Get started

Fibonacci

Waiting for Premium Pullback, Buy the Bullish Continuation1. Market Context & Structure (H1) • After a prolonged consolidation phase, Gold has delivered a clear bullish BOS, breaking above the previous highs around 4,24x–4,25x. • The current impulse originated from the EQL → OB 4,209 zone, confirming active buying flow and a shift into a short-term uptrend. • Price is now trading above the Premium Zone at 4,265; any pullback into this area is considered a technical retracement within the bullish trend. 2. Key Technical Zones • Main OB – Demand: around 4,209 → Origin of the current bullish leg; a strong BUY zone if price holds. • Premium Pullback Buy Zone: 4,265 – 4,270 → First discount after BOS; priority area to look for BUY setups. • Target 1 – Reaction Zone: 4,322 – 4,323 → Fibo 0.5–0.618 confluence; potential profit-taking / short-term sell reaction. • Target 2 – Extension Zone: 4,366 – 4,367 (Fibo 1.272) → Bullish extension target and potential liquidity sweep zone. 3. Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend BUY at Premium Zone • Wait for pullback to 4,265 – 4,270. • Look for confirmation: long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1. • Execute BUY with trend continuation. TP1: 4,322 TP2: 4,366 • Partial TP at TP1, move SL to BE, hold remainder to TP2. • Invalidation: H1 close below 4,258 → pause BUY scenario. Scenario 2 – Deep BUY at OB 4,209 • If price breaks Premium decisively and drops to OB 4,209, do not catch a falling knife. • Wait for strong bullish reaction and reversal structure (new HL, bullish ChoCH). TP: 4,265 → 4,322 4. Risk Management Notes • Avoid FOMO BUY at highs after strong bullish candles. • SELL setups are only short-term reactions, not the main bias. • Bias remains BUY on dips as long as H1 holds above 4,209.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
4
Hindalco: Terminal Wedge, Reversal Risk HighStructural Context Initially, I considered the decline from 864 toward 770 as a standard ABC correction. But the drop from Wave 2 was far too sharp and drove RSI into deep oversold territory — behaviour that aligns better with impulsive price action. Because of this, the move is treated as a developing 1-2-3 rather than a corrective ABC. This adjustment also aligns perfectly with the broader structure: a completed Wave 3 at 770.15, followed by a three-wave recovery into Wave 4. Wave 4 Completion – Ending Diagonal + Fibonacci Symmetry Wave C of the larger Wave 4(ABC Flat) shows a clean ending-diagonal wedge, and Wave (v) within it reached the 1.618 extension of Wave (i) measured from Wave (iv). This Fibonacci precision adds strong weight to the interpretation that Wave 4 has completed at 833.50. With this level established, the minor bounce into Wave (ii) now acts as the corrective pullback before the expected third wave down. Invalidation remains at the 1.618 level around 833.50 — any move above that would negate the immediate bearish view. Path Ahead – Toward Wave 5 As long as 833.50 holds, the expectation is for a five-wave decline toward the previous structural support near 770.15, completing Wave 5. Wave (iii) should ideally accelerate, and momentum confirmation will be key as price moves into the mid-780s. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:HINDALCOShort
by WaveXplorer
Positional or Long Term Opportunity in NLC IndiaGo Long @ 244.9 for Targets of 288.1 and 298.9 with SL 234.1 Reasons to go Long : 1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level. 2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Hammer Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level. 3. Also the stock gave a Trendline breakout (marked with a red color). 4. Also there is a strong Trendline (marked with green color) which supports the stock.
NSE:NLCINDIALong
by Nimish_Ghagare
Bullish BOS Breakout, Watching Reaction at OB & Sell-Side Liquid◆ Market Context (H2) Price has just broken a bullish BOS and closed above the previous equilibrium zone, confirming buyers are in control. After the strong impulse, the market has entered a rebalancing phase, where a short-term pullback often appears before continuation or a liquidity sweep to the upside. ◆ SMC & Price Action • Bullish structure confirmed by consecutive BOS following the prior CHoCH. • The 4,274 OB is the nearest demand zone where buyers previously reacted. • Above lies sell-side liquidity at 4,355, with a further extension toward 4,408 — a potential distribution or short-term reversal zone. • Price is currently in premium, so patience is preferred over FOMO entries. ◆ Key Levels • Resistance / Liquidity: 4,355 → 4,408 • Support OB: 4,274 • Deeper OB: 4,217 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary) • Wait for a pullback into OB 4,274 • Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction appears • Targets: ▪ 4,319 ▪ 4,355 (Liquidity Sell) ▪ Extension: 4,408 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above 4,319 with bullish closes • Monitor reactions at 4,355 for partial profit-taking • Avoid chasing price in premium zones ➤ Scenario C – Deeper Pullback • If OB 4,274 is clearly broken • Price may retrace to OB 4,217 for re-accumulation • Only consider BUY after a fresh bullish CHoCH ◆ Summary • Primary trend: Bullish (BOS confirmed) • Priority: Buy pullbacks, avoid FOMO • Key decision zone: OB 4,274 • Upside liquidity targets: 4,355 → 4,408
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAUUSD Bullish Confirmation Buy the PullbackGold has delivered a clear bullish structure break and is currently holding firmly inside an ascending trend channel. The recent impulsive move confirms strong participation from smart money, while the current price action reflects a healthy pullback–continuation phase, not a reversal. From a fundamental perspective, dovish Fed expectations and a lower-rate outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY setups. 📊 Market Structure & MMF Flow (H1) • Bullish structure is confirmed with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. • Price is retracing toward demand zones to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. • No bearish structure break has appeared so far. 💎 Key Levels – MMF Style • Primary Buy Zone: 4,268 • Deep Buy Zone: 4,238 – 4,219 • Upside Targets: TP1 4,305 → TP2 4,324 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario – Trend BUY Alternative Scenario – Continuation above 4,305 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias Bullish above 4,238 Invalidation below 4,219
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Market Accumulating Liquidity, Two Clear Scenarios for TodayGold continues to move within a bullish structure, but short-term order flow shows distribution inside the OBS Sell Zone 4,236. Price is currently trapped in the middle of the range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity sweep before choosing its next direction. Fundamentally, expectations of a dovish Fed still support gold on deeper pullbacks — but intraday, the two MMF flow setups are extremely clear. 📊 Technical Outlook (MMF Flow – H1) 🔸 OBS SELL ZONE: 4,236 • Strong reaction on first touch → supply confirmed • Downtrend line converges here → high probability of liquidity traps 🔸 OBS BUY ZONE: 4,197 • First key demand zone below • Aligned with channel support → likely bullish reaction 🔸 Sell-side Liquidity: 4,181 • If price sweeps this area → ideal reversal point 🔸 Premium SELL Reaction Zone: 4,284 • If gold expands upward → priority area for distribution / short-term correction 🎯 Two Main MMF Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL reaction → BUY trend continuation • Price retests 4,236 • Bearish reaction → pushes price toward 4,197 – 4,181 • Reversal signal appears • Targets: 4,236 → 4,284 ➡️ This is the cleanest play following today’s liquidity flow. Scenario 2 – Direct bullish expansion • Price breaks and closes above 4,236 • Retests this zone • Expands toward 4,284 ➡️ Requires strong bullish momentum — no confirmation, no trade. 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias • Bullish as long as price holds above 4,197 • Neutral → Bearish only if price closes below 4,181 (failed liquidity sweep) The market is preparing for a breakout — let liquidity do its job before choosing direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
ChumTrades XAUUSD intraday outlookXAUUSD – Intraday Plan (M15) Market Context Price is currently ranging in a very tight consolidation. Momentum is weak → market favors intraday range trading rather than chasing breakouts. Short-term structure remains intact; focus on price reaction at key levels. Daily Strategy Main approach: trade the range, trade the reaction. Buy at predefined support / Fibonacci zones, sell at clear resistance. If a breakout occurs, wait for a retest before following the move. Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Key Buy Zones 4246 – 4244 (Fibo 0.5) 4236 – 4233 (Fibo 0.618) 4210 – 4208 (deep support reaction) ❌ Bullish structure invalidation: M15 close below 4200 Key Sell Zones 4300 – 4305 (psychological resistance) 4310 (Fibonacci extension – reaction sell) Special Notes (Friday) No major economic news today, but it is Friday – end of week. Price action may become choppy and unpredictable, especially during the US session (a pattern seen in recent weeks). Risk management is key: Focus on short-term trades Take profits early Avoid holding positions over the weekend Good luck Bro !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
1
XAU/USD : Buy at OB 4,19x – 4,18x, Targets 4,24x → 4,26x 1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is retracing back into bullish structure after breaking a series of bullish ChoCH and BoS, forming a new high around 4,24x. The current decline is only a technical pullback because: • Price is returning to the Buy Order Block at 4,188 – 4,196. • This zone aligns with trendline support and the demand base that fueled the previous impulse. • The macro structure remains bullish as long as H1 does not close below 4,188. → This is a clear pullback–continuation setup: wait for price to retrace into discount, then target higher zones. 2. Key Levels 🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): 4,188 – 4,196 • Bullish OB • Trendline support • Priority BUY area 🔹 Resistance 1: 4,217 – 4,218 • Multiple rejections • Breakout → next bullish leg 🔹 Resistance 2: 4,238 – 4,239 • 0.5–0.618 Fibo confluence • Possible mild sell reaction 🔹 Liquidity & Targets: • 4,259 → Fibo 1.272 • 4,278 → Fibo 1.618 + resting liquidity 3. Trading Plan 🔸 Main Scenario – BUY at OB 4,19x – 4,18x Conditions: • Price taps 4,188 – 4,196 • Reversal signals: pin bar, engulfing, or bullish ChoCH Targets: TP1: 4,217 TP2: 4,238 TP3: 4,259 TP4: 4,278 Invalidation: • H1 close below 4,185 → stay out. 🔸 Alternate Scenario – Price goes up without retesting OB If price holds above 4,210 and breaks 4,217: • Wait for retest of 4,217 • BUY continuation toward 4,238 → 4,259 → 4,278 Market Outlook Gold is accumulating and building a base for a stronger breakout. The OB Buy zone 4,19x – 4,18x remains the highest-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis 📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows: • Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term. • However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept. • Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below. → The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move. 💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch 🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone • 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times. • 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS. • Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards. 🔸 Support / Buy Zone • 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated. • If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting. 🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170 Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up. BUY Conditions: • Price touches 4,184–4,170 • Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH • Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear Targets: • TP1: 4,190 • TP2: 4,200 • TP3: 4,215 • TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell) Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up: SELL Conditions: • Retest 4,243–4,244 • Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH • Must not close H1 above 4,250 Targets: • TP1: 4,235 • TP2: 4,225 • TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170 Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout. 3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261 Only activate when: • Price bounces strongly from OB Buy • Clear breakout of 4,243 zone • Structure forms HL → HH At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243. • SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline. Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1) 1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile) Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves No clean breakout above 4,218 yet 2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy” Important zones: 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation 4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area) 4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward. 🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep ▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability) Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181. 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181 🔹 SL: below 4,172 🔹 TP1: 4,218 🔹 TP2: 4,242 Why this works: Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion ▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest) If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend. 🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220 🔹 TP: 4,242 🧭 MMF Bias Today Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits Buy Zone – Wait! Here's What to Confirm…◆ Market Context On the M30 chart, the market shows a shift from a downtrend to a short-term recovery phase after forming BOS and CHoCH at the nearest bottoms. However, the upward movement has hit a prolonged downtrend line and reacted sharply downward again. This indicates that the trendline and upper resistance zone still maintain significant selling pressure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After breaking the upward BOS, the price made a strong push to 4,219 but couldn't sustain it, forming a downward reaction at the trendline and resistance zone. • The Resistance Zone 4,211 – 4,219 has been confirmed by multiple price rejections. • Currently, the market is adjusting to the Buy Support – Fibo – iFvG zone around 4,192. This is the first short-term support zone to test the buying momentum. • If this zone doesn't hold, the price may return to the deeper liquidity zone 4,173 – where a large number of buyers' stop-losses are concentrated. ◆ Important Price Zones Resistance (selling zone): • 4,211 • 4,219 Short-term support: • 4,192 (Fibo + iFvG + small OB) Deeper support – Liquidity Pool: • 4,173 (target zone if 4,192 support is broken) ◆ Main Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1: Price holds at 4,192 • Wait for reversal signals at the support zone • Recovery targets: ▪ 4,211 ▪ 4,219 • If 4,219 is broken → the price may extend to a higher zone, but there is currently no confirmation signal for this. ➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks 4,192 support • Short-term upward structure invalidated • Prioritize following the downtrend • Next targets: ▪ 4,173 ▪ monitor liquidity reactions in this area to identify subsequent buying opportunities ➤ Scenario 3: Retrace to resistance for further selling If the price retraces to 4,211 – 4,219 but doesn't break: • Monitor rejection patterns • This is a suitable zone to continue the downward movement following the main flow ◆ Summary • The main trend still leans towards a decline, with the downtrend line in control. • The 4,192 zone is a crucial reaction point to determine if buyers still have enough strength. • If 4,192 is lost, the market is likely to seek liquidity at 4,173. • If 4,192 holds, the price may recover to 4,211 – 4,219 before determining the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
Chumtrades XAUUSD Outlook – Will Gold Continue Sideways Today?🎯 XAUUSD – Sideway Day Before FOMC 1️⃣ Market Context H4 is clearly moving sideways: small candle bodies – long upper and lower wicks, indicating hesitation before FOMC (occurring the night of the 11th into the morning of the 12th). The price is currently locked in the H4 range: Lower boundary: 4176–4180 Upper boundary: 4215–4218 Today I am observing the price moving sideways within this range. 2️⃣ Intraday Trading Strategy 🟢 BUY low – priority Watch for reactions at the zones: 4180 – 4182 4174 – 4178 (bottom of H4 range) 4155 – 415X (most attractive BUY zone) → Short target: 4200 – 4210 → SL below support zone by 100 pips 🔻 SELL high – priority Watch for reactions at: 4212 – 4218 (top of H4 range) 4230 – 4233 (strong resistance – most attractive sell zone) → Target: return to mid-range 4190 → bottom of range 417X → SL above resistance zone by 100 pips The nearest zone is 4202-4198, this entry can be considered 3️⃣ Expected Movement Today → Sideways within H4 box 4176 ⇆ 4212. Just trade according to the range: buy low – sell high. Expected daily fluctuation range is 50-55 prices. A true breakout may occur tomorrow or the day after, as the market prepares for this week's FOMC. 📌 Note Prioritize candle reactions at price zones. Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. Divide positions smaller than usual as the market tightens before major news. Find this analysis useful? Press Follow to update the plan daily before trading hours and discuss more effective strategies! Wishing everyone a day of total victory in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
3
XAU/USD hits OB Sell zone; watch for trend confirmation.◆ Market Context The market is in a phase of forming lower highs after a strong drop from the 4,248 area. The most recent volatility shows the price creating a bearish CHoCH, then confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) — indicating a shift from equilibrium to a bearish bias. Each recent rally has stopped below previous highs, proving that selling pressure continues to dominate. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After BOS, the market often returns to test the Order Block (OB) area before continuing the main trend. • On the chart, the OB Sell is located at 4,215 – 4,217, which is the point of the last push candle before the strong drop. • This area also coincides with the short-term resistance zone and previous price behavior shows multiple reactions from sellers. If the price approaches the OB Sell without forming a reversal structure, the likelihood of continuing to decline is high. Liquidity above: • 4,230 • 4,241 • 4,248 → These are areas that may be swept before the price reverses. ◆ Main Trading Scenario ➤ Sell Scenario (priority) • Waiting zone: 4,215 – 4,217 (OB Sell) • Condition: appearance of price rejection, reversal pattern, or clear rejection candle • Targets: ▪ 4,188 ▪ 4,172 ▪ 4,165 – 4,164 (deep support & bottom liquidity) • Stop loss: above 4,230 → This is the most suitable scenario with the current structure. ➤ Extended Scenario (liquidity sweep before decline) If the price surpasses OB Sell and heads towards liquidity 4,230 – 4,241 – 4,248: • Observe signs of weakening • Wait for a reversal pattern • Look for SELL entry points in the above areas with targets similar to the main scenario This is common behavior when the market wants to gather liquidity before pushing the trend. ➤ Buy Scenario (opposite – only execute with strong confirmation) Buy is only suitable when: • Price breaks the nearest bearish structure • Closes above 4,230 and holds • Re-test of the 4,215 – 4,217 area fails In that case, the buy target will aim for 4,241 and 4,248. However, this is not yet activated. ◆ Summary • The short-term trend still leans towards bearish after BOS. • The 4,215 – 4,217 area is crucial for observing price reactions. • Selling remains a reasonable strategy until the market breaks 4,230 with a clear signal. • Downside targets are at 4,172 → 4,165.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1) 1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170 This area aligns with: Previous session liquidity sweep Lower trendline support Strong BUY reactions in past sessions 👉 High probability for a short-term bottom. 2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210 Confluence of supply + descending trendline Multiple rejections here 👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern Signals include: Repeated lower-wick rejections Weakening downside pressure Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline 👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority ▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone Wait for price to tap and react: 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170 🔹 SL: below 4,164 🔹 TP1: 4,194 🔹 TP2: 4,210 🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs) ▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup If price breaks above 4,194: 🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196 🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD H1 Plan: SELL at OB, BUY at Liquidity1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is in a corrective phase after breaking the previous upward structure. From the nearest peak, the price continuously creates downward BoS waves, confirming that selling pressure is in control in the short term. Currently, the price is moving within a descending channel and retesting the trendline multiple times but has not been able to breakout. This supports the scenario of the price continuing to complete a deeper decline to gather liquidity before forming a major recovery wave. 2. Important technical zones on the chart 🔹 OB – Sell Zone: 4,190 – 4,197 Confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 of the most recent decline. This is the H1 supply zone where the price previously broke the downward structure → prioritize observing SELL when the price retraces. 🔹 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,154 – 4,163 Liquidity cluster located just below the nearest bottom. This is the area where the market is likely to create a liquidity sweep before reversing upwards. 🔹 Deep Liquidity Zone: 4,115 – 4,12x Deep liquidity zone, confirmed by multiple old bottoms formed since the beginning of the month. If the price is pushed down here, this will be a very strong BUY zone for the next major recovery wave. 3. Trading scenarios according to structure – clear & easy to follow 🔸 Scenario 1 – SELL from OB 4,19x (main scenario) Activation conditions: Price retraces to OB Sell zone 4,19x Appearance of reversal signals M15–H1: strong rejection candles, ChoCH down, engulfing Targets: TP1: 4,163 (Liquidity) TP2: 4,154 TP3 extended: 4,12x – 4,115 Note: This OB zone is a beautiful confluence – if the price reacts strongly, there is a high chance the market will complete the decline according to the model. 🔸 Scenario 2 – BUY according to Liquidity Sweep (priority after SELL) After completing the decline to liquidity zones: BUY Zone 1: 4,154 – 4,163 Wait for bottom sweep & ChoCH up → BUY according to recovery wave BUY Zone 2: 4,115 – 4,12x (strongest Buy) If the price breaks through the Liquidity zone 4,15x This is the zone where the largest buying force may appear → expect to create a new H1 bottom Targets for both BUY zones: TP1: 4,195 (OB Sell retest) TP2: 4,210 TP3 extended: 4,23x – 4,24x Further: 4,25x – 4,27x (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Important notes & risk management Do not BUY when the price is standing in the descending channel – wait for sweep & confirmation. SELL is only valid when the price hits exactly OB 4,19x, avoid FOMO selling in the middle of the zone. BUY is invalid if H1 breaks deeply below 4,110. Strong upward scenario only activates when H1 closes above 4,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Bitcoin: The 2026 Grind – Rejection Zones vs. The $130k TargetChart Analysis Bitcoin has successfully completed a SL hunt to the downside, sweeping liquidity and finding local support. With this liquidity grab finished, the immediate bias shifts upward as price begins the "2026 Grind" toward higher structural resistance. Using a Trend-Based Fib Extension ($55K Low - $106K High - $76.5K Retracement), we are monitoring the reaction at key overhead levels. 1. The Current Move: Testing Resistance Following the stop hunt, price is grinding upward to test the strength of the recovery. The bulls face two critical hurdles: Rejection Zone 1 ($95K - $97K): The 0.382 Fib level. This is the first major test for the bounce. Rejection Zone 2 ($100K - $103K): The 0.5 Fib level. This is the "line in the sand" for the bearish case. 2. The Bearish Scenario (Rejection) If the rally stalls and gets rejected at either of these zones, it suggests the bounce was merely corrective. Downside Target: A failure here opens the path to $69K - $70K to fully reset the market structure. 3. The Bullish Breakout If the momentum from the recent stop hunt is strong enough to pierce through the resistance zones: Confirmation: A break above the $110K level flips the structure back to bullish. Target: This opens the door for a run to the 1.0 Fib extension at $127K - $130K . ________________________________________ I built a trading journal that actually respects your privacy. No sign-ups. No servers. No monthly fees. 100% free. PublishNotes runs locally in your browser. You own the data, you own the backups. It helps you track your execution, bias, and behavioral mistakes without the friction of cloud apps. Download it, use it, export it. It's that simple. Try it here: publishnotes.com hashtag#trading hashtag#tradingjournal hashtag#privacy hashtag#notetaking
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by hiuser
XAU/USD tests FvG; awaiting OB and trendline reaction.◆ Market Context Price is moving within an ascending channel pattern. Each time it touches the upper resistance line, a downward reaction occurs. The most recent decline brought the price to the OB 4,189 area, which currently acts as support. The M30 structure shows the market is in a rebalancing phase after strong volatility. ◆ Price Action – SMC • The decline from the channel peak created a Fair Value Gap (FvG), which is currently being filled. • Price remains above the short-term ascending trendline; however, the recovery force is not strong enough to break the resistance area. • OB 4,189 is the main holding area; if broken, the short-term ascending structure will be invalidated. ◆ Fibonacci & Reaction Zones • Price is reacting at the Fibo levels 0.382 – 0.5. • Fibo 0.618 around 4,230 coincides with the FvG area → this is an important resistance zone. • Closing above 4,230 will trigger an expansion to higher levels. Trading Plan ➤ Buy Scenario (priority if structure holds) • Waiting area: 4,189 (OB) or lower trendline • Condition: price holds the OB bottom and reversal signals appear • Targets: ▪︎ 4,215 ▪︎ 4,230 (strong resistance) ▪︎ expansion: 4,255 → 4,290 ➤ Sell Scenario (if structure breaks) • Condition: price breaks OB 4,189 • SL: above 4,200 • Targets: ▪︎ 4,175 ▪︎ 4,165 (deeper support area) ➤ Strong Uptrend Continuation Scenario • Condition: clear closing above 4,230 • Targets: ▪︎ 4,255 ▪︎ 4,290 Summary • OB 4,189 plays a crucial role in the short term. • If OB holds, the price is likely to continue advancing to the resistance area 4,230 and beyond. • If OB is broken, the adjustment target will head towards 4,165. • The most reasonable action now is to wait for a clear reaction at OB or when the price approaches the 4,230 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Rejected at 4,228, Risks Drop to 4,172Gold is struggling in its recovery efforts as prices continue to react negatively at the resistance zone of 4,228. Although the USD shows slight signs of weakening, the overall market sentiment remains cautious as investors await inflation data and new signals from the Fed next week. In this context, the short-term structure indicates that gold is leaning towards a corrective downtrend – aligning with the sell strategy on the rebound. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30) 🔸 1. Rising Wedge Pattern Has Broken Down Gold has just broken the “rising wedge” pattern – a clear signal of weakening momentum. The current rebound is merely a retest of the broken structure zone, easily forming a lower high → continued decline. 🔸 2. Important Supply Zone 4,226 – 4,229 → Supply Zone + the starting point of the previous strong decline If the price touches this zone with weak signals, sellers are likely to regain dominance. 🔸 3. Liquidity Zone – Price Attraction Target 4,172 – 4,173 → Liquidity zone + strong demand + wedge bottom This is the zone where the market is likely to pull the price during the session. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – Priority to SELL ▶️ Main Scenario – SELL on the rebound If the price rebounds to the supply zone: 🔹 SELL zone: 4,226 – 4,229 🔹 SL: above 4,235 🔹 TP1: 4,190 🔹 TP2: 4,172 (main target) Reason: Price retests the broken resistance + downward momentum remains strong → attractive R:R entry. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Price drops directly If the price does not rebound sufficiently to 4,228: 🔹 Wait for a small retest around 4,205 – 4,208 → SELL 🔹 Target remains 4,172 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Preferred trend: Bearish as long as the price is below 4,228 Strategy: Sell on the rebound – target 4,172 Invalidation: M30 candle closes above 4,235 Note: Volatility may increase near important US news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Buy at 4.19x, Sell Short at OB 4.24x1. Market Context (H1) Gold is moving within a corrective structure after the previous strong rally. The current price action revolves around two main zones: Buy Support Zone 4,197–4,200: where the price continuously reacts, with multiple BoS – ChoCH increases → indicating that buying pressure still maintains the base. OB Zone – Sell 4.24x: confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.786, a zone likely to see a decline reaction before forming a larger trend. The current structure leans towards a recovery to the OB Sell zone, after which the market may continue to adjust deeper to create liquidity before rising again. 2. Important Technical Zones 🔹 Support – Buy Zone: 4,197 – 4,200 This is a strong price base, where BoS + ChoCH continuously form. Only when breaking below this zone → the short-term uptrend structure weakens. 🔹 OB Zone – Sell: 4,238 – 4,245 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement (0.5–0.618–0.786). A favorable zone for the market to create a decline reaction, triggering a liquidity sweep to lower lows. 🔹 Strong Low: 4.17x This is an important low – if the price sweeps here but does not break → expect a strong rebound to higher targets. 3. Trading Scenarios According to Structure 🔸 Scenario 1: Price recovers to OB Sell 4.24x → look for short-term SELL signals Wait for the price to hit the OB Sell zone and appear: Strong rejection candle ChoCH decreases on M15 frame Volume increases at the peak Then expect a decline back to the Support Buy zone 4,197–4,205. Trading idea: Sell zone 4,238–4,245 Target: 4.20x If breaking 4.20x deeply → extend to Strong Low 4.17x 🔸 Scenario 2 (high priority): Buy at Support to catch the rise to 4.25x – 4.27x – 4.29x After completing the decline according to scenario 1, the price may rebound from the strong demand zone. BUY conditions: Price sweeps down to 4,197–4,205 or deeper to 4.17x. Reversal pattern appears + ChoCH increases. Recreate HL (higher low) structure. Targets: TP1: 4,234 TP2: 4,244 TP3: 4,258 Extended TP: 4,276 – 4,299 (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Risk Management Notes Do not chase Buy when the price is in the OB Sell zone – easy to get swept. Do not Sell deeply when not reaching OB 4.24x zone – price has not entered a nice premium zone. Always clearly define invalidation levels: BUY invalid when price closes H1 below 4.17x. SELL invalid when price breaks strongly above 4,245 and holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Tata Motors PV – Wave B/2 Near Completion, Bounce Zone ActivatedThe ongoing decline appears to be unfolding as a complex corrective structure, with Wave C of the larger Wave B/2 now approaching its typical termination area. Price has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci support at ₹350.35 — a level where deeper corrective phases frequently exhaust themselves. Structurally, the final leg of Wave C shows a clear five-wave micro pattern, and downside momentum has begun to fade. The RSI is printing early bullish divergence, suggesting that sellers are losing strength even as price tests fresh lows. This combination often precedes a relief bounce within the broader framework. As long as the price respects ₹323.45, this corrective interpretation remains valid and a bounce from the current zone is the preferred expectation. A decisive close below the invalidation level would signal that the correction is not yet complete and that a deeper retracement is unfolding. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TMPVLong
by WaveXplorer