USDJPY - RETEST OF RESISTANCE BEFORE FURTHER FALLSymbol - USDJPY
The USD/JPY pair has disrupted the previous bullish market structure, with the U.S. dollar currently in a correction phase, which positively impacts the market. The pair is approaching a retest of the trendline that was recently broken, following a strong impulse move.
On Thursday, the Japanese yen reached a 10-week high, causing the USDJPY pair to decline to 149.50 This move is attributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets amidst escalating trade tensions, driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies. Additionally, the yen has gained further strength, bolstered by market expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, making the currency more attractive to investors.
At present, attention is focused on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance zone at 150.95, as well as the previously broken upward support level.
Key Support Levels: 149.50, 148.64
Key Resistance Levels: 150.95, 151.40
It is likely that the price will first test the previously broken support zone, now acting as resistance between 150.95 and 151.40, before any potential decline. A false breakout of these critical Fibonacci zones could lead to further downward movement in the pair.
Forexmarket
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Smart Money Perspective
Current Market Bias: Bearish
The price action indicates that the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows being formed. Despite recent bullish retracements, the price has failed to break key resistance levels, signaling that sellers remain in control.
Key Areas on the Chart:
1. Order Block (OB) & Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone:
• The highlighted gray zone represents an order block (OB), which is a supply area where institutions likely placed large sell orders.
• The presence of a fair value gap (FVG) within this zone indicates an inefficiency in price, making it a strong area for potential reversals.
• Price recently tapped into this area and reacted downward, confirming bearish momentum.
2. Liquidity Grab Possibility:
• The lower dashed line represents a previous swing low, where liquidity (stop-loss orders) is likely resting.
• Smart Money often seeks liquidity before reversing or continuing trends.
• There is a high probability that price will sweep this low before any potential bullish move occurs.
3. Market Structure Shift for a Bullish Setup:
• Although the bias remains bearish, a market structure shift (MSS) is required before considering any long (buy) setups.
• A key level to watch is 1.05351, where a break above could signal a reversal.
• Until then, selling pressure is likely to dominate.
Conclusion & Trade Plan:
• Bearish bias remains active.
• Price might sweep the previous low to grab liquidity before a potential reversal.
• A confirmed market structure shift above 1.05351 is required for bullish confirmation.
• Until that happens, traders should focus on shorting opportunities near supply zones or order blocks.
Final Thought:
By following Smart Money Concepts (SMC), traders can align their trades with institutional movements. Patience is key—wait for confirmations before entering positions. Keep an eye on liquidity sweeps and market structure shifts for the best trade setups.
HOW LIQUIDITY WORKS!In trading, liquidity refers to how quickly and easily an asset can be bought or sold in the market without significantly affecting its price. It reflects the availability of buyers and sellers and the volume of trading activity for a particular asset.
Key Aspects of Liquidity:
1. High Liquidity:
The asset can be traded easily with minimal price changes.
Common in popular markets like major stocks (e.g., Apple, Tesla), forex pairs (e.g., EUR/USD), and widely traded cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin).
2. Low Liquidity:
It’s harder to find buyers or sellers, leading to potential delays or price changes during transactions.
Common in niche markets, lesser-known stocks, or illiquid crypto tokens
Importance in Trading:
Efficient Price Discovery: High liquidity ensures prices reflect market demand and supply.
Lower Risk: Traders face less risk of slippage (unintended price changes during execution) in liquid markets.
Flexibility: Allows traders to enter or exit positions quickly, especially important for day traders and scalpers.
In summary, liquidity is crucial for smooth and cost-effective trading.
#Stockmarketeducation
TCS FOR SWING TRADETCS Swing Trade Idea
Timeframe: Weekly
Observation:
TCS has entered a strong demand zone on the weekly chart, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of an upward trend. The price action suggests that buyers are actively defending this zone, providing a solid risk-to-reward opportunity.
Analysis:
Demand Zone: Clearly visible on the weekly timeframe, supported by historical price reactions.
Volume Profile: Higher buying volumes observed near the demand zone, adding conviction.
Risk-Reward Setup: Place a stop-loss slightly below the demand zone with targets at key resistance levels (based on Fibonacci or previous highs).
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please do your due diligence before trading.
CHF/JPY Analysis: Potential Reversal SetupIn this chart, I'm analyzing a potential bullish reversal in the CHF/JPY pair after a downward trend. The price has been moving within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish sentiment. However, it recently hit a strong demand zone between 174.100 and 174.200, where buyers seem to have stepped in, pushing the price upward.
Technical Observations:
Breakout of Descending Channel: The price has broken out of the descending channel, which could signal a reversal of the downtrend.
Demand Zone Support: The green zones between 174.100 and 174.400 acted as support, creating a base for buyers to initiate an upward movement.
Target Levels: If the breakout is sustained, my first target is around the 174.685 level, with a secondary target at 174.920, and 175.160 as final target which aligns with previous resistance levels.
Stop-Loss: I've set my stop-loss below the demand zone at 174.093 to protect against potential downside risk if the breakout fails and price re-enters the channel.
Trading Plan: I'm looking for a potential long position here, with the breakout from the channel acting as a confirmation for a bullish move. Watching for strong buying momentum to sustain, I’ll look to manage the trade carefully with a close eye on any signs of reversal back into the channel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
AUDMXN - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - AUDMXN
AUDMXN is currently trading at 13.32
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting AUDMXN pair at CMP 13.32
I will add more quantity at 13.50, if comes & Holding with SL 13.65
Targets I'm expecting are 12.91 - 12.40 & 12.00
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
CNXIT BULLISH !
1. Resistance Breakout:
- The index has historically faced selling pressure at 38,653 - 38,405 Zone, causing it to reverse or pause its upward movement.
- When a stock breaks above a strong resistance level, it means that buying demand has overwhelmed the selling pressure at that price point. This breakout is a positive sign, indicating that the chart may move higher, especially if it is a clean break (i.e., it closes significantly above the resistance level).
- The **strength of the breakout** is often measured by the volume of trading activity. If the breakout occurs on **high volume*, it indicates that a large number of market participants are involved, adding credibility to the When a stock breaks through a strong resistance level and retests that level with good volume, it can signal a strong bullish move. Here's a detailed breakdown:
2. Retest of the Resistance Level:
- After the breakout, it’s common to see a retest of the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support level. This retest occurs as some traders may take profits, or there may be some temporary selling pressure as the market re-evaluates the new price.
- If the stock successfully holds above the previous resistance (now support) on the retest, it confirms that the breakout was valid. This gives bulls (buyers) more confidence that the level will hold and that the stock has further upside potential.
3. Volume Confirmation:
- A retest with good volume is essential. If the stock holds the new support on strong volume, it signals that buyers are stepping in to defend the level, further reinforcing the idea that the stock is in a bullish phase.
- Conversely, if the retest occurs on low volume, it may indicate a lack of conviction from buyers, and the breakout may be prone to failure.
4. Bullish Expectations:
- When a stock breaks out of resistance and successfully retests it with strong volume, the expectation is that the stock will enter a new bullish trend. The prior resistance has now been transformed into a solid base of support, and the stock may experience momentum buying, pushing prices higher.
- Traders often see this scenario as a low-risk, high-reward setup. Their stop-loss would typically be placed just below the new support level, while the upside target could be based on previous price patterns, such as Fibonacci extensions or previous highs.
5.Target :
- it is on its all-time high targets on fib zones,pivots 0r based on future price action basis.
# Summary:
- **Breakout of strong resistance Indicates potential for higher prices.
- **Retest of resistance as support Confirms strength of the move if support holds.
- **Good volume on retest: Adds confidence in the bullish move.
- **Bullish expectation Likely continuation of the upward trend.
This combination forms a high-probability bullish setup in technical analysis.
#cnxit #itsector #nifty
USDTHB - TRADE ON LONG SIDE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - USDTHB
USDTHB is currently trading at 34.90
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USDTHB pair at 34.90
I will be adding more if 34.50 & 34.20 comes & will hold with SL of 33.95
Targets I'm expecting are 35.80 - 36.35
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDSGD - LONG TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - USDSGD
USDSGD is currently trading at 1.3150
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USDSGD pair at 1.3150
I will be adding more if 1.3080 comes & will hold with SL 1.3030
Targets I'm expecting are 1.3385 - 1.3560
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
CHFMXN - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - CHFMXN
CHFMXN is currently trading at 23.37
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting CHFMXN pair at CMP 23.37
Holding with SL 23.70
Targets I'm expecting are 22.70 - 22.20 & 21.75
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
CADCHF - SWING TRADE ON LONG SIDE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - CADCHF
CADCHF is currently trading at 0.63500
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying CADCHF pair at CMP 0.63500
I will be adding more if 0.63200 comes & will hold with SL of 0.62900
Targets I'm expecting are 0.64700 - 0.65350
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
AUDCHF - POSITIONAL LONG TRADE IN FOREX FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - AUDCHF
AUDCHF is currently trading at 0.57300
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying AUDCHF pair at CMP 0.57300
I will be adding more if 0.56900 comes & will hold with SL of 0.56500
Targets I'm expecting are 0.58950 - 0.59550
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
EURJPYSHOING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDEURJPYSHOING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction
niw it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will bost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout
BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capital
follow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a better trader
thank you
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction
niw it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will bost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout
BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capital
follow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a better trad
EURCHF - Short Trade IdeaSymbol - EURCHF
EURCHF is currently trading at 0.97300
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting EURCHF pair at CMP 0.97300
I will be adding more if 0.97550 comes & will hold with SL of 0.97800
Targets I'm expecting are 0.96300 - 0.96000
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NZDCAD - TIME TO GO SHORT ?Symbol - NZDCAD
NZDCAD is currently trading at 0.84600
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting NZDCAD pair at CMP 0.84600
I will be adding more if 0.85000 comes & will hold with SL of 0.85300
Targets I'm expecting are 0.83500 - 0.82900
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Gold holds high around peakGold costs are predicted to growth due to the fact hobby prices will decrease and the USD will weaken. Gold costs are trying out degrees above 2,four hundred USD/ounce. Indicators display that gold costs have an upward trend.
Gold costs are predicted to preserve to growth withinside the close to future. Gold rate for August shipping is coming near 2,four hundred USD/ounce.
World gold rate opened at the start of the week at 2,326.seventy two USD/ounce, preserving withinside the variety of 15 USD on Monday and Tuesday sessions. On Wednesday, a chain of monetary records announced, global gold rate elevated to 2,363.77
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) remains the point of interest of interest. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified with the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee.
The marketplace may also pay near interest to americaA CPI in June, weekly unemployment claims, and the University of Michigan`s initial survey of patron sentiment.
CADCHF - TRADE ON LONG SIDESymbol - CADCHF
CADCHF is currently trading at 0.65000
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying CADCHF pair at CMP 0.65000
I will be adding more if 0.64500 comes & will hold with SL of 0.63900
Targets I'm expecting are 0.66100 & 0.66480
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Gold is still in a strong uptrendGold costs rose greater than 1.0% on Thursday, way to a pointy drop in US authorities bond yields after records at the US hard work marketplace became released. Specifically, the range of packages for unemployment blessings withinside the 2nd week of November improved better than expected, achieving 231,000, better than the forecast of 220,000. The range of humans receiving unemployment blessings additionally amazed while it improved to 1,865,000 - the very best in almost years, displaying the problem of the United States activity marketplace.
Gold costs rose sharply yesterday, overcoming critical resistance lasting from 1,975-1,980 USD. If the upward momentum is maintained, the charge ought to upward push to the $2,010-2,1/2 area, in addition to $2,060 withinside the coming days.
Gold price will surpass 2,350 USD/ounce in July.Gold prices rose more than 1.0% on Thursday, thanks to a sharp drop in US government bond yields after data on the US labor market was released. Specifically, the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the second week of November increased higher than expected, reaching 231,000, higher than the forecast of 220,000. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits also surprised when it increased to 1,865,000 - the highest in nearly two years, showing the difficulty of the US job market.
Gold prices rose sharply yesterday, overcoming important resistance lasting from 1,975-1,980 USD. If the upward momentum is maintained, the price could rise to the $2,010-2,015 area, further to $2,060 in the coming days.
Gold is waiting for market fluctuationsGold costs will remain caught until "some thing shakes up the marketplace as a whole."
to get better again to 2,340 USD/ounce. This absolutely offset final week`s losses.
Investors need to now no longer promote at the moment due to the fact "in case you are preserving gold long-term, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce".
maximum humans are having impartial predictions gold
The US economic system is slowing down, inflation is vulnerable and americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) is much less dovish. These affects lessen call for for gold, that may cause a huge promote-off.
If you're preserving gold, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce.
The marketplace might also additionally have few transactions, because of this that the hazard of big fluctuations. Geopolitical trends consisting of escalation in Ukraine or the Middle East ought to disrupt the marketplace, Grady said.
XAU price will continue to be stuckGold prices will continue to be stuck until "something shakes up the market as a whole."
to recover back to 2,340 USD/ounce. This fully offset last week's losses.
Investors should not sell at this time because "if you are holding gold long-term, there is no reason to sell because the price is still above 2,200 USD/ounce".
XAU rises despite weak US economic dataUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month.
Keeping policy rates steady “for a while” may be enough to control inflation, but reiterate “a readiness to increase borrowing costs if necessary”.
Analysts say that world gold prices will likely find it difficult to break out in the short term, at least until there is clearer information about the Fed's monetary policy.
The weakening USD has pushed gold prices up above 2,300 USD
According to some experts, this is a way of pricing based on factors that do not yet exist. If the AI craze continues and the market bubble has not burst, the current price may still be considered cheap compared to future growth potential. However, because this index depends on expectations, the final results are still highly subjective.