renderwithme | NIFTY-50 for the week of August 11–15, 2025The Nifty 50 index, a benchmark for the Indian stock market, is expected to exhibit cautious and potentially bearish behaviour for the week of August 11–15, 2025, based on recent market trends, technical analysis, and macroeconomic factors. Below is a detailed analysis for the upcoming week
# Current Market Context
Recent Performance: As of August 8, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at 24,363.30, down 232.85 points (-0.95%), reflecting a bearish sentiment driven by foreign fund outflows and US-India tariff tensions. The index has been trading within a descending channel, characterised by lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term weakness.
Technical Indicators:
Weekly Chart: A candle formed on the weekly chart, signalling market Bearish. Confirmation of this pattern could indicate further consolidation or a directional move.
Moving Averages: The Nifty is below its 21-day EMA, suggesting bearish momentum. The 5-day SMA and EMA are around 24,843.75 and 24,865.11, respectively, acting as resistance.
RSI and MACD: RSI is in the 35–40 range, indicating oversold conditions, which could signal a potential short-term bounce. MACD remains bearish, reflecting sustained selling pressure.
Pivot Levels: Key resistance is at 25,600–25,925, with immediate support at 23,250–23,400. A break below 23,200 could push the index toward its 200-day DMA (~23,900).
Market Sentiment: Sentiment is cautious due to:FII Outflows: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹4,997.19 crore on August 7, 2025, exerting downward pressure. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) countered with ₹10,864.04 crore in buys, providing some support.
Global Cues: Mixed global market performance (e.g., NASDAQ down 2.24%, Dow Jones up 0.29% on August 4) and US tariff hikes on Indian imports are weighing on sentiment.
RBI Policy: The upcoming RBI policy decision could influence market direction, particularly if it addresses interest rates or liquidity measures.
Nifty 50 Forecast for Next Week (August 11–15, 2025)Based on available data, here’s the forecast for the week:Key Levels to WatchSupport Levels: 23,200, 23,500, (200-DMA). If A weekly candle break and close below 22,000 could accelerate selling toward 22,500.
Resistance Levels: 25,545–25,955. A sustained move above 25,900 could signal a potential reversal, with 26,000 as a critical psychological level.
Trend: Bearish with support at 24,200 critical. A positive global cue (e.g., GIFT Nifty up 0.36% on August 4) could support a modest recovery.
#Technical Outlook
- Bearish Scenario: If the Nifty fails to hold 23,200, it could slide toward 22,900 or lower, aligning with the 200-DMA. The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the weekly chart suggests a potential base at 22,900, but confirmation is pending.
- Bullish Scenario: A break above 24,600 could trigger a short-term rally toward 24,925–25,045. Sustaining above 25,000 may push the index toward 25,250, potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Indicators: Oversold RSI (35–40) suggests a possible bounce, but bearish MACD and selling volume indicate caution. Traders should monitor for a bullish crossover in MACD or RSI moving above 50 for confirmation of upward momentum.
Key Factors to WatchGlobal Markets: Movements in major indices like NASDAQ, Dow Jones, and FTSE will influence Nifty’s direction. Positive cues from GIFT Nifty (24,685 on August 4) could support a recovery.
FII/DII Activity: Continued FII selling could pressure the index, while DII buying may limit downside.
RBI Policy: Any dovish signals or liquidity measures could boost sentiment.
Sector Performance: Banking, IT, and energy sectors are critical. Stocks like SBI, Bharti Airtel, and Tata Motors may drive index movements.
Geopolitical and Tariff Issues: US-India trade tensions could cap upside potential.
Monitor volume and global cues for intraday trades.
Long-Term Investors:Current valuations near 23,200–23,400 are attractive for quality stocks. Accumulate fundamentally strong Nifty constituents (e.g., HDFC Bank, Reliance) on dips.
Use oversold conditions as an entry point for long-term portfolios, but diversify to mitigate volatility risks.
Critical PerspectiveWhile the sources provide detailed technical levels and predictions, they rely heavily on historical patterns and short-term indicators, which may not account for sudden macroeconomic shifts or black-swan events. The bearish bias is driven by FII outflows and tariff concerns, but DII support and potential RBI interventions could stabilize the market. Predictions like those from (e.g., Min: 22,200, Max: 26,240) show wide ranges, reflecting uncertainty and volatility. Investors should question overly precise forecasts and focus on broader trends, such as the index’s proximity to the 200-DMA and global market correlations.
ConclusionThe Nifty 50 is likely to remain range-bound between 23,900 and 24,925 next week, with a bearish bias unless it breaks above 24,600. Key supports at 24,200–24,000 and resistance at 24,600–25,045 will dictate short-term movements. Traders should stay cautious, monitor global cues, and prioritise risk management, while long-term investors may find opportunities in oversold conditions. Always verify critical information and consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
Chart for your Reference Only
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
Fibonacci
Buy on Dips | 4H timeframeBitcoin seems to have completed the formation of triangle and entered into an upward move.
The SL for this study would be price entering the price range of 111,700.
Profit could be booked on the marked Fibonacci levels (darker the color, more important the resistance level)
ZUARI AGRO CHEMICALS LTD – Breakout Above Multi-Year Resistance ZUARI AGRO CHEMICALS LTD (NSE: ZUARI) has broken above a strong multi-year resistance level around ₹370 on the weekly chart, signaling a major bullish breakout. The price is currently trading at ₹363, with strong momentum and increased volume.
Key technical highlights:
• Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart references the key retracement levels from the previous high to low:
• 0.382 (₹293.70) – Surpassed, now acting as support.
• 0.5 (₹370.25) – Significant resistance zone, currently being tested.
• 0.618 (₹446.75)
• 0.786 (₹555.70)
• 0.886 (₹620.50)
• Volume Surge: A sharp increase in trading volume supports the bullish move.
• Channel Breakout: Price action has decisively broken above the rising channel, indicating strong bullish sentiment and the potential start of a new uptrend.
• Next Targets: On sustained move above ₹370, next Fibonacci resistance levels are ₹447 (0.618), ₹555 (0.786), and ₹621 (0.886).
Trade Bias:
Bullish momentum breakout above multi-year resistance, supported by volume and Fibonacci confluence. Next major upside targets: ₹447, ₹555, and ₹621. Keep an eye on ₹370 as make-or-break support.
Escorts Maintains Bullish Trajectory with Strong Long-Term SuppoTopic Statement:
Escorts is on a bullish path, supported by a strong long-term trendline and reliable accumulation zones near key technical levels.
Key Points:
1. The stock consistently receives strong support at its long-term uptrend line
2. It is rarely seen below the 200-day EMA, making it a reliable accumulation opportunity as price nears the average
3. A recent correction to the 38.2% retracement level at 2933, near the 3000 barrier, provided firm support and renewed upward momentum
ETH rise foreverMy advanced fibo technical analysis says that It has 6100 easy target in sometime. Then It can take bit of a break and then rise other levels. My ultimate target for Etherium is unbelievably 10k in coming time. It's currently undervalues. If BTC touch 100k mark this can easily double triple in no time.
Follow the targets given in the chart.
LTC coin is Litecoin has good consolidationg and already brokenout from the flat pattern. First target is 168-200. Then further according to trend based fib extension ha easy 400 ATH target. And i know people wont believe but this coin has lot of potential. We can even see 800 1000 1200 up to 4000 target. Ones ALT bull run start just keep this in radar this will be best wealth multiplier. Stay tuned, i will keep posting small small trades here in this post further.
Nifty Bullish Confluence Set up ( Swing+ positional)Hello,
Nifty spot 24610 from low of 21780 made high around 25650 april to june in 2 months now Its retrace to 24600 i.e almost more than 50% retracement another is RSI squezze with bullish divergence in lowertimeframe with EMA 200 support and making pattern of falling wedge .
expecting bullish reversal set up for new lifetime high possibilties in next 2 months
Olectra Greentech – Golden Ratio on MTF + Hidden channel on WTF📝 Description
📌On the Weekly Chart (Left) – Price action has formed a strong counter-trend (CT) breakout from a prolonged downtrend. Hidden within the structure is a parallel channel (highlighted in pink), with volume gradually increasing in the recent rally — a positive sign of accumulation.
📌On the Monthly Chart (Right) – A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the Feb 2023 low to the Feb 2024 high (a one-year strong uptrend) shows price taking support exactly at the 61.8% Golden Ratio. This reaction from a key retracement zone is aligned with historical technical behavior.
This is not a forecast, but rather a technical observation of structure, retracement behavior, and volume dynamics.
renderwithme | ADA Technical Analysis Monthly Chart"Riding the Cardano wave! #ADAUSDT poised for a breakout—targeting $0.81 and beyond! #CryptoTrading"
~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
LICI Shows Minimal Gains Since IPO, Moves Weakly Within Broad ChTopic Statement:
Nearly three years after its IPO at 870, LICI trades only slightly higher, reflecting the limited post-listing returns even for a market giant.
Key Points:
1. The stock is moving in a weak uptrending bullish channel, offering modest directional cues
2. It retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level where it received support and has since rebounded
3. Price now faces resistance at the 38.2% retracement level near 955, creating a ceiling for upward movement
4. Accumulating the stock below the 50-day EMA presents a more favorable risk-reward entry point
Varun Beverages: From Parallel Channel to Symmetrical TriangleOn the monthly timeframe (right chart), Varun Beverages shows a classic Fibonacci retracement pullback to the 38.2% level after an extended rally.
>Shifting to the weekly timeframe (left chart), we observe:
-Parallel Channel during the earlier uptrend phase, reflecting a strong trending structure.
-A break of the uptrend that transitioned into a sideways phase.
-Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle – characterized by a sequence of lower highs and higher lows, creating a contraction pattern.
This multi‑timeframe view highlights how trends evolve from strong rallies, to corrections, and into consolidation structures.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
CUPID LTD | Strong Bullish Momentum with Key Resistance Levels CUPID LTD (NSE) is displaying a strong bullish trend, as reflected in the Multi-Indicator Trading Dashboard. The stock recently broke out of a long consolidation, and technical indicators show:
• RSI: 83.79 (Overbought zone, signal: Sell)
• MACD & ADX: Both indicate continued buying strength
• Volatility: 3.71% (Medium)
• Trend: Strong Bullish
Price action has exceeded the 1.13 and 1.272 Fibonacci extension levels, currently testing resistance near ₹158. Short-term targets are ₹166.33 and ₹174.31, with a major resistance at ₹186.62. However, overbought RSI suggests caution and potential for some profit booking or retracement.
Key levels to watch:
• Support: ₹157.23
• Resistance: ₹166.33, ₹174.31, ₹186.62
Traders may consider booking partial profits or trailing stops, while momentum traders can look for further breakout opportunities above resistance levels.
Please do your own analysis before any trade. This is not investment advice.
Tough Times ahead for Nifty. 26277 Top for some years?Nifty has been in Bull run for some Years now.
2008 to 2020 - Wave 1 Impulse
2020 Crash - Wave 2 Correction
2020 to 2025 - Wave 3 Impulse
2025 to 2026 - Wave 4 Correction
2026 2027 Onwards - Wave 5 Impulse
Let's Break Wave 4
It may take place in Double or Triple wave Combo.
The Corrective Wave ends in 3 or more Legs.
Wave A - 26k to 22k.
Wave B - 22k to 25.5k
Wave C - 25.5k to 21k
Next Set of Legs - to Follow in New idea.
This would be the 1st of the Corrective Combo that is expected to end around 19k By 2026 2027.
Now could be the Time for Wave C with rejection from 0.854 of Fib retracement of Wave A.
It looks like Wave C is about to begin.. Let's meet at 21k 🫣
RSI - Circled - to be noted.
All The Best🥲
Short Trade Activates below 24750.
UPL LTD - Daily Chart Analysis with Demand Zone & Key ResistanceDescription:
This chart analyzes UPL LTD (NSE:UPL) on the daily timeframe. Key highlights include:
• Demand Zone: The chart marks a demand zone where buying interest is expected to be strong.
• Fibonacci Levels: Major resistance at the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zones (around 720 and 784).
• Current Price Action: Stock is trading near 703.80, showing a recent pullback after testing higher levels.
• 20EMA Retest: The price recently retested the 20 EMA, a critical support.
• Upside Potential: Watch for an upside move if upcoming earnings turn out positive. Key upside targets: 742, 760, and 784.
• Strategy Note: Monitor the demand zone for support and watch for breakouts above resistance for potential bullish confirmation.
Ideal for traders looking to capitalize on support/resistance and trend-following strategies.
Positional or Long-term Opportunity in CampusGo Long @ 291.55 for Targets of 367.9, 418.8, and 469.7 with SL 266.1
Reasons to go Long :
1. On weekly timeframe stock gave Trendline breakout (marked with red color).
2. If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
3. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Nifty will fall to its 200 WMA at 20,308Nifty's Impulse Wave started in June 2022 at 15,123 and completed Wave 5 in September 2024 at 26,269 (Orange lines and levels on chart). The chart is perfect with Wave 3 hitting 1.618 fib and Wave 5 hitting 2.618 fib. Note that Wave 4 was exceptionally quick.
It then started an ABC correction wave (Blue on chart). Wave A completed in April at 21,712 (038 fib) and Wave B in June 2025 at 24,854. What's next? Wave C, of course! Wave Cs typically trace back to 0.5 fib to 0.68 fib and the 200 WMA is conveniently sitting right between them at 20,308 (red line) - and that's a solid support for the ABC correction to end.
Varun Beverages (VBL) Approaching Key Fibonacci Resistance |Varun Beverages Ltd. (NSE: VBL) is exhibiting a strong upward move after rebounding from the major support zone near ₹450 (0.786 Fibonacci level). The price has surged past crucial levels and is headed towards a key resistance zone between ₹539 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) and ₹564 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement) after a sustained period of consolidation.
Key Observations:
• Significant support was respected in the ₹449–₹475 range, leading to a breakout.
• The next resistance zone lies at the ₹539–₹564 range (highlighted by the Fibonacci retracement levels).
• If the momentum sustains and bulls take control, a move towards ₹595 and ₹615 (Fibonacci extension target) is possible.
• Major volumes have accompanied this move, indicating strong buying interest.
• Traders should watch for price action and potential reversal signs