VISHNU - Breakout after 2+ YearsVISHNU - Breakout in weekly timeframe after 2+ years. The company has broken out of a range and sustaining the breakout level the last few weeks.
Additionally, the company has strong fundamentals with a low PE when compared to the industry. The FIIs have also increased their position in the company. Overall, there is a good upside potential in the company in the coming weeks, months.
Fiiactivity
BOROLTD | Insider NEWS Stock | Don't Miss ⭕ Swing Trading opportunity ! Daily Chart Alert !!!⭕
======================================================
Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
1) Bearish Trendline Bull breakout
2) Accumulation can be seen clearly
3) Volume is increasing as well
4) Trading above 200Ema
Guys check out the related ideas as well, it will work really well GUARANTEED !
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IDBI BANK - BREAKOUT WITH HEAVY VOLUMEHi All,
This idea is about IDBI Bank Ltd
Price action has given a strong breakout with very heavy volume which indicates institutional buying. Even the shareholding pattern indicates increase in FII and DII buying with lesser retail participation
Good profit growth of 19% CAGR over last 5 years with a healthy dividend payout of 19%
Increase in Reserves which indicates higher Book Value and fairly valued at 17.8 PE
Other fundamentals
Market Cap
₹ 1,12,062 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 104
High / Low
₹ 107 / 57.8
Stock P/E
17.8
Book Value
₹ 47.5
Dividend Yield
1.44 %
ROCE
6.23 %
ROE
11.8 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Equity capital
₹ 10,752 Cr.
No. Eq. Shares
1,075
EPS
₹ 5.85
Promoter holding
94.7 %
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Chg in Prom Hold 3Yr
0.00 %
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
Market Cap to Sales
4.27
Sales growth
15.1 %
PEG Ratio
0.94
EVEBITDA
17.4
Quick ratio
2.23
Trade receivables
₹ 0.00 Cr.
Sales
₹ 26,252 Cr.
Debt to equity
5.77
Price to book value
2.19
Free Cash Flow
₹ -1,448 Cr.
CMP / FCF
783
Happy Investing!
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
19 Jan ’24 — Holiday Change at 7 PM? SAT working & Monday OFFNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “Today’s price action has confirmed that the channel is broken, but not the support/resistance of 21491. If Nifty trades above 21491 in the morning session — the bears may really feel abandoned. Ideally, the next stop should be 21041 — that was where Nifty bounced off from the trendline on 21st Dec 2023.”
The entire price action for today was totally odd. No, I am not saying this because I lost money trading today. Firstly, the decay was not there on option strikes. Secondly, The far OTM strikes of BankNifty closed at values higher than yesterday - that is a huge anomaly. Nifty OTM PUTS closed at values higher than yesterday that too when the underlying moved up 160pts ~ 0.75%.
Everything made perfect sense when the news broke out that stock markets will be fully functional tomorrow 20th Jan and we will be closed on 22nd Jan Monday. Seems like we are making a fool of ourselves. Was this information passed on to the institutional desk in advance? Will the FIIs now work tomorrow and undo the positions they took for today? How will they hedge the trades as Depository Receipts will be closed on Saturday? The first thing any foreign investor would want is stability and things like these can hamper confidence.
4mts chart
The open was right at the ascending channel lower trend line and our view of bearishness was still relevant as we did not breach that resistance. Interestingly, we were not falling either. FII data for today, a sell value of 3689 crore made no impact on Nifty today. Assuming a segment of people knew what was going to happen with the shift of holidays. Nifty managed to hold its ground today and because of that - we have to change the status to neutral from bearish.
63mts chart
The last 3 candles almost gave away the clue that bearishness was ending. We would still like to see how Nifty will open tomorrow. Ideally, it should open above 21698 i.e. within the channel to cement the idea that Bears are thrown out of control. Also, there will be a portion of traders who would have not taken positions assuming Monday is a working day - speculating a small FOMO effect could misprice the options during the opening minutes.
18 Jan ’24 — FIIs sold 20000 CR in 2 days, Nifty50 in trouble?Nifty Weekly Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has only fallen 191pts ~ 0.88%. This does not seem to showcase what really happened during this week. We hit a new lifetime high of 22124 and then fell 839pts ~ 3.8% in 2 days. Something that we rarely see with Nifty.
16mts chart
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “Yesterday Nifty was at the top end of the ascending channel and today it closed right at the bottom end. From 26th Oct 2023, Nifty has always respected the bottom part of the ascending channel. The next support comes up at 21491 and falling below that would also mean we are breaking the channel.”
4mts chart
The gap down ensured we broke the support at 21491. Further price action suggested that we may have some deep cuts today, but strangely Nifty reversed right at 10.00 at 21285 level. Not sure whether it was DIP buying, but we went past the resistance zone of 21491 by 11.59. Nifty did not have enough strength to get back into the ascending channel - but it managed to close near the SR level showing some respite.
FIIs sold over 20000 crores of equity over the last 2 days. When was the last time we had this high volume of selling? 20-25k crore is the approx. volume of transactions they do for a whole month - we got that in 2 days. What do they know that we retail traders don't?
63mts chart
Today’s price action has confirmed that the channel is broken, but not the support/resistance of 21491. If Nifty trades above 21491 in the morning session - the bears may really feel abandoned. Ideally, the next stop should be 21041 - that was where Nifty bounced off from the trendline on 21st Dec 2023. Our stance continues to be bearish until proven wrong.
30th Nov ’23 - Good and Volatile Monthly Expiry Nifty PostMortemNifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “I still continue to hold on to my long position just that I added some protection with 20000 PE buy in the last minutes of trade today. Not because I wish to change the status to neutral, but to offset the OTM PEs shorted today. Most of them were full of air today as the movement would have spiked up its implied volatility. ATH is 20222 and we are just 126 points away, there are no support/resistance zones in between too.”
5mts chart link - click here
The 20000 PE which was bought as a hedge for the OTM short positions was in action today. Even though I exited it prematurely, It went from Rs11 to Rs39 today. See the encircled region in the chart - 09.40 to 10.05. The steam was let off by then and we quickly gained back ground. Nifty50 was trading below water, mainly due to the pressure from BankNifty. But by 13.40 - Nifty made its intentions clear to go green.
The real push came between 14.15 and close wherein Nifty gained 101pts ~ 0.5% to end the day with credible gains of 36pts. Meanwhile do not get swayed away by the FIIs buy number today - as it may be due to the MSCI inflows on the top largecaps.
1hr chart link - click here
On the 1hr TF, 20015 was today’s stop and reversal level. The hourly candle seemed pretty strong, but some credibility has to be given to this new support level. I wish to continue with my bullish stance, the upper target will be the ATH and the lower target will be the new support of 20015.
If you are not 'INSIDE' you are 'OUTSIDE' In the stock market, if you are not inside, you are outside.
I expect all those reading this article wants to be inside the market.
So, if you want to participate in the market then you must develop a deep insight into
the key market players i.e. your competitors who drive day to day movement of the market.
Key Market Players:-
The following are the three types of market participants.
->Retail - general public also called clients
->High Net Worth Investors - commonly known as HNI clients.
->Proprietary Trading - also called 'Pro' are firms.
->Institutions - referred to as trading organizations.
Let's dive into the details of each of them listed above .
Retail Investors :- They are the general public who invest or trade in the market individually with very
small capital as compared to other participants. They are at the bottom of the market food chain when considered individually
but in recent few years, the retail participants as a whole have seen a significant rise in numbers.
High Net Worth Investors: - They are also an individual but with big sums in their pockets. They have a deeper access to
the markets, inside news, and all. They don't participate in day-to-day trading.
Proprietary Traders :- Also known as 'Pro 'are those firms/banks which also trade in the daily market with the firm's funds.
They are at the middle of the market food chain i.e. above retail but below institutions. Actively participate
in daily market movements.
Institutional Investors :- They are organizations taking part actively in market movements. They are at the top of the market food chain.
They can be further divided into two groups:
->FII (Foreign Institutional Investors): Institutions whose origin is outside India but still they invest in Indian markets. Actively participate
in daily market movements.
->DII (Domestic Institutional Investors): Institutions whose origin is India. They are inactive in the derivatives segment.
Among the participants listed above Retail, Pro & FII are actively involved in the daily market trading and encourage
derivatives segment.
We all have seen everyone in markets talking about FIIs that are bearish/bullish on markets but why?
The above figure is of FII+Pro & Client correlation with nifty, this describes the reason why the positions of FII are significant.
We can draw the following conclusion:-
1. Majority of the time FII is correct to predict the market movement.
2. Clients generally build position against FII and max times have an opposite correlation with market movements.
Now, have a look at how the FII and client positions affect the market movement
The above figure justifies the correlation.
We can draw the following conclusions:-
1. Maximum time FII are net short in nifty whereas clients are net long in nifty.
2. When FII cover their shorts and deploys the longs we see an uptrend but at the same time, the client unwinds long
and deploys shorts which are generally against the trend i.e. client likes to drive in opposite direction.
3. And when FII positions converge with the Client there is previous trend exhaustion and the arrival of a sideways market or
sometimes a new trend.
As of now the index is clearly explained but what about stocks how much significant is FII in stocks?
To answer the above question let's take an example of a very famous stock ITC:-
The above figure says that FII has increased holding in the interval of Jun2022 - Sep2022 from 12.7% to 44.5%
and by the time client has decreased the holding from 44.5% to 14.8%.
Does the change in position affect the stock price of ITC? let's have a look
Now it's clear that FII have ultimate power because when they started to increase their holding in ITC
the price shoot up during this time Public who were holding it for the last 2yrs exited when ITC has just begun to move.
Hope the readers had understood the mightiness of FII and the oppositeness of the Public and also have got a deep insight
about their competitors .
Also, thanks to @biswapatra for requesting me to write an article on this topic. You can also suggest an topic on which you
want to have analysis.
NOV 21 : NIFTY CONSOLIDATION #NIFTY50
Nifty : Trading in range bound region. After corporate results, nifty comes under profit booking. Stock specific action is going on.
R&S : 18050 will act as strong support and 18450 will act as strong resistance.
FII/DII : FII is long with index future of +95 correlation.(long in index future) / DII short in index future.
Sectors : Iron and Steel, Banking.
News : Indian government reduce export duty on steel.
Stocks to look out for : #jswsteel, #tatasteel, #jindalSteel
I see 300...What do you see in IRB ?NSE:IRB is a fundamentally strong scrip. Their incomes from toll have reported a great rise.
Furthermore, just have a look on FII holding. There is no reason not to add this scrip.
-- Infrastructure sector overall growth
-- Fundamentals
-- Diversified sources of revenue
I see a short term target of Rs.300 and Rs.350 in medium term.
What are your targets ??
The idea shared is for education purpose only.
Found any bullish signal on nifty ? Well I did!!NSE:NIFTY has shown a rangebound consolidation in last 5 months of trading sessions. But this week, the candle moved from lower to upper range of bollinger band. In addition to it, many global factors are favouring the market sentiments which include:
- The stability in crude and steel prices.
- A healthy correction after bull run of around 2 years.
- Increase in overall demand and consumption of energy resources.
- Inflation control.
- Gradual FII buying hinted in several sectors.
- The rise in bank rates.
-- The only considerable negative factors as of now is breaking rupee (dollar index) and global cues.
The idea shared is for educational purpose only.
Calm volatile expiry. NIFTY50Well, we can skip the gap up fear. It's nice to see such a peaceful volatile expiry today between 17350 and 17150. The bottom side was beautifully respected, 17000 till now. We can say the market respects price action as well. From here, the nifty will either consolidate or break imp levels. My eyes will When FIIs start to support the market, After the US announcement Keep an eye on IT stocks in the coming days; they appear to be doing well right now after NASDAQ showed a recovery.
FII_Stats_Index_16th JulyNIFTY is knocking on 16000 for quite a few days now. As according to Friday's Stats FII's have covered 5996 contracts of Future Index long and added 6897 shorts.This might be the case coming week. besides,
Option Index Call long 54923
Call Short 70176
Put long 62139
Put Short 40611
From this data I will say market will correct again from this level, so I will Sell on any rise close to 16000 or even above that.
Lets see what happens tomorrow, till then happy learning folks
TCNSBRANDS Trend AnalysisTCNSBRANDS is come in our radar post huge Volume of Retail buyers and FII. Company is doing well in terms of fundamental and Chart also showing the same. Seems that TCNSBRANDS given a good breakout of wedge chart pattern with highest Vol since Feb 21. Expecting 10-15% upside from CMP 630.
NIFTY WEEKLY ANALYSISEven though there is heavy liquidity in the market and that has been driving the markets significantly higher over the last year. Nifty has rallied over 100% since the low of March 2020. A lot of investors have made way more than average returns on their investment in this dream run. Those investors would like to retrieve their amazing returns to make use of the profits (what is the point of making money if you can't use it, right?). FIIs have also been selling heavily in the last month on account of the heavy overvaluation in the Indian Markets. Yet, even accounting for the sell off, the market has not gone down significantly.
There was fear of a lockdown in Maharashtra which triggered Monday's large sell off. This has offered investors a good lower level for buying into the market again. With large buying observed yesterday, it is very likely that the market is ready to move back towards the all time high levels.
Technically as well, there is a flag and pole pattern observed on the weekly charts, which is a bullish pattern. A breakout above the top trendline will likely enable to market to make fresh all time highs above 15,400.
The dip has offered a great entry point for building long term portfolios with a lot of stocks correcting more than 10%, especially the financials. ALthough FIIs have been selling, DIIs have been net buyers for the entire period where Nifty is declining. DII activity is a good indicator of the long term expectation of the market.
The coming week may see a fresh uptrend emerge with companies announcing their FY 2020-21 earnings in April.