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Data Patterns Clear BUY!Stock Analysis Overview Technical Support: Strong support identified near the 2,250 level based on current data patterns. Fundamental Strength: The company remains fundamentally robust, showcasing solid financial health and growth prospects. Price Correction: The stock has retraced approximately 40% from its recent peak, presenting a potential entry point. Investment Classification: Positioned as a defensive growth stock, offering both stability and growth potential.
NSE:DATAPATTNSLong
by ali000351
7
PARAG MILK RR 1:5Parag Milk Foods is a well-known dairy company in India, recognized for its wide range of milk and milk products. They offer products like cheese, butter, yogurt, and ice cream, catering to both retail and institutional markets. The company emphasizes quality and sustainability in its operations, often promoting its use of advanced technology in dairy farming and processing. good volume and there is chance of rate increase in milk and milk product which improve margin. GOOD RR CMP: 200 TARGET : 335 SL : 169 CLOSING BASIS
NSE:PARAGMILK
by pronak101
XAUUSD - Financial Insights 26/09/2024Summary: Things are getting worse, slowly but worse, XAUUSD will reach 3K at the end of this year 1. Title: Xi’s Economic Adrenaline Shot Is Only Buying China a Little Time Source: Bloomberg Problem: China's economy faces a deflationary slump due to a property market crash, weak consumer demand, and trade tensions. Solution: The central bank launched aggressive easing measures, including interest rate cuts, more liquidity, and housing incentives. Result: Markets surged, but economists warn these actions provide only temporary relief without deeper reforms. Prediction: Further fiscal policies and structural reforms are needed to avoid long-term stagnation and drive sustainable growth. 2. Title: China Cuts One-Year Policy Rate by Most Ever in Stimulus Drive Source: Bloomberg Problem: The Chinese economy faces potential deflationary pressures, prompting the need for significant monetary stimulus. Solution: The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) cut the medium-term lending facility rate by 30 basis points to 2%, initiating a broader stimulus package to boost economic confidence. Result: The yuan strengthened, and Chinese stocks gained, with expectations for further monetary easing, including future rate cuts on reverse repurchase notes. Prediction: Analysts anticipate additional rate reductions and liquidity measures to support the economy, aligning funding costs more closely with market rates in the coming months. 3. Title: OECD Upgrades UK Growth by Most in G-7, Warns on Inflation Source: Bloomberg Problem: UK faces high inflation, with the BOE struggling to meet its 2% target. Solution: The government plans to increase investment, focusing on infrastructure and the green transition. Result: UK growth forecast upgraded to 1.1% in 2024 and 1.2% in 2025, but inflation remains high. Prediction: BOE may delay interest rate cuts due to persistent inflation and wage pressures. 4. Title: Global Economy Moves Beyond Inflation Crisis to Stable Growth Source: Bloomberg Problem: The global economy faces risks from geopolitical tensions, soft labor markets, and potential financial market upheaval as inflation eases. Solution: Central banks can cautiously cut interest rates while monitoring data closely, avoiding rapid reductions. Result: OECD projects global growth to stabilize at 3.2% for 2024, with moderating inflation expected in G20 nations by the end of 2025. Prediction: While growth forecasts for the US and euro area remain steady, the OECD warns of significant risks that could impact the global economic outlook. 5. Title: Danish Central Bank Slashes Inflation Forecasts as Wages Cool Source: Bloomberg Problem: The Danish labor market pressure has eased, but there are concerns about potential inflationary risks from the government's proposed 2025 budget. Solution: The central bank has reduced its inflation forecasts for 2024 and 2025, anticipating slower wage growth due to a less tight labor market. Result: Inflation is now forecasted at 1.3% for 2024 (down from 2.2%) and 2.1% for 2025 (down from 2.6%), indicating a more stable economic environment. Prediction: The central bank warns against loosening fiscal policy too soon, as it could destabilize the current balance in the labor market. 6. Title: BOE’s Greene Calls for ‘Cautious’ Approach to Rate Cuts Source: Bloomberg Problem: Strong wage growth and resilient economic activity pose risks, prompting concerns about inflation remaining sticky in the UK. Solution: BOE policymaker Megan Greene advocates for a cautious and gradual approach to interest rate cuts, ensuring that inflationary pressures have subsided before making significant changes. Result: The market reflects skepticism about immediate rate cuts, with current pricing suggesting a cut in November but a 60% chance of a follow-up in December. Prediction: Greene emphasizes the need for ongoing observation of wage trends and consumer spending to gauge future monetary policy adjustments. 7. Title: Fed's Bumper Rate Cut Revives 'Reflation Specter' in US Bond Market Source: Reuters Problem: The Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cuts raise concerns about re-igniting inflation in the U.S. economy. Solution: The Fed's 50 basis point rate cut aims to recalibrate its approach, focusing on maintaining a strong labor market while managing inflation. Result: U.S. bond yields have risen as investors reassess inflation expectations, reflecting uncertainty over future economic conditions. Prediction: A gradual return to higher inflation could impact bond markets, and the central bank may need to adjust its strategy if inflation does not remain subdued. 8. Title: Investing.com Poll: Where do you see gold prices by the end of 2024? Source: Investing.com Problem: Gold prices have recently surged, driven by the Federal Reserve's rate cut and investor sentiment. Solution: Analysts expect ongoing rate reductions, which make gold more attractive as a non-yielding asset. Result: Gold prices have rallied over 5% this month, defying historical trends for September. Prediction: While traders anticipate potential cooling in gold returns, any downside is likely to be limited, suggesting a strong long-term outlook for the metal. 9. Title: With Fed Easing Underway, What's Next for Markets? UBS Weighs In Source: Investing.com Problem: The recent rate cut by the Fed raises questions about future economic conditions and market stability. Solution: UBS believes the rate cut signals a willingness to support the economy, but emphasizes the need for clear labor market data to ensure a soft landing. Result: Markets have reacted positively to the rate cut, but uncertainty remains regarding the ultimate impact on growth and inflation. Prediction: A "Roaring '20s" scenario is considered an upside risk, but market volatility could re-emerge as investors seek clarity on the economy's trajectory. 10. Will Fed policy trigger a US recession? Claudia Sahm: Does not believe the US is currently in a recession, despite her namesake "Sahm rule" being triggered. Is concerned about the direction of economic indicators, with payroll gains slowing and unemployment rising. Puts higher odds of recession now than earlier in the cycle, but doesn't provide a specific percentage. Believes the Fed is at risk of making an "unforced policy error" if they don't cut rates soon enough, potentially leading to an unnecessary recession. Bill Dudley: Puts 50-60% odds of a recession in the next 12 months. Believes the Fed is "a bit behind the curve" in reducing interest rates given increased economic risks. Thinks a soft landing is possible but historically difficult for the Fed to achieve. Expects any potential recession to be mild due to strong household and business balance sheets. Rob Kaplan: Seems less concerned about recession risk than Dudley. Believes the job market is softening as intended, but not "falling out of bed." Thinks the Fed may be tactically behind by "a meeting or two" but not strategically behind. Expects the Fed to likely cut rates in September, November, and December, despite potentially hawkish rhetoric. 11. Title: Powell Emerges Stronger After Leading Fed to Big Rate Cut Source: Bloomberg Problem: Federal Reserve officials were divided on how aggressively to cut interest rates, amidst weak jobs data and inflation pressures easing. Solution: Chair Jerome Powell advocated for a significant 50 basis point rate cut to safeguard against potential risks to the labor market. Result: The majority of Fed officials supported the larger cut, reflecting Powell's strengthened leadership and consensus around his approach to manage economic risks. Prediction: If labor market data continues to disappoint, another substantial rate cut could occur in the future, as Powell aims to ensure a soft landing for the economy. 12. Title: Gold price consolidates below all-time peak, awaits Fed Chair Powell’s speech Source: Investing.com Problem: Gold prices are confined below their all-time peak due to rising US yields and a strong USD, creating uncertainty in the market. Solution: Traders are awaiting comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other influential FOMC members, which may influence expectations for another 50 bps rate cut in November. Result: Current gold prices are stable around $2,650, supported by dovish Fed expectations and geopolitical tensions, despite technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions. Prediction: Upcoming economic data and Powell’s speech will be critical in determining gold's direction, with potential fluctuations as traders evaluate the likelihood of further rate cuts and their impacts on market sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheChartist_Code2trade
Devyani International Ltd. (DIL) Analysis: A Techno FundaFundamental Analysis: Devyani International Ltd. (DIL) is a leading player in the Indian food and beverage sector, operating well-known franchise brands such as Pizza Hut, KFC, and Costa Coffee. 1. Business Overview: DIL holds a strong portfolio with global QSR (Quick Service Restaurants) brands, leveraging its vast network across India and several international markets. Its franchise agreements provide the company access to world-class products and marketing strategies. This strategic positioning gives it a competitive edge in the growing QSR market. 2. Financial Performance: Revenue Growth: The company has shown consistent revenue growth over the past few years, driven by strong demand in the QSR space. FY23 reported solid sales, attributed to increased consumer spending post-pandemic and aggressive expansion strategies. Profitability: Operating margins have been improving, mainly due to cost optimizations and increasing average order values across delivery and dine-in. Debt Levels: DIL's debt has been manageable. The company focuses on reducing its debt-to-equity ratio, improving long-term financial health. Expansion Plans: The aggressive store addition strategy in both metro and tier-2/3 cities has expanded their market share, with over 1,200 stores across 27 states. Such growth potential is attractive for long-term investors. 3. Valuation: PE Ratio: The stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio higher than the industry average, indicating investor confidence but also a need to deliver robust earnings in the future to justify its valuation. Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS growth is promising, with strong potential for future earnings as the Indian QSR market expands. 4. Key Risks: Competition: Intense competition from domestic and international players could pressure margins. Inflation and Supply Chain Costs: Rising raw material prices could impact profitability. Franchise Risks: Dependence on franchising contracts for top brands makes it vulnerable to changes in agreement terms. Technical Analysis: 1. Price Trends: Long-Term Trend: The stock has been in an uptrend since its IPO, reflecting investor optimism. Moving Averages: The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating bullish momentum. Short-term pullbacks have been absorbed quickly by the market, suggesting strong support levels. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: A key support level is found near ₹160, where the stock has historically bounced back. Resistance: A major resistance level is around ₹230, where the stock has faced selling pressure. 3. Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI currently hovers around 60-65, signaling that the stock is not overbought but has some room for further upside. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, further confirming the ongoing bullish momentum. Volume: The stock has shown increasing trading volume during upward moves, signaling strength in the trend. Conclusion: Devyani International Ltd. has strong fundamentals, backed by an aggressive expansion plan, solid revenue growth, and improving margins. Technically, the stock is in a bullish phase, but traders should watch for pullbacks near key resistance levels. For long-term investors, the stock's potential growth in the Indian QSR market makes it an attractive buy, but cautious monitoring of valuation and competition risks is essential. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:DEVYANILong
by Sanil1912
Cartrade Tech Ltd | momentum stockCartrade Tech Ltd CarTrade Tech Ltd is a multi-channel auto platform provider company with coverage and presence across vehicle types and Value Added Services. The company operates various brands such as CarWale, CarTrade, Shriram Automall, BikeWale, CarTradeExchange, Adroit Auto, and AutoBiz. fundamentals :great Market Cap₹ 4,707 Cr. Current Price₹ 995 ROCE 4.20 % ROE 0.42 % Debt to equity 0.05 Profit Var 3Yrs -54.6 % Sales growth 3Years 25.2 % great momentum achieve recently . keep eye on chart. debt free company. every quarter FII AND DII increase hold. Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation. If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas. Thanks and comment freely
BSE:CARTRADELong
by Momentuminvesting5540
Bajaj Finance LtdAll important points are marked. 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by sreekumars
Bitcoin Looks Promising on Bullish SideBitcoin has made double bottom base at around 53000 price range. Also in weekly time frame, coin is in consolidation to negative pattern which shows a FLAG AND POLE pattern possibility. Other support is near to 40000 to 40600 price range. In Monthly Time Frame it is just showing profit booking. If price breaks above 64000 in weekly candle or sustains above 70000 (Safe Side+ breakout of flag and pole pattern) the price can reach to the levels given in chart. Follow for more such content. Disclaimer: Above is just my own opinion about the coin and is for educational purpose only.
by YogeshVerma1
1
Electrosteel: The Dark Horse in the Ductile Iron Pipe Industry!Summary ● Electrosteel Castings Limited (ECL) is a prominent Indian company specializing in ductile iron (DI) pipes, fittings, and cast iron (CI) pipes. With a market cap of ₹13,640 Cr, ECL generates 88% of its revenue from India, holding a 28% domestic market share. ● Over the last 3 years, ECL recorded a 29% sales CAGR and 97% profit growth. Its current PE ratio of 15.3 is below the industry average, suggesting undervaluation. ● ECL plans to boost DI pipe capacity to 1 million tons by FY26. The ductile iron pipes industry is poised for growth due to urbanization and government initiatives. ● With its strong market position and robust financials, ECL is well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity and deliver shareholder value. Investment Advice by Goodluck Capital Buy Electrosteel Casting NSE:ELECTCAST ● Best Buy Range - 210 - 220 ● Target - 275 - 280 ● Potential Return - 28 - 30% ● Approx holding period 8 - 12 months Company Overview Electrosteel Castings Limited produces and supplies ductile iron (DI) pipes, fittings, and accessories, as well as cast iron (CI) pipes, both in India and globally. Their DI pipes and fittings are used in various applications such as water transmission, potable water distribution, industrial water supply, ash-slurry systems, fire-fighting systems, desalination, sewerage, stormwater drainage, and recycling. They also offer ductile iron flange pipes for temporary installations and restrained joint pipes. Additionally, the company supplies metallurgical coke, sinter, sponge iron, ferro silicon, pig iron, and silico manganese ferro alloy, along with cement branded as SPL GOLD. Originally named Dalmia Iron and Steel Ltd, the company was established in 1955 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India. Market Capitalization - ₹ 13,640 Cr. Peer Companies ● Jindal Saw NSE:JINDALSAW - ₹ 22,576 Cr. ● Jai Balaji Industries NSE:JAIBALAJI - ₹ 19,682 Cr. ● Welspun Corp. NSE:WELCORP - ₹ 18,092 Cr. Technical Aspects ● In January 2008, the stock reached an impressive peak of ₹71 but subsequently faced a significant decline. ● The price eventually stabilized around ₹8, leading to an extended period of consolidation. ● During this time, a Rectangle pattern, often referred to as the Darvas Box pattern, took shape. ● After breaking out of this pattern in May 2023, the stock price surged past its previous strong resistance level in October 2023. ● Since then, the stock has maintained its upward momentum and is currently trading just shy of its historical high of ₹226. ● Expectations are high that this momentum will sustain and lead the stock to reach new peaks in the near future. Relative Strength ● The chart clearly illustrates that Electrosteel Castings has greatly outperformed the Nifty Smallcap 250 index, boasting an impressive annual return of 219%, which is truly an outstanding achievement. Revenue Break-up ● Product wise break-up ➖ The primary source of the company's revenue comes from the production of Ductile Iron pipes and fittings, which alone makes up about 86% of its total income. Additionally, the company manufactures Cast Iron pipes, contributing roughly 2.8% to the overall revenue. ● Location wise break-up ➖ The company generates nearly 88% of its revenue from India, where it holds a 28% share of the domestic market. The remaining 12% of its income is sourced from international markets. Revenue & Profit Analysis ● Over the last three years, this stock has recorded an impressive compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% in sales. Additionally, the total profit growth during this period has been remarkable, achieving a staggering 97% CAGR. ● Furthermore, the company has successfully maintained an operating profit margin of 16%, a notable increase from 10% in FY24. ● For the fiscal year 2024, earnings per share (EPS) have surged from 5.31 in fiscal year 2023 to an impressive 11.97. Currently, the EPS for the past twelve months is at 14.69. ● A closer look at the quarterly results shows that the company reached a record high in quarterly sales, reporting 2,012 crore in June, up from 2,004 crore in the March quarter. This figure significantly exceeds last year's June quarter sales of 1,685 crore. Product Demand Analysis ● Inventory Turnover Ratio ➖ Current Inventory Turnover - 1.82 ➖ Inventory Turnover 3 years ago - 1.70 ➖ These figures indicate that product demand has risen over the past three years. Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ The company's current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 15.3, which is below its one-year median PE of 15.8. Compared to the industry average PE of 36.76, this suggests that the stock is significantly undervalued at present. ● P/B Ratio ➖ The stock seems to be undervalued, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 2.67, particularly when compared with the industry average PB ratio of 5.52. ● Intrinsic Value ➖ Electrosteel Castings is presently priced at ₹220, which is significantly below its intrinsic value of ₹258, suggesting that the stock is currently undervalued. ● Peg Ratio ➖ A PEG ratio of 0.47 suggests that the stock is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth. Cash Flow Analysis ● The operating cash flow has experienced an impressive leap, climbing to 806 crore from 452 crore in FY23. This remarkable growth highlights the company's robust financial health. Furthermore, the current CFO/PAT ratio stands at 0.9 of its five-year average, reflecting the company's exceptional capability in turning profits into cash efficiently. Debt Analysis ➖ The company's existing debt stands at Rs. 2,332 crore, a figure that is notably low when juxtaposed with its market capitalization of Rs. 13,655 crore. ➖ With a debt-to-equity ratio of merely 0.46, it is clear that the debt burden is manageable for a capital-intensive enterprise, allowing the company ample room to pursue further financing if required. ➖ Examining the balance sheet shows a remarkable decrease in debt, which has fallen from Rs. 2,667 crore last year to the present Rs. 2,332 crore. Capex Plans ➖ The ongoing capital expenditure stands at around ₹700 crores and is on track, with ₹410 crores already utilized by the end of Q1 FY25. ➖ There are ambitious plans to boost the total manufacturing capacity of DI pipes to 1 million tons by FY26. ➖ Additionally, land is being acquired in Odisha for a new Greenfield project focused on DI pipes and fittings. Shareholding Pattern ➖ The promoters currently hold about 46.22% of the company, up from 44.08% in December 2023, indicating growth during the March quarter. ➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been consistently increasing their stakes, with total holdings reaching 21.16% as of June 2024, a significant rise from 14.93% in June 2023. On a quarter-to-quarter basis, ➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have raised their holdings to 0.44% from 0.36% in the March quarter; however, this represents a notable decline from the 1.68% recorded in the same period last year. Ductile Iron Pipes Industry Outlook ● Advantages of choosing DI pipes over PVC pipes ➖ According to the analysis of the ductile iron pipes market in India, these pipes are made up of approximately 90% recycled materials and are fully recyclable. ➖ Additionally, using ductile iron pipes instead of PVC can lead to an energy consumption reduction of around 40%. ● Ductile Iron Pipes Market Growth ➖ Ductile iron pipes play a crucial role in public infrastructure, serving irrigation, drinking water distribution, sewage, and wastewater systems. ➖ With India's economic growth, the rise of smart cities and projects like Bharatmala Priyojana and the Narmada Valley Development Project is driving the demand for extensive pipeline networks, boosting the ductile iron pipes market. ➖ Factors such as increasing urbanization and government initiatives like Jal Jeevan Mission, AMRUT, and Smart City Mission, focused on delivering drinking water to households, are further fueling this demand. Conclusion ● After thoroughly examining both the technical and fundamental factors, we have concluded that Electrosteel Castings is well-positioned for substantial growth, driven by the increasing market demand for ductile iron pipes, which is likely to positively impact its share price as well.
NSE:ELECTCASTLong
by GoodluckCapital
4
Greenply vs Greenpanel: A Clash of Plywood and MDF Giants!About Companies Greenply Industries NSE:GREENPLY is a prominent player in the plywood industry, dedicated to the production and trade of plywood and its associated products. Their extensive range features plywood, block board, wood flooring, medium density fiberboard, flush doors, and decorative veneers. Founded in 1984 by Shiv Prakash Mittal, the company operates out of Kolkata, India. In 2018, Greenpanel Industries NSE:GREENPANEL emerged as a separate entity from Greenply Industries, concentrating on the manufacturing of MDF boards and related products. Their product lineup includes wood flooring, veneers, flush doors, and more. Market Capitalization ● Greenply Industries - ₹ 4,751 Cr. ● Greenpanel Industries - ₹ 4,849 Cr. Technical Aspects Greenply ● The monthly chart reveals that the stock price encountered significant resistance around the 340 mark, resulting in a sharp decline that brought it down to the 70 level, where it found support. ● After an extented phase of consolidation, the stock formed a Double Bottom pattern. ● Once this pattern broke out, the price surged upward, and nearly 6.5 years later, in July 2024, the stock successfully broke through the previous resistance zone. ● Having maintained its position above this breakout level, the stock price is poised for further gains. Greenpanel ● After reaching a remarkable high close to 625, the stock faced a considerable downturn. ● It later found a solid support at the 260 level, which set the stage for its recovery. ● Nevertheless, the stock ran into resistance around the 430 mark, caused another retreat to the previous support zone. ● Currently, with a fresh upward trend, the price exhibits significant growth potential. Revenue Breakdown ● Greenply Industries generates a remarkable 77.4% of its total revenue from plywood and associated products, establishing itself as a dominant player with a 26% market share in the domestic plywood sector. ● In contrast, Greenpanel Industries focuses heavily on MDF boards, which make up an astounding 91% of its total sales, securing a 21% market share in the domestic MDF industry. Sales & Profit Analysis ● Greenply ➖ In the last three years, this company has experienced an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 23% in sales. ➖ However, profit growth has been modest, increased by only 3% during the same period. ➖ The company currently holds an operating profit margin of 9%, which is deemed acceptable. ➖ In the fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have dropped to 5.44, down from 7.44 in FY2023. ● Greenpanel ➖ Over the past three years, this company has achieved a compounded annual growth rate of 15% in sales. ➖ In contrast, profit growth has been exceptional, soaring at a 26% CAGR during the same period. ➖ Currently, the company boasts an operating profit margin of 16%, a noteworthy figure. ➖ However, in fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have declined to 11.64, down from 20.92 in FY2023. Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ Greenply Industries currently has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 48.75, which is marginally above its 1-year median PE of 48.1, yet it aligns closely with the industry average PE of 48.75. ➖ On the other hand, Greenpanel Industries shows a current PE of 33.94, indicating it may be overvalued relative to its 1-year median PE of 25.2, but it appears undervalued when compared to the industry PE of 48.75. ● P/B Ratio ➖ Greenply has a PB ratio of 6.69, suggesting it is considerably overvalued. ➖ However, Greenpanel Industries has a PB ratio of 3.68, which, although somewhat high, does not indicate overvaluation. ● Intrinsic Value ● Greenply is presently valued at ₹984, a figure that is approximately 2.4 times its intrinsic worth of ₹158. This suggests that the stock is currently overvalued. ● Conversely, Greenpanel has a market price of ₹395, roughly 1.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹259, which similarly indicates that this stock is also overvalued at this time. Product Demand analysis (Plywood vs MDF) ● Greenply presently has an inventory turnover ratio of 4.2, an improvement from 3.96 three years ago. ● In comparison, Greenpanel Industries shines with a current inventory turnover ratio of 5.08, a substantial increase from 3.71 three years earlier. ● These figures clearly indicate a rising demand for MDF products, highlighting a promising trend in the market. Company Capex ● Greenply has significantly reduced its capital expenditure, slashing it to 123 crore from last year's 412 crore, indicating a lack of a robust capex program. ● In contrast, Greenpanel has made a remarkable leap in its capital investments, raising its capex to 344 crore from just 80 crore in the previous financial year. Debt Analysis ● Greenpanel Industries stands strong with a manageable debt of 296 crores and a favorable debt to equity ratio of 0.22, indicating that debt is not a concern for the company. With an impressive interest coverage ratio of 16, Greenpanel is well-equipped to handle its loan repayments without any issues. ● Other side, Greenply Industries carries a higher debt burden of 549 crores, reflected in a debt to equity ratio of 0.77. With an interest coverage ratio of only 3.33, the company may face challenges in meeting its loan repayment obligations. Cashflow Analysis ● Greenply has experienced an impressive increase in its operating cash flow, jumping to 111 crore from a mere 62 crore in FY23. ● Greenpanel Industries has struggled to convert its profits into cash, with its operating cash flow declined significantly to 135 crore from 337 crore in FY2023. Shareholding Pattern ● Greenply ➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are dramatically raising their investments. In the latest June quarter, their stake has surged to 4.91%, a notable increase from just 2.15% in June 2023. ➖ Meanwhile, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) currently hold 30.33% as of the June quarter, down from 32.41% last year. ● Greenpanel ➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are consistently divesting their positions in this stock, with their current ownership now at a mere 2.12%, a significant drop from 4.3% a year ago ➖ In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) are steadily boosting their investments, with their current stake rising to 26.71%, up from 21.60% in June 2023. Some Important Facts ● Shifting Demand From Plywood to MDF ➖ Worldwide, the consumption ratio of MDF to plywood stands at 80:20; however, in India, this ratio is notably reversed, with plywood dominating at 20:80 as of 2022. ➖ Industry experts predict that by 2030, this ratio in India will shift to an even 50:50. ➖ This shift indicates significant growth opportunities for the MDF sector in India, particularly as it is poised to capture a larger share of the low and medium-grade plywood market, which currently makes up 85% of the plywood industry in the country. MDF Industry Growth Drivers ● Growth of Online Home Décor Platforms ➖ The growth of online home décor platforms like Pepper Fry, Fab Furbish, and Urban Ladder has increased the need for ready-to-assemble (RTA) furniture, impacting the MDF industry directly. ● Reduction in Furniture Cycle Time ➖ The increasing popularity of stylish, comfortable furniture crafted from MDF has significantly reduced the home renovation timeline, slashing it from the previous 15 to 20 years down to just 7 to 8 years. ● Cost Advantage Over Plywood ➖ MDF is much cheaper than plywood because it is made from leftover wood materials, both hardwood and softwood. Conclusion ➖ After examining all the factors, it appears that the MDF industry is poised for significant growth in the near future, outpacing the Plywood sector. As a result, companies such as Greenpanel Industries are likely to reap substantial benefits, which will have a direct positive effect on their share prices.
NSE:GREENPANELLong
by GoodluckCapital
2
Bank-Nifty // 4 Hour //Support and Resistance with SkyTradingMod"Welcome to SkyTradingMod " Hello Everyone 👋 Most Impotent: Support Levels: Around 51,000 and 50,700. Resistance Levels: Around 51,400 and 52,000. # Normal Support and Resistance we mark on the Post. The market is currently showing a bullish trend, but it might experience some consolidation before making a decisive move. We’re excited to share our passion with you. From expert the latest trends, we’re here to keep you informed and inspired. Stay tuned for our latest posts and join our community of enthusiastic readers!" Let’s make this a space where everyone feels connected and valued!"
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by SkyTradingZone
RELIANCE Levels // 15 MinReliance Industries has been following 87-period time cycles on the 15-minute chart quite effectively. Combining these time cycles with price action provides a powerful setup for understanding when to take trades. Let’s break it down: Time Cycles: The 87-period time cycles on the 15-minute chart indicate that Reliance Industries tends to turn upward after every 87 periods, resulting in significant trending moves. This can be a valuable tool for intraday traders. Price Action: By analyzing price patterns and candlestick techniques, traders can enhance their understanding of market dynamics. Remember that focusing solely on prices or indicators without considering time can lead to failed breakouts. Application: While this technique works well on the 15-minute chart, you can also apply it to daily charts or higher time frames for more substantial moves.
NSE:RELIANCE
by SkyTradingZone
Nifty IT Levels For Long or swing TradingNifty IT Chart Overview: Current Value: ₹24,7801. Recent Performance: 1 day: +0.76% 5 days: +1.47% 1 month: +2.40% 6 months: +12.59% Year to date: +15.11% 1 year: +29.61% 5 years: +127.45% Key Data Points: Volume: Not specified Previous close: Not specified Open: Not specified Day’s range: Not specified Recent Analyst Views (August 22nd): Price was moving in a wide range for two days and broke out above the consolidation range. Buy Above: ₹24,780 Stop Loss: ₹24,740 Targets: ₹24,820, ₹24,860, ₹24,890, and ₹24,920 Sell Below: ₹24,680 Stop Loss: ₹24,720 Targets: ₹24,640.
NSE:CNXITLong
by Optionclub
SENSEX Levels For Intraday or swing TradingSupport & Resistance Levels: Buy Above: 81,100 (SENSEX Spot Levels) Targets: 81,225, 81,343, and 81,5551. Sell Below: 81,000 (SENSEX Spot Levels) Targets: 80,900, 80,729, and 80,5551. Recent Analysis (August 22, 2024): Sensex made an all-time high at 82,129.49 on August 1, 2024, at the open of the day. It corrected one cycle down near the level of 77,968 and found support near the lowest vibration above the cycle level (actual low: 78,295.86). The fall was swift and completed within 16 bars.
BSE:SENSEX
by Optionclub
How To Draw Support and ResistanceHorizontal Support and Resistance Levels: These are drawn using horizontal lines based on price points. Support Levels: Identify areas where the market had difficulty breaking below. These levels often have a cluster of buy orders. Resistance Levels: Represent price points where the market struggled to break above. Sellers tend to enter around these levels. Round-Number Levels (Psychological Levels): These occur around round exchange rates (e.g., 1.00, 1.10, 1.50). Traders pay attention to these levels due to their psychological significance. Trendline Support and Resistance: Draw upward or downward sloping trendlines using at least two price points. Trendlines help identify dynamic support and resistance.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
ADVANCED PCR TRADING #NSE #BSE #Option'sWhat is the PCR Ratio? The PCR measures the relative trading volume of put options (bearish bets) to call options (bullish bets) in the market. It’s calculated as:PCR=Open Interest of Call Options / Open Interest of Put Options​ Interpretation: PCR > 1: Indicates bearish sentiment. More put options are being traded, suggesting traders are hedging against potential declines or speculating on downward moves. PCR < 1: Signals bullish sentiment. More call options are traded, indicating traders expect price increases or are hedging short positions. PCR = 1: Suggests a neutral sentiment where buying and selling pressures are balanced. Why PCR Matters: Sentiment Gauge: The PCR reflects market sentiment. Tracking changes helps you gauge optimism or pessimism. Contrarian Indicator: Extremely high PCR may signal excessive pessimism, potentially leading to reversals.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
D-Link - Textbook Symmetrical Triangle pattern NSE:DLINKINDIA D-Link has formed a textbook Symmetrical pattern that has worked out so far Although it is a bullish pattern one should wait for breakout confirmation to enter. Those who want to minimize the risk should wait for retest and may enter after confirmation. The breakout must also be validated by the volumes or else it'd be just another Fakeout. According to Fibonacci Extensions after breakout 168.70 is immediate resistance might consolidate there for a while On the downside 144.15 / 136.60 / 129 / 119.65 are support levels Company also has decent fundamentals It's long call so one can keep stop loss according to their risk appetite.
NSE:DLINKINDIALong
by sandeshprabhu85
6