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Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market? The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements. Influence Of the Global Events: The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role: - Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows. - Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence. - Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment. What Happens When News Is Published? When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events: Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations. Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs. Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders. Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend. Major Events: Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends. Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it. Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble. GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation. Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF. One's Loss, Another's Win: When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro. For example, ---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop. ---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro. Key strategies for trading events: •Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news. • Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react. • Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves. • Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend. • Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike. Drawbacks of Trading News: High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting. Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs. Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices. Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses. Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases. In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
Education
by forextidings
GBPUSD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARDGBPUSD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD A good selling setup detected on GBPUSD It's showing a BEAR MOVE due to these reason 1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here 2. It's ready to break the neckline 3. In day chat it's showing the heavy BEARISH pressure Just grab out will your own risk With a small amount Stay connected Stay happy Bande mataram GBPUSD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD A good selling setup detected on GBPUSD It's showing a BEAR MOVE due to these reason 1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here 2. It's ready to break the neckline 3. In day chat it's showing the heavy BEARISH pressure Just grab out will your own risk With a small amount Stay connected Stay happy Bande mataram
Short
by tradergyan01
Gold is waiting for market fluctuationsGold costs will remain caught until "some thing shakes up the marketplace as a whole." to get better again to 2,340 USD/ounce. This absolutely offset final week`s losses. Investors need to now no longer promote at the moment due to the fact "in case you are preserving gold long-term, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce". maximum humans are having impartial predictions gold The US economic system is slowing down, inflation is vulnerable and americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) is much less dovish. These affects lessen call for for gold, that may cause a huge promote-off. If you're preserving gold, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce. The marketplace might also additionally have few transactions, because of this that the hazard of big fluctuations. Geopolitical trends consisting of escalation in Ukraine or the Middle East ought to disrupt the marketplace, Grady said.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU rises despite weak US economic dataUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month. Keeping policy rates steady “for a while” may be enough to control inflation, but reiterate “a readiness to increase borrowing costs if necessary”. Analysts say that world gold prices will likely find it difficult to break out in the short term, at least until there is clearer information about the Fed's monetary policy. The weakening USD has pushed gold prices up above 2,300 USD According to some experts, this is a way of pricing based on factors that do not yet exist. If the AI ​​craze continues and the market bubble has not burst, the current price may still be considered cheap compared to future growth potential. However, because this index depends on expectations, the final results are still highly subjective.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
USD is dominating the marketGold fees are forecast to range strongly withinside the last days of the week. In the fast term, the treasured steel`s help stage is 2,three hundred USD/ounce and the resistance stage is 2,340 USD/ounce. This treasured steel is attracting cash managers and hedge funds. Look at this need Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday reiterated her view that maintaining coverage quotes steady “for a while” will probably be sufficient to manipulate inflation, however additionally reiterated that she is open to growing spending Loan charges if necessary. The marketplace has tilted toward the dollar after the discharge of financial facts highlighting the resilience of americaA economy, growing an possibility for the Fed to preserve excessive hobby quotes for longer.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
The market has tilted towards the greenback following the releasGold prices are forecast to fluctuate strongly in the remaining days of the week. In the short term, the precious metal's support level is 2,300 USD/ounce and the resistance level is 2,340 USD/ounce. This precious metal is attracting money managers and hedge funds. Look at this need Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday reiterated her view that keeping policy rates steady “for a while” will likely be enough to control inflation, but also reiterated that she is open to increasing spending Loan fees if necessary. The market has tilted towards the greenback after the release of economic data highlighting the resilience of the US economy, creating an opportunity for the Fed to maintain high interest rates for longer.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
SELL WTI (XTI/USD) 77.15 , With 180 PIPS OBJECTIVEWe are going short on Crude Oil, Due to adjustment of sentiments, and expect to move lower. News: Drone Strike Heightens Supply Fears Crude oil prices witnessed a surge on Monday due to increased tensions in the Middle East. A drone attack targeting U.S. forces in Jordan, believed to be orchestrated by Houthi rebels, has raised concerns over potential disruptions in oil supply. This situation is compounded by repeated assaults by the Houthis on vessels navigating the Red Sea, notably impacting a fuel tanker operated by Trafigura. Traders are now awaiting a response from the United States that could escalate the turmoil in the area. The price action has been volatile early in the session with crude oil jumping substantially on the opening, but then pulling back more than $1.00 as traders sold the initial rally. The lack of speculative buying to sustained the price surge likely led to its intraday collapse. The price is likely to collapse again when the dust settles.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by fxtriangle
Usdjpy short possible Usdjpy sell now @145.787 Sl 152.000 Target one 143.723 Target two 141.180 Target three 138.638 Target four 135.019 Target five 130.409 Target six 127.500 Target seven 117.095 Open this trade with 0.01 lot each position open seven positions i recommend all of you only open this trade if u have equity more than 500 usd then only open this trade otherwise ignore but if u r opening this one then sureshot i am guaranteed that u will make 1000 usd plus profits with my this forex signals open this trade and thanks me later #forexsignals #forextrader #forexsignals #forexanalysis
Short
by ManpritSingh0786
EURUSD FORECASE 13TH MARCH 2023This morning, the EUR/USD was up 0.73% to $1.07169. A bullish start to the day saw the EUR/USD rally from an early low of $1.06638 to a high of $1.07369. The EUR/USD broke through the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0702. The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through R1 and the $1.0638 pivot to target the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0765. A move through the morning high of $1.07369 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need hawkish ECB chatter and risk-on sentiment to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test resistance at $1.08. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0892. A fall through R1 and the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0575 into play. However, barring a risk-off-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0550 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0511. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0384. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 200-day EMA ($1.06609). The 50-day EMA closed in on the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA narrowing to the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals. A hold above R1 ($1.0702) and the 200-day EMA ($1.06609) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0765) and $1.08. However, a fall through the 200-day ($1.06609) and 100-day ($1.06324) EMAs would bring the 50-day EMA ($1.06117) and S1 ($1.0575) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
by skarantraderq
EURUSD Forcast 24/02/2023The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0600 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0623 and the Thursday high of $1.06278. A return to $1.0620 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD would need today’s stats and the ECB chatter to support a breakout session. In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0651. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.0701. A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0572 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.05. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0549 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0498. Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send a bearish signal. The EUR/USD sits below the 50-day EMA ($1.06626). The 50-day EMA fell back from the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA pulling back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish signals. A move through R1 ($1.0621) would give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.0651) and the 50-day EMA ($1.06626). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal. However, failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($1.06626) would leave the Major Support Levels in play. The US Session It is a busy day on the US economic calendar. Personal income, spending, and inflation will be in focus. An unexpected rise in the Core PCE Price Index would fuel bets of a more hawkish Fed. Economists forecast the Core PCE Price Index to rise by 4.3% year-over-year in January. The Index was up 4.4% in December. Later in the session, consumer sentiment and Fed chatter will also draw interest. FOMC member Loretta Mester will deliver a post-stats speech.
Long
by skarantraderq