What is Fibonacci retracement?If you have been in the market for some time, you may have heard of “Fibonacci retracements” . Today we are going to share an informative write-up along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this concept.
Table of Contents:
1. What are Fibonacci levels?
2. What is the significance of retracement levels?
3. How to find retracement levels?
4. How to use the retracement levels?
Without further ado, let’s jump in!
What are Fibonacci Retracement levels?
The retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate areas where the price could stall or reverse.
These horizontal levels can act as potential support or resistance levels.
They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage which means how much of a prior move the price has retraced.
The retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
While 50% is not a pure Fibonacci ratio, it is still used as a support and resistance. This is because people regard it as an important level.
The price won’t always bounce from these levels. They should be looked at as areas of interest. Hence, the Fibonacci retracement should be used as a confirmation tool.
Significance of Fibonacci Retracement levels
Different traders use this tool differently but the most common usage is as follows:
Place entry orders
Determine stop-loss levels
Set price targets
For example, A stock may be in an uptrend. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level. Then, it starts to go up again. Since the bounce occurred at a retracement level during an uptrend, long positions can be initiated with an optimal stop loss.
Finding Fibonacci Retracement levels
In order to find the retracement levels, you have to identify the recent significant swing high and swing low and then plot the Fibonacci accordingly.
For uptrend: First, select the swing low and then the swing high.
For downtrend: First, select the swing high and then the swing low.
Exhibit: Fibonacci retracement in an uptrend
Exhibit: Fibonacci retracement in a downtrend
How to use the retracement levels?
If the price is approaching a Fibonacci level, you should look out for the following things at the point of interaction or in the vicinity of the level.
Reversal candlestick patterns
Rising volumes
Moving average
RSI divergence
Previous support/resistance level
Conclusion:
Adding Fibonacci analysis with other common methods of technical analysis can be useful for adding confluence to a trade.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
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Fibonaccianalysis
Varun Beverages: VBL - Long - Swing + IntradayVBL has just given breakout on the upside for an ascending triangle formation successfully giving a daily close above the previous 52week high and all time high.
For swing traders, it can be bought on retest of levels around 1005-1020. Ideally the SL should be 990 owing to the psychological figure barrier that it broke. But considering ascending triangle rules, SL can be kept near 965 with a Target which is a confluence of ascending triangle as well as 1.618 ratio i.e 1138. This give a R:R of nearly 2.5.
Booking half quantity here and trailing SL to 1000, It can be held for targets of 1195 giving further higher R:R.
Intraday traders can buy on 15min candle close above previous day's high with SL 5-10 points below previous days high since it is slightly volatile for targets of 1098.
Cheers to Pepsi!
Do like, comment and share if you like the analysis!
Mawana Sugars Short term Long EntryNSE:MAWANASUG We are seeing a Breakout of flag n pole pattern with good volumes. stock is rising after taking a support from 0.61 fib level and has crossed 0.786 lvl with a strong candle. We can see T1 - 168 very soon after that T2 - 203 then , T3 - 226 as per flag n pole target and 1.61 fib extension confluence. keep SL- 127.8
Mangalam Cement - Might get a breakoutRecently cement sector is gaining momentum. After the 2020 fall, the stock is linearly increasing with a spurt in July 2021. Since then the stock has again caught itself in a range between 326 and 414 which can also be confirmed from historical data. Seeing current situations we might expect the stock to give massive returns. Seeing the fib levels and EMA 50 and 200 we can expect Target to be 544 and if it is broken, the sky is the limit.
Please comment your thoughts and do share your view among others.
Nifty Weekly Analysis - Fibonacci shows possible bearishness Nifty is finding resistance in the 17300-17350 zone and the one day it opened above 17400 it could not sustain and fell rapidly back to below 17300 levels.
The reason for this could be it is 61.8% retracement level of LH formed on 17351 (18 Jan) and LL of 15671 (8 Mar). Obviously this doesn't mean that NIfty could go down substantially from here. It could possibly make an U-turn and go upwards as well.
My view would be that Nifty could be forming a possible consolidation here before it resumes its further upmove but we have to prepare for every possibility.
In my opinion, any close above 17350 would signal a bullish move. Also any close below ~17000 (also where 200 DMA is present) would signal a very big downturn. Watch out for these levels.
Trade using Pitchfork and PitchFanPitchFORK + PitchFAn is very acuurate When it comes to find the point of reversal.
In this chart one can easily find the point of reversal just by looking at important levels of pitchfork.
If pitch fork is drawn accurately it will definitely help you in your intraday/positional trading.
Draw pitchfor at daily time frame and then use it in your trading either on hourly/30min/15min/5min it will give you amazing results.
good luck guys....
ABFRL SWING LONG1. A major trend line breakout happend 6 weeks back, after that continuously in a strong uptrend.
2. On 2nd November it breaks its all time high of 281.35 and closed at 288.10 with a strong bullish candle of 6.23%.
3. Today stock pickups the momentum after the successful retest over the level of 281.25
Details :
Buy range : 296-306
Stoploss : 275
Target : 396 ( fibonacci 1.618 level ), 30% .
Short term targets are 331 ( 8.5% ) and 358 (17%).
For mid to long term a good entry will be after a pullback , when it took a support over 20 EMA.
Disclaimer : This analysis/strategy is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
BITCOIN 80k soon : FIB Extension & Flag-Pole theory (READ CAP) Bitcoin projected targets are 80k as per both of my theories:-
1st THEORY- FLAG & POLE - Widely used Flag Pole is basically plotted to guess further targets when an asset is at ATH . Bitcoin went into consolidation and formed a slant flag after a huge rally, here the rally is considered as a pole. So we just draw a trendline from the bottom to the top of the rally till the current consolidation phase and paste the same pole ahead of the flag. Our projected target is 80k here. This is a very simple theory.
Second one is Fibonacci Extension . We plotted this from 28k to 53 where it retraced and we usually consider 0.618 as our targets which is again 80k
Now that's huge and looks quite accurate.
COMMENT your views
HODL !
Strides Pharma - Support Zone NSE:STAR is trading near major support zone.
Also the 38.2% of the fibonacci level lies in that support zone. which indicates the strength of the bulls in that zone.
but we can also see that it forms a Descending triangle pattern which indicates more fall in the stock (Theoretically).
Do your own analysis and wait for the direction.
Cadila Healthcare: Fibonacci ExtensionAll levels are marked in the chart only.
Cadila Healthcare can begin a new bull run on technical levels......analysis is also backed by news of Virafin(an antiviral produced by Cadila Healthcare) being given emergency approval for treatment of moderate COVID-19 patients.
Volume has also increased drastically.
Cadila has also given closing above a trendline which was previously acting as resistance for the price to move up.
Banknifty Ending Diagonal Final up-move towards 30700DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The investment advice provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgement while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisor before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
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Banknifty upside getting exahusted and trading in parallel channel making ending diagonal.
On Friday before close made bullish candles and closed above major resistance 30000 suggesting upside still pending.
Banknifty in impulse up-move and in wave(3) which usually goes Fibonacci level 1.618=30760 of wave 1.
Then after that we can expect deep correction which should go
0.5 Fibonacci level 27186 or 0.618 level 26342 in wave 4
In Wave 5 expect to go near life time high.
Infy elliotwave analysis, ready to create new high?DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis.
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On small time frame of 15 min plotted impulse wave from swing low.
Currently in Wave 4 triangle correction and looks ready for breakout with green Marubozu formed in 2nd last candle.
Targets any of these 1031-1037(in case of wave 5 truncation), 1050
case 1: Weakness in global markets can invite for gap fill 1006 and good support at 1004 which is entry opportunity with 997 SL.
Case 2: Gap up opening and sustainance above 1027 will confirm bullish bias
Case 3: Gap down and violation of 997 this becomes analysis will be invalid
NSE: DMART Interesting possibility for 2189 DMART chart looking interesting with possibility to move higher after positive earning reports
Good to buy at current level 1880 to 1890 for a targets 1937, 2018, 2075, 2149 and 2184 in extension
Strong possibility to break out above 1937
Keep stop loss moving from 1808.