaches the overbought territory and hence suggests the limited room towards the north for the metal, which in turn highlights the $1,955 level as a tough nut to crack for the bulls. In a case where the commodity remains firmer past $1,955, the odds of witnessing a quick rally towards the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $1,987 can’t be ruled out whereas the $2,000 threshold could check the run-up afterward. On the flip side, the $1,900 round figure will precede the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around $1,898 to restrict the near-term downside of the Gold Price. Following that, the lows marked in June and August, respectively near $1,893 and $1,885 will be in the spotlight for the sellers. Should the XAUUSD remain weak past $1,885, its fall toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of near $1,858, also known as the Golden Fibonacci Ratio, becomes imminent. Overall, the Gold price approaches the interesting resistance territory as markets await the US employment report for August.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal