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Fundamental Analysis

Just Dial Ltd as of October 13, 2025, Earnings ForecastRecent Results & Financial Highlights (Q2 FY26 / 2025): Q2 FY26 EPS: ₹18.12 (vs ₹8.44 Q2 FY25, strong YoY growth) PAT (Q2 FY26): ₹159.67 crore (up ~1.31% QoQ) EBIT Margin: 47.52% (improving trend, sector-leading) Quarterly Revenue (Jun 2025): ₹425.19 crore (YoY up ~16%) FY25 Revenue: ₹1,348.4 crore FY25 Net Profit: ₹362.9 crore TTM ROE: ~14–16% (Sector median: 10–13%) P/E (Oct 2025): ~19.5 P/B: 1.76 P/S: 6.79 Market Cap: ~₹7,080 crore. Earnings & Revenue Growth Projections: Expected Revenue CAGR (next 2 years): ~8.6% Projected FY26 Revenue: 1,348.4Cr×(1+0.086)=1,464.7Cr Projected FY26 Net Profit (using stable margin of 27%): 1,464.7Cr×0.27=395.5Cr Forward EPS FY26 (projected): Shares outstanding ≈ 8.53 Cr EPS 2026 = 8.53 / 395.5 = 46.36 Price Target Calculation (Fundamental Method): Fair valuation forward P/E range: 18 (conservative) – 25 (bullish scenario; historical P/E reversion) Projected price for FY26 (Dec 2026): FY26 Conservative EPS : 46.4 P/E : 18 Target Price ₹835 Mid / Reasonable EPS : 46.4 P/E : 22 Target Price ₹1020 Bullish/Optimistic EPS : 46.4 P/E : 25 Target Price ₹1160 2026 target: ₹1,324–1,523 (max: ₹2,750; min: ₹826). Key Drivers & Risks: Growth drivers: Digital ad demand, SME onboarding, omnichannel solutions, cost control, strong cash position, consistent profit delivery. Risks: Slower SME digital spend, market share, competition from larger online models, execution risks in sales. Just Dial has delivered robust earnings growth and strong margin expansion into FY25–26, with moderate revenue CAGRs. Price targets for 2026 are in the ₹835 (conservative) to ₹1,160 (bullish) band based on fundamental analysis, with analyst consensus higher at ₹1,324–1,523. The stock trades around fair value by several metrics, and offers moderate upside if profit growth persists with industry tailwinds. Risks center on revenue acceleration and execution. Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
NSE:JUSTDIAL
by Alice Blue
Deepak Nitrite Ltd: At a Crossroad After a Decade-long Rally🔍 Technical Analysis Deepak Nitrite has experienced an extraordinary rally over the past decade—from below ₹100 to a peak near ₹3,000 in October 2021. The ₹3,000–₹3,200 zone has repeatedly acted as resistance, while the ₹1,700–₹1,800 range has served as a strong support zone. Currently, the stock trades around ₹1,760, hovering near that support. Lately, fundamentals have decelerated: after years of strong growth until ~2022, the company has faced negative year-on-year profits in recent periods. This makes the current technical zone even more critical: any push above ₹2,000 could reignite a rally, but entry should be confirmed with improving financials. Targets: Target 1: ₹2,300 Target 2: ₹2,600 Target 3: ₹3,000 If the ₹1,700–₹1,800 zone fails to hold, the bullish thesis would be invalidated—expect limited upside in that case. 💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23) Total Income: ₹8,282 Cr (↑ ~7.8% vs ₹7,682 Cr; ↑ ~8% vs ₹7,972 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹7,682 Cr (essentially flat vs FY24; declined vs FY23) Profit Before Tax: ₹953 Cr (↓ vs ₹1,102 Cr in FY24; ↓ vs ₹1,146 Cr in FY23) Profit After Tax: ₹697 Cr (↓ from ₹811 Cr in FY24 and ₹852 Cr in FY23) EPS: ₹51.12 (down from ₹59.45 in FY24 and ₹62.47 in FY23) 📌 Despite revenue growth, margins and net profits have contracted, under pressure from rising costs and operating inefficiencies. 🧠 Fundamental Highlights The company has committed to a ₹8,500 Cr investment in PC resin/phenol capacity, aiming to vertically integrate and reduce dependency on external suppliers. FY25 saw an 8% rise in revenue, reaching ₹8,366 Cr. However, net profit dropped ~14% to ₹697 Cr due to cost pressures. Margins under stress: Gross margins compressed as input costs increased—impacting profitability despite revenue gains. Valuation & Sentiment: JM Financial continues to rate Deepak Nitrite as a Buy, keeping the target at ₹2,305 amid expectations of turnaround. Dividend & Financial Position: The company retains modest dividend payouts (~0.4% yield) with a payout ratio around 13%. Balance Sheet: In FY25, a significant jump in long-term debt to ₹1,267 Cr raised leverage risks vs prior years. ✅ Conclusion Deepak Nitrite is perched at a pivotal level. While its long-term technical setup still holds promise, recent financial trends introduce caution. A break above ₹2,000 with improving fundamentals could trigger new upside, but a failure of the ₹1,700–₹1,800 support zone would cast doubt on future growth.
NSE:DEEPAKNTRLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
2
Bajaj Finance: All-Time High Breakout Powers Growth🔍 Technical Analysis Bajaj Finance Limited showcases one of the most spectacular wealth creation stories in Indian equity markets. Over the past two decades, the stock has delivered an extraordinary super bullish rally from below ₹1 to creating an all-time high of ₹1,042 today - representing an exceptional 1,000x+ growth over 20 years. The stock reached its all-time high at ₹1,042 today and has pulled back slightly to trade at ₹1,019. The previous Q1 FY26 results were positive, setting a strong foundation for continued momentum. Key support levels are established at ₹975 (recent support), ₹850 (next support), and ₹700 (major demand zone). The stock offers multiple accumulation opportunities based on position sizing at any of these levels. With Q2 results announcement scheduled for this month-end, this presents another crucial catalyst. If positive results continue, it could validate the breakout and trigger the next rally phase. Entry Strategy: Start accumulating at current levels or on dips to support zones based on position sizing. Targets: Target 1: ₹1,080 Target 2: ₹1,120 Target 3: ₹1,160 Stop Losses: Recent Support: ₹975 Next Support: ₹850 Major Demand: ₹700 If support levels and demand zone don't sustain, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹19,524 Cr (↑ +6% QoQ from ₹18,457 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹16,100 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹5,992 Cr (↓ -1% QoQ from ₹6,026 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹4,956 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹6,614 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹5,879 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹5,460 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹6,368 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹5,647 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹5,265 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹4,765 Cr (↑ +5% QoQ from ₹4,546 Cr; ↑ +22% YoY from ₹3,912 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹7.56 (↑ +5% QoQ from ₹7.21; ↑ +20% YoY from ₹6.32) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights Bajaj Finance delivered robust Q1 FY26 performance with 22% YoY net profit growth and strong operational metrics. The company reported exceptional Q2 FY26 provisional update showing strong growth momentum with AUM up 24% YoY and new loans up 26%. Market cap stands at ₹6,45,116 crore (up 43.8% in 1 year) with annual revenue of ₹73,107 crore and profit of ₹17,633 crore. Promoter holding remains stable at 54.7%, indicating strong management confidence. Customer franchise grew to 110.64 million as of September 30, 2025, from 92.09 million the previous year, representing significant 20.2% YoY growth. AUM climbed to ₹4.62 lakh crore in Q2 FY26, with quarterly increase of ₹20,800 crore, demonstrating robust business expansion. New loans booked rose 26% YoY to 12.17 million in Q2 FY26, indicating strong origination activity. The deposit book continued expanding steadily to approximately ₹69,750 crore, providing stable funding base. Asset quality remains superior with lower gross and net NPA ratios compared to peers in the NBFC space. The company operates 4,192 branches providing broader coverage and market penetration across India. ✅ Conclusion Bajaj Finance's remarkable 20-year journey from sub-₹1 to ₹1,042 all-time high, backed by exceptional Q1 FY26 fundamentals showing 22% PAT growth and strong Q2 provisional update with 24% AUM growth, validates the sustained growth thesis. Customer franchise expansion to 110.64 million and AUM reaching ₹4.62 lakh crore demonstrate market leadership. Multiple support levels at ₹975, ₹850, and ₹700 provide attractive accumulation opportunities. Q2 results scheduled for month-end could be the next catalyst for ₹1,160 target. Stock remains a core NBFC holding with strong fundamentals supporting premium valuation.
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
DLF: Resistance Turned Support Awaits Q2 Catalyst🔍 Technical Analysis DLF has demonstrated an impressive bullish rally over the past decade, transforming from below ₹100 to reaching an all-time high of ₹968 by April 2024 - representing an exceptional 9.7x growth in 10 years. Post the peak, the stock entered a corrective phase, falling to ₹600 levels while forming lower lows and lower highs. The last lower high at ₹720 was decisively taken out with super positive Q4 results, propelling the stock to ₹887. However, negative Q1 FY26 results triggered another fall, bringing the stock back to test the ₹720 level - which acted as resistance earlier. Currently trading at ₹740, this critical level transformation from resistance to support will determine the next directional move. With Q2 results announcement scheduled this month, this presents a crucial catalyst. Positive results could validate the support and trigger the next rally. Entry Strategy: Enter only post Q2 results if positive and ₹720 support holds with bullish confirmations. Targets: Target 1: ₹800 Target 2: ₹880 Target 3: ₹960 (All-Time High) Stop Losses: Critical Support: ₹720 (previous resistance, now key support) If ₹720 level doesn't sustain or results disappoint expectations, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23) Total Income: ₹7,994 Cr (↑ +24% YoY from ₹6,427 Cr; ↑ +40% from FY23 ₹5,695 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹5,885 Cr (↑ +37% YoY from ₹4,303 Cr; ↑ +48% from FY23 ₹3,969 Cr) Financing Profit: ₹2,109 Cr (↓ -1% YoY from ₹2,124 Cr; ↑ +22% from FY23 ₹1,726 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹2,261 Cr (↑ +5% YoY from ₹2,151 Cr; ↑ +51% from FY23 ₹1,502 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹4,367 Cr (↑ +60% YoY from ₹2,724 Cr; ↑ +115% from FY23 ₹2,034 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹17.64 (↑ +60% YoY from ₹11.02; ↑ +115% from FY23 ₹8.22) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights DLF delivered exceptional FY25 performance with PAT surging 60% to ₹4,367 crore and EPS growth of 60% to ₹17.64, demonstrating strong operational leverage. The company achieved record sales bookings of ₹21,223 crore in FY25, up 44% YoY. Q1 FY26 results showed 18% profit growth to ₹763 crore with revenue doubling to ₹2,717 crore. Market cap stands at ₹1,83,470 crore with promoter holding at 74.1%. The company has set ambitious target to cross annual rental income of ₹10,000 crore in medium-term from commercial properties. DLF plans ₹17,000 crore residential projects launch in FY26 and targets ₹20,000-22,000 crore in sales driven by strong demand in luxury segment. The company has 280 million square feet of development potential across residential and commercial segments. Q4 FY25 posted robust 39% profit rise with 46% revenue growth, driven by record sales from luxury projects and steady rental performance. Analysts project rental income to grow at 11% annually over FY25-FY28, with JM Financial maintaining "Buy" rating at ₹1,000 target. Listed developers including DLF are set for strong Q2 earnings with resilient pre-sales and margin growth. The company is on track to meet or beat FY26 pre-sales guidance despite seasonal monsoon weakness, backed by strong launch pipeline. ✅ Conclusion DLF's remarkable 10-year journey from sub-₹100 to ₹968 all-time high, backed by exceptional FY25 fundamentals showing 60% PAT growth and record ₹21,223 crore bookings, validates the long-term growth thesis. The critical ₹720 resistance-to-support transformation awaits Q2 results catalyst for direction. Ambitious ₹10,000 crore rental income target, ₹17,000 crore FY26 project pipeline, and 280 million sq ft development potential provide strong visibility. Technical setup favors ₹960 retest if Q2 results are positive and ₹720 support holds.
NSE:DLFLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
1
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Common Option Trading Strategies Options can be combined in different ways to create strategies with defined risk and reward profiles. Some popular strategies include: Covered Call – Holding a stock and selling a call option on it (income strategy). Protective Put – Holding a stock and buying a put to protect downside risk. Straddle – Buying both call and put at the same strike to profit from big moves. Strangle – Similar to a straddle, but strikes are different. Iron Condor – Selling both a call and a put spread to profit from a sideways market.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Akzo Nobel India Ltd Fundamental analysis on OvervaluedHere’s a fundamental analysis of AKZOINDIA (Akzo Nobel India Ltd), calculation of its fair value, and a verdict versus the current market price: Key Fundamentals (Oct 2025) Market Price: ₹3,341 EPS (TTM): ₹88.93 P/E Ratio: 37.4× Book Value/Share: ₹291.8 P/B Ratio: 11.6× Dividend Yield: ~2.99% ROE: 32.3% ROCE: ~39.9% Operating Margin: 15.7% Sales (TTM): ₹4,050 crore Net Profit (TTM): ₹405 crore 1. PE Based Fair Value Calculation EPS (TTM): ₹88.93 Sector median PE: 30× (Paints sector 25–35×) Current Market Price: ₹3,340 Fair Value=EPS × Sector PE Fair Value = 88.93 × 30 = ₹2,678 Fair Value=88.93×30=₹2,678 2. Historical Median PE Calculation -AKZOINDIA’s 5-year median PE: 31× Fair Value = EPS × Median PE Fair Value = 88.93 × 31 = ₹2,757 3. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Calculation Analyst DCF intrinsic value zone: ₹1,350–₹1,950 Let’s use midpoint: DCF Fair Value (mid)=₹1,650 All calculation models show AKZOINDIA’s market price is 20–150% above its fair fundamental value. Strong ROE and dividend ensure some premium, but current levels offer little margin of safety. If you apply conservative sector or historical multiples, fair value is near ₹2,600–₹2,800./list] 4. Profit Booking Alert Price at ₹3,340 = 21–43% above calculated fair value. Consider partial booking or wait for correction if fundamentals don’t justify ongoing high PE. Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
NSE:AKZOINDIA
by Alice Blue
Part 2 Support and Resistance Why Traders Use Options Options are versatile instruments. Traders use them for: Speculation – Betting on price movement to earn profits. Hedging – Protecting existing investments from adverse price moves. Income Generation – Selling options (writing) to earn the premium. For example: A trader may buy a call option expecting prices to rise. A portfolio manager may buy put options to protect their stocks from falling prices. An experienced investor may sell covered calls to earn regular income.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”; prioritise trading around key zones 🟡 Gold just dropped nearly 90 points during the Asian session – a time typically lacking volume, resulting in a “flush” that wiped out many leveraged positions. The larger trend remains bullish, but short-term risks of a deep pullback are present before the European–American markets engage. The accompanying image shows: Price peaked and then broke the upper edge of the H1 uptrend channel → quickly fell to the mid-channel zone. Thick Volume Profile cluster around 4.07x, POC ~4,075; below lies VAL ~4,025. Sell retest zone marked around 4.14x; grey boxes indicate buy zones at 4,075 and 4,056. Key Levels Resistance: 4,143–4,150, 4,122, 4,160. Support: 4,075 (POC), 4,056 (buy scalping), 4,025 (VAL). Scalping watch: 4,057 – 4,085 – 4,160 – 4,025. Trading Scenarios SELL retest (reaction, higher risk) Entry: 4,143 SL: 4,150 TP: 4,122 → 4,105 → 4,078 → 4,050 Idea: activate only upon clear rejection at 4.14x (long wick/engulfing H1). BUY at POC zone Entry: 4,075 SL: 4,067 TP: 4,089 → 4,100 → 4,122 → 4,155 BUY scalping (shallow pullback) Entry: 4,056 SL: 4,049–4,050 TP: 4,075 → 4,089 Invalidation: short-term buy bias weakens if H1 closes below ~4,025 (VAL). If this zone breaks, prioritise waiting for a failed retest to consider selling with the continued downtrend. Practical Notes The range is currently very wide; the European session will increase volume, making false breaks more likely. After TP1, move SL to entry to secure the position. Sell orders are merely reaction trades at 4.14x; prioritise buy-the-dip at 4,075/4,056 upon confirmation signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
MAHSCOOTER Price ActionAs of August 29, 2025, Maharashtra Scooters Limited is trading around ₹15,722, having posted a gain of nearly 5.5% over the past month and 18.5% in three months. The stock has maintained a strong uptrend for over a year, nearly doubling from its 52-week low of ₹8,822 to a high of ₹16,315 during this period. Notably, its market capitalization is about ₹17,968 crore, ranking it highly in the holding company segment. Technically, the price momentum is positive, trading close to resistance levels near ₹16,000. The short-term moving averages show mild volatility, but long-term signals remain bullish. Despite a very high price-to-earnings ratio above 73, investor interest is supported by consistent profitability, strong control over operating costs, and robust dividend payouts. Financially, March quarter results reflect steady net sales growth with improved margins. The company continues to benefit from its stake in group entities and maintains a solid cash position with minimal debt. Although growth is modest, valuation remains expensive—a sign that further gains may be limited unless fundamentals accelerate or sector sentiment grows even more bullish. Risk levels are relatively low with support seen around ₹14,340, and the stock remains a hold for existing investors while aggressive new buying may need fresh earnings triggers.
NSE:MAHSCOOTERLong
by KamalKJoshi
ADANIPORTS Pice Action- The stock is trading around ₹1,438 as of mid-October 2025, with a day range from approximately ₹1,396 to ₹1,442. - On a 52-week basis, the stock fluctuated between a low of about ₹995 and a high near ₹1,494, currently trading closer to its upper range. - Market capitalization is around ₹3.1 lakh Crores, making it one of the largest port infrastructure companies in India. - The PE ratio is about 27.5, reflecting a moderate valuation for a growing infrastructure sector leader. - Book value per share is about ₹288, so the stock trades at approximately 5 times book value. - Dividend yield is low, near 0.5%, consistent with reinvestment into growth. - Recent quarterly results showed a 6.5% rise in net profit and a strong 31% increase in revenue year over year. - The stock has demonstrated steady sales and profit growth over the past five years with roughly 23% CAGR in profits. - Return on capital employed (ROCE) is approximately 13.8%, with return on equity (ROE) close to 18.8%, signaling efficient use of capital. - The stock has shown volatility with daily price swings around 2%, reflecting sensitivity to macroeconomic factors and sector developments. Overall, ADANIPORTS remains a strong performer in the infrastructure sector with solid fundamentals, consistent growth, and trading at a fair valuation reflecting its leadership in port and logistics services.
NSE:ADANIPORTSLong
by KamalKJoshi
ADANIPOWER Price ActionAdani Power Ltd (ADANIPOWER) is currently trading near ₹154, having experienced a range between ₹148 and ₹156 in the last few sessions. The stock has been volatile, recovering quickly after a sharp correction at the end of September 2025, when it dropped from around ₹170 to ₹145 before stabilizing. Trading volumes remain heavy, often exceeding 60 million shares on active days, reflecting strong investor interest and liquidity. The price quickly rebounded after the steep selloff in late September and early October, with daily swings of 2-5% being common. The recent momentum is slightly upward, though choppy, with brief profit-taking followed by renewed buying. Overall, Adani Power shows short-term volatility within a broad uptrend established earlier in the year, featuring periods of sharp gains and corrections that align with sector and broader market sentiment shifts. The stock is actively traded and responsive to market news and institutional flows.
NSE:ADANIPOWERLong
by KamalKJoshi
Look at this........i already make a entry 🧪 Fundamentals / Business Snapshot What they do: Privi Speciality Chemicals is a major Indian manufacturer, exporter, and supplier of aroma & fragrance chemicals. Their capability includes many complex operations (distillation, condensation, hydrogenation etc). Recent financials:   • In FY25, revenue rose ~ 19.9 % to ~ ₹2,101.19 crore from ~ ₹1,752.23 Cr prev year.   • Net profit nearly doubled—~ 97 % YoY to ~ ₹187.00 crore vs ~ ₹94.91 Cr the previous year.   • In the most recent quarter (Q1 FY26), revenue ~ ₹567.80 Cr (up ~21.7 % YoY), net profit ~ ₹61.93 Cr (up ~97.4 % YoY). Margins / Efficiency:   • Operating / EBITDA margins have improved. For example, in recent quarters the OPM has been ~ 20-23 % in some reports.   • ROE recently ~ 16.94 % vs its 5-yr average ~11.8 %. Risks / concerns:   • Some analysts / rating agencies see weaker long-term fundamentals: slow growth in net sales / operating profit over longer horizon, high debt/EBITDA in some reports.   • Commodity input risk, foreign exchange risk (since exports are significant), margin pressure possible. (General for speciality chemicals) Competitive / strategic positives:   • Strong R&D, product mix improvements.   • Export orientation gives access to global markets. --- 📊 Technical / Price Action View Current trend & moving averages: According to ETMoney, the stock is hovering around key moving averages: the 20, 50, 100, 200-day EMAs/SMAs are giving “neutral” signals in many cases. Momentum indicators:   • RSI (14) ~ 48-50 area → neutral territory.   • MACD in some sources is slightly negative or weak → indicates not strong momentum up currently.   • Some resistance / support zones via pivot / classic technical tools: TipRanks shows pivot at ~ ₹2338, with resistance above and support below. Recent behaviour:   • The stock has hit 52-week highs in recent past, showing strong sentiment after good results.   • However, price also seems to be consolidating / facing short-term corrections (QoQ revenue drops, expenses growth) in some quarters.
NSE:PRIVISCLLong
by GOURAB_MAJUMDER
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Key Terminology in Option Trading Before diving deeper, let’s understand some crucial terms used in options: Underlying Asset: The financial instrument (like a stock, index, or commodity) on which the option is based. Strike Price (Exercise Price): The price at which the underlying asset can be bought (for a call) or sold (for a put). Expiration Date: The date when the option contract ends. After this date, the option becomes worthless if not exercised. Option Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for acquiring the option. Intrinsic Value: The amount by which an option is in profit if exercised immediately. Time Value: The extra value in the option premium due to time left before expiration. In-the-Money (ITM): When the option already has intrinsic value (profitable if exercised now). Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When the option has no intrinsic value. At-the-Money (ATM): When the strike price equals the current market price of the underlying. Example: If a stock is trading at ₹1000 and you buy a call option with a strike price of ₹950, your option is in the money. If you buy a call with a strike price of ₹1050, it’s out of the money.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) is absolutely on fire, hitting a Fresh All-Time High (ATH) this morning! This massive breakout isn't random; it's a direct outcome of global risk factors lining up, making gold the ultimate safe haven: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade War Reloaded: Trump's shocking 100% tariff threat on China exports has brought back major global uncertainty. Though he's softened his tone, the damage to sentiment is done, pushing money into gold. ⚠️ Geopolitical Heat: Warnings about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keep geopolitical tensions brewing, acting as a continuous tailwind for the metal. 🏛️ US Shutdown Drama: The ongoing US government funding deadlock is a big worry, further driving flight-to-safety flows. ✂️ Fed Rate Cut Confidence: High probability of Fed rate cuts in Oct/Dec (96%/87%) provides strong support, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure is Full-On BULLISH! The price action today is textbook, showing exactly how Smart Money operates: Liquidity Sweep & FVG: Price first wicked sharply below 4000 for a classic Liquidity Sweep—hunting weak hands' Stop-Losses—and created a temporary Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing with massive momentum. Structural Break (BOS & MSS): This aggressive move resulted in a clean Break of Structure (BOS) above the old ATH at 405x, confirming a major Market Structure Shift (MSS). The trend is now unequivocally BULLISH. Trading Plan - The Right Way: Priority: Stick with BUY positions! The bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the Order Block (OB) support at 405x. This is the key level. Big Warning: Don't try to short the top (sell dò đỉnh)! The risk of getting caught in a liquidity grab or price trap at these highs is extremely high. Stay away from counter-trend moves. Sell Scenario (Only if): We only consider a short-term SELL if there's a strong, confirmed candle close below 405x. In that case, we might target a minor pullback to 4000 for profit booking, but the main goal remains to BUY on dips. 👉 Bottom Line: Fundamentals and technicals are singing the same tune. 405x is the line in the sand. Trade carefully, manage your stop-loss, and always do your own research (DYOR). #GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #SafeHaven #DYOR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130. Technical H4→H1 The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation. Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032. Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988. Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130. Trading Plan Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone) Entry: 4,030–4,032 SL: 4,025 TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Buy 2 (medium-term POC) Entry: 3,988 SL: 3,980 TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry: 4,130 SL: 4,140 TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears. Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980. Quick Notes Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130. When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position. Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management. I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Technical Indicators 1. Introduction to Technical Indicators Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price, volume, or open interest data. They are primarily used in technical analysis, a method of evaluating securities by analyzing market statistics rather than intrinsic value. Indicators help traders: Identify trends and reversals. Determine momentum and market strength. Recognize overbought or oversold conditions. Generate buy or sell signals. There are three main categories of technical indicators: Trend Indicators – Identify the direction and strength of a trend. Momentum Indicators – Measure the speed and force of price movements. Volume Indicators – Analyze trading activity to confirm price movements. Some indicators are leading, giving early signals of potential price movement, while others are lagging, confirming trends after they have started. 2. Trend Indicators Trend indicators help traders identify whether an asset is moving upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing trends early allows traders to align their strategies with the market direction. 2.1 Moving Averages (MA) Moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trends over a specific period. There are two main types: Simple Moving Average (SMA): Calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period. Example: A 50-day SMA sums the last 50 closing prices and divides by 50. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Applications: Trend identification: Prices above the MA indicate an uptrend; below indicate a downtrend. Crossovers: A short-term MA crossing above a long-term MA generates a bullish signal, and vice versa. Limitations: Lagging indicator, less effective in sideways markets. 2.2 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) MACD measures the difference between two EMAs (usually 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: Difference between the fast and slow EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD line and Signal line. Interpretation: Crossovers: MACD crossing above Signal line = buy signal; below = sell signal. Divergence: Price making new highs while MACD fails indicates trend weakness. Strengths: Effective for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts. Weaknesses: Lagging indicator; may give false signals in choppy markets. 2.3 Average Directional Index (ADX) ADX measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction. Values above 25 indicate a strong trend. Values below 20 suggest a weak trend or sideways market. Applications: Confirming trend strength before entering a trade. Pairing with other indicators for trend-following strategies. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only strength. 3. Momentum Indicators Momentum indicators assess the speed of price movements, helping traders identify potential reversals or continuation patterns. 3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI) RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 = overbought (possible reversal or pullback). Values below 30 = oversold (possible rebound). Applications: Divergence between RSI and price signals potential trend reversals. Combining RSI with trend indicators enhances trade accuracy. Limitations: Can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trends. 3.2 Stochastic Oscillator The stochastic oscillator compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a specific period. %K Line: Current close relative to the high-low range. %D Line: 3-period moving average of %K. Interpretation: Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold. Crossovers of %K and %D lines indicate potential buy/sell signals. Strengths: Effective in volatile markets for timing entries and exits. Weaknesses: Less effective during strong trends; prone to false signals. 3.3 Rate of Change (ROC) ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period. Positive ROC indicates upward momentum. Negative ROC signals downward momentum. Applications: Identifying early trend reversals. Confirming breakouts or breakdowns. Limitations: Sensitive to price spikes; may give false signals in choppy markets. 4. Volume Indicators Volume analysis confirms price trends, as strong moves are typically accompanied by high volume. 4.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days. Applications: Divergence between OBV and price can signal reversals. Confirming trend strength. Limitations: Lagging indicator; requires combination with price analysis. 4.2 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a specified period. Positive CMF = buying pressure. Negative CMF = selling pressure. Applications: Identifying accumulation or distribution phases. Supporting trade entries in trend-following strategies. Weaknesses: Less effective during low-volume periods. 5. Volatility Indicators Volatility indicators help traders gauge market risk and potential price swings. 5.1 Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and upper/lower bands based on standard deviation. Price near upper band = overbought. Price near lower band = oversold. Applications: Trading range-bound markets using band bounces. Breakouts indicated when price moves outside bands. Limitations: Band breakouts don’t always result in sustained trends. 5.2 Average True Range (ATR) ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average of true price ranges over a period. Applications: Setting stop-loss levels. Identifying breakout potential. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only volatility. 6. Combining Indicators for Strategy Using a single indicator often results in false signals. Effective traders combine indicators from different categories: Trend + Momentum: Example: Use SMA to identify trend direction and RSI to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Trend + Volume: Example: Confirm trend strength with ADX and OBV before entering a trade. Momentum + Volatility: Example: Use MACD for momentum and ATR to set stop-loss levels. Rule of Thumb: Avoid indicators that provide the same information. Mix leading and lagging indicators for better confirmation. 7. Indicator-Based Trading Strategies 7.1 Trend-Following Strategy Use moving averages or ADX to identify trends. Enter trades in the direction of the trend. Use momentum indicators like MACD or RSI for entry timing. 7.2 Reversal Strategy Use RSI, Stochastic, or Bollinger Bands to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Look for divergence between price and indicator for potential reversals. 7.3 Breakout Strategy Use Bollinger Bands or price channels to identify consolidation. Volume indicators like OBV or CMF confirm breakout strength. 8. Common Mistakes in Using Indicators Overloading charts: Too many indicators can confuse signals. Ignoring market context: Indicators must be interpreted in conjunction with price action. Blind reliance: No indicator guarantees success; risk management is crucial. Neglecting timeframes: Indicators behave differently on daily, weekly, or intraday charts. 9. Advanced Indicator Techniques Divergence Trading: Identifying differences between price and indicators like MACD or RSI to spot potential reversals. Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Confirm signals from multiple timeframes to reduce false entries. Weighted Indicators: Adjust indicator sensitivity to reduce lag or noise. Algorithmic Integration: Using indicators as inputs in automated trading systems. 10. Choosing the Right Indicators Factors to consider: Trading style: Day traders vs. swing traders vs. long-term investors. Market conditions: Trending vs. ranging markets. Timeframe: Short-term indicators are more sensitive; long-term indicators reduce noise. Simplicity: Choose a few reliable indicators rather than overwhelming charts. 11. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators requires practice, observation, and discipline. While indicators provide valuable insights into market behavior, they are most effective when combined with strong risk management and a clear trading plan. Successful traders: Use indicators to enhance decision-making, not replace it. Test strategies thoroughly before applying them in live markets. Adapt indicator settings to suit different market conditions. By understanding the nuances of trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators, traders can create robust strategies that increase probability and confidence in their trades. This Technical Indicators Masterclass equips traders with the knowledge to analyze markets effectively and navigate complex price movements with precision.
TVC:US10YEducation
by TechnicalExpress
$4024 Gold: 8-Week Jhakaas Record! BUY Pivot $398x!Hello, traders! Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This bada (big) rally was immediately triggered by President Trump's unexpected tariff threat on China, which, boss, fueled a massive rush toward safe-haven assets. Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot Core Drivers: Escalating trade panga (conflict) thanks to Trump, steady Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing global gadbadi (instability) are all making Gold the top safe haven. Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, Gold recovered super fast and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying power is dominant and the bullish momentum is pakka (confirmed). Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk management is key, remember that. Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to major negative news. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124 Support: $3984, $3951, $3934 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot) BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982 SL: $3974 TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032 SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026 SL: $4034 TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976 Will this trade war tension take Gold past $4100 next week? Kya lagta hai? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView #PaisaBanega
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
FLAIR Price Action- Current Price: About ₹315 as of early October 2025. - Price Range: 52-week low roughly ₹195 and high around ₹357. - Market Cap: Approximately ₹3,300 Crores. - P/E Ratio: Around 27-28, indicating moderate valuation relative to earnings. - Recent Trend: The stock has been fluctuating in the ₹300-320 range in recent weeks with some volatility shown in daily price changes. - Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages align near the ₹310-320 levels, indicating a sideways to slight downtrend intraday in early October. - Financial Performance: Annual revenue close to ₹970 Crores, with profits around ₹114 Crores and promoter holding near 79%. - The stock has shown some recovery from the lows earlier in 2025 but remains below its 52-week high. - Trading volume shows moderate liquidity, with typical daily volumes in the tens of thousands range. Overall, Flair Writing is moderately valued, with recent price consolidation and moderate volatility as it trades below its recent highs, supported by steady financials.
NSE:FLAIRLong
by KamalKJoshi
TARIL Price ActionHere is the price and fundamental analysis summary for Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd (TARIL) without references: - Current Price: Around ₹491.35 as of October 2025. - Price Range: 52-week range is approximately ₹356 low to ₹649 high. - Market Capitalization: About ₹14,748 Crores. - P/E Ratio: Around 56-60, indicating relatively high valuation. - EPS: About ₹8.06 to ₹8.71 (TTM). - Dividend Yield: Very low, about 0.04%. - Price averages: 50-day average ~ ₹507, 200-day average ~ ₹494. - Revenue and Profit Growth: Strong profit growth of over 250% CAGR in last 5 years; sales and operating profit margins improving, with recent operating profit margin around 16-17%. - Return Ratios: ROCE ~28%, ROE ~23%. - Working Capital Efficiency: Debtor days reduced significantly, improving cash cycles. - Stock trades at about 11.8 times book value (book value approximately ₹37). - Quarterly trends show improving profitability and sales year-over-year. - Peer comparison: Valuation and profitability metrics compare reasonably with peers in electrical equipment sector. The stock price has been on an uptrend with strong fundamentals and growth metrics indicating positive medium-term potential but trades at a high valuation reflecting investor optimism and strong earnings growth.
NSE:TARILLong
by KamalKJoshi
ORIENTCER Price ActionOrient Ceratech Ltd is currently trading at ₹37, showing a slight uptick in the latest session. The stock has an annual range between ₹28.93 (year low) and ₹57.4 (year high). Volumes in recent sessions have been below average, reflecting subdued market participation. The market capitalization stands close to ₹442 crore. Technically, the stock is consolidating, with the price hovering just below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a weak trend in the medium term. Recent intraday movement ranged from ₹36.8 to ₹38.2, and resistance is visible around ₹38–₹41, while support lies near the ₹36 zone and more strongly at the yearly low. On the fundamentals front, Orient Ceratech reported modest profit growth with a trailing twelve-month EPS of ₹0.95 and a P/E ratio near 39, which is above its historical average but below the sector average. The book value per share stands around ₹23 and the price-to-book is about 1.6. Dividend yield is modest at 0.68%, and the balance sheet shows moderate leverage. While revenue has grown slightly year-over-year, profitability remains a concern with recent margin pressures. In summary, the stock remains in a consolidation phase with a mildly negative bias until a strong reversal or breakout above resistance emerges. Both technicals and fundamentals suggest a cautious stance for new entries, with high valuations and weak earnings trends requiring close monitoring.
NSE:ORIENTCERLong
by KamalKJoshi
KPEL Price ActionK.P. Energy Ltd (KPEL) is currently trading around ₹424, rebounding sharply with a rise of almost 10% in the last session. The price remains well below the 52-week high of ₹675 but is comfortably above the year's low at ₹336. Recent sessions saw increased volatility, with an intraday range from ₹386 to ₹438 and strong trading volumes, pointing to heightened trader activity. The stock is in the middle of a broad upward trend but has underperformed on a year-to-date basis, falling more than 21% compared to modest market gains. Short-term technicals are mixed: while the long-term average remains bullish, the stock faces immediate resistance near ₹528 and finds support just above ₹420. Momentum indicators such as MACD show lingering positive signals, but trading below the short-term average keeps the outlook cautious for aggressive entry. KPEL’s financial fundamentals are robust, highlighted by strong growth in both net sales and profits. The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is about 23, and the price-to-book (P/B) stands near 11.8—both somewhat elevated but aligning with industry standards for growth-oriented firms. Debt levels are well-controlled, and operational margins have improved, adding confidence to the long-term narrative. Despite high valuations, continued top-line and bottom-line delivery sustains market interest, with a positive outlook for future growth if sector conditions remain favorable. For traders, key levels to monitor are resistance at ₹528 and support at ₹420. As long as the price remains above the lower band, upward momentum is supported, though breaking below could invite short-term selling pressure. Long-term investors may consider accumulating during any dips, relying on the company’s strong operating performance and sector prospects.
NSE:KPELLong
by KamalKJoshi