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Fibonacci

Nifty 50 Daily, Trend Based Fibonacci Extension (Natural levels)Hey Traders, I hope you all are doing well in your life. Market is nature's response and Price is the God. Let's check the market with the help of natural levels tool : Trend Based Fibonacci Extension . After forming a ' W ' pattern on Daily chart, Nifty50 has given a pull-back ( base for Fib-Extension level tool, 24587 ). Most near level is the re-test of 38.2% level ( 24980 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ). " Buy 🟢 " above 25110 with the stop loss 🔻 of 24980, for the 🎯 Target 1: 25402 🎯 Target 2: 25650 🎯 Target 3: 26260 🎯 Target 4: 26500. " Sell 🔴 " below 24960 with the stop loss 🔺 of 25110, for the 🎯 Target 1: 24880 🎯 Target 2: 24780 🎯 Target 3: 24680 🎯 Target 4: 24500. Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨‍🎓 ⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER : All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only. It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns. Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. Regards : @TradeWithKeshhav & team Happy Trading and Investing!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradeWithKeshhav
Powergrid stalls after failed V-shaped recoveryTopic Statement: Powergrid attempted a V-shaped recovery but faced stiff resistance near 300, limiting its rebound and keeping the stock under short-term pressure. Key Points: 1. The stock received strong support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, triggering an upward attempt 2. It is currently blocked by heavy resistance at the 23.6% retracement level at 296 3. Price remains below the 50-day EMA, making it moderately undervalued for short-term accumulation 4. The stock is following a downward trendline and faces resistance as it approaches it, with a breakout above this trendline likely to initiate a bullish move
NSE:POWERGRID
by yogeshwar
1
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs. The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control. 🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix) 📍 Reaction Buy Zones 3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket. 386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone. 📍 Reaction Sell Zones 393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection. 4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ BUY Scenario Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation. Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000. Stop Loss: Below 3850. 2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000. Targets: 3900 → 3884. Stop Loss: Above 3952. ⚡ Key Insights Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports. 3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall. Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction. 💬 What’s your take, India? Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious. But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend. 🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend. At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit. This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones. 📊 Technical Analysis On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats). The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line. Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited. Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits. 🎯 Trading Scenario Buy setup (trend-following): Entry: 3830 Stoploss: 3815 Take Profit: 3980 Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target): Entry: around 3980 Stoploss: 3988 TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy) 🔍 Conclusion Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”. Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices. I will continue to share more details in daily updates here. Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025 1. Macro & News Context Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Key event to watch today: ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】 Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative. USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold. 2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart) The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe: Support levels: Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841 Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low) Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block) Resistance levels: Immediate: ₹3,865 Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block) Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone) Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold. 3. Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias) Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841 Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792) Targets: ₹3,865 (first take-profit) ₹3,880–3,890 (major supply) Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940 Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend. Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB) Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout. Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone). Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827 Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones. Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841 Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB) Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones. 4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility. Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold. Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions. 5. Risk Management Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity. Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation. Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups. 🔑 Key Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Outlook: Eyeing $4,000 – Fibo Expansion Zones in PlayGold continues to benefit from safe-haven demand as political risks in Washington and mixed U.S. data keep investors cautious. The metal is trading inside a clear bullish channel, with Fibonacci projections suggesting further upside before any major correction. 📊 Technical Deep Dive – H4 Structure 🔹 Fibonacci Confluence The current rally respects 0.618 retracement at $3,820 and 0.786 retracement near $3,872, confirming algorithmic order flow. Next expansion points are sitting at Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 ($3,995 – $4,003), a major liquidity target where reactions are likely. 🔹 Liquidity Pockets $3,820 – $3,828: Historical demand block + Fibo 0.618, strong buy reaction zone. $3,860 – $3,872: Active reaction layer, intraday support if retested. $3,995 – $4,003: Key sell reaction zone, a liquidity grab area before possible retracement. 🔹 Candle & Flow Breakout candles show strong momentum, pushing price toward untested liquidity. However, multiple tests of $3,895 signal distribution pressure ahead of the $4,000 test. 🎯 Trade Playbook 🟢 Bullish Setup (Main Play) Entry: $3,860 – $3,872 Targets: $3,895 → $3,995 → $4,003 Stop: Below $3,850 🔵 Deep Buy Setup (Aggressive) Entry: $3,820 – $3,828 Targets: $3,872 → $3,895 Stop: Below $3,808 🔴 Countertrend Short (Scalp) Entry: $3,995 – $4,003 Targets: $3,970 → $3,950 Stop: Above $4,010 ⚡ Key Insights Watch for a $4,000 liquidity sweep – could trigger either breakout continuation or sharp pullback. If $3,860 support fails, deeper correction into $3,820 is expected before next rally. H4 close above $3,895 strengthens bullish bias toward $4,003+. 📌 Question for traders: Will Gold break $4,000 and run, or is this a setup for a liquidity trap before correction? Share your view 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Daily Plan: Gold Targets 7th Straight Weekly Gain |MMFLOWTRADING📊 Market Context Gold holds firm above $3,850, aiming for its 7th consecutive weekly gain. 🔥 Main driver: Risks from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. 📉 54% probability of the shutdown lasting 29 days (Polymarket) → directly impacting gold sentiment. 🛡 Safe-haven demand & BUY-side FOMO keep fueling momentum. ⚖️ Still, profit-taking at higher resistance zones could trigger sharp swings before the next directional move. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) 📈 Main trend: Bullish, but consolidating near 3,850. 🚧 Key Resistances: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936 (Liquidity Sell Zones). 🏦 Key Supports: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754 (Buy Zones). 🎯 Key Levels: 3850 – 3880 – 3900. 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ SELL ZONE 1: 3882–3884 SL: 3890 TP: 3878 – 3874 – 3870 – 3865 – 3860 – 3850 – 3840 – ??? ✅ SELL ZONE 2: 3934–3936 SL: 3940 TP: 3930 – 3925 – 3920 – 3910 – 3900 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3797–3795 SL: 3790 TP: 3800 – 3810 – 3820 – 3830 – 3840 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3756–3754 SL: 3750 TP: 3760 – 3770 – 3780 – 3790 – 3800 – ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes 🌀 U.S. shutdown headlines may spark unexpected volatility. 🕵️‍♂️ Focus on BUY setups at support, avoid chasing FOMO at highs. ❌ Consider SELL only if clear rejection signals form at resistance zones. ✅ Summary Gold remains supported by safe-haven flows, eyeing a 7-week winning streak. 🎯 Strategy: BUY setups: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754. SELL setups: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trading Plan | Limited Downside, Key Fibo Zones in Play🌍 Market Context Gold is facing renewed selling pressure after yesterday’s bounce from the $3,820 area. Risk-on sentiment and fresh USD buying are weighing on XAU/USD. However, expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year and geopolitical tensions remain supportive, limiting deeper downside moves. 📊 Technical Analysis – Fibo Matrix Setup 🔴 SELL Reaction Zones 386x – 388x (Fibo retracement 0.5 – 0.618 + 0.786 confluence) → Intraday SELL scalp zone with strong rejection probability. 3881 – 3892 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 downtrend extension) → Key SELL liquidity zone for deeper rejection. 🟢 BUY Support Zones 3820 – 3819 (short-term recovery base) → Initial intraday support. 3795 – 3793 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 recovery zone) → Major liquidity pocket, ideal for BUY setups if tested. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup Entry: 386x – 388x (watch rejection candlesticks). Target: 3820 → 3795. Stop Loss: Above 3892. 2️⃣ BUY Setup Entry: 3795 – 3793 with bullish confirmation. Target: 3860 → 3880. Stop Loss: Below 3785. ⚡ Key Notes USD momentum is crucial – if dollar strength continues, Gold may retest 379x zones. Fed’s rate cut outlook and geopolitical headlines remain the “floor” for Gold. Stick to clear Fibo reaction zones for best risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Insight: Do you expect Gold to hold 3820 before bouncing, or will we see a flush into 379x liquidity? Drop your setups below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
NBCC (India) – Wave 3 Setup Backed by Strong Project PipelineAfter completing a textbook 5-wave advance into 130.70 , where Wave 5 aligned exactly with the 2.618 extension of Wave 1 projected from Wave 4, NBCC corrected into 98. That low now marks a clean green Wave 2. The recent bounce to 117.20 formed Wave 1 of a higher-degree Wave 3. Price has retraced into the 104–105 zone (0.618 Fib) with visible volume expansion, suggesting accumulation. Invalidation/SL sits at 98 , making risk well-defined. Breakout above 117.20 opens the path toward 130.70+ and potentially much higher, in line with the 2.618 Fib target around 130.65. Fundamentals in Brief Market cap: ₹295.9B P/E ratio: ~50.8, indicating premium valuation but supported by steady order book growth. Revenue (FY24): ~₹115.9B, with Project Management Consultancy (PMC) as the major contributor. Debt: Effectively zero – NBCC runs a net cash balance sheet, giving it flexibility. Dividend yield (TTM): ~0.8% – small, but consistent payouts. Margins: Net margin steady around 5–6%. NBCC’s fundamentals support its technical setup: low leverage, steady revenues, and government backing in project management give confidence that the bullish Elliott Wave count has room to play out. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NBCCLong
by WaveXplorer
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward. At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact. 2. Important Levels Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case. OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks. OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily. Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected. Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs. 3. Trade Setups Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865. SL: Below 3,850. TP1: 3,912. TP2: 3,933 – 3,935. Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810. If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770. 4. Conclusion Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Nifty 50 – Wave 2 Correction and the Confluence ZoneDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. After bottoming at 21,743.65 in March 2025, Nifty launched a strong impulsive rally that topped at 25,669.35, marking Wave 1 of a new higher-degree advance. Since then, price has been moving inside a downward-sloping channel , forming what appears to be a Wave 2 correction. The subdivisions so far suggest a W–X–Y structure : Wave W ended at 24,337.50. Wave X topped at 25,448.95. Wave Y is now unfolding, with (a) in place, (b) potentially in progress, and (c) likely still pending. To assess possible completion zones, Fibonacci retracements of Wave 1 offer key checkpoints: 0.382 retracement at ~24,160, aligning with the channel base. 0.5 retracement at ~23,699, a deeper but still acceptable Wave 2 target. This channel + fib confluence provides a meaningful area where Wave 2 could terminate, setting the stage for the next bullish leg — Wave 3. Key Levels: Resistance : 25,450 – 25,670 (breakout here invalidates the immediate Wave 2 scenario). Support : 24,160 (0.382 fib and channel base). Deeper support : 23,700 (0.5 fib). Alternate scenario: If price continues sideways without decisive weakness, the correction may evolve into a triangle for Wave 2 instead of a W–X–Y. Takeaway: As long as price respects the channel and fib zones, Wave 2 remains corrective in nature. A sustained break higher would open the path for Wave 3 — the next impulsive advance.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveXplorer
XAUUSUS | Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits ADP & ISM🔎 Context & News US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold. FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain. Key Events Today (ET / UTC) : • ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC • ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC → Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold. 📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session. 📈 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS. EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact. Resistance : 3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618). 3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test). Support : 3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest). 3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone). 3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias). 🎯 Trade Plan ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876 • SL: 3,869 • TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920 Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841 • SL: 3,826 • TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907 Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822 • SL: 3,808 • TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897 ⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR) Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907 • SL: 3,912 • TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841 Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921 • SL: 3,925 • TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876 📝 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations. Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921. ⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1. 📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Nifty Metal Index – Fifth Wave Progression Within ChannelChart Structure: The Nifty Metal Index continues to respect its rising channel, now advancing in Wave 5 after a clean contracting triangle in Wave 4. The impulse structure remains intact, with price steadily hugging the channel’s midline and now stretching toward the upper half. Elliott Wave View: Wave 1 topped near 8,833.75, after a strong rally from 7,690.20. Wave 2 retraced into 8,256.20, holding close to the 0.382 retracement of Wave 1. Wave 3 extended sharply to 9,581.80. Wave 4 unfolded as a clean contracting triangle (a–b–c–d–e), ending at 9,132.20. Wave 5 is currently progressing within the channel, with price advancing to 10,275.75, towards the 1.0x Fib extension level of Wave 1 projected from Wave 2. Momentum Check: RSI has confirmed the latest higher high, keeping momentum aligned with price. The key to watch now: If price makes another higher high but RSI fails to do so, that’s when bearish divergence would emerge. Summary: The index maintains a constructive Elliott Wave structure, but we are in late-wave territory. The channel provides a natural guide — holding the midline favors further upside, while a sustained breach of the lower channel would warn that Wave 5 has matured. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CNXMETALShort
by WaveXplorer
Persistent hovers near support after volatile swingsTopic Statement: Persistent has seen a roller coaster price action this year and is now stabilizing near key technical and psychological support zones. Key Points: 1. The stock is taking support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 4951, a level it continues to hold 2. This support zone aligns with the barrier of 5000, reducing the likelihood of a breakdown 3. The price is also very close to a long-term trendline, adding structural strength to the current support 4. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock offers a strong investment opportunity at these levels based on past behavior
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by yogeshwar
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout. Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum. 📍 Crucial Levels to Watch 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here. 🟢 BUY Reaction Zones 3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers. 3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction. 3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers. 🎯 Trading Setups 1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play) Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed. Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong. Stop: Below 3,808. 2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend) Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection. Targets: 3,871 → 3,830. Stop: Above 3,922. 3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence). Targets: 3,830 → 3,900. Stop: Below 3,735. ⚡ Pro Tips Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups. Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight. Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs. 💬 Discussion Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
US Government Shutdown, Gold Benefits & FOMO BUY Continues📊 Market Context The gold market kicks off Q4/2025 with great enthusiasm as safe-haven flows continue to surge. Not only that, the potential delay of the NFP employment report this week further fuels the market's "thirst" for directional information, positioning gold as the central asset in everyone's sights. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure from political uncertainties and expectations that the Fed is moving closer to further rate cuts. Combined, the current picture shows that gold is not only maintaining its strength after a breakout rally but also has the opportunity to expand and conquer new high price territories, as safe-haven capital and FOMO momentum from the BUY side continue to amplify. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) The price maintains the main upward trend, staying above the support structure. Important BUY ZONE: 3833–3831 (Fibo + CP zone) – this area is likely to react strongly. Secondary BUY ZONE: 3817–3815 (OBS zone) – stronger support, suitable for accumulating additional BUY orders. Resistance area 3919–3923 (Liquidity Sell Zone) may be where liquidity traps appear. ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3833–3831 SL: 3827 TP: 3838 - 3842 - 3846 - 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3817–3815 SL: 3810 TP: 3822 - 3826 - 3830 - 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ Summary Gold is directly benefiting from political instability and the delay in US economic data. The main trend remains BUY with safe-haven flows, with strategic zones at 3833–3831 and 3817–3815. The expansion target aims for 3870–3880 and beyond to 3920+ if buying momentum remains strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Daily Plan – Gold’s Pullback Before the Next Leg Higher📊 Market Overview Gold has pulled back from its fresh record highs but the move looks more like healthy accumulation than a reversal. The 3,800 zone has acted as a strong support, absorbing selling pressure and keeping the broader bullish trend intact. Immediate rebounds confirm that buyers are still in control, preparing for the next breakout. 📍 Key Levels to Watch 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 3,871 – 3,872 → First resistance level, possible short-term rejection. 3,915 – 3,920 (Fibo Liquidity Zone) → Stronger sell wall where profit-taking may appear. 🟢 BUY Zones 3,808 – 3,810 (Fibo 0.786 Support) → Important reaction zone for intraday buy setups. 3,747 – 3,752 (Fibo Liquidity Buy Zone) → Deep correction level, strong long-term demand area. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup Entry: Buy near 3,808 – 3,810 on bullish candlestick confirmation. Targets: 3,871 → 3,900+ Stop: Below 3,795 2️⃣ Deep Pullback Opportunity Entry: 3,747 – 3,752 if price flushes lower. Targets: 3,808 → 3,871 Stop: Below 3,735 3️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup Entry: 3,915 – 3,920 only with strong rejection. Targets: 3,871 → 3,808 Stop: Above 3,928 ⚡ Trading Notes Gold remains in a strong bullish channel – selling should only be tactical and short-term. Watch US political headlines and end-of-month flows, as they could trigger volatility. Stick to defined Fibo zones for best risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Discussion Do you think Gold will test 3,900+ this week or will we see a deeper correction first? Share your charts and ideas below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning: – Was this a big player manipulation? – Or simply institutional profit taking? Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper. 📍 Critical Levels 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in. 🟢 BUY Zones 3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone. 375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Idea Entry: 387x Targets: 3800 → 3780 SL: Above 3888 2️⃣ BUY Idea Entry: 3780 – 375x Targets: 3838 → 387x SL: Below 3745 ⚡ Trading Notes High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark. Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps. Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further. 💬 Discussion Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold 30/09 - Safe-haven flows surge | Gold sails toward new ATH 🟡 XAU/USD – 30/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News US Politics : Meeting between Trump and bipartisan leaders ended without agreement → growing risk of a US government shutdown by Wednesday. Conflict : Democrats demand concessions, Republicans fiercely oppose → wide gap remains, both sides blaming each other. Market : Investors watch JOLTS data and speeches from 3 FED members, but political risks are the strongest catalyst for Gold. Trend : Safe-haven flows keep pouring into Gold → increasing likelihood of testing new ATH. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : US political seas are stormy, Gold becomes the fortress of safety. The voyage toward ATH is widening. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H1) EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) > EMA 89 (red) → bullish trend clearly dominant. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Big Volume Dock: 3,827 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) ATH test: 3,916 – 3,917 Market Structure : Gold broke out strongly, now trading around 3,870. Main trend remains bullish, with 3,842 – 3,827 as key anchor zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (main priority) Buy Zone 2 – Big Volume Entry: 3,827 – 3,824 SL: 3,815 TP: 3,870 – 3,899 – 3,916 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – high risk) Sell Zone – ATH test Entry: 3,917 – 3,920 SL: 3,925 TP: 3,899 – 3,870 – 3,856 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are filled by safe-haven winds, pushing the ship close to ATH. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,842 – 3,827) is the ideal dock for sailors to position Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,916 – 3,920) may unleash violent waves, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. If the political storm from Washington breaks out, Gold’s voyage could surpass the peak and expand its horizon.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the earliest updates. 💬 What’s your view, crew? Will Gold conquer ATH around 3,917 this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent