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EURUSD sellers need to conquer 1.0670 to retake controlEURUSD fades bounce off the 10-week-old ascending support line as the weekly resistance line and the 200-SMA challenge buyers. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI (14). As a result, the quote is likely to return to the bear’s table after a four-month absence. That said, a downside break of the stated support line, close to 1.0670, could act as a trigger for the downside targeting the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0480. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s November late November 2022 to early February peak, respectively near 1.0570 and 1.0450, could act as extra downside filters to watch before targeting the late November swing low of 1.0290. Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 200-SMA, around 1.0765 at the latest. Following that, the EURUSD pair’s run-up towards 1.0800 and then to 1.0930 can’t be ruled. In a case where the prices remain firmer past 1.0930, the 1.1000 psychological magnet and the monthly high of 1.1033 should gain the market’s attention. It should be observed that the rally beyond 1.1033 enables bulls to aim for a March 2022 peak of 1.1185. To sum up, EURUSD buyers appear running out of steam but the bears must conquer the multi-day-old support line to return to the driver’s seat.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold sellers need confirmation from $1,860 to keep controlGold bears remain unconvinced as they retreat from the key support, despite pulling back the metal from a multi-month high the last month. While the downbeat RSI conditions challenge the latest bearish momentum, MACD seems to help XAUUSD sellers as they try to break the 11-week-old support line near $1,860. It should be observed that the 50-DMA level surrounding $1,848 acts as an extra filter towards the south before directing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the bullion’s run-up from September 2022 to February 2023, near $1,827. In a case where the commodity price remains bearish past $1,827, the $1,800 round figure and the 200-DMA level near $1,776 will be in the spotlight. Alternatively, recovery moves could aim for the $1,900 threshold to convince the Gold buyers. Following that, $1,930 and $1,945 may probe the upside momentum ahead of aiming for the latest swing top near $1,960. Should the precious metal remains firmer past $1,960, March 2022 peak surrounding $1,966 may act as a validation point for the rally targeting the $2,000 psychological magnet. Overall, the Gold price is on the cusp of turning bearish but the sellers should wait for a clear downside break of $1,860.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD has limited downside room on RBA dayHaving breached a one-month-old bullish channel the last Friday, AUDUSD portrays a recovery that recently crossed the 200-SMA and a horizontal support area comprising multiple levels marked since early December 2022, respectively near 0.6900 and 0.6880-70. Also adding to the downside filter is a seven-week-long ascending trend line, close to 0.6840 at the latest, a break of which won’t hesitate to drag prices toward the previous monthly low surrounding 0.6685. It should be noted that the oversold RSI (14) hints at a corrective bounce even if the MACD supports the bearish momentum. Alternatively, recovery moves may initially aim for the 0.7000 psychological magnet in case of the hawkish RBA announcements, other than the already known 0.25% rate hike. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s lower line, around 0.7080 by the press time, could probe the AUDUSD bulls. In a case where the Aussie pair buyers remain in control past 0.7080, a weekly resistance line near 0.7165 will act as the last defense of the ears bears. To sum up, AUDUSD remains on the bear’s radar on the RBA day but the downside appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Technical Analysis: EURUSD buyers need ECB’s support to keep conEURUSD remains above the top line of a three-month-long bullish after the Fed-inspired volatility. The nearly overbought RSI (14), however, suggests that the bulls are running out of steam of late. That said, the 100.0% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s moves between November 11, 2022, and January 06, 2023, close to 1.1045, appears immediate hurdle for the bulls to cross to keep the reins. Following that, a run-up toward the late March 2022 high near 1.1185 can’t be ruled out. It should be noted that the 1.1100 round figure may offer an intermediate halt during the likely run-up. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s pullback moves remain elusive unless EURUSD remains beyond the stated channel’s top-line, close to 1.0970. Following that, 78.6% and 61.8% FE levels, respectively near 1.0930 and 1.0830 will precede the 21-EMA surrounding 1.0800 to restrict the short-term downside of the pair. Also acting as nearby key support is an upward-sloping trend line from early November 2022, around 1.0780 at the latest. In a case where the pair breaks the stated trend line support, its drop to the aforementioned bullish channel’s lower line and then to January’s low, respectively near 1.0610 and 1.0480, becomes imminent. Though, the bears are less likely to have a smooth road unless breaking the 1.0480 level. To conclude, the EURUSD stays firmer ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) announcements but the upside seems losing momentum and hence a pullback could be witnessed if the ECB disappoints Euro bulls. Even so, the trend reversal is far from sight.
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge confirmation lures Gold bears on Fed dayAfter pleasing buyers for six consecutive weeks, Gold prices are finally on the bear’s radar even after bouncing off $1,900 round figure the previus day. The rising wedge confirmation and bearish MACD signals do favor the metal sellers ahead of the key event. However, the downbeat RSI and a likely dovish rate hike challenge the downside bias. That said, a horizontal area comprising the early month levels surrounding $1,865 appears as the immediate target during the metal’s further declines. Though, the 200-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from late November 2022, respectively near $1,862 and $1,855 could please the metal sellers during the theoretical target surrounding $1,825. Meanwhile, Gold’s recovery remains unconvincing below the stated wedge’s lower line, around $1,928 at the latest. Even so, the monthly high near $1,950 and the bearish formation’s top line, close to $1,960, might challenge the quote’s further advances. Additionally acting as an upside filter is the late March 2022 peak surrounding $1,966. In a case where the bullion stays firmer past $1,966, the odds of witnessing a rally towards the April 2022 high near $1,998 and then to the $2,000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. To sum up, Gold is ready to pare the recent rally but it all depends upon how well the Fed manages to entertain the Dollar bulls.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD stays pressured towards 0.6980-75 support confluenceDespite the latest pause, AUDUSD extends the week-start pullback from a nine-month high as the economic calendar starts spreading key releases. In doing so, the Aussie pair stays inside the monthly bullish channel. That said, the RSI retreat from overbought territory joins the downbeat MACD signals to also tease bears. Even so, a convergence of the stated channel support line and the 100-SMA highlights the 0.6980-75 zone as the key for the bear’s entry. Following that, a seven-week-old horizontal support zone near 0.6880 could challenge the quote’s further downside before placing the bear in the driver’s seat. Meanwhile, multiple highs marked around 0.7130 and the recent peak surrounding 0.7150 could challenge AUDUSD bulls. Also acting as an immediate upside hurdle is the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line, close to 0.7170 at the latest. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.7170, the 0.7200 round figure and May 2022 high surrounding 0.7285 could gain the buyer’s attention. Overall, AUDUSD slips from the bull’s radar but the bears need confirmation before taking control.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD upside appears limited as the key week beginsBe it New Zealand’s quarterly jobs report or China’s return after Lunar New Year (LNY) holidays, not to forget the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting, NZDUSD has an interesting week ahead. However, the bulls appear running out of steam after a four-week winning streak. The reason could be linked to the overbought RSI and multiple attempts to cross the upward-sloping resistance line from early June, close to 0.6525 by the press time. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.6525 hurdle, a nine-month-old horizontal resistance near 0.6570 will be crucial as a break of which opens the door for the north-run towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the April-October downturn, around 0.6700. Alternatively, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio, restricts the immediate downside of the NZDUSD pair around 0.6450. Following that, an ascending support line from early November, close to 0.6390, could act as the last defense for the Kiwi pair buyers. It should be noted that the quote’s weakness past 0.6390 could make it vulnerable to testing the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 200-DMA, respectively near 0.6270 and 0.6190. Overall, NZDUSD has bright opportunities to take entries but it all depends upon fundamental data/events and hence a cautious move is advisable.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eases inside two-month-old bullish channelBetter-than-expected US growth numbers triggered the much-awaited pullback in the EURUSD prices from the eight-month high. The retreat, however, stays inside a two-month-long ascending trend channel, which in turn suggests less incentive for the bears. Even so, the previous weekly low surrounding 1.0765 and December’s peak of 1.0736 could lure short-term sellers. Following that, an upward-sloping support line from early November, close to 1.0730 might probe the further downside. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 1.0730 could make it vulnerable to testing the 1.0610-600 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA and lower line of the stated bullish chart formation. In a case where the pair stays weaker past 1.0600, the bears could have an easy battle to retake control. Meanwhile, EURUSD buyers could drill the aforementioned channel’s top line, around 1.0950 by the press time, during the fresh advances. Following that, the 1.1000 round figure could probe the upside momentum. It’s worth observing that the tops marked during March 2022 around 1.1140 and 1.1185 appear the easy reach for the pair bulls in case of its successful trade beyond 1.1000 psychological magnet. Overall, EURUSD bulls aren’t off the table but are tired enough to trigger a pullback.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold struggles to stay on bull’s radar, $1,917 is the keyGold buyers appear to run out of steam as traders await the key advance US GDP for Q4 2022, following the five-week uptrend. A one-month-old rising wedge formation joins recently sluggish oscillators to tease the metal sellers. However, a clear downside break of the $1,917 support appears necessary to confirm the bearish chart pattern, which signals a theoretical south-run towards the previous monthly low surrounding $1,767. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 200-SMA and upward-sloping trend line from late November, close to $1,846, appears an important stop during the anticipated slump between $1,917 and $1,767. Meanwhile, the stated wedge’s upper line near $1,948 appears immediate hurdle for the Gold buyers to cross to retake control. Following that, a run-up toward the June 2022 peak of around $1,966 becomes imminent while the $2,000 psychological magnet could lure the bulls afterward. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,000, the year 2022 high of $2,070 will be in focus. Overall, gold is likely slipping off the bull’s radar but the bears have a tough task to take entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bears eye 1.3250 strong support on BoC dayUSDCAD sellers hold the reins for the sixth consecutive week so far as traders await the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision on Wednesday. That said, the BoC’s likely 0.25% rate hike is expected to join the bearish MACD signals and favor the pair bears. However, a convergence of an upward-sloping trend line from June 2022 and a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s June-October 2022 upside, near 1.3250, appears a tough nut to crack for the sellers. Adding strength to the stated support is the RSI conditions suggesting a recent weakness in downside momentum. Even if the quote breaks the 1.3250 support, the 200-DMA level surrounding 1.3180 could act as the last defense of the Loonie pair buyers. Alternatively, a surprise disappointment from the BoC, either with or without the rate lifts, could trigger the much-awaited USDCAD rebound. In that case, the 100-DMA and previous support line from September 2022, close to 1.3500-10, will be a strong hurdle to watch for the bull’s entry. Following that, a run-up towards the previous monthly high near 1.3700 can’t be ruled out. It should be observed that the pair’s successful rise beyond the 1.3700 resistance can witness multiple challenges between 1.3810 and 1.3830, a break of which could direct buyers towards the previous yearly top marked in October around 1.3975. To sum up, USDCAD is likely to remain bearish unless the BoC offers any negative surprises. However, the downside room is limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY is ready to refresh multi-month lowEven if the USDJPY pair posted the biggest weekly gains in seven in the last, it remains inside a bearish channel. Additionally keeping the Yen pair sellers hopeful is the quote’s repeated failures to cross the 100-SMA. That said, the quote currently drops towards a one-week-old support line, close to 128.00. However, the May 2022 low will join the lower line of a five-week-old descending trend channel, near 126.35-30, to pose as a tough nut to crack for the bears. In a case where the pair remains bearish past 126.30, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the 120.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, USDJPY can witness short-term buying in case of a successful upside break of the 100-SMA, close to 130.75. Following that, the top line of the stated bearish channel, around 132.50, will be important for the Yen pair buyers to watch. It should be noted that the 200-SMA level surrounding 132.85 and the 133.00 round figure act as additional upside filters before giving control to the bulls. Hence, USDJPY bears are in the driver’s seat even if the 126.35-30 support confluence challenges further downside.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD has bumpy road to north even as bulls keep the reinsA two-month-old ascending trend channel backs the EURUSD pair’s upside bias, despite multiple failures to cross the 1.0880 horizontal hurdle in the last week. That said, the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA restrict immediate downside around 1.0790 and 1.0700 respectively. Following that, the stated bullish channel could be at the test and hence the 1.0575 support will gain major attention. Should the quote drops below 1.0575, a slump toward the monthly low near 1.0480 appear imminent while any further downside won’t hesitate to challenge the lows marked during November. Meanwhile, a successful break of the one-week-old horizontal resistance near 1.0880 isn’t an invitation for the bulls as the top line of the aforementioned channel, close to 1.0910, will act as the last defense of the EURUSD bears. In a case where the pair rises past 1.0910, it could quickly rise to the 1.1000 round figure. It’s worth noting that January 2022 low and the late March 2022 high, respectively around 1.1125 and 1.1185, might probe the pair buyers before giving them full control. Overall, EURUSD stays inside a bullish chart formation and the oscillators are positive too. However, the upside momentum lacks acceptance and hence buyers should remain cautious.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD portrays bullish trend-widening formationEURUSD grinds higher around the seven-month top inside a rising megaphone chart pattern on the daily formation. In addition to the bullish chart pattern, the upbeat RSI and bullish MACD signals also keep buyers hopeful. That said, May 2022’s peak surrounding 1.0786 and 1.0800 are likely immediate targets for the bulls. However, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-September downside, near 1.0835, could challenge the upside momentum afterward. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0835, the stated megaphone’s top line, close to 1.0960, should lure the optimists. On the contrary, the one-month-old descending previous resistance line around 1.0700 restricts the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, a pullback towards the aforementioned bullish pattern’s support line, adjacent to 1.0550, will be important to watch for sellers. Should the quote drops below 1.0550, a downward trajectory towards the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA, respectively near 1.0460 and 1.0300, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 1.0300 could welcome bears with open hands. To sum up, EURUSD is likely to remain firmer but the road to the north is bumpy and long.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bears brace for mid-1.3200s with eyes on BOC’s MacklemUSDCAD remains depressed at the lowest levels in six weeks after breaking the 100-DMA as broad US Dollar weakness joins firmer oil prices. Even so, the bears are waiting for the Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Tiff Macklem’s speech for further directions. That said, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of June-October upside, near 1.3250, appears the immediate support ahead of an upward-sloping support line from June 2022, close to the 1.3200 round figure. Should the Loonie pair drops below 1.3200, the 200-DMA support level of 1.3150 could act as the last defense of the pair buyers. On the contrary, the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3480 challenges the short-term recovery moves of the USDCAD pair. Following that, a run-up towards the previous monthly peak of around 1.3700 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting, however, that multiple resistances around 1.3800 and 1.3850 could challenge the pair buyers past 1.3700, a break of which could propel prices towards the year 2022 top of 1.3977. Overall, USDCAD is well-set on the bear’s radar despite the latest hesitance in refreshing the multi-day low.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls are all set to visit the 0.7000 thresholdOn Friday, AUDUSD offered the first daily closing beyond the 200-DMA, as well as a downward-sloping trend line from June, despite an upbeat US jobs report. The upside momentum recently crossed multiple hurdles surrounding the 0.6900 threshold, as well as the tops marked during early September 2022 near 0.6915, which in turn suggests the pair’s run-up towards the 0.7000 psychological magnet. In a case where the Aussie bulls keep the reins past 0.7000, a run-up towards the August 2022 peak around 0.7135 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, sellers need to wait for a clear downside break of the resistance-turned-support line from June, close to 0.6830 at the latest. Even so, a two-month-old ascending support line, near 0.6730, could probe the AUDUSD bears before giving them control. In a case where the Aussie pair remains weak past 0.6730, the lows marked during December and the mid-November, close to 0.6630 and 0.6585 in that order, should lure the sellers. Overall, AUDUSD is ready for further upside towards the 0.7000 psychological magnet.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD is likely to decline further as 2023 beginsUSDCAD holds onto the late December downside break of the seven-week-old ascending support line, even if the 200-SMA challenges the bears. That said, the downbeat MACD and RSI conditions also favor the Loonie pair sellers as they attack the key SMA surrounding 1.3520. Additionally challenging the bears is the double bottoms marked around 1.3485-80 during the last week, a break of which could quickly drag prices towards the previous monthly low of around 1.3380. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.3380, November’s low of 1.3225 will gain the market’s attention. On the contrary, recovery moves need to cross the previous support line from early November, close to 1.3645-50 by the press time, to convince buyers. Even so, the double tops marked the last month at around 1.3700 will be a crucial challenge for the USDCAD optimists. It's worth noting that the pair’s run-up beyond 1.3700 won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly high marked in October around 1.3980. However, November’s peak near 1.3810 could act as a buffer during the anticipated run-up. Overall, USDCAD is likely to remain weak but the 200-SMA can challenge short-term sellers amid the holiday mood.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears lurk behind 1.2000 to retake controlGBPUSD braces for the first weekly gain in four as 200-EMA and a two-week-old support line defends Cable buyers. However, multiple failures to cross a one-month-long horizontal hurdle keep the sellers hopeful of breaking the 1.2000 key support. Following that, not only the ball could drop on the bear’s court for the fourth consecutive weekly fall but the pair might also portray a quick slump to the mid-1.1700s. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.1700s, the early November swing high surrounding 1.1550 and November 09 low near 1.1355 could gain the market’s attention. Alternatively, the aforementioned fortnight-long horizontal resistance area near 1.2130 restricts the short-term GBPUSD upside. Should the quote Cable pair crosses the nearby hurdles, the early-month peak of 1.2345 and the monthly high near 1.2445 will be on the bull’s radar while aiming for a positive end to the volatile 2022. Overall, GBPUSD is ready to return to the bear’s desk after a brief absence.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays on bull’s radar despite recent pullbackEURUSD retreats inside a six-week-old bullish channel as the holiday season allows buyers to take a breather. The pullback move, however, stays unimportant beyond the 1.0590-80 support zone comprising the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping trend line stretched from December 01. Even so, the stated channel’s support line, close to 1.0500 by the press time, will challenge the pair’s further downside. It’s worth noting that the 200-SMA acts as the last defense for bulls around 1.0450. On the flip side, the 1.0700 round figure acts as an immediate hurdle for the EURUSD buyers to crack before aiming for the aforementioned channel’s top line, around 1.0760 at the latest. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0760, May’s peak of around 1.0785 and the 1.0800 round figure may act as the buffers before highlighting the late April swing high surrounding 1.0985 and the 1.1000 threshold. Overall, EURUSD appears losing upside momentum, as per the RSI and MACD signals, but the bears are far from winning the battle.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY recovery remains doubtfulUSDJPY consolidates the biggest daily loss in 14 years while positing a gradual rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its May-October upside. The recovery moves also gain support from the RSI’s bounce off the oversold territory. However, the early month low near 133.65 challenges the immediate upside, a break of which could validation the Yen pair’s further advances towards a convergence of the 200-DMA and a two-month-old descending resistance line, close to 136.00. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 136.00, the previous support line from, close to 138.80-85, will be crucial as a break of which could welcome bulls. Alternatively, a daily closing below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 131.80 precedes the August 2022 low near 130.40 to challenge the USDJPY bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the 130.00 round figure. Should the pair sellers keep the reins past 130.00, multiple hurdles near 128.30 could offer intermediate halts during the quote’s anticipated south run towards May’s low of 126.35. Overall, USDJPY bears are taking a breather and still hold control despite the latest corrective bounce.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold has little room to the north as traders brace for holiday sGold retreats from a weekly horizontal resistance that’s near a top-end of an upward-sloping trend channel stretched since mid-November. Not only the stated channel’s upper line but RSI pullback and looming bear cross on the MACD also suggest that the gold buyers are running out of steam. As a result, a pullback towards the stated bullish channel’s support, near $1,785, appears imminent. However, a lack of market participation due to the year-end holidays may restrict the metal’s moves around then, if not then the 200-SMA near $1,767 could challenge the bears. Alternatively, the aforementioned horizontal hurdle near $1,823-25 limits the precious metal’s immediate upside before highlighting the five-week-old rising channel’s top line, close to $1,837. In a case where gold buyers manage to cross the $1,837 resistance, June’s high near $1,880 could act as a tough nut to crack for the bulls targeting the $1,900 threshold. Overall, gold buyers appear to run out of steam but the downside also seems bumpy and the holiday season could play its role too. Hence, the metal may grind higher as traders prepare for the one last shot of important US data.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD lures bears even as 200-SMA probes immediate downsideA clear break of the monthly bullish channel welcomed AUDUSD buyers the last week despite the quote’s hesitance to break the 200-SMA. That said, bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias suggesting an imminent fall to the November 08 swing high surrounding 0.6550, given the successful break of the 200-SMA level of 0.6660. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the Aussie pair’s November-December upside, around 0.6410, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, any recoveries need to defy the channel breakdown by successful trading above the 0.6725-30 support-turned-resistance to recall the AUDUSD buyers. Even so, the 0.6800 hurdle comprising multiple levels marked since mid-November could test the bulls before giving them control. In a case where AUDUSD remains firmer past 0.6800, the December-start peak near 0.6850 could return to the chart. However, a convergence of the stated channel’s upper line and the monthly high, close to 0.6890, closely followed by the 0.6900 round figure, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers afterward. Overall, AUDUSD sellers are in the driver’s seat and await a clear break of the 200-SMA to dominate further.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears need to crack $1,770 hurdle to retake controlGold bears struggle inside a one-month-old rising wedge bearish formation, recently bouncing off the support line. The 21-DMA adds strength to the confirmation point near $1,770, which is the lower line of the pattern. A clear break of the same could trigger a slump toward nearly four-month-long horizontal support surrounding $1,730. Following that, the $1,700 threshold and the theoretical target of the rising wedge, close to $1,650, will gain the market’s attention. Meanwhile, the $1,800 round figure and the upper line of the stated wedge, around $1,818, could lure gold buyers. In a case where the metal crosses the $1,818 resistance, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the mid-June to late September downside, near $1,821, could challenge the bulls before giving them the throne. In those conditions, $1,858 and $1,880 may act as buffers during the north run that ultimately aims for the $1,900 round figure. Overall, Gold price loses upside momentum but the sellers have a tough task to retake power.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD juggles near six-month high ahead of Fed meetingDownbeat US inflation data propelled the EURUSD pair to the highest levels since June on Tuesday. However, the upper line of the one-month-old bullish channel, currently around 1.0670, probed the pair buyers at the multi-day top. Also challenging the Euro bulls is the overbought RSI conditions suggesting a pullback in prices. As a result, an upward-sloping trend line from the December start, close to 1.0520 at the latest, can’t be ruled out. However, 100-SMA and the bottom of the stated channel, respectively near 1.0450 and 1.0400, could challenge the pair sellers afterward. In a case where the Fed sounds too hawkish and the pair defies the bullish chart pattern, a slump towards the 200-SMA and then to the late October swing high, near 1.0275 and 1.0090 in that order, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, successful trading beyond the immediate hurdle, namely the aforementioned channel’s top near 1.0670, could get another chance to retreat near the 1.0700 threshold due to the consistently overbought RSI. In a case where EURUSD bulls ignore RSI and cross the 1.0700 resistance, May’s peak near 1.0785 and March’s low surrounding 1.0805 could act as the last defenses of the pair sellers. That said, the pair’s sustained trading beyond 1.0800 may target a late April high near 1.0935 and the 1.1000 round figure. Overall, EURUSD bulls are likely to occupy the driver’s seat unless the US Federal Reserve appears too hawkish, which is less anticipated.
by MTradingGlobal