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Fibonacci

Gold Pullback to Bullish OB, Watch for Buy at 4,170–4,155⏰ Timeframe: 30 minutes 📅 Update: 12/02/2025 🔍 Market Context After gold surged from the 4,115 USD area, the price peaked at 4,256 USD, then a small Bearish OB appeared around 4,223 USD (Fibo area 0.618–0.786) – where the market reacted with a slight decline. Currently, the price is in a technical pullback phase after a long rally, forming a bearish CHoCH and a small BoS, indicating the market is rebalancing liquidity before deciding the next direction. However, the main structure (H1–H4) still maintains a bullish bias, so the current adjustment area is only technical – suitable for observing buy opportunities from lower levels. 📊 Technical Breakdown Bearish OB – Fibo Sell (4,223): short-term supply area, first reaction down after the peak of 4,256. Small BoS (4,205): confirms the adjustment structure has formed. Bullish Order Block (4,170–4,155): main demand area confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – where strong buying force may reappear. Extended target: 4,256 → 4,271 (FE 1.272–1.618) if the uptrend continues. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Support (Buy Zones): • 4,205 USD → short-term balance area, may react quickly. • 4,170–4,155 USD → main Bullish OB area, confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – ideal reaction point. 🔴 Resistance (Sell Zones): • 4,223 USD → small Bearish OB – short-term supply area. • 4,256 USD → main peak, short-term profit-taking area. • 4,271 USD → extended target, upper liquidity area. 🎯 Trading Plan Main Scenario – BUY SETUP (priority): Wait for price to adjust to 4,170–4,155 USD. Observe for bullish reversal signals (CHoCH, engulfing, long rejection). Target increase: 4,223 → 4,256 → 4,271 USD. Alternative Scenario – Deeper Sweep: If price breaks 4,155, expect further liquidity test at 4,138–4,130 USD, before bouncing back. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is following the “pullback in an uptrend structure” model. As long as the price stays above 4,155 USD, the larger trend remains bullish. The reasonable scenario is to watch for reactions at Bullish OB 4,170–4,155 – this is the area with the highest probability for the next recovery. ⚙️ Reaction Plan BUY zone: 4,170 → 4,155 TP1: 4,223 TP2: 4,256 TP3: 4,271 Invalidation: M30 candle closes below 4,155 🛡️ Risk Note Limit orders between the area (4,205–4,215). Only confirm the trend with clear structural signals at the OB area. Analysis is purely technical – not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
3
TCS Chart Update – Fibonacci + Breakout LevelsTCS – Retest Breakout Trading Setup with Price Action + Fibonacci Strategy TCS is approaching a key breakout zone around ₹3,280. A retest entry can offer a high-probability trade setup. How to Trade This Setup 1️⃣ Breakout Level ₹3,280 is the major resistance zone Wait for strong breakout candle closing above ₹3,280 2️⃣ Retest Entry 📍 After breakout, price may pull back to ₹3,280–₹3,260 📍 Look for bullish rejection candle (Pin bar / Hammer / Engulfing) 👉 Entry on bullish close after retest 3️⃣ Stop-Loss (Price Action Based) 🛑 SL below ₹3,085 (strong support level) 4️⃣ Targets using Fibonacci 🎯 T1: ₹3,350 🎯 T2: ₹3,400 🎯 T3: ₹3,456 (Fib 38.2%) Strategy Summary Element Value Breakout zone ₹3,280 Retest entry ₹3,280–₹3,260 SL ₹3,085 Targets ₹3,350 / ₹3,400 / ₹3,456 Direction Bullish above breakout View Bullish bias if price sustains above ₹3,280. Retest entry gives the safest low-risk setup. 🚀
NSE:TCSLong
by ProfitPrism
Bank of Baroda: Impulsive Breakout or Running Flat Trap?The recent All-Time High at 303.95 looks like a breakout to the naked eye, but the internal structure suggests a classic Elliott Wave Trap . The Technical Disconnect : While the move above the previous peak (299.70) was strong, it lacks the characteristics of a genuine Wave 3 impulse: Structure : The rally from 190.70 subdivides into a clear 3-wave (a)-(b)-(c) corrective pattern, not a 5-wave motive sequence. Precision Resistance: The price reversed exactly at the 100% Fibonacci extension, a common termination point for corrective B-waves, not impulsive breakouts. Momentum : RSI hitting 72.42 at resistance signals exhaustion rather than sustained trend strength. The Setup: Running Flat Correction This price action confirms a Running Flat scenario. The "breakout" was likely a Wave B bull trap designed to clear stops before the final leg down. Outlook : We are entering Wave C (down). Target Zone : 234 – 247. This green box aligns with the 50-61.8% retracement cluster of the recent rally. Invalidation : A weekly close above 304 . If bulls sustain price above this level, the corrective view is invalid, and a true breakout is in play. Disclaimer: Educational view only. DYOR.
NSE:BANKBARODAShort
by WaveXplorer
XAU/USD: Buy Gold at 4,217 or FVG 4,182!📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain a strong upward structure after creating a series of BoS continuously from the 4,156 USD region. This morning's H1 breakout pushed the price above the short-term peak, confirming that the BUY side is in full control. The price is currently returning to retest the Demand intraday 4,217 – 4,210 USD area — this is the first support area where buyers can continue to push the upward wave. If the pullback is deeper, gold may reach the FVG 4,182 – 4,172 USD area, coinciding with fibo 0.5 – 0.618 → the most attractive discount area in this wave. The main trend remains bullish as long as the price stays above: • 4,217 – Demand 1 • 4,182 – FVG Discount • 4,156 – Key Demand Zone 💎 Key Technical Zones • Demand Zone 1: 4,217 – 4,210 • FVG Discount: 4,182 – 4,172 • Strong Demand (structure holding bottom): 4,156 • Target Zones: – 4,285 – 4,309 – 4,321 – 4,342 – 4,369 (liquidity above peak) 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest Demand 4,217 When the price touches 4,217 – 4,210 with confirmation signals (long wick, H1 engulfing). • Entry: 4,217 – 4,210 • SL: below 4,200 • TP1: 4,285 • TP2: 4,309 • TP3: 4,342 • TP4: 4,369 → Quick setup – follow the momentum. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Deep Pullback to FVG 4,182 In case the price shakes strongly before continuing to push the wave. • Entry: 4,182 – 4,172 • SL: below 4,156 • TP: 4,217 → 4,285 → 4,342 → This is the “best” price area to accumulate BUY in the session. 🧠 Vincent’s View H1 shows a strong upward structure, clear momentum. The current adjustment is just a technical pullback before hitting the upper liquidity levels. As long as gold stays above 4,182 – the trend remains bullish and the targets 4,285 – 4,342 are entirely feasible. “Smart money buys the dip — not the hype.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 01/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel,Prepares for New ATH PushGold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow) Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary. The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity. Key Liquidity Zones 4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone 4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill) Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where: ✔️ Demand zone ✔️ Trend channel support ✔️ Fibonacci retracement all align. A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281 Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR) Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199 SL: 4,188 TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281 SELL Trades Only scalp sells at supply zones (4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283) → Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish. ⚜️ MMF View Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections. As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up. A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction. “In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”XAU/USD – Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel, Prepares for New ATH Push Gold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow) Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary. The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity. Key Liquidity Zones 4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone 4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill) Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where: ✔️ Demand zone ✔️ Trend channel support ✔️ Fibonacci retracement all align. A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281 Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR) Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199 SL: 4,188 TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281 SELL Trades Only scalp sells at supply zones (4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283) → Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish. ⚜️ MMF View Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections. As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up. A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction. “In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
IIFL Finance (W): Strongly Bullish - Turnaround BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock has confirmed a decisive breakout from a multi-year consolidation phase. This move marks the end of the post-embargo correction and is supported by strong fundamental catalysts and technical alignment. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is driven by a powerful business turnaround: - Gold Loan Normalization: The biggest overhang on the stock was the RBI embargo on gold loans. With this fully lifted, the business has normalized, as seen in the recent Q2 FY26 Earnings where Net Profit surged 148% (YoY). - NCD Issuance: The recent board approval to raise ₹2,000 Crore via NCDs signals confidence in growth and liquidity, acting as an immediate trigger for the stock price. - Fitch Upgrade: Fitch Ratings recently revised the outlook to "Positive," adding institutional confidence. 📈 2. The Long-Term Structure (The "Box" Breakout) > The Cycle: - Peak: ATH of ₹683 in Oct 2023. - Correction: A steep fall to the ₹294–₹304 support zone (March 2024 lows), effectively forming a "double bottom" base. > The Breakout: The ₹535 – ₹540 zone has acted as a stiff resistance since early 2024. - The Move: This week, the stock decisively broke and closed above this resistance (closing near ₹578). - The Re-test: The stock consolidated just below this level before launching higher, which is a sign of strength. 📊 3. Volume & Indicators - Volume Clarification: Volume has been "decreasing", this is actually a good sign during the consolidation (sideways) phase, as it shows selling pressure was drying up. However, for a valid breakout, we want to see volume expand . Recent daily data shows volume spikes (e.g., 3M+ shares), confirming buyers are returning. - EMAs: The PCO (Positive Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes confirms that the trend has synchronized to the upside. - RSI: Rising across all timeframes, indicating expanding momentum. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels With the "lid" at ₹540 removed, the stock has room to run toward previous highs. > 🐂 Bullish Targets: - Target 1: ₹683 (The ATH). This is the immediate structural target. - Target 2: ₹950 . If the momentum sustains and the stock enters "blue sky" discovery, Fibonacci extensions project a move toward ₹950 in the long term. > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹535 – ₹540. The breakout zone has now flipped to support. Any pullback to this level is a high-probability buying opportunity. - Stop Loss: A close below ₹465 would invalidate the bullish thesis, as it would mean the stock has fallen back deep into the old range. Conclusion This is a Grade A Turnaround Setup . The lifting of regulatory clouds (Gold Loan ban) combined with a technical breakout above ₹540 makes this a high-conviction trade. Watch for stability above ₹535 .
NSE:IIFLLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
XAUUSD – Weekly outlookXAUUSD – Weekly outlook: structure points towards 4,580 as long as bulls hold the line Brian – Favouring buy-the-dip setups while price holds above 3,996 1. Market overview – triangle break and trend confirmation On the daily chart, gold has finally broken out of the long consolidation triangle, with Friday’s candle closing cleanly above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. For me, this breakout is the first proper confirmation that the primary bullish trend is resuming. The next major resistance on the chart sits around 4,246 – a key level I’m watching as a trend-confirmation line. If price can break and hold above 4,246, the path towards the higher zone around 4,580 opens up, in line with the Fibonacci extension drawn on the chart. In short: the structure into next week is bullish, with pullbacks seen as opportunities to position for a potential move towards new highs. 2. Technical structure – from breakout to extension targets The breakout from the triangle comes after a sequence of higher lows bouncing off the rising trendline, indicating accumulation rather than distribution. Below price, we have demand zones clustered around the 4,110 trendline area and deeper supports near 4,040 and 3,920. Above price, the roadmap is fairly clear: First, a test of 4,246 (local resistance & former supply). Then the ATH / prior high region around 4,360–4,380. Finally, the Fibonacci 1.618 extension projects into the 4,560–4,580 zone, which is my medium-term upside objective if bulls can maintain control. As long as daily structure keeps printing higher highs and higher lows and price stays above the key invalidation at 3,996, I will continue to treat gold as buy-on-dip rather than looking for major tops. 3. Key zones & trading ideas for next week I’m not treating this as a signal service, but here’s how I’m mapping the chart for my own trading: Primary idea – Buy the dip into trendline / support Watch zone: around the rising trendline near 4,110. If price pulls back into this area early in the week and shows a clear rejection on H4/D1 (wick rejections, bullish engulfing etc.), I’ll be interested in building long positions. Upside path: First objective: 4,246 – trend-confirmation resistance. If broken and retested from above, the next leg could extend towards 4,360–4,380. Extension target: 4,560–4,580 in line with the 1.618 Fibonacci projection. Secondary idea – Using Fibonacci zones on break above 4,246 If gold breaks and holds above 4,246, the Fibonacci zones between roughly 4,360 and 4,580 become interesting for scaling in / managing positions: Partial profits or tight trailing stops can be considered as we approach 4,360–4,380. Any healthy corrective pullback from that region that respects the rising structure could still offer add-on entries with the 4,580 zone as a medium-term target. Invalidation: A daily close below 3,996 would seriously damage this bullish structure and force me to reassess. Below that, I would step aside and wait for a new pattern rather than trying to force the long idea. 4. Fundamental backdrop – why gold still has a bid From a macro point of view, gold is navigating a mix of: Tariff and trade tensions, which keep hedging demand alive as investors look for protection against policy shocks. Ongoing geopolitical risks and conflict, supporting gold’s role as a classic safe-haven asset. A late-cycle interest-rate environment, where markets are increasingly focused on when and how aggressively central banks will adjust policy after a period of elevated rates and liquidity distortions. This combination tends to limit the downside for gold: even when we see corrections, dip-buyers are never too far away, especially when the technical structure is aligned with the macro story. 5. Strategy & risk management Into next week, my bias is clear: structure is bullish above 3,996, so I prefer buying pullbacks rather than trying to short into strength. The trendline around 4,110 is my first area of interest for fresh longs; anything closer to 4,040–4,000 (if we see a deeper flush) would be considered an even better price, provided the daily structure doesn’t break. As always, position sizing and stop placement are key – one good weekly move is far more valuable than several emotional entries trying to catch every candle. What do you reckon – does this breakout have enough fuel to take us towards 4,580, or do you see a deeper correction setting up first? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAU/USD: Gold Stagnates, Poised for a Strong Surge📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in a tight accumulation phase (compression) between two important zones: • OB Support: 4,130 – 4,126 • Resistance – Small Supply: 4,148 – 4,166 The previous trend remains a strong uptrend (clear BoS sequence from 4,089), and currently, the price is retesting the newly formed peak-bottom structure. The BUY side is still in control as long as the price stays above: • 4,130 – Main OB Support • 4,104 – Discount FVG • 4,089 – Key Low Confirming Trend If gold holds these zones, the next targets will be the upper liquidity levels: • 4,166 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Support 1: 4,130 – 4,126 • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount) • Deep Bearish OB: 4,060 – 4,045 (if price drops sharply) • Upper Liquidity Targets: 4,166 → 4,181 → 4,207 → 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan (Priority BUY) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 When the price touches the OB support zone 4,130 – 4,126 and shows a bounce signal (rejection / engulfing). • Entry: 4,130 – 4,126 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Quick setup, good RR, trend aligned. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Discount FVG 4,104 – 4,089 This is the best BUY zone if the market drops sharply before rising. • Entry: 4,104 – 4,089 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Strong confluence: FVG + fibo discount + key liquidity. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – Deep Accumulation at Bearish OB Shift • Entry: 4,060 – 4,045 • SL: 4,020 • TP: 4,104 → 4,166 → 4,207 → Only activate if “flush liquidity” appears. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – not priority) Only SELL when there is a clear rejection reaction at: • 4,166 – first liquidity sweep zone • 4,181 – strong reaction zone • 4,207 – main bearish OB • 4,243 – large liquidity peak • SL: 10–15 USD • TP: 4,148 → 4,130 → For scalpers only, not a main setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market structure remains completely bullish. The market is accumulating energy in a narrow range before breaking strongly to the upper liquidity targets. As long as gold stays above 4,089 – the uptrend remains dominant. “Patience builds the entry – liquidity completes the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited. Market sentiment is shaped by: A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1) Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones. Key Levels to Watch Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137 Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118 Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090 Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193 Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below. 🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias) Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand. BUY: 4,115 – 4,118 SL: 4,103 TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170 BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090 SL: 4,070 TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193 Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area. Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only) Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance. SELL: 4,156 – 4,170 SL: 4,177 TP: 4,145 → 4,131 This is not the main bias today. ⚜️ MMF Trading View Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal. As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact. “In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.” Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
IndiaMArt - Reversal based on RSI CDIndiaMART (NSE) - Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Current Price: 2,376.70 Trade Setup Overview This trade setup is based on RSI Classic Divergence combined with Price Action analysis. The stock has shown a bullish divergence pattern on the RSI indicator while forming a potential bottom around the 2,243-2,377 zone. Entry Strategy Entry Type: Aggressive Entry (Current levels) Confirmation Entry: Only initiate trades after candle closing above **2,437** on a 1:2 risk-reward ratio basis. Target Levels - Target 1: 2,459.70 (Fibonacci 0.382 level) - Target 2: 2,593.00 (Fibonacci 0.618 level) - Target 3: 2,676.65 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension) **Potential Upside:** 8.5% to 12.6% from current levels Risk Management Stop Loss: 2,252.50 (on candle closing basis) Risk from Current Price: ~5.2% Technical Indicators RSI Analysis - RSI showing classic bullish divergence - Price made lower lows while RSI made higher lows - Current RSI around 62.25, indicating bullish momentum - RSI breaking above previous resistance zones Fibonacci Retracement Levels - 0 (2,243.15) - Recent Low - 0.382 (2,377.00) - Current Support Zone - 0.618 (2,518.60) - Key Resistance - 1.0 (2,676.25) - Extension Target Key Observations 1. Stock has recovered from the October low of 2,243 levels 2. RSI divergence suggests potential trend reversal 3. Price action forming higher lows, indicating accumulation 4. Multiple Fibonacci resistance levels ahead that may act as profit-booking zones Important Notes - This is an **aggressive entry** setup for risk-tolerant traders - Conservative traders should wait for confirmation above 2,437 - **Strictly maintain stop loss** on closing basis below 2,252.50 - Book partial profits at each target level - Trail stop loss as price moves in your favor - Monitor RSI for any bearish divergence at higher levels Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. **Follow for more technical analysis and trade setups!** #IndiaMART #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #Trading #RSIDivergence #FibonacciTrading #NSE
NSE:INDIAMARTLong
by earnwhileulearn
FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence📈 Bitcoin Chart – FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence in a Bearish Market Structure This chart showcases a sustained bearish sequence on BTC, defined by a clean continuation of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Throughout this decline, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed both locally and at higher levels — each created by strong institutional sell-side displacement. As price trends downward, these unmitigated FVGs above the market consistently act as magnet zones:price retraces into previous inefficiencies, rebalances them, and resumes the dominant bearish trend. In the current setup, the integration of FVGs + Fibonacci Retracement(Point A to B) + EMA Levels + RSI Momentum provides a highly structured roadmap for anticipating retracements and continuation points. The most significant imbalance sits near the major Fib retracement zone and under key EMAs — making it the highest-probability reaction area. Secondary FVGs below it may still induce a bounce, but carry lower structural relevance. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Key Observations 1️⃣ Prior FVG Mitigation A previously formed FVG under the EMA was cleanly filled, followed by immediate downside continuation. This confirms bearish order-flow control and validates the role of FVGs as efficient retracement targets in a downtrend. 2️⃣ High-Priority FVG (Primary Zone) The upper FVG holds the strongest confluence: Created by strong displacement Sits below the EMA50 Aligns with the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone This cluster makes it the most likely zone for a meaningful bearish rejection if price retraces into it. 3️⃣ Secondary FVG Reaction Zone A lower FVG also exists beneath the main zone. Although it can cause a minor corrective bounce, it formed during a smaller move and does not align with the key trend or Fib levels — giving it lower probability. 4️⃣ RSI Momentum Context RSI remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum. When RSI stays under mid-line, bearish FVG reactions tend to be more reliable and continuation setups form cleanly. 5️⃣ Structural Context The broader structure remains decisively bearish as long as price trades below the EMAs and below the major upper FVG. Retracements into these zones are more likely to serve as rebalancing moves rather than genuine reversal attempts. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Chart Explanation Symbol → BTCUSDT Timeframe → 1D This visualization illustrates how Smart Money Concepts apply cleanly during strong trending conditions: A clear LH–LL downtrend Several historical FVGs acting as retracement magnets A previously mitigated FVG confirming bearish control A high-confluence FVG aligned with EMAs and Fib levels A secondary imbalance that can still induce short-term reactions RSI showing momentum remains bearish Together, these elements outline a textbook sequence: displacement → inefficiency → retracement → rebalancing → continuation. Price remains under firm bearish control unless it breaks above the upper FVG with conviction. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📘 Using Fib Retracement, EMA50, and RSI With FVGs (Bullish + Bearish) 🔹 1. Fibonacci Retracement + FVG In a downtrend, draw Fib from swing high → low; in an uptrend, draw low → high The 38.2%–61.8% zone is the prime retracement area in both directions. If an FVG forms or sits inside this Fib zone, it becomes a high-probability reaction point (bearish rejection in downtrend, bullish bounce in uptrend). 🔹 2. EMA50 + FVG In a bearish trend, price and FVGs forming below EMA50 act as stronger bearish retracement zones. In a bullish trend, price and FVGs forming above EMA50 act as stronger bullish retracement zones. EMA50 acts as a mean reversion point where price often returns to rebalance before continuation. 🔹 3. RSI + FVG RSI below 50 → bearish momentum → bearish FVG reactions are more reliable. RSI above 50 → bullish momentum → bullish FVG reactions are more reliable. If RSI rises from oversold (or falls from overbought), it often signals a retracement phase toward nearby FVGs. 🔹 4. Combined Logic (Works for Bullish and Bearish) Displacement creates an FVG (inefficiency). Price retraces into the 38–61% Fib zone. Retracement taps EMA50 or stays on the correct side of EMA50 (below for bearish, above for bullish). RSI confirms momentum (below 50 for bearish continuation, above 50 for bullish continuation). Price rejects from the FVG and continues the trend. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ✅ Summary Market structure remains bearish with consistent LHs and LLs. A previously filled FVG under the EMA validated the continuation move. The upper FVG is the highest-strength level due to EMA + Fib + displacement confluence. A lower FVG exists but carries reduced importance. RSI below 50 reinforces bearish momentum and reliability of bearish FVG reactions. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not investment advice. 🧠 Smart-Money-Concepts explanation only.
Short
by MarketAlgoBot
3
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Uptrend, Monitor Reaction at FvG⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 25/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After breaking the downtrend structure and creating consecutive bullish CHoCH, gold is maintaining above the Break–FvG zone at 4,107 USD, indicating that buying pressure is still controlling the recovery phase. The price is in a reaccumulation phase after the break, and it is likely to need a short pullback to "gain momentum" towards the extended resistance zone above. 📊 Technical Structure FvG Zone (4,107 USD): newly formed balance zone – acts as the main BUY Zone, where price reactions can be observed for quick scalping opportunities. Break Structure: confirms active buying flow after a series of CHoCH, shifting short-term bias to bullish. Target Expansion: the 4,188 → 4,228 USD range is an extended resistance band, coinciding with Fibonacci 1.272–1.618. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Main Support (Support Zones): • 4,067 USD – technical balance bottom, the last defense zone. • 4,084 USD – secondary support, confluence with Fibo 0.382. • 4,107 USD – main FvG zone, monitor reaction for buy scalp. • 4,131 USD – dynamic support in the recovery cycle. 🔴 Resistance (Resistance Zones): • 4,155 – 4,165 USD → intermediate resistance zone, potential short-term profit-taking when price reacts. • 4,188 USD → confluence with Fibo 1.272 – short-term SELL Zone. • 4,203 – 4,211 USD → extended supply zone, monitor reaction before the US session. • 4,228 USD → extended resistance, the final target of the current uptrend. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price may retest the FvG zone – 4,107 USD, then bounce to test resistances 4,155 → 4,188 → 4,228.  – Prioritize monitoring reactions – quick scalping at resistance zones, avoid holding long positions as price approaches 4,211–4,228. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:  – If price closes below 4,107 USD, it may reopen the lower balance zone around 4,067 USD. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market structure leans towards bullish continuation, but the upper zone is approaching a dense resistance cluster – suitable for reactive trading strategies:  → Observe reactions at each zone to "scalp with the flow," rather than trying to hold the trend. As long as price maintains above 4,107 USD, the priority remains buy-the-dip – take-profit-on-resistance. 🛡️ Risk Note Short-term volatility is expanding – clear candle reaction confirmation is needed before taking action. Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Holds Near 2-Week Highs as USD Softens Ahead of Fed CutsGold continues to trade firmly near recent highs as the USD weakens amid growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. The earlier pullback was mostly driven by stronger risk appetite in equities, not by gold weakness itself — meaning the macro bullish backdrop remains intact. With markets now pricing: 76% chance of a December rate cut, and almost 90 bps of cuts by end-2026, the broader environment continues to favour upside on dips. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Style (H1/H2) Price has respected the ascending trendline drawn from the early-week swing low and is now pushing above the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,132 – 4,149 (Fibo 0.382–0.618 + demand) BUY Zone 2: Trendline retest area Target Zone: 4,188 – 4,195 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extension) Structure is currently bullish, with clear higher highs and higher lows. A retracement into 4,14x before continuation higher is the most probable scenario. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan (Intraday) Primary Setup – BUY Dip Continuation BUY: 4,132 – 4,149 SL: 4,121 TP: → 4,168 → 4,185 → 4,192 – major extension target Alternative Scenario – Break & Hold Above 4,170 If price consolidates above 4,170, expect a direct push toward 4,19x without a deep pullback. Bearish Scenario (Low probability for now) Only valid if price breaks below trendline + closes under 4,128. Target would be a deeper correction toward 4,10x — but this is not the base case. 🧠 MMF View Gold’s structure + macro narrative → bullish trend intact. The market is clearly positioning ahead of possible December policy easing — dips into 4,13x–4,14x remain attractive opportunities. “In a rate-cut environment, gold tends to trend — the only task is to buy from strength, not chase.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Watch for Pullback to 4,150-4,130⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 26/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong upward trend and breaking the resistance zone of 4,096 USD, gold enters a technical correction phase to reaccumulate liquidity. The price is currently fluctuating around the 4,150 USD area, serving as a crucial pivot to confirm whether the bullish structure will continue or require a deeper retracement. 📊 Technical Structure 4,150 USD (Mid Support): quick reaction zone, potential for short-term buy orders (scalp). OB (4,130 USD): priority BUY Zone, confluence with 0.5 Fibo – main rebalancing area. Support Base (4,096 USD): Break–Resistance zone, maintaining the medium-term bullish trend structure. Target Expansion: 4,181 → 4,202 → 4,211 → 4,235 – 4,242 USD. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Support Zones: • 4,096 USD – main structural base. • 4,130 USD – main OB (priority BUY). • 4,150 USD – intraday pivot, quick reaction for scalping. 🔴 Resistance Zones: • 4,181 USD – short-term resistance. • 4,202 USD – intermediate balancing zone. • 4,211 USD – expansion zone (1.272 Fibo). • 4,235 – 4,242 USD – extended supply zone (1.618), prone to profit-taking reactions. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price lightly pulls back to the 4,150 USD area, potential for quick reaction.  – If it breaks through 4,150, the 4,130 USD (OB) zone will be the balancing point for a stronger recovery.  – Expansion targets: 4,181 → 4,211 → 4,242 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario:  – If the price breaks below 4,096 USD, the short-term bullish structure becomes invalid, shifting to a neutral state. 🧠 Analyst’s View 4,150 USD is the "stepping stone" between the OB zone and short-term resistance – where the market decides to continue or accumulate deeper. A reasonable strategy is to monitor quick reactions at 4,150 (scalp) and prioritize clear buy opportunities at 4,130 (OB) if the price retraces deeply. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is rebalancing within an uptrend – avoid hasty actions without clear candle or cash flow confirmation. Analysis is technical & educational, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Waiting for Perfect Buy Pullback📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining a strong bullish structure after a series of BoS from the bottom region. The most recent rally broke the 4,130 mark and continues to hold above the small OB area, indicating that the BUY side is still in control. Currently, the price is slightly retracing to retest the structure — the target is to test the area: • OB 4,130 – 4,126 USD • Or deeper to FVG 4,104 – 4,089 USD In both cases, these are discount areas to continue BUYING according to the main trend. The larger trend still targets the upper liquidity levels including: • 4,151 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Retest Zone: 4,130 – 4,126 (quick bounce area) • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount area to BUY) • Large Bearish OB: 4,045 – 4,060 (final area if price adjusts deeply) • Target Zones: 4,151 – 4,181 – 4,207 – 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (priority) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 • Entry: 4,126 – 4,131 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,151 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → This is a quick setup – for a short retracement before continuing. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – FVG 4,104 – 4,089 (best) • Entry: 4,089 – 4,104 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,151 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → This FVG area is a strong confluence: fibo, small demand, and trendline. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – OB Bearish shift (deep entry) • Entry: 4,045 – 4,060 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,104 • TP2: 4,151 • TP3: 4,207 → Only activate when the market shakes strongly, but RR is extremely good. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – only short trades) Only SELL when the price reaches strong resistance areas and rejection signals appear: • 4,151 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 Entry SELL: only enter when there is H1 rejection SL: 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,151 → 4,130 → This is counter-trend, not a priority setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend is still bullish. The current retracements are just a “breathing phase” – the market is accumulating energy to continue pushing up to higher liquidity areas. As long as the price stays above 4,089 – the bullish trend is not threatened. “Smart Money buys the dip — Retail buys the breakout.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Breaks Out of Consolidation, A New Bullish Cycle Incoming?Gold has shown a significant recovery, breaking out of the multi-day sideways range between 4,00x–4,10x. Instead of collapsing below 4000, strong buying pressure stepped in — pushing price back above 4100, signaling that the market may be choosing an early bullish breakout ahead of expectations for a potential FED rate-cut cycle. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H2) 1. Structure Gold has officially broken out of the symmetrical triangle formation. Price is now printing higher highs – higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure. 2. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,095 – 4,100 (Fibo 0.236 + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,118 – 4,122 (Fibo 0.382 + breakout retest zone) Target Zone: 4,187 – 4,195 (Fibo 1.618 extension) 3. Expected Price Action After rejecting the 0.786 Fibo, a corrective pullback is expected. A retest of 4,118 or deep pullback to 4,095 is highly probable before the next bullish leg. As long as price holds above 4,095, bullish bias remains intact. 🎯 Trading Plan — MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Retracement BUY 1: 4,118 – 4,122 SL: 4,107 TP: 4,150 → 4,168 → 4,195 BUY 2 (safer): 4,095 – 4,100 SL: 4,082 TP: 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,195 If price clears 4,165, extended targets toward 4,19x–4,21x become possible. Secondary Scenario – SELL only on strong rejection Selling is not preferred in the current structure. Only consider shorting if price forms a false breakout around 4,19x and confirms a bearish BOS on H1. 🧠 MMFLOW VIEW Gold is showing early signals of shifting out of its medium-term downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase. With both technical breakout confirmation and fundamental support (rate-cut expectations) aligning, the path of least resistance is to the upside. “In a rising market, missing the trend is far more costly than entering slightly early.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages. Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side. Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone • FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately • OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone • OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone • Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority) 1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090 • Entry: 4,085 – 4,095 • SL: below 4,060 • TP1: 4,169 • TP2: 4,186 • TP3: 4,206 / 4,237 → This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline. 2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle: • BUY immediately when there is a signal • Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237 3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044 • Entry: 4,044 – 4,047 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,095 • TP2: 4,169 • TP3: 4,206 → This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened. 🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend) Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears: • 4,169 USD • 4,186 USD • 4,206 USD (OB Bearish) • 4,237 USD (Supply) Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing) SL: above the zone 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128 → These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities. The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play. “Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent