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GBPUSD sellers should keep eyes on 1.2760 and UK PMIGBPUSD marked the first weekly loss in three while slipping beneath the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support trend line stretched from late June. Adding strength to the downside were bearish MACD signals and the RSI line’s reversal from the overbought territory. However, the MACD teases a bull cross as the RSI hovers around the oversold territory, which in turn suggests a corrective bounce in the Cable price. The same highlights a convergence of the 200-SMA and a two-month-old rising trend line, close to 1.2760 as the key level to watch as traders await the UK PMIs for July. In a case where the Pound Sterling drops below the 1.2760 support, the odds of witnessing the quote’s slump towards the late June swing low of around 1.2590 can’t be ruled out. However, the June start swing high of around 1.2550-45 and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its May-July upside, near 1.2480, can test the bears before directing them to the May month’s low of around 1.2310. Meanwhile, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the previous support line from late June, close to 1.2870 at the latest, restricts the immediate upside of the GBPUSD pair. Following that, the 1.2960 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet may challenge the buyers before giving them control. In that case, the yearly high marked earlier in the month of around 1.3145 will be in the spotlight. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to witness further downside but it all depends upon the UK data and 1.2760 break.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls still in the game as markets await Fed, ECB playAlthough the EURUSD is all set for the first weekly loss in four, despite refreshing the 17-month high, the buyers aren’t off the board as multiple supports stand tall to challenge the downside ahead of the key week comprising monetary policy meeting from the Fed and the ECB. That said, a three-month-old horizontal support area surrounding 1.1100-1090. Following that, a broad support zone comprising multiple levels marked since early May can challenge the Euro bears between 1.1030 and 1.1000. Even if the quote breaks the 1.1000 psychological magnet, a seven-week-long rising support line near 1.0920 will act as the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, the EURUSD rebound may initially aim for the support-turned-resistance line near 1.1180 and then to 1.1230 ahead of confronting the 1.1275-80 resistance region comprising levels marked during early 2022. In a case where the Euro pair manages to remain firmer past 1.1280, the previous yearly high of near 1.1500 will be in the spotlight. It should be noted that the pair’s run-up beyond 1.1500 needs to gain support from the hawkish ECB, as well as the dovish Fed, to aim for the late 2021 peak around 1.1700. On a different note, the RSI line slides below the 50 level suggesting brighter chances of a bottom-picking even if the MACD flashes bearish signals. To sum up, EURUSD remains on the buyer’s radar despite the latest retreat as the key event remain on the docket to shake the markets next week.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD reverses before 0.6680 support on impressive Aussie dataAUDUSD remains on the front foot while printing the first daily gains in five after strong Australian employment data. The pair’s latest upside also justifies the upward-sloping RSI line, not oversold, as well as the bullish bias of the MACD signals. With this, the quote is likely to extend the north run toward May’s peak of around 0.6820 ahead of targeting the 0.6895-6900 resistance area comprising the tops marked in July and June, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6900, the odds of witnessing a rally past the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. In that scenario, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the yearly peak, respectively near 0.7010 and 0.7160 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, the 0.6685-80 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA, 100-DMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late May appears the key challenge for the bears to conquer before retaking control. That said, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of around 0.6730 and the 0.6700 round figure is likely immediate supports to watch during the pair’s further fall. It’s worth noting that the bear’s dominance past 0.6680 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low of around 0.6590, a break of which will direct the sellers toward the year 2023 bottom, so far, marked around 0.6460 in May. Overall, AUDUSD bears are in the driver’s seat but the trip towards the south needs an entry-pass from 0.6680.
by MTradingGlobal
UK inflation and 1.3170 need to vouch for GBPUSD bullsGBPUSD extends pullback from a 15-month high, marked the last week, as it awaits the UK’s headline inflation data for June, per the Consumer Price Index (CPI) gauge. The pair previously cheered the US Dollar weakness to refresh the multi-month high before the fears of British recession weighed on the prices. The upside momentum also took clues from a clear break of a downward-sloping resistance line from May 2021 and the 200-week SMA. However, the overbought RSI highlights a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since December 2021, near 1.3170, as the immediate key hurdle to cross for the Cable buyers to keep the reins. Following that, the pair’s run-up toward the January 2022 low and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its May 2021 to September 2022 downturn, respectively near 1.3360 and 1.3440, can’t be ruled. On the contrary, downbeat UK inflation data and a failure to cross the 1.3170 resistance can trigger the GBPUSD pair’s pullback toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet before highlighting the 200-week SMA support, close to 1.2885 by the press time. In a case where the Pound Sterling falls below the 200-week SMA, the previous monthly low of around 1.2760 and the broad resistance-turned-support line, near 1.2520, will be in the spotlight for the pair sellers. Overall, GBPUSD bulls are near the testing point as the UK inflation data looms.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price pullback remains unimpressive beyond $1,900Gold price reverses the previous week’s retreat from an eight-week-old descending resistance line, grinding higher past the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the nearly overbought RSI (14) suggests another pullback from the aforementioned immediate resistance line, near $1,962 at the latest. With this, the XAUUSD is likely to break the immediate support surrounding $1,935, comprising the 100-EMA. However, the 200-EMA, close to $1,900 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the metal bears to break before retaking control. In a case where the price remains bearish below the $1,900 mark, the odds of witnessing a quick slump toward the early March high of around $1,858 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the aforementioned descending resistance line, close to $1,962, could renew the Gold Price upside towards challenging the previous monthly high of around $1,983. Following that, the $2,000 round figure and April’s peak of around $2,048 will be in the spotlight before directing the XAUUSD bulls toward the yearly high of near $2,067. Overall, multiple hurdles toward the north and the latest retreat from the key resistance line teases the Gold sellers but crucial EMAs stand tall to challenge the commodity bears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY rebound appears overdueUSDJPY dropped in the last two consecutive weeks but ended Friday on a positive note as it bounced off a convergence of the 100-DMA and the 200-DMA. Adding strength to the hopes of recovery is the oversold RSI and the pair’s closing beyond a seven-month-old horizontal support zone, around 137.90-138.20. That said, the 140.00 round figure appears immediate hurdle to cross for the Yen pair buyers to retake control, a break of which needs validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to January 2023 downside, near 142.50, to confirm a bullish trend. In that case, the previous monthly high of 145.00 and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of near 146.70 hold the key for the run-up targeting the 150.00 psychological magnet and then toward the last yearly high of near 152.00. Meanwhile, the aforementioned DMA convergence, surrounding 137.00, appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bears. Following that, an ascending support line stretched from mid-January 2023, near 135.30, will act as the last defense of the Yen pair buyers. Should the risk-barometer pair remains bearish past 135.30, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and March’s low, respectively near 133.00 and 129.65, will be in the spotlight. Overall, USDJPY bears seem running out of steam but the road toward the north appears long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls have multiple challenges in keeping the reinsEURUSD braces for the biggest weekly gain since November 2022 while poking the 16-month high as markets await more clues to confirm the nearness of the Fed’s policy pivot. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI conditions and an ascending resistance line from November 2022, around 1.1250 by the press time, challenge the buyers of late. Even if the quote remains firmer past 1.1250, the 1.1300 round figure will act as additional checks during the further upside. Following that, the Euro bulls will put their eyes on the previous yearly high of around 1.1500. On the contrary, pullback moves remain elusive unless the EURUSD remains firmer past the previous resistance line from February, near 1.1180 at the latest, as well as the April 2023 high of around 1.1100. A clear break of which can direct the Euro sellers towards February’s high of around 1.1030 and then to the previous monthly high of around 1.1010, quickly followed by the 1.1000 psychological magnet. In a case where the Euro bears dominate past 1.1000, a convergence of the 50-DMA and the 100-DMA, near 1.0850, will be a tough nut to crack for them. Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar despite witnessing bullish exhaustion.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers appear well-set to visit $1,985 hurdleGold price rises to the highest level in a month after crossing a convergence of the 200-SMA and a six-week-old descending trend line, around $1,940 by the press time. The breakout joins bullish MACD signals to keep XAUUSD buyers hopeful. However, the overbought RSI (14) conditions suggest limited upside room, which in turn highlights a horizontal resistance area comprising multiple tops marked since May 18, close to $1,985. It’s worth noting that the metal’s upside past $1,985 appears difficult as the $2,000 psychological magnet and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-June downside, near $2,030, could challenge the bulls before directing them to the yearly top marked in May around $2,067. On the contrary, Gold price pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the $1,940 resistance-turned-support comprising the 200-SMA and a 1.5-month-long falling trend line. Following that, the early-month swing high of around $1,934 and the previous resistance line stretched from May 04, close to 1,916, at the latest, will challenge the XAUUSD sellers. In a case where the bullion bears keep the reins past $1,916, the $1,900 will act as the last defense of the bulls. Overall, Gold Price is likely to rise further towards the short-term key resistance as the US Dollar drops heavily.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD crosses 200-EMA within bearish channel despite RBNZ inactNZDUSD jumps to a three-week high while piercing the 200-EMA even as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) refrains from lifting interest rates for the first time since October 2021. It’s worth noting, however, that the Kiwi pair remains within a five-month-old bearish channel while approaching the immediate hurdle, namely the previous monthly high of around 0.6250. Should the quote manage to remain firmer past 0.6250, the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6290, quickly followed by the 0.6300 round figure, will be crucial to watch as a clear break of the same won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly peak marked in February around 0.6540. On the flip side, a daily closing beneath the 200-EMA, around 0.6220 at the latest, can trigger NZDUSD pullback toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to February 2023 run-up, near 0.6150. Following that, a six-week-old rising support line surrounding 0.6085 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6030 can test the Kiwi pair sellers. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.6030, the 0.6000 psychological magnet precedes the stated channel’s bottom line, near 0.5930, to act as the last defense of the buyers. Overall, NZDUSD shrugs off RBNZ’s status quo and is on the way to challenging the bearish chart pattern.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD retreats from 0.6700 as China inflation easesAUDUSD consolidates the first weekly gain in three as softer inflation numbers from the biggest customers, namely China, drag the quote from a fortnight-old falling resistance line, around the 0.6700 round figure. The pullback move also retreats as the RSI eases from the overbought territory, which in turn suggests the Aussie pair’s further weakness towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-Jun upside, near 0.6630. However, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since June 01, close to 0.6585-95, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. In a case where the sellers dominate past 0.6585, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the late May swing low of around 0.6458 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the aforementioned two-week-long descending resistance line around 0.6700 guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the 100-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6715. Following that, the late June high of near 0.6720 and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6800 can challenge the risk-barometer pair’s upside before directing the bulls toward the previous monthly high of around 0.6900. Overall, AUDUSD’s previous weekly gain appears a one-off affair unless the US inflation signals keep softening.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold sellers must break $1,895 to show dominance on NFP dayWith a clear U-turn from the 100-EMA, Gold price again hits the key support around $1,895 comprising the 200-EMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late November 2022. That said, bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI join the market’s risk-off mood to offer extra incentives for the XAUUSD bears. With this, the Gold sellers are more likely to take out the $1,895 support, which in turn could direct the prices toward the early March swing high of around $1,858. However, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to May 2023 upside, near $1,845, will precede the yearly low marked in February around $1,805 and the $1,800 round figure to limit the metal’s further downside. On the contrary, a successful daily closing beyond the 100-EMA level of around $1,935 needs support from the downbeat US jobs report to recall the Gold buyers. In that case, February’s peak of around $1,960 and the previous monthly high surrounding $1,983 could check the XAUUSD bulls before allowing them to visit the $2,000 psychological magnet. It’s worth noting that the bullion remains on the front foot once it closes beyond the $2,000 mark, which in turn helps it challenge the tops marked in April and the multi-year high registered in May, respectively near $2,050 and $2,070. Overall, the Gold price is all set to break the key support and recall the bears but the short positions should be taken with care ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD recovery appears elusive below 1.2850GBPUSD defends the last Thursday’s rebound from the 200-EMA to brace for the first weekly gain in three. The Cable pair’s recovery also takes clues from the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggest room for further upside. The same highlights a three-week-old horizontal resistance zone around 1.2760-70 as the short-term key hurdle. Following that, multiple tops marked around 1.2840-50 can act as the last defense of the Pound Sterling bears. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2850, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 25 to June 29 moves, near 1.2930, followed by the 1.3000 psychological magnet, will lure the buyers. On the contrary, a broad support zone comprising levels marked since early May challenges the GBPUSD bear’s entry between 1.2690-70. Should the quote Cable bears manage to conquer the 1.2670 support, the 200-EMA level of around 1.2615 and the 1.2600 round figure will be on their radars. However, a six-week-old ascending support line, close to 1.2580 at the latest, seems a tough nut to crack for the Pound Sterling sellers, a break of which will give back powers to them. Overall, GBPUSD remains firmer but the room towards the north appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Falling wedge highlights EURUSD as markets await FOMC MinutesEURUSD pares weekly losses within a fortnight-long falling wedge bullish chart formation ahead of Fed Minutes. The major currency pair’s rebound appears more interesting as it stays beyond the 200-EMA amid a steady RSI (14) line, suggesting further upside. However, the Euro bulls need to carve out the 1.0920 hurdle to confirm the bullish pattern pointing towards the theoretical target of 1.1100. However, the late June high of around 1.1010 and the yearly peak of around 1.1095 may act as an intermediate halt during the anticipated rise. Meanwhile, a downside break of the 200-EMA, around 1.0865 at the latest, will direct the EURUSD bears toward confronting the 1.0835-30 support confluence comprising the stated wedge’s bottom line and an ascending trend line from late May. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of 1.0830 will make the Euro pair vulnerable to testing the early June swing high of around 1.0780. Additionally, the quote’s weakness past 1.0780 could direct it to the previous monthly low of near 1.0660. Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely preparing for a bullish move but the upside needs to cross the 1.0920 resistance and gain support from the dovish Fed Minutes to convince the buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD run-up hinges on 0.6700 break, market’s confidence in RBAThe odds of witnessing further AUDUSD upside appear dicey as a convergence of the 21-EMA and 50-EMA, around the 0.6700 round figure, challenges the bulls, together with the RBA’s inability to defend the hawkish bias. However, a three-month-old ascending support line, close to 0.6600 at the latest, limits the Aussie pair’s downside. Even if the quote drops below 0.6600, the late May swing high of around 0.6560 will test the bears before directing them to the yearly low marked in May around 0.6455. It’s worth noting that the MACD signals seem bearish and the RSI (14) isn’t impressive enough to lure the AUDUSD buyers. If at all the RBA offers another hawkish surprise and propels the quote past the 0.6700 hurdle, the aforementioned oscillators and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its February-May downside, near 0.6730, will precede the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6810 to challenge the Aussie buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6810, the previous monthly high of near 0.6900 will act as the last defense of the bears. Overall, AUDUSD is less likely to end up on the bull’s radar unless successfully crossing the 0.6700, as well as backed by the hawkish RBA decision.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls seem tiring, bears need rising wedge confirmationUSDJPY’s U-turn from an eight-month high has significance for the sellers as it reverses from a convergence of the rising wedge bearish chart pattern’s top-line and a 10-month-old horizontal resistance area. Not only that, but the overbought RSI also suggests the end of a bullish reign. The same signals the Yen pair’s pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn, near 142.50. However, the bears need more than that to retake control, which in turn highlights a joint of the 21-EMA and bottom line of the stated wedge, close to 141.90 by the press time. Following that, the 140.00 round figure and March’s peak of 137.90 could become the seller’s favorite. Though, there will be a bumpy road for the Yen pair bears past 137.90 as lows marked in March and in January, respectively near 129.65 and 127.20, will be tough nuts to crack before directing the quote to the rising wedge confirmation’s theoretical target of 130.40 and then to the 130.00 round figure. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair’s run-up beyond the aforementioned immediate resistance confluence, near 145.00-10, could aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 146.70 and then to the late October 2022 peak of around 148.85. Additionally acting as an important upside filter is the 150.00 round figure. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions can keep challenging the Yen pair buyers on their way to the north while targeting the previous yearly top of around 152.00. Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness fresh downside but a clear break of the 141.90 support is a must for sellers to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears have a long road ahead before taking controlEURUSD holds onto the previous week’s U-turn from a five-month-old horizontal resistance while bracing for the second weekly loss, targeting the 50-EMA support of around 1.0850 of late amid a looming bear cross on the MACD. That said, the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought RSI also suggests the Euro pair’s further weakness and hence the pair’s fall past the 50-EMA to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of January-April upside, near 1.0785, can’t be ruled out. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, close to 1.0715-10, appears a tough nut to crack for the sellers. Even if the quote manages to break the 1.0710 support confluence, an upward-sloping support line from January, surrounding 1.0670, will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears. It should be noted, however, that the EURUSD pair’s recovery from the 50-EMA support will be difficult unless crossing the multi-month-old horizontal resistance area around 1.0990. Also acting as the short-term upside hurdle is the 1.1000 psychological magnet. Following that, the yearly high marked in April near 1.1095 holds the key to the major currency pair’s rally toward the March 2022 peak of 1.1185. Overall, the EURUSD is likely to witness further downside but the road towards the south won’t be smooth.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold sellers are ready to break $1,900 but road to the south is Gold stays on the way to post the third consecutive weekly loss even as the one-month-old falling trend line prod XAUUSD sellers around $1,900 of late. Also challenging the quote’s further downside is the nearly oversold RSI (14) line. However, the bullion’s sustained trading beneath the fortnight-long falling trend line and the 200-SMA, respectively near $1,918 and $1,956, joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the sellers hopeful of witnessing further downside. In a case where the quote crosses these hurdles, the monthly top will join the late May’s swing high, around $1,983-85, to act as the last defense of the bears. Meanwhile, the Gold seller’s dominance past the $1,900 round figure will need validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its June 09-23 moves, near $1,898. Following that, the 78.6% and 100% FE, close to $1,887 and $1,873, should be quick to lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth observing that the precious metal’s weakness past $1,873 will have the early March high of $1,856 as an intermediate halt before dragging prices toward the yearly low marked in February around $,804. Overall, Gold price is likely to remain bearish but the south run is less likely to be smooth.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls have tough time regaining control on Australia inflAUDUSD remains on the back foot at the three-week low after posting the biggest weekly loss since August 2022 on Australia inflation day, breaking convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of its late May to early June run-up on downbeat Aussise Monthly CPI. Having breached the stated key support, the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements, respectively near 0.6625 and 0.6550, act as the final defense of the bulls before directing the downside towards the year-to-date (YTD) low marked in May around 0.6460. On the contrary, the support-turned-resistance confluence around 0.6670, comprising the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement, guards the quote’s immediate upside ahead of an eight-day-long falling resistance line surrounding 0.6715. Following that, the 100-SMA level of around 0.6750 will restrict the AUDUSD pair’s further upside. Should the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6750, a broad resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since May 10, near 0.6805-15, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD has more downside room as Canada inflation loomsUSDCAD remains depressed at the year-to-date levels ahead of Canada inflation and US Durable Goods Orders. It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair bears have little fundamental, as well as technical support unless witnessing a corrective bounce. That said, the oversold RSI appears the first catalyst suggesting a rebound in the pair price. With this, a one-month-old falling trend line, around 1.3165 by the press time, precedes the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its August-October 2022 upside, near 1.3210, to restrict the short-term upside of the pair. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.3210, the previous support line stretched from November 2022, close to 1.3350, and the piercing of the 50-EMA to the 200-EMA from above near 1.3400, will act as the last defense of the bears. On the contrary, strong Canada inflation and the downbeat US data may allow the USDCAD bears to keep the reins despite an oversold RSI. The same highlights the 1.3000 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2990 as the next targets for the Loonie pair bears. Should the pair sellers keep dominating past 1.2990, the September 2022 bottom of near 1.2950 will challenge the sellers before directing the pair towards the late 2022 trough close to 1.2725. Overall, the USDCAD bears are likely to stay in the driver’s seat even if a short-term bounce is very much likely.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD is still not for the bearsDespite posting the first weekly loss in four, the GBPUSD pair stays beyond the key supports. Not only that but the RSI (14) also retreats from overbought conditions and hence the fears of a pullback are off the table. That said, the MACD signals are bullish, which in turn backs the buyers to renew the upside momentum. That said, the latest peak, also the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of March-May moves, near 1.2850, appears the immediate target for Cable buyers. Following that, the lows marked during March 2022 join the 78.6% FE to highlight the 1.3000 as a strong resistance to watch. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.3000, the late 2021 bottom of around 1.3160 will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, the previous monthly high of near 1.2680 acts as immediate support for the intraday sellers of the GBPUSD pair to watch. Following that, an ascending support line from early March, close to 1.2510, immediately followed by the 1.2500 round figure, will be important hurdles for the bears to conquer to retain control. It’s worth observing that the 100-DMA level of around 1.2350 and the previous monthly low surrounding 1.2300 act as the last battle points for the Cable buyers before relinquishing control.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold Price gradually declines towards $1,900Gold Price breaks a month-old bearish channel towards the south and suggests further downside past the latest three-month low surrounding $1,920. However, the oversold RSI conditions keep offering intermediate bounces as the bullion drops towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 15 to June 16 moves, near $1,907. Following that, the $1,900 round figure may test the XAUUSD bears before highlighting the 78.6% FE level of around $1,890. In a case where the precious metal remains weak past $1,890, the June 2022 peak of near $1,880 and early March 2023 high close to $1,858 will act as the last stops for the bulls to leave the throne and give control to the bears. On the contrary, the bottom line of the stated bearish channel, close to $1,925 at the latest, can escalate the corrective bounce toward the $1,940 hurdle. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and a three-week-old descending trend line, near $1,960, appears a tough nut to crack for the Gold buyers afterward. Even if they manage to cross the $1,960 resistance, the top line of the aforementioned falling trend channel, close to $1,970, will be the final battle before welcoming the bulls. Overall, the Gold price is likely to decline further but the downside appears slow and steady.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD stays on bull’s list despite pre-BoE retreatGBPUSD dropped in the last three consecutive days and is on the way to posting the first weekly loss in four as the Cable traders prepare for the Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate Decision, despite the latest rebound. Even so, the Pound Sterling remains beyond the 50-SMA and a three-week-old rising support line, respectively near 1.2690 and 1.2655 at the latest. Even if the quote breaks these immediate supports, the monthly swing high of near 1.2540 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2520 can act as the last defenses. It should be noted that the RSI is below 50.0 and suggest bottom-picking while the strong UK inflation also increases the hawkish hopes from the BoE. In that case, the weekly resistance line of near 1.2770 and the latest multi-month high marked the last week around 1.2850 will be in the spotlight. However, an upward-sloping trend line from mid-April, close to 1.2870 at the latest, will challenge the GBPUSD bulls afterward. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2870, multiple hurdles near 1.2970 and the 1.3000 threshold may test the upside momentum before directing the Pound Sterling prices toward the April 2022 peak of near 1.3150. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to grind higher unless the BoE disappoints markets.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls are still in the game despite retreatEURUSD pares the biggest weekly gain since early January ever since it reversed from the monthly high on Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair prints the first weekly loss in three as Fed Chair Powell’s testimony looms. However, a golden cross on the moving average, that is a condition where 50-SMA pierces the 200-SMA from below, joins the quote’s sustained trading beyond a fortnight-old rising support line to keep the buyers hopeful. Hence, the immediate trend line support, close to 1.0875 at the latest, precedes the 50-SMA of near 1.0840 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.0820 to act as the final defense of the Euro buyers. Also acting as the downside filter is the early-month peak of around 1.0775, a break of which can quickly drag the pair to the previous monthly low of 1.0635. Meanwhile, the EURUSD recovery needs to remain successfully high past the two-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding 1.0900-910. In that case, the weekly high of 1.0970 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet can challenge the bulls. Following that, the double tops marked in late April and early May, just below the 1.1100 round figure, will be crucial for the buyers to cross to confirm their ruling. Overall, the EURUSD appears slipping off the bull’s radar but the bears need validation from technicals, as well as from Fed’s Powell, to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
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