ETHUSD - Time to go up?If you look at the monthly chart of ETHUSD, you will notice that the price is at discount zone and has hit an important Discount Array (FVG). It has reached the 50% of the FVG and reacted in a positive way.
Now we need to look at lower timeframes (1 Week and 1 Day) to see if price is willing to go higher.
Now this would be the right time to Invest if we see signs of price wanting to go higher.
This is just my personal view on ETHUSD. Please do your own research before taking any decisions.
Fractal
Trend Identification: Utilizing Higher Highs and Higher LowsTechnical Indicator - William Fractal
Setting - 20 period
About the Indicator : William Fractal is a technical analysis tool used by traders in financial markets to identify potential turning points and trends. It is based on the concept of fractals, which are self-similar patterns that repeat themselves on different scales. The William Fractal is formed when there is a series of five bars, with the middle bar having the highest high and the lowest low in comparison to the surrounding bars. Traders use this pattern to determine potential buy and sell signals, as a fractal forming at the bottom of a downtrend could signal a potential reversal, while a fractal forming at the top of an uptrend could signal a potential trend continuation. The William Fractal can be used in combination with other technical indicators to improve trading decisions.
Benefits of using William fractal indicator
Easy to Identify : The William Fractal is a simple and straightforward pattern to spot, making it accessible for traders of all skill levels.
High Accuracy : The pattern is based on the concept of fractals, which have a high degree of accuracy in identifying trend reversals.
Confirms Trend Strength : By highlighting areas of potential trend reversal or continuation, the William Fractal can help traders confirm the strength of a trend.
Improves Timing : By using the William Fractal in conjunction with other technical indicators, traders can improve the timing of their trades and increase the chances of success.
Identifies Key Turning Points : The William Fractal can help traders identify key turning points in the market, allowing them to make informed trades and take advantage of market movements.
Works in All Markets : The William Fractal is applicable across different financial markets, including stocks, forex, and commodities, making it a versatile tool for traders
Try this out and let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
XAUUSD Market Prediction for the next week i.e. from 12th Sep'22
For Education purpose only.
Looks like the Sellers are assuming higher and higher positions only to crash the Gold Market down. This idea can further be layered with the intersection of Price with the median of the Pitchfork drawn with the major edges of the Market. The upward line of Blue modified pitchfork can suggest the next possible short entry.
Points to indicate that pivot 4 may be the Market edge for Short entry.
Price respecting the below classes of information simultaneously.
1. Frequency shift line in Red horizontal line.
2. Median of Pitchfork drawn with respect to vectors 1,2 & 3 (at pivot 4).
3. Divergence of Price w.r.t RSI between pivots 2 & 4.
4. Steep fall immediately after touching pivot 4.
Entry: 1715 (Now)
Stop Loss: 1745
Target: 1655
ES is in its final leg to bottom out around 4085-4075The S&P is in its 5th wave from the high of 4327, nearing the confluence target area of 4085-4075.
Ideally wait till the entire 5th wave is complete (all the subwaves) and wait for a reversal to take a low risk entry.
Targets can be the mid 4200s.
New idea will be updated there
ES emini wave analysis from 3693 lowThis whole rise has from 3693 low (yes, not the actual low at 3639. Refer: wave 5 truncation) has been a 3 wave move so far.
Wave 1/A has been a clear 5 wave followed by an extended 3/C wave with the iii of 3 extension.
The 3/C wave ended with wave 5 as an ending diagonal.
Now, the fall from the absolute high of 4327 has been impulsive so far with a series of 1-2-i-ii.
The first target post a completion of 5 waves up is the range of the 4th wave of lower degree. This comes at 4113-4080.
This level also coincides with the 0.382 retracement of the entire rise from 3723.
Given that the entire move from the top is impulsive, we can expect a minimum of a 5-3-5 correction. After that is done, we can evaluate if it evolves into a further decline, or pushes towards a new high.
Summary: Target - 4080. Further decline to be evaluated based on the evolving structure after that.
-ansible/entropy
Nifty wave counts from 15183This is one of the rare case where a 3 wave move up has a C wave extension greater than the regular 1.382/1.618.
In super-extended moves, we have seen C Waves extend to 2.0 and even 2.618 of wave A.
What determines the future move is the speed of reversal post completion of Wave C/3.
Another supporting evidence for it being a wave C and not wave 3 is that the initial moves prior to wave C was a clean Wave A i.e. a 3 wave move contained withing parallel lines, whose subwaves tended to equality.
A bull case could be made that - no it was a 1-2-i-ii and not an a-b-c within Wave A, but generally in 1-2-i-ii, the lower degree 1 is shorter than the length of the higher degree 1. Here, both waves tended to equality. Hence an argument for it being a wave A is stronger.
Now we will have to see how price behaves at prior wave 4s of lower degree. Immediate supports are offered in the range of 17150-17450, which is the range of the Wave 4 of lower degree. A corrective rise from there will confirm that we are going further lower.
Will revisit this developing idea once we are at 17150-200.
-ansible/entropy
Gold spot Fractal pattern Gold XAUUSD has seen a similar pattern ( Fractal represented by BOX on the price chart) formed between August'2011 to September'2012. A similar pattern has currently unfolded and we are at the cusp of the breakdown of the consolidation range, while range breakdown will mean flinty times for gold bulls as gold remained in cyclical correction for around 1000 days post break down of the trading range to bottom out in 2015. Further, this month's close below USD 1700 levels will ensure swing failure on RSI (14 Pd).