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USDJPY Vulnerable to Deep Pullback After Wave 5USDJPY has completed a full 5-wave rising structure inside a clear wedge pattern, which usually signals exhaustion. The final Wave (5) shows weakening momentum, and price is beginning to slip below the wedge support — an early sign that the trend may be reversing. This suggests the pair is likely entering a deeper corrective decline, potentially retracing toward 150 or lower in an impulsive A-B-C move. In simple terms: uptrend looks tired → wedge breakdown could trigger a strong downside correction. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Short
by Money_Dictators
EUR/JPY Sell Momentum BuildsEUR/JPY has officially transitioned into a sell-side trend following clear exhaustion of its previous bullish cycle. The market structure shows consecutive lower highs and strong downside displacement, confirming that sellers are now in control of short-term momentum. Recent liquidity sweeps above prior highs were quickly rejected, signaling institutional distribution and profit-taking. Order flow dynamics continue to favor the downside, with bearish impulses showing higher efficiency than any corrective rebounds. Momentum and sentiment both align with sustained selling pressure. The pair is operating within a redistribution phase, and the market tone remains defensive as participants seek lower value zones. Overall outlook: Bearish bias remains dominant. The market is expected to extend lower while maintaining controlled volatility until meaningful demand re-enters the market.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
EUR/USD Outlook: Buyers Regain ControlThe EUR/USD market is beginning to show early signs of recovery momentum as sentiment gradually turns constructive. After an extended period of controlled weakness, the pair is attracting renewed interest from institutional participants positioning for a potential upward rotation in the coming sessions. Market tone has shifted from defensive to cautiously optimistic. Liquidity distribution across recent sessions indicates accumulation behavior at lower price zones, often a precursor to a bullish transition. Traders appear to be building exposure in anticipation of improved Euro-area sentiment and potential easing of dollar strength, both of which may provide the foundation for a broader corrective advance. Price action suggests that selling pressure is losing effectiveness as downside extensions are quickly absorbed. The slowdown in bearish momentum combined with increased buying participation signals a developing phase of re-accumulation, where stronger hands begin to dominate short-term flows. Confidence is gradually improving, supported by expectations that market equilibrium is tilting back toward Euro favor. While volatility remains moderate, structural patterns imply that the market may be preparing for a sentiment-driven expansion to the upside. The tone of order flow has shifted toward buy-side liquidity, pointing to a constructive environment for continuation of the upward phase once momentum fully confirms. In summary, EUR/USD appears to be entering the early stage of a bullish rotation characterized by accumulation, strengthening sentiment, and declining downside conviction. The pair is poised for potential medium-term appreciation as market positioning aligns with renewed optimism toward the Euro’s relative outlook.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
EURUSD Outlook: Dollar Dominance Extends as Euro WeakensThe EURUSD pair remains under downward pressure as investors continue favoring the U.S. dollar amid global economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve’s consistent stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer has reinforced the dollar’s appeal, while weak Eurozone data — including sluggish industrial output and fading consumer confidence — has weighed on the euro’s recovery. Market sentiment shows limited bullish strength for the euro, with traders closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation and ECB policy comments. Unless the Eurozone presents stronger economic momentum or fiscal support, the euro is likely to remain on the defensive. Overall, the fundamental tone supports continued USD dominance. The broader market structure reflects bearish tendencies for EURUSD in the medium term, with investors preferring dollar exposure as a safer bet amid global uncertainty.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations: The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level. A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723. A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum. The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement. The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context 📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS. 📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 . 📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority) 🎯 Entry: FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593 FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560 OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540 ⛔ SL: below 3520 ✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High) ✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740 2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend) Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break. 🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680 ✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567 ⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long. 3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario) If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated. 🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500 Captain’s Note ⚓ “The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – FED, Tariffs & NFP Today | Captain Vincent🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News The probability of a FED rate cut in September has risen to 99.4% (from 96.6%) → almost certain. FED’s Cook is under fraud investigation , combined with weak prior economic data → further strengthens momentum for Gold. US–Japan deal : US reduces chip import tariffs to 15%, in return Japan invests 550B USD + purchases 8B USD in agricultural products. Although positive, it does not change the main outlook as markets remain focused on interest rates & inflation. Trump : Threatens tariffs on all chip/semis companies not entering the US → raises geopolitical concerns. NFP & Unemployment Rate (UR) tonight at 19:30 → key event, may trigger strong volatility. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Capital flow still leans towards BUY Gold thanks to FED rate cut expectations, but short-term shakeouts may occur before/after the news. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis M30 BOS: Gold has just formed a Break of Structure, overall trend remains bullish. Captain’s Shield (Support): 3484 – 3486 (Main Buy Zone). Storm Breaker (Resistance): 3575 – 3593 (aligned with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618). If it breaks 3591 – 3593 → pathway to new ATH 3608 – 3610 or higher. If it fails at Storm Breaker → price may retest Golden Harbor (3484) before bouncing back. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3484 – 3486 SL: 3478 TP: 3490 → 3493 → 3497 → 3505 → 35xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term) Entry: 3575 – 3577 SL: 3585 TP: 3570 → 3565 → 3560 → 3555 → 35xx 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Resistance) Entry: 3591 – 3593 SL: 3600 TP: 3588 → 3585 → 3580 → 3575 → 35xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship sails smoothly as FED is almost certain to cut rates in September. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3484) is the safe anchorage to continue riding the bullish tide. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3575–3593) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main current still carries us North.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
AUDJPY – High Probability Short Setup (15M) 📊 Market Insight: AUDJPY has broken intraday structure and is now retracing into the 95.44 – 95.60 supply zone. This level is key for potential downside continuation. 🔑 Setup Details: Supply Zone: 95.44 – 95.60 Entry Zone: 95.40 – 95.55 (confirmation required) Targets: TP1: 95.00 TP2: 94.85 – 94.90 Stop Loss: Above 95.60 🎯 Trading Approach: I look for rejection or bearish confirmation candles before entering. Strict stop-loss placement and structured exits ensure controlled exposure, a must in fund management. ⚖️ Risk Management Philosophy: Every trade is positioned with calculated risk allocation to safeguard client capital while compounding returns. Consistency and discipline form the backbone of my strategy. 📩 For Managed Accounts & Professional Trading Guidance insta@ the_sohailarhaan
Long
by sohail1811
🇮🇳 Gold Under Pressure | Key Levels to Watch TodayGold continues to move in line with our weekly outlook. Despite strong rebounds from liquidity zones, the market still faces heavy selling pressure, unable to break out of the 335x – 336x resistance area. With no major news events scheduled today, price action is expected to remain within range, making KeyLevels the most important zones to trade from. 📌 Trading Bias Today Priority remains on SELL setups at upper resistance zones. Adjust entries slightly for better risk–reward. For BUY positions, wait for deeper entries to avoid liquidity sweeps around 333x – 332x, which have been tested multiple times recently. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3346 – 3357 – 3370 – 3383 Support: 3324 – 3316 – 3309 📌 Trading Plan for India Traders ✅ BUY Zone: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 – 3324 – 3328 – 3332 – 3336 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360+ ✅ SELL Zone: 3356 – 3358 SL: 3362 TP: 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 – 3330 – 3320 ⚠️ Summary Gold remains inside a bearish channel, waiting for a clear breakout. Until major news like the FOMC hits, expect sideways price action within today’s KeyLevels. 👉 Watch reactions closely around 333x – 336x for the next potential move. Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis 1. Rising Channel Structure Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely. 2. Support & Resistance Confluence The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs. 3. Harmonic Pattern in Play The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C. 4. Trade Scenarios Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500). Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A. 🛠️ Technical & Market Context Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range . Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor . ✅ Trade Strategy Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320) Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380) Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360) 🔍 Summary Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380 Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles). This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance. 2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance. This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal. 3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines): If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline. The projected path targets several support levels: 0.65003 0.64647 0.64213 0.63957 Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May. 4. Support & Resistance Zones: Resistance Levels: 0.65380 (Major) 0.65003 Support Levels (Sequential Targets): 0.64647 0.64213 0.63957 0.63627 5. Confluence with Fundamentals: U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move. ✅ Summary & Trading Implications: Bias: Bearish below 0.65380 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation. Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels. Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
NZDUSD - APPROACHING KEY LIQUIDITY & RESISTANCE ZONESymbol - NZDUSD CMP - 0.6017 NZDUSD rebounds from the ascending support line, initiating a distribution phase toward the liquidity zone situated above 0.6030 A significant resistance zone is observed between 0.6020 and 0.6030, corresponding to a liquidity pool. Should the current distribution pattern persist, the market may reach a state of exhaustion, potentially resulting in a false breakout. The market currently lacks a clear trend and remains range-bound, indicating that prevailing bearish pressure could impede further upward movement. Resistance levels: 0.6030 Support levels: 0.5969, 0.5932 In the context of a weakening US dollar, the currency pair may sustain its upward trajectory and test the 0.6030 level in the near term. However, considering the structural nature of the current price action, a downward correction appears probable thereafter.
Short
by akshit_official
2
NZDJPY - FALSE BREAKOUT IN PLAYSymbol - NZDJPY CMP - 87.21 NZDJPY is encountering resistance within the context of a broader downtrend. The pair appears unprepared to sustain upward momentum and is currently exhibiting signs of a potential local reversal. Within the framework of the prevailing global downtrend, the currency pair is undergoing a corrective countertrend movement and is currently testing the resistance level at 87.40, The liquidity concentration situated above this threshold has not yet permitted a continuation of the upward move. In the absence of sufficient bullish momentum, the price has reverted back into the established range, forming a false breakout above resistance. Given that the pair remains within the range and has returned below the resistance boundary, sustained bearish pressure at the 87.40 level (the upper limit of the trading range) could initiate a renewed decline, thus resuming the overarching downtrend. Key Resistance Level: 87.40 Key Support Levels: 86.50, 85.26 A confirmed consolidation of the price below the 87.40 resistance level would reinforce the view that bullish continuation is not imminent. Additionally, the weakening US Dollar Index is contributing to strength in the Japanese Yen, which may exert further downward pressure on the NZDJPY pair.
Short
by akshit_official
EURAUD EYES A REBOUND - CAN THE BULLS HOLD THE SUPPORT?Symbol - EURAUD Amid a broader global bullish trend, the EURAUD pair is currently undergoing a corrective phase, approaching the support zone of the established trading range. Market participants are observing efforts by buyers to defend the 1.7750 level. The pair remains within a broad consolidation range. Price action near the lower boundary has exhibited signs of a false breakout and subsequent liquidity absorption, which could potentially trigger a rebound toward the midpoint of the range or even a move toward the upper resistance levels. Sustained consolidation above the 1.7750 mark, coupled with the emergence of a local reversal pattern, may serve as a catalyst for renewed upward momentum. While the overarching trend remains bullish, the current move reflects a local correction. Fundamentally, conditions remain uncertain. However, the US Dollar Index continues to correct after a recent sharp decline. Key Resistance Levels: 1.7855, 1.7987 Key Support Levels: 1.7750, 1.7695 Should bullish momentum prevail and price remain above the critical 1.7750 support - marking the lower boundary of the range, there is potential for a rebound targeting liquidity pools situated above resistance levels.
Long
by akshit_official
3
GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Elliott Wave Mapping the Next MoveThis GBP/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis. Wave (1) and (2): The market had an impulsive bullish movement in Wave 1, followed by a corrective Wave 2. Wave (3): A strong bullish move with momentum. Wave (4): A corrective phase, forming a triangle pattern (a-b-c-d-e), which suggests the market is preparing for another impulsive leg. Entry Confirmation: A breakout above the triangle pattern. First Target: 1.31457 (Fibonacci 0.382) Second Target: 1.32105 (Fibonacci 0.5)
by Money_Dictators
3
Gold view on 02 april (entry model explain in description)Hello It's a jayesh balar. in this entry model requirement in uptrend 2 lover high and down trend 2 highr low in uptrend when market create 2 lover high then mark this two low and and find this gap range and then copy this range apd past 2nd low when market comes down next time touch this range high point and show some rejection you can enter and range low point is your SL same as a down trend. (This model interesting point is this give unlimited time entry this model only failed when market try to shifting trend) And my English was so bad so i know this description is not that much good so if you doubt anything you can comment your questions If you have a any "Questions" Ask me in comment
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jayeshbalar48
EURAUD - IS THE DOWNTREND ABOUT TO KICK OFF?Symbol - EURAUD The EURAUD pair is currently testing a key resistance level on the weekly chart. A false breakout has occurred following a liquidity sweep, with no apparent continuation of the bullish trend. Additionally, the chart is displaying a familiar pin-bar reversal pattern. After the price exited the consolidation range, which was capped by the 1.6787 resistance level, a distribution pattern began to form, targeting liquidity located just above the weekly resistance at 1.7196. This target has now been reached, and the price is consolidating beneath the base of the reversal structure, signaling the potential for further downward movement. There is a likelihood of either liquidation or a downward impulse toward the 1.7100 - 1.7000 zone. The forex market has exhibited a relatively calm demeanor since the week's opening, allowing technical factors to dominate market behavior until fundamental influences come into play. Key resistance levels: 1.7196, 1.7304 Key support levels: 1.7107, 1.7016 Interest lies in the areas just below the local lows; however, from a technical standpoint, the market is primarily focused on liquidity beyond the 1.6787 level. Given that there are no significant barriers beneath 1.7016, a break of this support would likely open up a clear path towards the next liquidity zone.
Short
by akshit_official
4
GOLD MARKET UPDATE – IS THE NEXT LEG DOWN COMING?🔥 GOLD BREAKS DOWN – MORE DOWNSIDE BEFORE A BIG MOVE? 🔥 📌 Market Overview As anticipated in yesterday’s analysis, Gold has broken down from its long-term sideways range. Based on the current price action, I still expect another leg down toward the 285X zone, before a potential strong rebound. For now, the priority remains on SELL setups as long as the breakdown holds. 👉 Market sentiment is cautious as investors look to take profits and avoid unnecessary risks ahead of key U.S. inflation data. 📊 FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS IMPACTING GOLD 💡 Trump’s Tariff Policies & Market Uncertainty U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a new 25% tariff on imports from Mexico & Canada on March 4th, along with additional tariffs on Chinese goods. Just two days later, he partially reversed the decision, suspending tariffs on Mexican imports and certain Canadian products for one month. This inconsistency in policy is increasing market volatility, making Gold a preferred safe-haven asset. 💡 Investors Holding Back Ahead of U.S. Inflation Reports Traders are hesitant to take aggressive positions before key U.S. inflation figures are released. If inflation comes in higher than expected, the USD may strengthen, pushing Gold lower. If inflation data is weaker, Gold could regain momentum and head towards new ATH levels. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 🔹 Major Resistance Levels: 2,905 - 2,912 - 2,919 - 2,927 🔻 Major Support Levels: 2,866 - 2,858 - 2,845 - 2,825 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🔵 BUY ZONE: 2,846 - 2,844 📍 SL: 2,840 🎯 TP: 2,850 - 2,854 - 2,858 - 2,862 - 2,866 🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,825 - 2,827 📍 SL: 2,830 🎯 TP: 2,820 - 2,816 - 2,812 - 2,808 - 2,800 ⚡️ CONCLUSION 📌 Gold remains in a downtrend after breaking out of its previous range – watch for further downside before a strong bounce. 📌 Investors are cautious ahead of inflation data, and Trump’s tariff policies continue to create market uncertainty. 📌 Stick to TP/SL to protect your capital & avoid unnecessary risks! 💬 What’s your take? Will Gold drop further before rebounding? Let me know in the comments! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
USDJPY - RETEST OF RESISTANCE BEFORE FURTHER FALLSymbol - USDJPY The USD/JPY pair has disrupted the previous bullish market structure, with the U.S. dollar currently in a correction phase, which positively impacts the market. The pair is approaching a retest of the trendline that was recently broken, following a strong impulse move. On Thursday, the Japanese yen reached a 10-week high, causing the USDJPY pair to decline to 149.50 This move is attributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets amidst escalating trade tensions, driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies. Additionally, the yen has gained further strength, bolstered by market expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, making the currency more attractive to investors. At present, attention is focused on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance zone at 150.95, as well as the previously broken upward support level. Key Support Levels: 149.50, 148.64 Key Resistance Levels: 150.95, 151.40 It is likely that the price will first test the previously broken support zone, now acting as resistance between 150.95 and 151.40, before any potential decline. A false breakout of these critical Fibonacci zones could lead to further downward movement in the pair.
Short
by akshit_official
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Smart Money Perspective Current Market Bias: Bearish The price action indicates that the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows being formed. Despite recent bullish retracements, the price has failed to break key resistance levels, signaling that sellers remain in control. Key Areas on the Chart: 1. Order Block (OB) & Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone: • The highlighted gray zone represents an order block (OB), which is a supply area where institutions likely placed large sell orders. • The presence of a fair value gap (FVG) within this zone indicates an inefficiency in price, making it a strong area for potential reversals. • Price recently tapped into this area and reacted downward, confirming bearish momentum. 2. Liquidity Grab Possibility: • The lower dashed line represents a previous swing low, where liquidity (stop-loss orders) is likely resting. • Smart Money often seeks liquidity before reversing or continuing trends. • There is a high probability that price will sweep this low before any potential bullish move occurs. 3. Market Structure Shift for a Bullish Setup: • Although the bias remains bearish, a market structure shift (MSS) is required before considering any long (buy) setups. • A key level to watch is 1.05351, where a break above could signal a reversal. • Until then, selling pressure is likely to dominate. Conclusion & Trade Plan: • Bearish bias remains active. • Price might sweep the previous low to grab liquidity before a potential reversal. • A confirmed market structure shift above 1.05351 is required for bullish confirmation. • Until that happens, traders should focus on shorting opportunities near supply zones or order blocks. Final Thought: By following Smart Money Concepts (SMC), traders can align their trades with institutional movements. Patience is key—wait for confirmations before entering positions. Keep an eye on liquidity sweeps and market structure shifts for the best trade setups.
Short
by Trade_lyst
5