XAU/USD: Watch for SELL after strong drop rebound◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold has just experienced a strong displacement-type drop, breaking the previous upward structure. The current increase is only a technical pullback, not enough to confirm a trend reversal.
◆ Structure & Cash Flow (SMC)
• The previous peak created a Lower High, confirming the short-term structure has shifted to bearish.
• Price is retracing to the Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 zone, coinciding with the old supply/distribution zone.
• This is an area prone to SELL-side reaction if there is no clear breakout.
◆ Key Levels
• Sell Zone (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618): ~4,435 – 4,445
• Current Price: ~4,379
• Nearest Bottom (Liquidity): ~4,300
• Invalid SELL scenario: M30 closes above 4,445
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario 1 – SELL pullback (priority)
• Wait for price to retrace to 4,435 – 4,445
• Appearance of rejection candle/small breakdown → watch for SELL
• Targets: 4,360 → 4,330 → 4,300
• SL: above 4,445
➤ Scenario 2 – Do not SELL if…
• If price breaks and holds above 4,445
→ Bearish scenario is invalidated, wait for a new structure to form.
◆ Summary
• Main bias: Bearish – sell on pullback.
• The current increase is just a technical rebound after a strong sell-off.
• Avoid BUY against the trend when there is no clear upward CHoCH.
Fibonacci
Jaysawal Neco’s JourneyJaysawal Neco’s stock wandered in the wilderness for years, stuck in the shadows below ₹30. Investors almost forgot it existed. But then, around 2024, something changed. The stock woke up, broke its chains, and started climbing the mountain of opportunity.
First, it crossed the old barrier at ₹56 a level that had held it captive for years. Then, like a warrior gaining strength, it surged past ₹90, a powerful resistance that marked the beginning of a new era.
Now, the stock stands at ₹91, looking toward the distant peak at ₹145 the land of Fibonacci’s promise. The path ahead is not without danger. If it slips below ₹65, the dream could fade. But if it holds strong, the journey to ₹145 could make legends.
Entry Point: ₹90–92 (where the hero stands now)
Stop-Loss: ₹65 (the safety rope if the climb gets risky)
Target 1: ₹118 (first milestone)
Target 2: ₹145 (the summit)
Chumtrades XAUUSD Any pullback is an opportunity to buy higher.This morning’s move was a corrective sell-off, best understood as profit-taking from BUY-side, not a trend reversal.
The overall structure remains within a rising trend channel, with no sign of a structural break → BUY bias stays intact, looking to buy pullbacks in line with the trend.
🟢 Key Support Zones
447x: near-term support (4476 – 4472 – 4470)
4450 – 4455
4430 – 4435
🔴 Key Resistance Zones
4548 – 4550
4560 – 4565
4599 – 4600 (upper resistance)
📌 Additional Note
453x is a mid-zone to watch closely for price reaction.
📊 Intraday Expectation
Price is expected to range sideways on the H2 timeframe
Range high: 4549
Range low: 4473
→ Possible BUY near the lower boundary and SELL near the upper boundary if the range holds.
⚠️ Risk Management
No major news at the moment; price is mainly driven by technical flows.
Holiday period → thin liquidity, higher risk of stop hunts.
Keep stops reasonable and avoid overtrading.
Wishing everyone a productive trading day.
XAU/USD: Buy now as it accumulates below resistance!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend. After the previous BOS increase, the market is currently accumulating just below the Resistance area, indicating that buyers are still in control but need more liquidity before expanding the range.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The current structure is still Higher High – Higher Low, with no bearish CHoCH.
• Prices are compressing just below the Resistance Zone ~4,518, indicating the possibility of sweeping liquidity in both directions before a breakout.
• Below exists Buy-side Liquidity + FVG, which is a good support area for the trend continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels on the chart
• Resistance Zone: ~4,518
• Buy Liquidity: 4,501 – 4,492
• FVG Buy: ~4,465
• Invalid bullish structure: M30 closes below 4,465
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario 1 – BUY pullback (priority)
• Wait for the price to retrace to 4,501 – 4,492 (Buy Liquidity)
• If there is a price holding reaction → continue to BUY according to the trend
• Targets: 4,518 → 4,540+
• SL: below 4,465
➤ Scenario 2 – BUY deep at FVG
• In case the price sweeps more strongly to ~4,465 (FVG Buy)
• This is the last defense area for buyers in the current structure
• Expect a rebound to the old peak area
➤ Scenario 3 – Break & Continue
• If the price breaks decisively above 4,518 and holds
• Watch for a retest to BUY according to the expanding wave
◆ Summary
• Main bias: Bullish.
• Strategy: Buy the dip, do not SELL without a bearish CHoCH.
• Important observation areas: 4,501 – 4,492 – 4,465.
• Break above 4,518 will open a new upward phase.
XAU/USD: Buy at FVG + Fibo, sell at Upper Liquidity◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold maintains an upward trend with previous BOS movements. After the push to the nearest peak, the price is undergoing a technical correction to rebalance liquidity before choosing the next direction.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The current decline is a pullback, with no bearish CHoCH confirming a reversal.
• The retracement area coincides with FVG + Fibo (0.5–0.618) → potential BUY reaction zone.
• Above exists Liquidity $$$ (Sell) – a target to attract liquidity if the price surges.
◆ Key Levels
• FVG – Fibo BUY: 4,466 – 4,461
• Liquidity SELL: ~4,584
• Intermediate resistance: 4,524
• Invalid bullish: H1/M30 closes below 4,455
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – BUY Pullback (priority)
• Wait for price to retrace to 4,466–4,461
• Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low
• Targets: 4,524 → 4,584
• SL: below 4,455
➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue
• If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles
• Follow the trend, take partial profits at 4,524
➤ Scenario C – SELL Reaction (short-term)
• When price hits Liquidity ~4,584
• Only SELL if a clear rejection appears (wick/engulfing)
◆ Summary
• Main bias: Bullish.
• Strategy: Buy the dip, avoid counter-trend SELL without CHoCH.
• Decision zone: 4,466–4,461 | Target: 4,524 → 4,584.
Bullish Trend Intact, Focus on Buy-the-Dip Market ContextGold continues to trade firmly within an ascending channel, maintaining its bullish momentum after the latest impulsive move. The market is currently in a technical pullback phase, which is considered healthy within an uptrend rather than a sign of reversal.
On the fundamental side, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates keep pressure on the USD, providing ongoing support for gold. As long as this macro backdrop remains unchanged, downside moves are expected to stay corrective.
Technical Structure (H1)
Bullish market structure remains valid (Higher Highs & Higher Lows)
Price is holding above the ascending trendline
No confirmed bearish break of structure
Overall bias remains bullish continuation
Key Price Zones
Primary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,470
(Trendline support + demand zone + structure support)
Deeper Support: 4,444
Upside Targets / Resistance:
4,512 → 4,563
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
If price pulls back into 4,480 – 4,470 and holds on H1
→ Look for BUY setups aligned with the main trend
This zone represents a high-probability area for smart money re-entry
Targets
TP1: 4,512
TP2: 4,563
Scale out near major resistance areas
Alternative Scenario
If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,500
→ Wait for a break & retest before considering continuation BUYs
Avoid chasing price near the upper resistance zone
Invalidation
A H1 close below 4,444 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and require reassessment.
AWHCL: Signs of Trend ReversalThe stock of AWHCL has shown signs of recovery after a prolonged downtrend that began in September. Recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum, supported by multiple technical factors across daily and weekly timeframes.
The stock has bounced from a long-term support level marked on the chart. The recent retracement from the swing high and higher low aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, a zone often considered significant for trend continuation, indicating strong bullish momentum.
A bullish MACD crossover occurred on the daily chart last week, and notably, a weekly MACD crossover has been confirmed today. This dual timeframe alignment strengthens the bullish outlook.
The RSI readings support the bullish scenario, reflecting improving momentum without entering extreme overbought territory.
On the daily chart, the stock has managed to close above the 200DEMA, a key indicator of long-term trend strength which also seen by volume growth.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Support Zone: Around ₹417 (critical level for trend validation)
Resistance Zone: Near ₹632, which coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, often viewed as a potential target in bullish setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market participants should conduct independent research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XAU/USD: Buy on pullback in strong upward trend!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold is in a clear upward trend, demonstrated by a series of consecutive BOS and gradually higher lows/highs. After a strong push, the price is currently consolidating sideways in the premium area, indicating the market is pausing before choosing the next direction.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upward structure remains intact, with no bearish CHoCH appearing.
• The current adjustment area is the Buy Zone – where the price previously created a BOS.
• This sideways movement is rebalancing, often a precursor to the next upward move if support is not broken.
◆ Key Levels
• Buy Zone: 4,476 – 4,464
• Invalid upward: clear break below 4,464
• Upper targets:
▪ 4,531
▪ 4,565
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for a pullback or hold within Buy Zone 4,476 – 4,464
• Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low
• Targets:
▪ 4,531
▪ 4,565
• SL: below 4,464
➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue
• If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles
• Follow the trend, manage orders partially at target levels
➤ Scenario C – Defensive
• If 4,464 is clearly broken
• Short-term upward structure invalidated → stay out and wait for a new setup
◆ Summary
• Main trend: Strong bullish.
• Priority strategy: BUY with the trend, do not SELL against it.
• Decision area: 4,476 – 4,464.
• Next targets: 4,531 → 4,565.
XAU/USD – Strong Bullish Expansion, Focus on Pullback BuysMarket Context
Gold has delivered a strong bullish expansion after breaking out of the previous consolidation range. The impulsive move confirms aggressive buy-side participation, suggesting that the market is now in a trend-continuation phase rather than distribution.
From a macro perspective, expectations around a dovish Fed outlook and future rate cuts continue to weaken the USD, providing a supportive environment for gold. This keeps the broader bias tilted to the upside, with pullbacks viewed as opportunities to reload long positions.
Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term)
Clear Bullish BOS confirmed after range breakout
Price is holding above prior resistance → flipped to support
Current price action shows rebalancing after impulse
No bearish structure break so far
Key Price Zones
Primary BUY Zone:
4,420 – 4,410
(previous resistance + demand + structure base)
Intermediate Support:
4,433 – 4,432
Upside Liquidity / Resistance:
4,466
4,500
4,540 – 4,550 (sell-side reaction zone)
Trading Plan – MMF Framework
Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback
If price pulls back into 4,420 – 4,410, look for acceptance and bullish reaction
This zone is ideal for trend-following BUY setups
Expect continuation toward higher liquidity levels
Upside objectives:
TP1: 4,466
TP2: 4,500
TP3: 4,540 – 4,550 (possible reaction / partial profit area)
Alternative Scenario
If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,432, wait for a break & hold above 4,466, then look for continuation buys on shallow pullbacks
Avoid chasing price directly into the 4,540+ area
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 close below 4,405 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest a deeper corrective phase.
Summary
Gold is in a strong bullish trend after a clean breakout.
Current moves are rebalancing, not reversal.
Bias remains BUY on pullbacks, targeting higher liquidity while respecting reaction zones above.
Bank Nifty - 23rd December Levels with TrendLines Bank Nifty – 23rd December Levels with Trendlines
Yesterday, only supply was created.
On Friday, that supply turned into demand.
If the market opens with a gap-up, then 23rd December supply will act as demand.
Check my Fibonacci levels – they are the most important for understanding the overall monthly direction.
XAU/USD: Buy on BOS, FVG + Fibo retracement!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold has just broken the rising BOS and created a strong push to the short-term peak area of 4,417. After the impulse, the market enters a pullback to rebalance—a common behavior before continuing the main trend.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The rising structure remains valid (HH–HL).
• The FVG + Fibo zone (0.5–0.618) around 4,374 is the preferred area to look for buying pressure.
• The OB below ~4,339 is a deeper support area if the pullback extends.
• No bearish CHoCH yet → prioritize the bullish continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels
• Nearest peak/resistance: 4,417
• FVG + Fibo (BUY zone): ~4,374
• Deep OB: ~4,339
• Invalid rise: clear break of 4,339
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price to retrace to 4,374 (FVG + Fibo)
• Condition: rejection candle / maintain HL
• Targets:
▪ 4,397
▪ 4,417 (peak)
▪ extend if peak is broken
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If 4,374 is breached
• Monitor OB ~4,339 for buying reaction
• Only BUY with structural confirmation
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue
• If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,397
• Follow the trend towards 4,417+
• Avoid FOMO at premium
◆ Summary
• Context: pullback in an uptrend.
• Decision zone: 4,374 → 4,339.
• Upper target: 4,417.
• Prioritize BUY according to structure, manage risk when price is at premium.
CHFJPY – Monthly Top Wick Expected This Week.Waiting for 2026CHFJPY is currently in a higher-timeframe bullish structure.
This week, price may form a top wick on the monthly candle, indicating short-term pause or consolidation.
From the second week of January, if volume supports the move, bullish continuation to the upside is expected.
This is a higher-timeframe bias and roadmap, not a lower-timeframe entry signal.
Waiting for confirmation before taking any position.
Chumtrades XAUUSD | ATH Is Not a Reason to ShortMacro bias:
US CPI cooled, while expectations for Fed easing in 2026 remain intact. Japanese bond yields surged, signaling capital rotation away from speculative assets and into safe havens like gold. The macro backdrop continues to support gold.
Structure:
Gold has broken above ATH, with the previous high around 438x now acting as support. Short-term high is forming near 4420. The uptrend remains dominant on H1 & M30.
Bias:
👉 Prefer BUYs in line with the trend
❌ Avoid FOMO chasing
⚠️ SELL only for short-term scalps after lower-timeframe structure breaks
BUY zones:
438x (previous ATH)
4350–4353
4336–4330
Invalidation:
A clear close below 4320 opens a move toward 4310 / 4300
In this case, the H1–M30 bullish structure is invalidated
Risk note:
Momentum is very steep → sudden pullbacks are possible. Manage risk tightly and focus on buying at key zones, not emotions.
XAU/USD – Bullish Structure Intact, Buy Pullbacks Into DemandMarket Context
Gold continues to trade firmly within a rising trend channel, confirming that bullish momentum remains in control. The latest impulse leg successfully broke above the previous consolidation range, signaling strong participation from smart money.
From a macro perspective, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance and move toward rate cuts next year continue to support gold. As a result, current pullbacks are viewed as technical rebalancing, not trend reversal.
Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term)
Market structure remains Higher Highs – Higher Lows
Price is holding above the ascending trendline
Current price action shows a pullback / rebalancing phase after expansion
No confirmed bearish BOS at this stage
Key Technical Zones
Upper liquidity / resistance:
4,410 – 4,420
Intermediate resistance:
4,374 – 4,384
Primary BUY pullback zone:
4,350 – 4,355
Deeper demand / trend defense:
4,330 – 4,335
Trading Plan – MMF Logic
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Prefer waiting for price to pull back into 4,350 – 4,355
Look for price acceptance / selling pressure absorption
Expect continuation toward the upside with trend momentum
Target references:
TP1: 4,374
TP2: 4,384
TP3: 4,410+
Alternative Scenario
If price fails to pull back deeply and holds above 4,362, wait for a break & retest to rejoin the trend
Avoid chasing price in premium zones
Invalidation Level
A confirmed H1 close below 4,330 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest broader consolidation.
Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish.
The current correction is a healthy pullback after expansion, not a reversal.
Bias stays BUY on dips, focusing on discounted zones aligned with the dominant flow.
Persistent systems (W): Bullish - Coiling for BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic
The stock is in the final stages of a year-long consolidation (since the Dec 2024 ATH). It is currently forming a "base on top of a base" just below the critical resistance, backed by a major new AI partnership and positive sector tailwinds.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical "coiling" is supported by strong news flow:
> DigitalOcean Partnership (Dec 16, 2025): Persistent announced a multi-year strategic tie-up with DigitalOcean to deploy AI solutions. This expands their addressable market in the AI infrastructure space.
> Sector Tailwind: Strong guidance from global peers (like Accenture) has triggered a re-rating in Indian IT mid-caps, validating the demand environment for 2026.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Lid")
> The Resistance: The ₹6,510 level has acted as a rigid ceiling. The failed breakout, where it popped up to ATH but fell back, cleared weak hands.
> The Current Buildup:
- Candles: The recent Hammer (showing buying at lower levels) followed by a Neutral/Doji (showing indecision/absorption) right under resistance is significant.
- Interpretation: Sellers are trying to push it down, but buyers are stepping in immediately. This "tightening" often precedes an explosive move.
> Volume: The "drying volume" observed is actually positive here. It implies that the supply (sellers) is exhausted. We now just need a volume spike to trigger the breakout.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
> EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) in Weekly/Monthly confirms the primary trend is UP.
> RSI: Rising RSI indicates that internal momentum is building up for the push through ₹6,510.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is primed to challenge the ATH.
> 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger):
- Condition: A decisive Daily/Weekly Close above ₹6,510 .
- Target 1: ₹6,789 (The ATH).
- Target 2: ₹7,700 . (If the stock enters "Blue Sky" discovery, this is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
🛡️ Support (The Safety Net):
> Immediate Support: ₹5,920 . The stock must hold this to keep the bullish structure alive.
- Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹5,800 would invalidate the setup.
Conclusion
This is a High-Probability Setup . The "Hammer + Neutral" combo at resistance suggests the breakout is imminent.
> Strategy: Wait for the close above ₹6,510 to enter. The DigitalOcean news provides the fundamental conviction to hold for targets beyond the ATH.
XAUUSD | Awaiting Reaction at OB + Fibo to Confirm Next Move◆ Market Context (M30)
The price is maintaining an uptrend with a supporting trendline. After a strong push creating a short-term peak, the market enters a pullback to rebalance. The current decline has not broken the upward structure.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The rapid decline creates an OB + Fibo Sell zone ~4,335 (retesting the premium area).
• The price has reacted at the trendline ~4,315, indicating that buying pressure still protects the structure.
• Liquidity above 4,367 – 4,372 remains → potential for liquidity draw if the trend continues.
◆ Key Levels
• OB + Fibo Sell: ~4,335
• Trendline / Support: ~4,315
• Liquidity (upper target): 4,367 → 4,372
• Invalid uptrend: clear break below trendline ~4,315
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Await price reaction around the trendline ~4,315
• Condition: candles rejecting decline / maintaining higher lows
• Targets:
▪ 4,335
▪ 4,367 → 4,372 (Liquidity)
➤ Scenario B – Short-term Sell
• If the price retraces to OB + Fibo ~4,335 but does not break
• Observe rejection signals to SELL back to 4,315
• Only a scalp against the main trend
➤ Scenario C – Breakdown (defensive)
• If the trendline ~4,315 is decisively broken
• Stay out / wait for a new CHoCH before BUYing again
◆ Summary
• Context: pullback within an uptrend.
• Decision zones: 4,315 (trendline) and 4,335 (OB + Fibo).
• Upper target: 4,367 → 4,372.
• Avoid FOMO; prioritize BUYing pullbacks according to the structure.
XAUUSD M45: SELL at OB 4.331–4.339, BUY at 4.306–4.3121) Market Context (M45) – SMC & Price Structure
The spike up followed by a strong sell-off is a liquidity event (liquidity sweep), creating a clear bearish displacement.
After the sell-off, the price is retracing in a pullback/retest manner → prioritize the strategy “SELL retracement at supply zone,” or “BUY reaction at demand zone” if there is a sweep down.
2) Key Levels
Liquidity Sell (liquidity peak): 4.367.982
OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4.331.123 – 4.338.610
Liquidity Support (Demand): 4.312.463 – 4.306.358
Current reference price: ~4.326 (currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point)
3) Trading Plan
Scenario A – SELL at OB Bearish (priority)
If the price retraces to the 4.331 – 4.339 zone and shows rejection signals:
pinbar / shadow
downward engulfing
or bearish ChoCH on M15–M45
Then prioritize SELL following the retracement in the short-term bearish structure.
Reference targets:
TP1: 4.312
TP2: 4.306
Invalidation:
M45 candle closes firmly above 4.339 and holds → stop the SELL idea.
Scenario B – BUY at Liquidity Support (reversal scenario)
If the price is pulled down to the 4.312 – 4.306 zone and shows signs of sweep + reclaim (piercing down then closing back up the zone).
Upon confirmation, watch for BUY retracement.
Reference targets:
TP1: 4.331
TP2: 4.339
Note: if the price touches the OB Bearish again without breaking it, prioritize closing and observing the reaction.
Scenario C – Sweep up to Liquidity Sell 4.368 then reverse
If the price breaks above OB Bearish and continues to run liquidity up to 4.368.
The 4.368 zone is suitable for finding a sell reaction (only SELL with confirmation signals).
4) News on 18/12 affecting gold
On 18/12, there is US CPI (November): the most impactful news on gold as it directly affects interest rate expectations, yields, and USD.
On the same day, there are usually Initial Jobless Claims and activity indicators (e.g., Philly Fed), which can easily create short-term spikes for XAUUSD.
After the CPI day, the market often exhibits liquidity sweeps on both ends before choosing a direction → avoid FOMO, prioritize trading at the right zone.
5) Quick Conclusion
Short-term bias: prioritize SELL retracement at OB 4.331–4.339 until the price strongly reclaims above.
Defensive scenario: BUY reaction at 4.312–4.306 if there is a sweep + confirmation.
Avoid entering trades in the middle of the range; wait for “right zone – right signal.”
SRF: EMA Golden Crossover & Fib Retracement Resistance BreakoutSRF:
10 DEMA Golden Crossover above 100 DEMA
Swing Low (P1): ₹2,700
Higher Swing Low (P2): ₹2,880
Swing High (P3): ₹3,325
Fib Channel indicates
61.8% Retracement Target :3062
78.6% Retracement Target : 3160
Recent Price volume action,10 DEMA Golden cross over and Fib Channel resistance points suggests possible upside move as mentioned above.(For educational purpose only)
Liquidity Grab Completed, Waiting for Pullback to ContinueMarket Context
Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, sweeping buy-side liquidity above the previous highs. After this expansion, price is now entering a short-term consolidation / pullback phase, which is expected behavior following a liquidity grab rather than a full trend reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed stance continue to limit downside pressure on Gold, keeping the broader bias supported despite intraday corrections.
Technical Structure (Short-Term)
The larger structure remains bullish
Recent move shows a liquidity grab at the highs, followed by rejection
Current price action suggests rebalancing into demand zones
No confirmed bearish market structure shift so far
Key Technical Zones
Upper Resistance / Sell Reaction: 4,360 – 4,365
Intraday Resistance: 4,333 – 4,336
Buy Zone (Pullback Area): 4,300 – 4,305
Deeper Demand / Liquidity Support: 4,275 – 4,280
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback
Expect price to retrace into 4,300 – 4,305 or deeper toward 4,280
Look for bullish reaction / stabilization to rejoin the trend
Upside targets:
TP1: 4,323
TP2: 4,335
TP3: 4,360+ (liquidity)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds above 4,323 and breaks higher directly, wait for a clean retest before considering continuation setups.
Avoid chasing price at premium levels.
Invalidation
A sustained break and H1 close below 4,275 would weaken the bullish continuation scenario and shift focus to deeper consolidation.
Summary
Gold remains in a bullish environment, with current weakness viewed as a technical pullback after liquidity grab.
Bias remains buy-the-dip, prioritizing patience and confirmation at key demand zones.
Tata Motors PV – Wave B/2 Near Completion, Bounce Zone ActivatedThe ongoing decline appears to be unfolding as a complex corrective structure, with Wave C of the larger Wave B/2 now approaching its typical termination area. Price has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci support at ₹350.35 — a level where deeper corrective phases frequently exhaust themselves.
Structurally, the final leg of Wave C shows a clear five-wave micro pattern, and downside momentum has begun to fade. The RSI is printing early bullish divergence, suggesting that sellers are losing strength even as price tests fresh lows. This combination often precedes a relief bounce within the broader framework.
As long as the price respects ₹323.45, this corrective interpretation remains valid and a bounce from the current zone is the preferred expectation. A decisive close below the invalidation level would signal that the correction is not yet complete and that a deeper retracement is unfolding.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
XAU/USD: Price shifts from Supply, eyeing liquidity draw◆ Market Context (H1)
Gold is maintaining a medium-term uptrend, however, the price has reacted at the Supply Zone ~4,350 and started to adjust. The current decline is a technical pullback, with no signal of a main trend reversal.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upward structure remains valid as higher lows are maintained.
• Price is leaving the Supply Zone and may return to the Liquidity Buy + Fibo areas below.
• The upward trendline still acts as dynamic support for the recovery.
• No clear bearish CHoCH has appeared → prioritize the trend continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels
• Supply / resistance: 4,350
• Liquidity Buy + Fibo: ~4,299
• Support Zone – Buy: 4,276
• Invalid upward structure: clear break of 4,276
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price to return to Liquidity Buy + Fibo ~4,299
• Condition: price holding reaction, rejection candles
• Targets:
▪ 4,325
▪ 4,350 (Supply)
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If 4,299 is breached
• Monitor Support Zone 4,276 for buying reaction
• Only BUY if structure is preserved
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue
• If price does not pull back deeply and holds above 4,325
• Follow the uptrend towards 4,350
• Manage risk at Supply
◆ Summary
• Main trend: Bullish (pullback within uptrend)
• Decision area: 4,299 → 4,276
• Upper target: 4,350
• Avoid SELL against the trend without a bearish CHoCH.






















