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Gold DowntrendBased on the 1-hour chart of gold trading against the USD, I see a few key points for investors to pay attention to. After a strong rally, gold has seen a significant drop, with the price breaking below both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, suggesting that a short-term downtrend may be forming. From a technical perspective, the crossover between the two EMAs has previously been a sign of a trend change, and the current price holding below these lines suggests that selling pressure may continue. This rapid decline could be the result of investors taking profits after the price reached new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Prices Rise Steadily, Testing the 2,658 USD/oz LevelGold prices increased for the third consecutive session, reaching a one-week high of 2,647.43 USD/oz on November 20, supported by its role as a safe-haven asset amid escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine. However, the rally was capped by a recovering USD, making gold more expensive for international buyers. The 2,551 level has been confirmed as strong support after two successful tests, prompting a sharp rebound. The 2,658 level is the next immediate target for prices to break, while the 2,789 zone is the next potential peak if the bullish trend persists. Following a significant correction from the previous high, gold may form a double-bottom pattern around 2,551, signaling strong buying pressure. Currently, prices are testing the 2,658 resistance level and show signs of continuing the upward trend if this level is breached. If a pullback occurs, the 2,652 zone (EMA 34) will serve as an essential support level to watch.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Vanna-Cris
Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Samson here! Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal. Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553. Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement). Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum. Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors... Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
3
My Analysis of EURUSD (1 Hour Chart)Hello everyone, Ascending Channel Formation: Price is moving within a clear ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows forming along the way. This structure suggests a temporary upside correction within the overall downtrend. EMA Dynamics: The 34 EMA (purple) is currently acting as dynamic resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to break higher, as indicated by the red arrows. The 89 EMA (pink) is closely aligned, consolidating the resistance zone and signaling bearish momentum when the price is below these levels. Key Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the channel, near 1.0525, is a key resistance zone. This zone is consistent with the rejection from the EMA and is expected to limit upside momentum. Near-term Price Movement: I expect price to retest this resistance level and potentially fake out in the short term before moving lower. A break of the ascending channel to the downside would confirm a continuation of the decline. Target Level: The initial downside target is around 1.0450, near the middle of the previous range. If the decline continues, I expect the price to fall further towards the support level of 1.0352, which marks the lower boundary of my expected price. Risk Zone: A sustained break above 1.0550 would invalidate my bearish outlook and signal further upside. Conclusion: For now, I am watching how the price reacts at the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the EMA resistance zone. Any rejection or bearish candlestick pattern would confirm my short bias, focusing on the downside targets.
Short
by Bo-Samson
Gold Trading strategy for 28th November 2024Trade Strategy for Gold Current Price 2636.700 USD Buy: Enter a long position when the price moves above 2659 on a one-hour candle close. Sell: Enter a short position when the price drops below 2626 on a one-hour candle close. Support and Resistance Levels Support Levels: 2600: This is the first line of defense where the price might find support and potentially reverse upwards. 2550: If the price falls below 2600, 2550 acts as the next significant support level. 2500: This is a major psychological level that could provide strong support. Resistance Levels: 2700: The initial barrier where the price might encounter resistance and potentially reverse downwards. 2750: If the price breaks above 2700, 2750 becomes the next key resistance level. 2800: This is a significant resistance level that could pose a challenge for further upward movement. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk and it's important to do your own thorough research or consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always consider your risk tolerance and investment goals before engaging in trading activities.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Option and Database TradingThe 80% Rule is a Market Profile concept and strategy. If the market opens (or moves outside of the value area ) and then moves back into the value area for two consecutive 30-min-bars, then the 80% rule states that there is a high probability of completely filling the value area. The defining feature of day trading is that traders do not hold positions overnight; instead, they seek to profit from short-term price movements occurring during the trading session.It can be considered one of the most profitable trading methods available to investors.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Top Trader SetupThe 3 5 7 rule is a risk management strategy in trading that emphasizes limiting risk on each individual trade to 3% of the trading capital, keeping overall exposure to 5% across all trades, and ensuring that winning trades yield at least 7% more profit than losing trades. What is a good setup for day trading? A good day trading setup includes a powerful computer or laptop, high-resolution monitor or monitors, ergonomic desk and chair, reliable charting software, high-speed internet connection, and access to real-time news feeds and stock scanners.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
GBP/USD Strong Bearish TrendWith the price moving below both the Bollinger Bands and the SMA. The expansion of the Bollinger Bands indicates that volatility is increasing, a typical sign in a deep downtrend. The pair has been in a downtrend since October, with new lows being set continuously. The closest support level we can observe is around 1.25730, which the price has recently touched. A break of this level could lead to a further decline, while a positive reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term technical recovery. In the current market environment, based on what I see from the charts and my understanding of the economic factors affecting GBP/USD, my personal view is that the downtrend of the pair is likely to continue. The increased volatility and the price continuously setting new lows are clear signs that selling pressure is taking over. I expect that any price recovery will likely be quickly sold off in the current downtrend. Upcoming economic events and policy statements from Central Banks may provide additional data to assess the pair's outlook in more detail, and I will continue to monitor closely and adjust my trading strategy accordingly.
by Maria_aaa
Gold-> continue to drop to $ 2600. What will happen?Hi guys, Gold prices dropped to their lowest level in a week during the Asian session on Tuesday, although spot prices found some support near the $2,600 mark. Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on environment, coupled with bets for slower Fed rate cuts and rising U.S. Treasury yields, is driving flows out of the safe-haven XAU/USD. Theoretically, any attempt to push gold prices higher may face limitations. Ahead, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release on Wednesday. Technically, gold is attempting to break out of the key range after testing support. If a false break occurs at the 2634 level, a minor correction towards resistance may form. Resistance levels: 2634, 2649, 2663 Support levels: 2618, 2607, 2600 If sellers hold the price below 2630-2634, the bearish momentum could strengthen. However, as the price is testing strong support, a significant reaction could form a false breakout and a correction, potentially targeting levels like 2649-2663 (fibo 0.5), before continuing the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
4
Gold Started the week with Big Bearish Engulfing As predicted in last week posts and on weekly analysis also , gold is moving down and started the week with a big bearish engulfing on daily time frame .On Intraday the resistance area is at 2630-50 (Fib Golden Zone) and under this area we can expect more decline in lower side , In lower side the first support area is at 2562-70 (HVN)(First TP for Sell) and next support area is at Bullish Imbalance zone @ 2530-40 (Second TP for Sell), so selling seems to more favourable for Intra day as of now.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Sideways Trading Amid Lack of TrendOn the 1-hour chart of EUR/USD, the price is trading between the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating a sideways market in the short term. The lack of a strong uptrend or downtrend suggests that investors may be waiting for more data or news that could impact the euro or dollar. From my technical analysis perspective, the market looks like it will continue to trade in the current range until there is more economic data or important political events to establish a clearer trend.
by Maria_aaa
Gold Fluctuates: Geopolitical and Inflation ImpactThe 4-hour gold chart clearly shows the volatility caused by geopolitical and economic events. Gold prices have recovered from lows due to inflation concerns from the new US tax policy, indicating that safe-haven demand for gold remains strong. Currently, the key support level is at $2,603/oz, with resistance at $2,634/oz. Any break of these two levels will indicate the next direction for gold prices. Market Comment: Based on technical analysis and current situation, I expect gold prices to increase in the short term. Inflation concerns from the new US tax measures could weaken the USD, supporting gold prices. If prices hold above $2,603/oz and continue to react positively, I expect a further rally, possibly reaching or exceeding $2,634/oz.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Momentum ResumesEUR/USD is dominated by a long-term downtrend, with technical factors and market sentiment leaning towards the sellers. The possibility of the price breaking the 1.0430 support is not small, especially in the context that traders are waiting for clear signals from upcoming major economic events. Investors need to closely follow the price movements at important technical zones to make appropriate decisions, as EUR/USD is approaching a pivotal moment of the trend.
Short
by Bo-Samson
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?Hi guys, OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing... Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed. The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets. This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week. Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically: Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650 Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750 Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
3
Possible Test of Major SupportThe EUR/USD chart shows a clear bearish trend, with the price moving within a steady downtrend channel, being pushed down after each approach to the upper line of the channel. Recently, it seems that the price has tested the resistance level in the resistance area but failed and was rejected strongly, which shows the strength of the selling pressure in this price area. From the current price position, the next important support point is located at around 1.03500. If the price continues to decline and breaks this support level, it could lead to a deeper decline. Overall, the current trend for EUR/USD is negative, and traders should be wary of the possibility of further declines. Keeping a close eye on the support and resistance levels will help determine the appropriate times to enter or exit the market.
by Maria_aaa
Gold at Resistance : A sell opportunity ?Yesterday, gold traded higher and closed the day in the positive territory . Today, Gold price climbs extending its gains for the fourth straight day. On the Intra day chart, Gold is now trading above weekly Resistance 1 (2653). Technically price is at resistance area and trading near to Fib golden zone , this area is perfect reversal zone but the geopolitical evens (War) currently pushing the price higher , for sell we need good confirmation from these resistance area. Today Initial Jobless Claims are expected to rise from 217K to 220K for the week ending November 16 and that can add volatility so we have to watch the reaction accordingly. Selling seems to be more favourable now for Intra day and for buy we have to look for lower levels but selling need to be assessed with good money management as gold is currently getting safe-haven demand for buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
New Gold Mine in China: Aftershocks in the Gold MarketWhen analyzing the daily gold chart, I noticed that a long-term uptrend has been reversed with a clear break below the rising channel line. This tells me that the market may be preparing for a new bearish phase. This decline occurred even as there was news from the US and other major economies on inflation and monetary policy, which would normally have a strong impact on gold prices. In addition, China's discovery of a gold mine with estimated reserves of over 1,000 tonnes in Hunan province is not only a geological event but could also be a major mover in the global gold market. With gold prices failing to hold the 34 EMA and falling further, the next support area I see is around $2,520 to $2,560/ounce. This will be a key point to see if gold will continue its downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Trading Strategy for 25th November 2024Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Above 2,725 / Sell Below 2,694 Current Price: 2,716.335 USD Key Levels: Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,725 on the one-hour candle, it indicates an upward momentum, suggesting a good time to consider buying. Sell Signal: If the price closes below 2,694 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a downward momentum, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 2,750 and 2,766 Support: 2,684 and 2,662 Market Analysis: The current price is around 2,716.335 USD, indicating potential for both bullish and bearish activity based on the key levels. Pay close attention to the range between 2,694 to 2,725 for support and resistance levels. Recommendations: Buy: If the price sustains above 2,725 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book partial profits at 2,735 or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,750 and 2,766. Sell: If the price breaks below 2,694 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book partial profits at 2,785 or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 2,680 and 2,662. Disclaimer: This trading strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets, including gold, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite before making any trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and seek advice from a qualified financial advisor before investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Deep Downtrend and Gap AnalysisThe GBP/USD 4-hour chart shows a clear downtrend, with price consistently moving below both the 34 and 89 exponential moving averages (EMAs), which is a clear indication of the strength of the current downtrend. These EMAs are also acting as strong resistance levels, preventing any further price recovery. From the chart, it appears that a gap has been created during the price decline. In the short term, if price starts moving back to “fill the gap” and breaks above this level, it could signal a reversal or at least some stabilization before resuming the current trend. However, if price continues to fall and fails to return to fill the gap, this would further reinforce the downtrend and could test lower support levels.
by Maria_aaa
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD The breakout of the local downtrend channel has disadvantaged sellers. The fundamental background is changing, despite continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-off environment, which overall favors gold as a safe-haven asset during times of crisis. The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities. Despite the optimism around the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions may consolidate for sellers before further strengthening. Technically, gold has every opportunity to retest the boundaries of the previously broken channel. However, based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue. Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
Gap Analysis and Gap Filling PotentialThe EUR/USD chart shows a gap, which occurs when the price jumps across a certain range without any trading taking place between the two prices. Currently, the price pattern suggests that there is a possibility of a gap filling, meaning that the price could move back to fill the gap in the near future. This usually happens when the market reacts to a sudden and unsustainable price move. The gap filling is likely to occur if EUR/USD continues to decline and approaches the key support level at 1.0400, a point where many traders may use to re-price or place new buy orders. This is an important move to watch, as it could influence the short-term trend and momentum of the market.
by Maria_aaa