Pre Market analysis NIFTY 50 - 28th oct 24Market Analysis NIFTY 50- 28 oct 24 - NIFTY opening 24251 , immediate Support - 24288- Pivot till CP 24175 - can be a good dip here if sustains bullish yellow trendline - Below this 24073 -PDL for breakdown
RESISTANCE- 24327 if sustained can be bullish M structure buy on dip ,also to watch out for rejection till 24400 and bigger downtrend continues
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Fibonacci
can we see a bull run in crudeoil toward 6400 ???as wee can see the charts previously do support at boxx pattern and three time it tried to break it and it did break but at the same time it do follw the trend line -came from 6489 to 5383 (drawed in chart) no if we see the fibonacci suprt zone (marked as pink box) -there is possible chances of bull run from that point to wards 6400 . it sure will break the trend line ,,,
Pre Market analysis NIFTY 50 - 24 oct24Market Analysis NIFTY 50- 24 oct 24 - NIFTY opening 24412 , immediate Support - 24400 to 24380 - PDL + PSY can be nearest support else 24346 - S1 for Breakdown level
RESISTANCE- 24472 should overcome this for bullish and 24500 strong Resistance to watch out for Level
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Pre Market Analysis 23 oct 24 - NIFTY 50Market Analysis NIFTY 50- 23 oct 24 - NIFTY opening 24378 , if reaches 24400 can be nearest support else 24330 - S1 ,if breakdown can head to 24186 and panic sell below 24k PSY
RESISTANCE- 24444 PDL - & resistance from yellow trendline as shown should overcome this for bullish , 24460, 24618 can be other Resistances
#NIFTY #niftyanalysis #nifty50 #niftyprediction #banknifty #stockmarket #marketanalysis #nifty scalping #niftyview #niftyscalping #scalping #stockmarketview
Market analysis 22 oct 24- NIFTY 50Market Analysis NIFTY 50- 22 oct 24 - NIFTY opening 24798 opening near support + PSY +CP - 24785 and support from yellow trendline as shown which - should sustain bullish , can take SUPPORT from dip - 24753 (liquidity) if not hold can head to 24679 -PDL and bearish below that (2nd support)
RESISTANCE 24870 and level to watch to get rejection- 24938
#NIFTY #niftyanalysis #nifty50 #niftyprediction #banknifty #stockmarket #marketanalysis #nifty scalping #niftyview #niftyscalping #scalping #stockmarketview
KOTAKBANK good to buy or wait for further correction?As we can see in the daily chart of KOTAKBANK, wave C of Flat Correction has reached 100% extension (which fulfills the rule of equality). The previous impulse also has a 50% retracement level around the same point, giving us a perfect cluster.
Now, can we directly buy around this level?
The answer is simple.
Suppose the recent low,1735, is broken, and the stock starts to trade below this. In that case, the further level of wave C of Flat Correction will be opened, and the stock may further fall to 127.20% extension, where the 61.8% level of the previous impulse is also present, giving us another cluster. We can initiate buying at this point which is around 1695.
Risky traders may start buying at the CMP with SL of recent low.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Always do your own analysis before doing any trade.
Nifty small upmove possibleNIFTY has clear indication now that wave c of wave B is under formation.
The recent down move has not touched 127% level, so this down move was clearly wave b of wave B.
Now if we use fib extension for target of wave c of wave B, we get cluster around 25422 and 25416 level, where 161.8% extension of wave c and 50% retracement of bigger wave A (which is the maximum target of wave B of Zig-zag).
So we have good buying opportunity here with stoploss below 24545 and target of 25420.
Technical Analysis of Gujarat Gas Ltd. (GUJGASLTD)
Background:
Gujarat Gas Limited is a natural gas distribution company in India.
Technical Analysis:
Trend Analysis:
The overall trend for Gujarat Gas Ltd. appears to be bullish. The stock has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong uptrend.
Key Technical Indicators:
* Moving Averages:
* The 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages (MAs) are both trending upwards, confirming the bullish trend.
* A golden cross (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA) would further strengthen the bullish signal.
* Relative Strength Index (RSI):
* The RSI is currently around 50, suggesting a neutral sentiment. However, a move above 50 could indicate a bullish momentum.
* Bollinger Bands:
* The price is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating high volatility. A pullback towards the middle band could be a potential buying opportunity.
* MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
* The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating a bullish trend. A bullish crossover could signal a stronger upward trend.
* Volume:
* Increasing volume during uptrends confirms the strength of the bullish momentum.
* Fibonacci Retracement:
* The recent price pullback has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level. A break above the 61.8% Fibonacci level could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
* On-Balance Volume (OBV):
* The OBV is rising, indicating that buying pressure is stronger than selling pressure.
* Money Flow Index (MFI):
* The MFI is above 50, indicating a bullish trend.
Support and Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Support: The 500 level could act as a strong support level.
* Immediate Resistance: The 600 level could act as a strong resistance level.
Trading Strategy:
Buy:
* Wait for a pullback to the 500 support level.
* A bullish crossover of the 50-day MA above the 200-day MA could be a strong buy signal.
* Increased volume during the uptrend would confirm the bullish momentum.
Sell:
* A break below the 500 support level could signal a bearish trend.
* A bearish divergence between the price and the RSI could indicate a potential downward move.
Stop-Loss:
* Place a stop-loss below the nearest support level.
Take-Profit:
* Set a take-profit target at the nearest resistance level or based on a specific price target.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Remember, while technical analysis is a valuable tool, it's important to consider other factors such as fundamental analysis and market sentiment before making investment decisions.
Why Traders Fail: Common Psychological MistakesWhile technical analysis and fundamental knowledge are crucial for successful trading, psychological factors often play a significant role in trader failure. Here are some common psychological mistakes that traders make:
Emotional Trading
*Fear of Missing Out (FOMO):* This leads to impulsive decisions, often resulting in buying at market tops.
*Greed:* The desire for excessive profits can lead to overtrading and holding on to losing positions for too long.
*Fear:* Fear of loss can cause traders to sell prematurely, locking in losses.
*Lack of Discipline*
*Overtrading:* Trading too frequently can increase transaction costs and reduce overall profitability.
*Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders:* Failing to use stop-loss orders can lead to significant losses.
*Not Sticking to a Trading Plan:* Deviating from a well-defined trading plan can lead to impulsive decisions.
*Poor Risk Management*
* Overleveraging: Taking on excessive risk can lead to catastrophic losses.
* Not Setting Realistic Profit Targets: Lack of clear profit targets can lead to missed opportunities.
*Overconfidence and Hubris*
* Overestimating Abilities: Believing that one can consistently predict market movements can lead to reckless trading.
* Ignoring Past Mistakes: Failing to learn from past mistakes can lead to repeated errors.
Confirmation Bias
* Selective Perception: Traders tend to focus on information that confirms their existing beliefs, ignoring contradictory evidence.
Revenge Trading
* Chasing Losses: Trying to recover losses quickly can lead to impulsive decisions and further losses.
Lack of Patience
* Impatience: The desire for quick profits can lead to hasty decisions and poor risk management.
*Tips to Overcome These Mistakes:*
* Develop a Solid Trading Plan: A well-defined trading plan can help you stay disciplined and focused.
* Practice Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders and position sizing to limit potential losses.
* Emotional Control: Practice mindfulness and meditation to manage emotions.
* Continuous Learning: Stay updated on market trends and improve your trading skills.
* Keep a Trading Journal: Track your trades and analyze your performance.
* Avoid Overtrading: Be selective in your trades and avoid impulsive decisions.
* Seek Feedback: Learn from experienced traders and seek feedback on your trading strategies.
By understanding and addressing these psychological pitfalls, traders can significantly improve their chances of long-term success.
Low risk buying in RELIANCEA low-risk high probability buying setup is forming in RELIANCE.
Price is taking support at the cluster of 38.2% retracement, 100% extension of Flat correction, and trendline in red.
If the price enters and sustains in the blue channel, showing bullish pressure, it will provide a good buying opportunity with a stop loss below the recent low.
RKLB: Changes In LatitudesRocket Lab's upcoming launches are critical to its growth, as they demonstrate the company’s technical reliability and ability to secure high-profile contracts. With their reusable Electron rocket and the upcoming Neutron launch vehicle, Rocket Lab targets the growing small satellite market, which is essential for telecommunications, Earth observation, and defense applications. Successful launches will not only enhance their competitive position against larger players like SpaceX but also drive increased revenue and investor confidence, as the space sector continues to expand toward a projected $1 trillion valuation by 2040. NASDAQ:RKLB
1. Revenue Growth
In Q2 2024, Rocket Lab posted $62 million in revenue, up 71% year-over-year. This growth is driven by an increasing number of launches and contracts in spacecraft manufacturing and services. The company's client base includes commercial operators, defense contractors, and government agencies. As satellite constellations continue to rise in demand for communication and Earth observation purposes, Rocket Lab's tailored solutions for small and medium-class payloads make them a crucial player in this expanding market.
2. Technological Edge and Competitive Positioning
Rocket Lab’s Electron rocket is the first reusable small rocket in the world, allowing it to capture a unique market position. Additionally, its Photon satellite platform and upcoming Neutron rocket—capable of launching medium payloads—place it in competition with industry giants like SpaceX. These innovations are critical as the company aims to cater to the growing demand for low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, critical for future internet and IoT connectivity.
3. Financial Health and Potential for Undervaluation
Rocket Lab’s price-to-book ratio of 0.99 suggests potential undervaluation, indicating that the stock trades near the value of its assets. While the company’s P/E ratio is negative (-31.97), reflecting short-term losses as it scales, analysts expect EPS to improve from -$0.39 to -$0.30 by next year. The company’s high level of reinvestment into growth initiatives, including expanded launch capabilities and satellite services, suggests it is positioning itself for profitability in the coming years.
$11.19 NASDAQ:RKLB
Breakout in TRIGYN May elevate Bullish MomentumToday, TRIGYN Technologies experienced a notable breakout above its established trendline, resulting in a gain of over 10% across two subsequent trading hours. This positive price movement indicates a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics surrounding the stock.
A detailed examination of price action reveals that the stock has established HH and HL in its uptrend. Notably, the price has found substantial support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, demonstrating resilience during correction phases. Today's closing price has surpassed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, further reinforcing the bullish outlook for TRIGYN .
The technical indicators support a continuation of the upward trend. The RSI has shown positive momentum and is positioned favourably. Additionally, the MACD indicator has recently experienced a bullish crossover on both the daily and weekly timeframes, which is often viewed as a strong signal for potential upward price activity. Furthermore, the positive momentum indicated by the histogram suggests a strengthening bullish trend, enhancing the case for a trend reversal.
Based on the current analysis, TRIGYN presents opportunities for investors, with a potential price target identified at ₹152 . This target is consistent with the observed bullish trends and can be considered as a strategic exit point for gains.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this technical analysis report is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. All investors are encouraged to conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Welspun Living Weekly Chart AnalysisWelspun Living CMP@165.45.Chart Setup Looks Bullish.
Stock In Secular Uptrend Making Higher Top Higher Bottom on Weekly Timeframe
After Making a High@212.95 Stock Has Retrace Towards Fibonacci Key Retracement level of 61.8%@155.50 (Weekly Low)
On weeklyTimeframe Stock Has Made a Spinning Bottom Candlestick which can be a potential Reversal Candidate
This Long Setup will fail if Stock Closes Below 150 on weekly closing Basis.
Disclaimer:-This is just a technical observation for educational Purpose.Not a Buy or Sell Recommendation .Pls. Consult Ur SEBI Registered Advisor for Any Buy or Sell Decision.
PRe MArket Analysis 11th oct24- NIFTY 50 Market Analysis NIFTY 50- 11th oct 24 - NIFTY opening 24985 ,
at SUPPORT (DIP buy) - PDL 24980, PSY 25k , next support 24940- - should breakdown this level for bearish move, Panic and down momentum continues below 24888 ,
RESISTANCE -25038 should start trading above this level & trendline coming from top (if rejection then downmove) -WAIT & WATCH -9.45.
#NIFTY #niftyanalysis #nifty50 #niftyprediction #banknifty #stockmarket #marketanalysis
Morepen Lab - Bullish Flag and Fibonacci RetracementMorepen Lab has formed a bullish flag pattern, and today it has successfully broken out.
The price has retested the Fibonacci level at 38, where it formed a bullish piercing pattern, signaling potential upside momentum.
Price take support of 50 period EMA.
Additionally, this level coincides with a significant demand zone on the chart, suggesting strong buying interest. Keep an eye on this stock for further upward movement
MCX Natural Gas Analysis for medium termMCX:NATURALGAS1! looks bullish.
If we look at the daily chart carefully, we will see it retraced a lot and tested 125. Then it is mostly a range bound from 140 to 280.
Now this 280 level is also the 23% Fib retracement level.
Around this level the price hits already 5 times, after breakdown almost one and half year back. However this time it has created a W pattern. (or one can say a rounding bottom pattern).
After testing the 280 level in one week back, it retraces back a bit and most likely creating a nice Cup and Handle pattern.
Here are the expectations:
NG will test 280 level once more.
After that if it able to brakes it out 280, it will go to test the next resistance.
The next resistance is 400 level, positionally.
Also fundamentally, per the estimation of International Energy Agency (IEA) Global Gas Security Review, the Natural Gas demand is forecasted to rise by over 2.5 per cent in 2024, with similar growth expected in 2025. And it will be steady for next few years even with 1.5 degree Paris Weather convocation.
So stay alert. Above 280 sustains means it's a Buy on Dip on Natural Gas. Till then: Wait and Watch.
Nifty 50 Reversal: Critical Levels and Sign of a Possible ReboudThe Nifty 50 index has been showing signs of weakness recently, as indicated by the red candle formations and the current price trending below crucial Fibonacci retracement levels. As of today, Nifty has been testing the support zones near the 0.618 Fibonacci level (24,402.75), which could serve as a pivot for a potential reversal. Let's dive into the factors suggesting a possible market bounce from here.
Technical Overview
1. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The price has pulled back from the recent highs around 26,272.50 and is hovering near the 0.618 retracement level at 24,402.75. A break below this level could lead the index toward the next key level at 23,893.70, the 100% retracement mark.
On the upside, if the price manages to hold the 0.618 level, the next resistance would be the 0.5 level at 25,083.10.
2. Moving Averages:
The 200-day moving average is still trending upward, signaling long-term bullish momentum. However, the 50-day moving average is flattening, indicating indecision in the medium term.
The current price is hovering between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting that the upcoming price action could be critical in determining the next major move.
3. MACD Analysis:
The MACD histogram has turned negative, and the MACD line is crossing below the signal line. This is typically a bearish signal, but it’s worth noting that we are nearing oversold conditions, and a bullish crossover could be on the horizon if buyers step in at these key support levels.
4. RSI Divergence:
The RSI is currently around the 36.77 level, nearing oversold territory. Historically, RSI readings below 40 in this range have often preceded significant rebounds in Nifty 50.
Watch for bullish divergence as the RSI nears this key level, as it may indicate that downward momentum is weakening and that buyers could soon gain control.
Institutional Flows
Recent data suggests that Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers of Indian equities, particularly with large sell-offs in the cash segment amounting to ₹-8,293.41 crores on October 7, 2024. However, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have stepped in with a net purchase of ₹13,245.12 crores. This balance between FII selling and DII buying has helped stabilize the market, but FII futures purchases have added some positive momentum.
Key Takeaways:
Support Zone: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (24,402.75) is a critical support. A strong bounce from this zone could lead to a reversal.
Indicators: Oversold RSI levels suggest that the selling momentum is overextended, and we could see a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Activity: DII buying is providing much-needed support to the market, and FII futures activity shows some signs of optimism.
Conclusion:
Traders should watch for signs of a reversal, especially if the price holds above the 24,400 zone. Confirmation will come from a break above the 25,083 level, which would signify a change in short-term trend dynamics. A failure to hold current levels, however, could lead the index to test the 23,893 mark.
Reliance - The Elephant can Turn EverythingReliance has been in a impulse since March 2023 from lows of 1979.15 to 2630.95 was size of Wave 1 & it retrace exactly 0.618% in wave 2 as marked in chart.
Wave 3 starting from 2220.30 to 3024.90 was equal to Wave 1 in size or slightly bigger than wave 1 & Wave 4 did retrace exactly 0.382% as shown in chart.
Wave 5 is exactly inverse 1.618 of Wave 4 fall.
This entire Impulsive structure is a good example to study wave structure & understand fibonacci relations between Elliott waves & how a impulsive wave follows a trend channel.
So is the Fall Over ?
Ideally it has pulled back to previous degree Wave 4 which could be a good demand zone & A equals to C has also been achieved but daily positive close is first sign of bottom & we may see at least 3 Waves bounce or a new Impulse starting on upside & this could mean the Elephant could turn the market sentiment positive.