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Gold buyers approach $1,990 resistance amid overbought RSIGold Price rises to the highest level in three months on early Friday, rising for the fourth consecutive day, amid a softer US Dollar and mixed sentiment. That said, the Greenback dropped heavily on Thursday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled no rate change in the short term. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD’s successful break of the 200-day SMA and previous resistance line stretched from May added strength to the bullion’s run-up earlier in the week. With this, the precious metal is all set to poke a three-month-old horizontal resistance region surrounding $1,990. However, the quote’s upside past $1,990 appears difficult as the RSI (14) line hovers within the overbought region, suggesting a pullback in the prices. Even if the bulls manage to cross the $1,990 hurdle, the $2,000 psychological magnet will act as an additional upside filter before giving control to the Gold buyers. Alternatively, the 200-day SMA and the multi-month-old resistance-turned-support line, respectively near $1,930 and $1,905, appear as short-term key supports to watch for Gold sellers during the price reversal. Following that, the $1,900 round figure and August month’s low of around $1,885 will act as the final defense of the XAUUSD buyers ahead of directing the commodity prices to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to May 2023 upside, close to $1,842. In a case where the bears keep the reins past $1,842, the monthly low of near $1,810 and the $1,800 threshold will be on their radar. To sum up, Gold price is likely to remain sturdy unless it breaks $1,905. However, the metal’s pullback appears overdue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bears again approach 0.6285 key supportAUDUSD extends the previous day’s retreat from the weekly top towards the bottom line of a three-week-old descending triangle surrounding 0.6285, tested twice in October. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and hence challenges the Aussie bears around the key support. The same highlights the probability of witnessing a bounce from 0.6285 support but the recovery remains elusive unless the quote confirms the aforementioned bullish triangle, by crossing the 0.6390 upside hurdle. Even so, the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early August, close to 0.6400 and 0.6440 respectively at the latest, will test the Aussie bulls before giving them control. Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated 0.6285 key support will need validation from the November 2022 low of around 0.6270 to keep the AUDUSD bears on the table. In that case, the 0.6200 round figure and the previous yearly low of around 0.6170 could lure the pair sellers. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.6170, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the April 2020 bottom of around 0.5980. That said, softer Australia Employment Change and Participation Rate join the broad US Dollar recovery to weigh on the AUDUSD pair. However, the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD stays pressured on UK inflation dayGBPUSD prints mild losses below 1.2200 during early Wednesday as market players await the UK inflation data while consolidating the week-start gains of the Cable pair. That said, a likely easing inflation pressure in Britain joins the downbeat RSI (14) and the impending bear cross on the MACD keeps the pair sellers hopeful. With this, the quote’s fall toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.2090, becomes imminent. However, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding 1.2070 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers afterward. In a case where the bears manage to conquer the 1.2070 support, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and March’s bottom of around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, GBPUSD recovery needs validation from the strong UK inflation data and the US Dollar’s weakness to convince intraday buyers. Additionally, a three-month-long descending trend line, close to 1.2280 at the latest, holds the key to the bull’s conviction. Following that, the Cable pair’s run-up toward the 200-day SMA level of around 1.2445 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth observing that the Pound Sterling’s successful trading above 1.2445 will aim for August month’s low of around 1.2550 while May’s high of 1.2680 could lure the optimists after. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to witness further downside but the road toward the south is long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays in bear’s jaws ahead of US Retail SalesEURUSD stays within a three-month-old bearish trend channel despite rising the most in October the previous day. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the looming bear cross between the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, as well as the steady RSI (14) line. However, three-week-long horizontal support surrounding 1.0500 joins the bullish MACD signals to restrict the immediate downside of the Euro pair. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.0450 will act as the final defense for the bulls before driving prices down towards the aforementioned channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0350 by the press time. Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery needs to defy the bearish channel pattern, by clearly crossing the 1.0600 hurdle, to convince the short-term buyers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since May, near 1.0620-35, will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, near 1.0830 at the latest, holds to key to the bullish trend. To sum up, the EURUSD remains within a bearish trajectory as markets await the Eurozone/German ZEW data and EU EcoFin Meeting, as well as the US Retail Sales. The same suggests that the outcome favoring the US Dollar, or weighing on the Euro, will have a clearer response than the otherwise.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold eyes the first weekly gain in three, focus on $1,885Gold Price reverses the post-US inflation retreat from a two-week high as market players await more consumer-centric details on early Friday. In doing so, the XAUUSD bounces off 100-SMA and justifies the firmer RSI (14) line. However, bearish MACD signals will join a two-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $1,880-85 to provide a tough fight to the metal buyers. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the September-October downside, near the $1,900 round figure, will be the final defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls. Meanwhile, stronger US data may drag the Gold price beneath the 100-SMA support of around $1,869, which in turn highlights the $1,860 and $1,855 as the following barriers for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the bullion prices remain weak past $1,855, the $1,830 and the latest bottom of around $1,810 could test the commodity sellers ahead of the $1,800 psychological magnet. It’s worth mentioning that the metal’s sustained decline below the $1,800 threshold will make it vulnerable to test the late December 2022 swing low of around $1,770. Overall, the Gold price slips off the bear’s radar and braces for the first weekly gain in three but the buyers need to remain cautious unless the metal stays beneath the $1,900 resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.2510GBPUSD seesaws at a three-week high ahead of the UK data dump, probing a six-day winning streak. However, the RSI (14) line steadies near the overbought region and joins a looming bear cross on the MACD to suggest that the bulls are running out of steam. With this, a pullback towards the late September swing high of around 1.2270 becomes imminent but a convergence of the 100-SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October downturn, near 1.2215, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable bears afterward. Even if the quote drops below 1.2215, the previous resistance line stretched from late August, close to 1.2090 by the press time, will precede the monthly low of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold to act as final defenses of the Pound Sterling buyers. Meanwhile, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio of nearly 1.2320 guards the immediate recovery of the GBPUSD pair ahead of the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2375. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement surrounding 1.2415 can lure the Cable bulls. Above all, the 1.2510 resistance confluence comprising a convergence of the seven-week-long descending trend line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the Golden Ratio, will challenge the Pound Sterling buyers before giving them control. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2510, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the August 30 peak of around 1.2750 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, the bullish momentum fades but the road toward the south is long and bumpy while the upside needs validation from 1.2510.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD recovery fades below key resistance surrounding 1.0630EURUSD bulls struggle at a weekly high while waiting for inflation clues from Germany and the US, as well as the Fed Minutes, on Wednesday. That said, an upside break of the 21-day SMA and bullish oscillators keep Euro buyers hopeful. However, a three-month-old falling resistance line and a horizontal region comprising multiple levels marked since late May, around 1.0620-35, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Should the upcoming data fail to inspire the US Dollar bulls and allow the quote to cross the 1.0635 hurdle on a daily closing basis, a run-up toward the mid-September swing high of near 1.0770 can’t be ruled out. Following that, the 200-day SMA surrounding 1.0825 will be the last defense of the bears. On the contrary, the EURUSD pullback needs validation from the 21-day SMA level of 1.0600 and the scheduled data/events. Should the Euro sellers return, a fortnight-long horizontal support zone of around 1.0500 can test the bears before directing them to the yearly low of near 1.0450. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.0450, the August 2022 peak of near 1.0370 and the late November 2022 low of near 1.0220 can lure the sellers. Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to consolidate the previous monthly losses but the road towards the north is long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD pares losses within five-week-old bearish channelEURUSD stays defensive within a short-term bearish chart pattern after recovering from the Year-To-Date (YTD) low in the last two consecutive days. The corrective bounce also crossed a two-week-long falling resistance line and gains support from the bullish MACD signals, as well as the upbeat RSI (14) conditions, to suggest the Euro pair’s further advances. However, the top line of a downward-sloping trend channel established since August 30, close to 1.0575 by the press time, guards the immediate recovery of the pair. Following that, an 11-week-old descending resistance line and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.0660 and 1.0700, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the buyers. Meanwhile, the resistance-turned-support line stretched from September 20, surrounding 1.0530, puts a floor beneath the EURUSD price for the short term. In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0530, the 1.0500 round figure and the yearly low marked on Tuesday around 1.0450 will test the bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the bottom line of the aforementioned bearish trend channel, close to 1.0420 at the latest. Should the major currency pair remain bearish past 1.0420, and also break the 1.0400 threshold, a gradual south-run toward the late November 2022 swing low of around 1.0220 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further recovery but the bearish trend prevails unless the quote stays beneath 1.0700.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD appears vulnerable to test multi-month-old support lineGBPUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in seven months, reversing the previous week’s corrective bounce, as the Cable traders await final prints of the UK S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for September. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of an eight-month-old horizontal support zone joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the Pound Sterling bears hopeful. However, the oversold RSI (14) line and 50% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to July 2023 upside, near 1.2040, restricts the immediate downside of the pair. Following that, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and an ascending support line from November, close to 1.1890 by the press time, will entertain the bears. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.1890, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.1780 will be the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, the previous weekly low of around 1.2110 restricts the nearby downside of the GBPUSD pair ahead of the 10-SMA level surrounding 1.2170. More importantly, the support-turned-resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since February, near 1.2310–2270, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable pair buyers to cross past 1.2170. Should the Pound Sterling remain firmer past 1.2170, a three-month-long descending resistance line surrounding 1.2470 will be crucial for the bulls to cross before retaking control. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to remain bearish even as the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD stays pressured around yearly low on RBA status quoAUDUSD holds lower grounds near 0.6335, close to the yearly low marked last week, after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left its cash rate unchanged as expected. It’s worth noting that the RBA Rate Statement appeared a bit dovish and hence allowed the Aussie bears to keep the reins, especially amid a broadly firmer US Dollar. Additionally, the bearish MACD signals and an absence of the oversold RSI line also keep the pair sellers hopeful. With this, the quote is likely to revisit a seven-month-old downward-sloping support line surrounding 0.6310, quickly followed by the 0.6300 round figure. Following that, the November 2022 bottom of near 0.6270 may act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the pair toward the previous yearly low close to 0.6170. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce can aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380 by the press time, ahead of directing the AUDUSD buyers toward the 50-day SMA level of around 0.6470. In a case where the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6470, a five-week-long descending resistance line near 0.6505 will be the last hurdle for the upside targeting June’s low of near 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful run-up beyond 0.6600 enables the quote to reverse the 2.5-month-old downtrend by aiming for July’s peak surrounding 0.6900. Overall, AUDUSD remains in the bearish trend even as the multi-month-old descending resistance line challenges the sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY renews one-year high near 150.00USDJPY extends Friday’s rebound from the nine-week-old rising support line while printing the fresh high of the year 2023. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI (14) line and lackluster MACD signals suggest hardships for the pair buyers moving forward. Also challenging the upside is the 150.00 psychological magnet and a seven-month-old ascending trend channel’s top line, surrounding 151.00. In a case where the Yen pair stays firmer past 151.00, the previous yearly high of around 151.95 and the 152.00 round figure could lure the bulls. Following that, a gradual run-up towards the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to January 2023 downside, close to 158.80, is highly expected. Meanwhile, the aforementioned immediate support line joins the late October 2022 swing high to challenge the short-term USDJPY bears around the 148.90-85 zone. However, the quote’s weakness past 148.85 will make it vulnerable to dropping toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around 146.70. Should the Yen pair sellers keep the reins past 146.70, June’s high of around 145.00 might become their favorite. Above all, a convergence of the stated bullish channel’s top line and 61.8% Fibonacci ratio, close to 142.60, becomes the key to witnessing a reversal of the seven-month-long bullish trend. Overall, USDJPY’s pullback appears overdue but the bulls are more likely to keep the reins.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bounces off 10-month-old support but remains bearishEURUSD pares weekly losses ahead of the key inflation data from the Eurozone and the US. In doing so, the Euro pair rebounds from horizontal support comprising lows marked since November 2022, around 1.0485-80, as the RSI (14) takes a U-turn from the oversold territory. The same joins the looming bull cross on the MACD to direct the pair towards the nine-month-old previous support line, close to 1.0650 at the latest. However, the mid-September highs of around 1.0765-70 and the convergence of the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA, surrounding 1.0830, will act as tough nuts to crack for the buyers before retaking control. On the contrary, the EURUSD pullback remains elusive beyond the immediate horizontal support line surrounding 1.0480. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of September 2022 to July 2023 upside of near 1.0400 will precede the late November 2022 bottom of around 1.0220 to test the Euro bears. In a case where the major currency pair remains bearish past 1.0220, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.0200 will act as the final defense of the pair buyers. Overall, EURUSD remains bearish below 1.0830 but the corrective bounce may recall 1.0650 for a while on the chart.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears cheer death cross, trend line break to target $1,860Gold licks its wounds at the lowest level in more than six months after falling the most since late July the previous day. Although the oversold RSI prods the XAUUSD sellers, the bearish MACD signals, a clear downside break of the previous key support line stretched from February and a death cross on the daily chart together suggest further downside of the previous metal. That said, the death cross is a bearish moving average crossover wherein a short-term SMA pierces the longer one from above. With this, the bullion appears well set to decline towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of February–May upside and then to the early March swing high, respectively near $1,860 and $1,858. In a case where the precious metal remains bearish past $1,858, March’s low of $1,809 and February’s bottom of $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 threshold, will lure the commodity sellers. On the flip side, the previous monthly low of around $1,885 and the $1,900 round figure guards the immediate upside of the Gold Price. Following that, the support-turned-resistance line stretched from February will join the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the Golden Fibonacci Ratio, to challenge the XAUUSD buyers around $1,905. In a case where the quote remains firmer past $1,905, the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA will restrict the asset’s further upside to around $1,923 and $1,928 in that order. Overall, the Gold Price is likely to decline further towards the yearly low.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD eyes yearly low despite upbeat Australia inflationAUDUSD breaks a three-week-old rising support line even as Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) matches upbeat market forecasts for August with 5.2% YoY figures. The trend line breakdown joins bearish MACD signals to keep the Aussie pair sellers hopeful. However, the RSI (14) line is approaching the oversold territory and hence suggests a limited room towards the south. The same highlights the yearly low marked earlier in September around 0.6360. In a case where the pair bears ignore the oversold RSI and refresh the yearly low, the 0.6300 round figure and November 2022 bottom of around 0.6270 will be on their radars ahead of the year 2022 low of 0.6170. On the contrary, the support-turned-resistance line of around 0.6415 guards the immediate recovery of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and the 50-SMA, around 0.6440 by the press time, will challenge the Aussie bulls. Should the quote remain firmer past the key SMA confluence, the 0.6500 round figure and a six-week-long horizontal resistance around 0.6530 will be crucial to watch for clear directions as a sustained break of them will welcome the buyers with open hands. Overall, AUDUSD remains in the bearish trend despite upbeat Australian inflation data.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD jostles with multi-month-old support around 1.2200GBPUSD stays depressed at the six-month low even as bears struggle with a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early February. Also challenging the downside bias is the oversold RSI (14) line. With this, a corrective bounce toward May’s bottom of around 1.2310 can be witnessed. However, the 200-SMA on the daily chart, around 1.2435 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable pair buyers afterward. Even if the Sterling manages to cross the 1.2435 hurdle, a downward-sloping resistance line from July, close to 1.2540 by the press time, will act as the last defense of the pair bears. On the contrary, the Pound Sterling’s sustained weakness beneath the 1.2200-2190 key support zone could quickly drag it to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of September 2022 to July 2023 upside, near 1.2090. Following that, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and a 10-month-old broad support area surrounding 1.1900-1860, adjacent to the yearly low of around 1.1800, will be in the spotlight. Overall, GBPUSD bears appear running out of steam but the bulls have a long and bumpy road to travel before taking control.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls struggle within rising wedge, focus on 147.30USDJPY stays defensive at an 11-month high, losing upside momentum after a three-week winning streak, as market players await this week’s key Japan inflation data, as well as the US Durable Goods Orders. Also, sluggish RSI (14) line and MACD signals add restrictions to moves and challenge the Yen pair buyers. Furthermore, a rising wedge bearish chart formation comprising levels marked since early August also keeps the pair sellers hopeful. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the stated wedge’s bottom line, close to 147.30 at the latest, becomes necessary for the sellers to retake control. Even so, the 200-SMA and the monthly low, respectively around 146.40 and 144.45, may test the buyers ahead of highlighting the rising wedge’s theoretical target of 140.30 and 140.00. On the contrary, the latest high of around 148.50 guards the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair ahead of the stated wedge’s top line of around 149.00. In a case where the Yen pair remains firmer past 149.00, the 150.00 round figure and the previous yearly high of around 152.00 could lure the pair buyers. Following that, the June 1990 peak of around 155.80 will act as the last defense of the bears. Overall, USDJPY bears appear tiring but the buyers seem determined to give a tough tight before leaving the throne.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price consolidates within symmetrical triangle above $1,900Gold price bounces off a one-week-old rising support line, as well as the 200-SMA, within a symmetrical triangle comprising levels marked since late July. Given the near-50.0 levels of the RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD, the XAUUSD is likely to extend the latest rebound. The same highlights the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its July-August downside, near $1,937, ahead of shifting the market’s attention to the stated triangle’s top line, close to $1,947 at the latest. In a case where the bullion price remains firmer past $1,947, the monthly high of around $1,953 will act as the final defense of the bears. On the flip side, the 200-SMA and an ascending support line from the previous week limit the immediate downside of the Gold price near $1,918 and $1,916 respectively. Following that, the triangle’s lower line surrounding $1,906 and the $1,900 will be crucial to watch for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the metal remains bearish past $1,900, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July’s low of $1,885 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the Gold Price is likely to remain sidelined within the aforementioned triangle but advocates more volatility ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD sellers keep their eyes on 1.2200 and BoE decisionGBPUSD renews a 5.5-month low while extending the previous week’s downside break of the 200-day SMA, as well as drilling the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside. In doing so, the Cable pair ignores the oversold RSI (14) line while taking clues from the bearish MACD signals, which in turn suggests limited downside room for the Pound Sterling. As a result, a horizontal support zone comprising multiple levels marked since early February, around 1.2200, will be the key to watch during the quote’s further downside. In a case where the pair declines below 1.2200, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and February’s low, respectively near 1.2090 and 1.1800 will be in the spotlight. That said, the 1.2000 psychological magnet may offer intermediate stops during the pair’s fall towards the 1.1800. On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the 200-day level of around 1.2435 becomes necessary for the intraday buyer’s turn. Even so, the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a downward-sloping resistance line from July, close to 1.2480 and 1.2570 in that order, will be tough nuts to crack for the GBPUSD buyers before retaking control. Should the Pound Sterling remain firmer past 1.2570, May’s peak of around 1.2680 will act as the final defense of the Cable bears. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to remain bearish, unless the Bank of England (BoE) surprises, even as the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays defensive near key support line on Fed dayEURUSD fades bounce off an ascending support line stretched from early January as market players brace for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements on Wednesday. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and the MACD flags bull cross, which in turn favors the Euro pair’s sustained trading beyond the stated support line, close to 1.0640 by the press time. That said, the quote’s weakness past 1.0640, will make it vulnerable to decline towards March’s bottom surrounding 1.0515 before testing the yearly low of around 1.0480. Alternatively, the EURUSD pair’s recovery moves will initially aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of January-July upside, near 1.0790. However, a two-month-old descending resistance line and the 200-day SMA, respectively near 1.0815 and 1.0830, could challenge the Euro buyers past 1.0790. In a case where the pair manages to remain firmer past 1.0790, as well as cross the 1.0800 round figure, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the late August swing high of around 1.0940 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD remains bearish even if the oscillators challenge the downside bias.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD sellers need validation from 1.3430 and Canada inflationUSDCAD stays pressured at the lowest level in a month after breaking a six-week-old horizontal support. Adding strength to the downside bias is the Loonie pair’s sustained trading below the 200-SMA. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals prod the bears, which in turn highlights a two-month-old ascending support line, close to 1.3430 at the latest. It should be noted, however, that a downside break of the 1.3430 support will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-September upside, near 1.3390, and to the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of 1.3320 ahead of directing the bears toward multiple tops marked in July and August around 1.3230. Meanwhile, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early August, between 1.3490 and 1.3500, guards the immediate recovery of the USDCAD pair. Also acting as the nearby upside hurdles for the Loonie pair is a one-week-old descending trend line and 200-SMA, respectively near 1.3510 and 1.3530. It should be noted that the quote’s run-up beyond 1.3530 will aim for the 1.3600 and the double tops marked in late August around 1.3635-40. In a case where the bulls manage to keep the reins past 1.3640, the monthly high surrounding 1.3700 will be in the spotlight. Overall, the USDCAD pair is likely to decline further but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY edges higher within multi-month-old bullish channelUSDJPY defends a two-week uptrend within an ascending trend channel established since early March. In doing so, the Yen pair stays near an upper limit of the stated channel, recently wobbling between the 21-day SMA and a one-month-long resistance line. It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line suggests the bullish exhaustion while the MACD also lacks directional momentum and hence a pullback towards the 21-day SMA level of around 146.55 appears imminent. Adding strength to the stated SMA support is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn. In a case where the Yen pair drops below 146.55, July’s peak of 144.90 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 142.55 can test the bears before allowing them to challenge the key supports, namely the 100-day SMA and the aforementioned channel’s bottom line which are around 141.80 and 141.40 respectively. Meanwhile, an ascending trend line from mid-August, close to 148.80, guards immediate recovery of the USDJPY pair ahead of the bullish channel’s top line, close to 149.80 at the latest. Following that, the 150.00 psychological magnet and 150.30 levels may test the Yen pair buyers. In a case where the risk-barometer pair stays firmer past 150.30, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards challenging the previous yearly peak of around 152.00 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, USDJPY buyers keep the reins at the start of the Fed week, even as Japan’s national holiday and sluggish upside momentum prod the bulls of late.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls challenge five-week-old descending triangleStrong China data and a clear upside break of the 10-day SMA allow AUDUSD buyers to prod the resistance line of a five-week-old descending triangle on early Friday. Adding credence to the Aussie pair’s upside bias is the upward-sloping RSI (14) line, not overbought, and the bullish MACD signals. With this, the risk-barometer pair is likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding 0.6460, which in turn will open the door for the pair’s run-up toward the 50-day SMA level of around 0.6560. It’s worth noting that the 0.6500 round figure and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6550, act as extra upside filters to watch during the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair price remains firmer past the 50-DMA, the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600 will act as the final defense of the bears. Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s failure to provide a daily closing beyond 0.6560 could drag it back to the 10-day SMA level of surrounding 0.6415. However, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio and the stated triangle’s bottom line, respectively around 0.6380 and 0.6355, will test the Aussie pair sellers afterward. Should the quote stay weak past 0.6355, the November 2022 low of around 0.6270 and the previously yearly bottom of around 0.6170 will lure the sellers. To sum up, the AUDUSD pair is likely to witness additional recovery but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD pares US inflation-induced losses ahead of ECBEURUSD braces for the first weekly gain in nine as markets await the key European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate announcement. In doing so, the Euro pair extends the previous week’s rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.0680 by the press time. The corrective bounce also gains support from a looming bull cross on the MACD indicator, as well as the gradually rising RSI (14) line from the oversold territory. It’s worth noting, however, that the 1.0800 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers as it comprises the six-month-old previous support line, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from late July and the 100-EMA, respectively near 1.0855 and 1.0865, will act as the final defenses of the pair sellers. On the contrary, the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside could aim for the latest swing low of around 1.0700 before poking the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.0680. In a case where the Euro pair remains bearish past 1.0680, May’s bottom of 1.0635 may act as a buffer during the quote’s slump targeting March’s low of 1.0516. It’s worth observing that the yearly low marked in January around 1.0480 could test the pair sellers past 1.0516 before giving them control. Overall, EURUSD builds upside momentum but the recovery moves need validation from the hawkish ECB signals, especially after the previous day’s US inflation numbers challenged the pair buyers.
by MTradingGlobal