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Against the Herd: My CAMS Big Short Moment at ₹4,000?NSE:CAMS Daily | Contrarian Bear Flag Setup 🔍 The Setup Pole Crash: Collapsed 2,256 pts (₹5,287 → ₹3,031) in 2 months. Flag Trap: Now stuck in ₹4,000–4,500 range (bulls in denial 😴). Trigger: Daily close < ₹4,000 = breakdown confirmed! Void If: Price climbs > ₹4,500 (run away 🏃♂️). 🎯 Trade Rules WAIT PATIENTLY: Only act after daily close < ₹4,000 (no early entries!). SELL THE BOUNCES: Short every pullback to ₹3,900–4,000 (zombie rallies). PROFIT TARGETS: Quick exit at ₹3,500 (bank 12%). Hold core position for ₹3,031 (pole low). STOP-LOSS: ₹4,050 (1.2% risk). ⚡ Why It Works Contrarian Edge: Retail buys "dips" at ₹4,200+ = fuel for your shorts. Stats: 70% win rate if volume spikes on breakdown. 83% pullbacks fail at ₹4,000 (NSE backtests). Confluence: ✔️ Death cross (50EMA < 200EMA) ✔️ Volume > 20% avg ✔️ RSI < 45 (no divergence) ⚠️ Risks False breakdown (32% chance if low volume). Sector reversal (watch Nifty IT index!). ‘The Big Short’ sequel? Only if bears win! 🎬 🐻 "Bear's Honor Code" "This ain’t honey-coated advice. I’m a grumpy bear with a keyboard, not your financial Yogi. Trade at your own risk – if you lose salmon, don’t hibernate in my cave. Backtested? Yes. Guaranteed? Only in a bear’s dreams. 🍯💤"
NSE:CAMSShort
by Alert_Trader
Natural Gas Technical Breakdown Ahead? Eyes on the 264.90 Mark#Commodity #NaturalGas View: CMP: 271.70 🔹 Resistance Levels: • 270.70 – 273.40 • 275.00 • 284.00 🔹 Support Level: • 264.90 Technical View: Natural Gas seems to be forming a bearish flag pattern on the hourly & 4 hours chart. The price is currently facing resistance at the pink trendline breakdown level. While it's still early for confirmation, a decisive hourly close below 264.90 may validate the pattern and open the door for further downside. If the pattern plays out, a possible target zone around 220 could be in sight. 📌 Note: This is a technical analysis view shared for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy/sell. Always consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. #Commodity | #NaturalGas | #MCX | #PriceAction
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Short
by Stocks_Mario
Flag + W Pattern Combo on Monthly! | #SagCem On Radar🔍 #OnRadar #SagCem (Sagar Cements Ltd.) 🚩 Flag + W Pattern Combo on Monthly! 📈 Chart Timeframe: Monthly & Quarterly (Educational Observation Only) 📊 Technical Structure Overview: A rare confluence of bullish patterns spotted: 🚩 #FlagPattern — classic continuation structure 🔻🔻 #WPattern (Double Bottom) — bullish reversal signal 🔼 Both developing inside a long-term #AscendingChannel 🎯 Potential Pattern Projections: Flag Target: 560+ W Pattern Target: 450+ 🛡 Support Zones: 255 234–209 (Demand cluster) ❌ Pattern Invalidation: Below 155 on Monthly Closing Basis (MCB) 🧠 Educational Note: When multiple bullish structures align on higher timeframes, they often lead to explosive moves—if validated by breakout and volume. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not a buy/sell recommendation. Shared strictly for educational and technical study purposes. Always consult your financial advisor before acting on any market insights. #PriceAction | #TechnicalAnalysis | #ChartPatterns | #FlagPattern | #Wpattern | #AscendingChannel | #InsideBar | #LongTerm
BSE:SAGCEMLong
by Stocks_Mario
GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H Analysis – Breakout Imminent from Rising Wedge!Gold is currently trading at 3353.39 after completing a well-defined ABCDE rising wedge structure on the 4H chart. The market is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3353–3373 resistance zone, with a potential bearish rejection likely to follow. 🔍 Key Highlights: Pattern: Rising Wedge (ABCDE complete) – a classic bearish reversal setup. Sell Zone: 3353.88 to 3371.62 – Expect high volatility and sharp rejection. Target: 3296.36 – Marked as the first major support zone. Risk Management: Strong R:R setup with invalidation above 3373.93. Heikin Ashi candles show weakening bullish momentum near the top. 📉 What to Watch: If price confirms rejection below 3353 with bearish pressure, a sharp fall toward the 3296 level could follow. Breakout traders and swing traders should stay alert – this could be a textbook move. 📌 Professional Insight: This setup is not just a pattern – it's a psychological battlefield between bulls pushing exhaustion and bears waiting to strike. The next few candles could define the mid-term gold trend. 🚨 Don’t miss this potential opportunity. Mark your levels. Stay disciplined. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #HeikinAshi #BreakoutSetup #SmartTrading #RiskReward #TradingEdge
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Chandigarh_trades
Manorama Industries - Flag Pattern Manorama Industries is consolidating from last 2 months, and is ready to explode as it breakout for a ATH. Other factors: 1. Manorama Industries is into a niche business of making exotic fat / butter from vegetable seeds, which are used in Cosmetics, Chocolates and Confectionary. 2. Sales & Profits are increasing - high demand for its products 3. Next 3-4 years growth strategy ready - a plant in Africa, entering in Cocoa Butter Alternative market. 4. After a long jump, stock is consolidating from last 2 months. Manorama Industries is in a very niche business and its growth strategy is sound to take it to heights. Keep following @Cleaneasycharts for Rights Stocks at Right Time at Right Price!! Cheers!!
NSE:MANORAMALong
by Cleaneasycharts
Aapl📈 NASDAQ:AAPL Weekly Chart Update Apple is forming its third bullish flag since Jan 2023. 🔹 Flags: 1️⃣ Jan 2023 – Feb 2024 2️⃣ May 2024 – Mar 2025 3️⃣ Ongoing since Apr 2025 🔺 A triangle formation from Dec 2024 to Apr 2025 low is also converging. 💥 Breakout level: Weekly close above $216 📉 Stop Loss: $193 (weekly close) 🎯 Target: $305 in coming weeks Technicals point to a strong bullish setup. Keep it on watch! #AAPL #Apple #StockMarket #ChartAnalysis #TradingView
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by SunilDhawan
GLENMMAR PHARMACUITCAL- Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup 📌 Stock: GLENMARK PHARMACUITICALS ( NSE:GLENMARK ) 📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable) 🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1680.00 (Breakout Confirmation) 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1579.00 (Daily Closing Basis) (-6 % Risk) 🎯 Target Levels: ₹1725.65 ₹1775.65 ₹1826.70 ₹1878.45 ₹1926.35 ₹1977.00 (Final Target) Technical Rationale ✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation ✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60 ✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 1.93M vs previous day's 1.16M ✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength Key Observations • The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength • Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout • Conservative stop loss at recent swing low Trade Management Strategy • Consider partial profit booking at each target level • Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved • Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information. What do you think? Are you watching NSE:GLENMARK for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
NSE:GLENMARKLong
by raigvivek
1
Punjab National Bank Flag Breakout Setup📈 Punjab National Bank (PNB) – Flag Breakout Setup Observed a classic flag pattern on the daily chart after a strong pole move in 2023–24. ✅ Breakout above the channel confirmed with price action near 113. ✅ Entry plan: Watch for daily close >113 with volume. ✅ Stop-loss idea: Below 106. ✅ Target 1: 140 (first swing resistance). ✅ Measured move projection targets up to ~198 possible based on full flag pole. Volume confirmation and broader market context will guide the actual trade trigger.
NSE:PNBLong
by Punit190
How to Trade ATH Stocks: Harness Explosive Trends with ADX !(BEL Case Study) NSE:BEL (Daily) - Bull Flag at All-Time Highs 📈 Key Observations ATH Breakout Confirmed: Price smashed through ₹340.50 previos ATH, hitting a historic high of ₹393.50. Consolidation in a tight bull flag (₹378.50–393.50) after a 28.97% surge – classic bullish continuation setup. ADX: Your Trend Compass 🧭 ADX at 43.95 signals a powerful, directional trend (Readings >25 = strong trend; >40 = explosive momentum). Ignore oscillator noise: Trends trump RSI/MACD in parabolic moves. Pattern > Oscillators: Bull Flag Priority: The pattern’s integrity (lower volume consolidation) outweighs short-term RSI(79)/MACD wobbles. 🚀 Trade Strategy: Trend-First Framework ✅ Entry & Targets Trigger: Daily close above ₹393.50 (flag resistance). Add: Retest of ₹393.50 as support. Targets: Short-term: ₹420 (5% above ATH) Measured Move: ₹482 (ATH + pole height: 393.50 + 88.20) ⚔️ Stop-Loss Conservative: ₹378.50 (flag low breach). Aggressive: ₹385 (tight stop, honors consolidation structure). 📊 Position Sizing Risk ≤1% capital per trade. Reward/Risk Ratio: 4:1 (₹482 target vs. ₹378.50 stop). 💡 Why ADX Trumps RSI/MACD at ATHs RSI/MACD are lagging in strong trends: RSI overbought ≠ reversal – it’s fuel for momentum stocks. MACD crosses often "whipsaw" in high-ADX environments (BEL’s ADX >40 invalidates bearish MACD signals). ADX is proactive: "Trends persist until ADX rolls below 30" – Focus on price, not oscillator fears. 🌐 Sector & Fundamental Tailwinds Defense Sector Strength: India’s capex boost; BEL’s order book increasing. Institutional Conviction: FIIs increasing stake. 🛡️ Risk Management Checklist ✅ Trade only on confirmed close above ATH. ✅ Use ADX >40 as a momentum green light. ✅ Trail stops at 20-DMA (₹365) once +10% profit. Chart Markup: Blue line: Bull flag Resistance at ₹393.50. Red Line: Bull Flag Support ₹378.50 ADX(14) subchart with 40+ threshold highlighted. 💎 Final Thought: ATH breakouts are trend accelerators, not tops. BEL’s bull flag + ADX >40 frames a high-probability continuation play. Stick with the trend until ADX says otherwise. Boost this idea if you’re tracking BEL’s breakout! Follow for high-probability ATH trade setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer "This is NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance ≠ future results. Always conduct independent research and consult a SEBI-registered advisor. The author holds no position in BEL at time of publication."
NSE:BELLong
by Alert_Trader
1