Technical analysis part 1Technical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
Some traders follow something called the "10 a.m. rule." The stock market opens for trading at 9:30 a.m., and there's often a lot of trading between 9:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. Traders that follow the 10 a.m. rule think a stock's price trajectory is relatively set for the day by the end of that half-hour.
How to perform technical analysis
Identifying the trend. This is the first step in technical analysis for traders because trading strategies can either follow the trend or go against the trend. ...
Drawing support and resistance levels. ...
Establishing entry and exit points. ...
Position sizing and risk management.
Fundamental Analysis
Use of RSI in Advance TradingRSI values are typically used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. A reading above 70 suggests that the asset may be overbought and could be due for a downward correction. On the other hand, a reading below 30 indicates that the asset may be oversold, signalling a potential upward reversal.
The best RSI settings are typically a 14-period timeframe with 70 as the overbought level and 30 as the oversold level. These settings can be adjusted based on specific trading strategies.
The RSI provides technical traders with signals about bullish and bearish price momentum, and is often plotted below the graph of an asset's price. An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
Standard Glass Lining#SGLTL Standard Glass Lining looks bullish for a reversal
Entry can be above 182
Target is 200
Buy on dips till 164
the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for Standard Glass Lining Technology Ltd (SGLTL) was 55.85. This is higher than the peer average of 40.3x.
Additional information about SGLTL
The face value of SGLTL is ₹10.
The earnings per share (EPS) for SGLTL is ₹2.93.
The market cap of SGLTL is ₹3,264 Cr.
The 52-week low for SGLTL is ₹153.70.
The 52-week high for SGLTL is ₹213.80.
The beta for SGLTL is 0.75.
The dividend yield for SGLTL is 0.00%.
The price-to-book ratio for SGLTL is 4.80.
Reliance powerRpower posted stellar results today after which the stock spide by 9% at market open.
Although there was a slight decline in revenue yoy but the company's net profit increased by 358% percent from last quarter.
This company's financial health is improving steadily and company is focusing on debt reduction, this company also has many subsidiaries for eg Rosa power.
The power sector looks promising for coming 3 to 4 years and I personally have rpower and various power companies in portfolio, you must have risk exposure to this sector, it could do wonders in the next years.
AARON industries#AARON
Daily chart..
Resistance at 400
Support at 340
Keep on Radar.
Aaron Industries Limited (AIL) is an Indian company that manufactures elevators, elevator parts, and stainless steel products. They also provide electronic equipment for elevators.
What they do:
Elevator manufacturing
AIL designs and manufactures elevators, including cabins, doors, frames, headers, and traction machines.
Stainless steel polishing
AIL polishes stainless steel for mirrors, press plates, designer sheets, and more.
Electrical equipment
AIL provides electronic equipment for elevators, including distribution boxes, busbar chambers, cable trays, and loom switches.
What they produce:
Elevator cabins, including mild steel, stainless steel, and premium cabins
Auto doors, including ADS 2Pnl
Designer sheets, including full panel sheets and seamless designer sheets
Distribution boards and boxes
Busbars and mini busbar (MS) boxes.
Trent - Is the share ready to dress up green for investors?Trent, which manages brands like Zudio and Westside has been in news for just for its quarterly results but also dipping 15% in last 3 trading session. Why is this share dressed red even though the results are not as bad.
Most likely, it is in a good buy zone now. I have shared my point of view in this video here. Please watch.
Hindustan Zinc (HZL) Breakout: Is This the Start of a Big Rally?Hindustan Zinc Limited (HZL), established in 1966, is a leading Indian mining and resources company specializing in the production of zinc, lead, silver, and cadmium. As a subsidiary of Vedanta Limited, Hindustan Zinc holds a dominant position in the Indian zinc market, commanding approximately a 75% share.
Financial Performance:
In the quarter ending September 30, 2024, HZL reported a net profit of ₹23.27 billion, marking a 35% increase from the previous quarter.
This growth is attributed to higher zinc prices driven by increased demand from China and global supply concerns.
Revenue from silver, its second-largest business segment, increased by 20% during the same period.
Stock Performance & Trends:
On October 30, 2024, Hindustan Zinc reached a high of ₹575.
The stock later declined, hitting a low of ₹414.70 on January 13, 2025.
As of now, the price has recovered to ₹468, indicating a moderate rebound from its recent low.
Technical Analysis:
Falling Wedge Breakout: In the daily time frame, the price formed a falling wedge pattern, which has now given a breakout confirmation.
Strong Price Action on Feb 5th:
Price surged by 6.99% on February 5, 2025, signaling bullish momentum.
This was accompanied by a significant volume increase of 3.71M, compared to the last 30-day average volume of 1.3M.
The volume increased by approximately 185.38%, confirming strong buying interest.
Key Reversal Zone:
If the price faces rejection from the current level (LTP ₹468), a potential reversal zone lies between ₹432 to ₹443.90.
Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: ₹500
Resistance 2: ₹553
Resistance 3: ₹630
Strategic Initiatives:
HZL is actively pursuing a transition to renewable energy, with plans to power its operations entirely through renewables within the next five to seven years.
This initiative aligns with India's broader strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase the share of non-fossil fuels in electricity generation.
Ownership & Divestment:
The Indian government, which holds a 29.54% stake in HZL, announced plans to sell a 2.5% stake valued at approximately $634 million in November 2024.
Earlier in 2024, Vedanta sold a 3.3% stake in the company.
Conclusion:
Hindustan Zinc Limited remains a fundamentally strong company, benefiting from global metal demand and a steady dividend policy. However, recent stock fluctuations and technical patterns suggest strong bullish potential following the falling wedge breakout and volume surge. Traders should watch the ₹432-₹443.90 reversal zone if a pullback occurs, while ₹500, ₹553, and ₹630 serve as key resistance levels for further upside.
Use of Macd in trading (basic-to-advance)Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The signal line is a nine-period EMA of the MACD line.
The standard and most widely used settings for the MACD Indicator are 12, 26, and 9. These represent the 12-day EMA (fast line), the 26-day EMA (slow line), and the 9-day EMA (signal line). However, some traders adjust these to shorter periods (like 8, 17, and 9) for day trading to capture faster market movements
Option and Database TradingOption chain analysis is the process of evaluating the information provided in the option chain to identify potential trading opportunities. Traders use option chain analysis to evaluate the market's expectations of an asset's future price movements and make informed decisions about their investments.
The Option Chain is a table that contains the most critical information needed to purchase and sell options. We have previously discussed calls and puts, underlying prices, strike prices, expiration, and moneyness. The option chain is where all of this comes together (just like that map of the metro network).
Option Chain AnalysisOption chain analysis is the process of evaluating the information provided in the option chain to identify potential trading opportunities. Traders use option chain analysis to evaluate the market's expectations of an asset's future price movements and make informed decisions about their investments.
OI stands for Open Interest, which is the total number of outstanding option contracts that have not yet been settled. OI helps to gauge market trends and shows how many options contracts are still open. Higher open interest generally indicates higher liquidity and market activity for that contract.
Use Graphs and Charts: You can plot the option chain data on graphs and charts. It will help understand the trends associated with different components of the option chain. Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors must analyse technical factors (associated with price) to make informed decisions.
Option Chain AnalysisUnderstanding Option Chain Analysis
An option chain is a matrix consisting of all available contracts for investors. Option chains are available for individual stocks and market indices like NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 500. You can select a stock or a market index and find all available options through an option chain.
The 9.20 short straddle strategy involves selling a call and a put option at the same strike price at 9:20 AM in Indian markets, aiming to capitalize on time decay and volatility.
10 tricks for developing discipline or here was WarrenIf you asked me, what is the most valuable trait an investor should have, I would call it the ability to follow your own rules. In other words, it is discipline. A novice investor can learn quickly, know all the features of the chosen strategy from A to Z, but it is unlikely that he will succeed without this trait. So, Warren Buffett called persistence your engine, and discipline the guarantee of a successful future.
Imagine that you have sailed to an unusually beautiful island with the goal of finding a treasure chest. To achieve this, you have a map with a description of all the paths and turns that you need to take to reach your goal. However, after the first 100 meters of the path you understand that this island has a huge number of amazing plants, ripe fruits, and curious animals. All this is very interesting and attractive for you: firstly, you want to take a photo of a beautiful flower, secondly, try a tropical fruit, thirdly, play with a funny monkey. “Why not? This is a great chance!” you think. After a while, having enjoyed the life of the island, you realize that it is already evening, and it is easier to spend the night somewhere under a palm tree and continue the search for treasure tomorrow, during daylight hours. “That’s a smart idea!” you note and begin to prepare a place to sleep.
In the morning, you wake up in a good mood, you are greeted by familiar flowers, fruits and a cheerful parrot. Since you already know all this, you decide to continue following the map to find the treasure today and sail on. The path is easy for you: the entire route is marked in advance, you just follow these instructions. So, here you are. At the roots of the largest palm tree, under many branches, there should be a treasure chest hidden. You clear away the branches, and here your expectation collides with a shocking reality. Instead of a chest, you see a hole, where at the bottom, with a wooden stick, is written: “Warren was here”.
In this example, Warren had the same map as you. Moreover, he arrived on the island much later. The only difference is his model of achieving the goal. He understood that exploring the island was not a priority for him right now. Warren would be happy to return there, but this time with the goal of relaxing, perhaps on his brand-new ship. And while he came to the island to look for treasure, he is looking for it. Everything else, despite all its attractiveness, is for him a risk of not achieving the goal.
I also think of my stock investing strategy as a map that helps me understand where I should turn in any given situation. The only thing that makes me follow the route is discipline. Unfortunately, I can't put the stock market on pause or ignore corporate news - they all require my attention. If I choose this path, I follow it. In other words, if I am not going to follow the recommendations of my map, then why did I choose this path?
However, how difficult it is to look calmly at temptations. A man is not a robot. So we need some tricks that can help us with discipline. I think that in this regard, the most brilliant invention of mankind was and remains the alarm clock. No matter how much we sleep, when the alarm rings, we wake up. The most disciplined people even set several alarms to make sure they wake up! On the one hand, it irritates us like crazy, on the other hand, have you ever thought about how well it helps us relax? After all, there is no longer a need to wake up and determine the time by the brightness of the sun from the window - now we have an alarm clock! It turns out that discipline can be associated with pleasant things.
By the way, on TradingView, such a brilliant invention is “Alerts”. I wrote about this function in the article: “A pill for missed opportunities” . I will only add that the alert system can be applied not only to the stock price, but also to the indicators that you use on the chart, as well as to a whole watch list. So, make a list of companies you want to keep an eye on. Then set alerts when a certain condition related to price or indicator value is reached. And finally, wait calmly. Yes, this is what will take up all your time - waiting. And believe me, it takes a lot of discipline to just wait.
To develop this trait, I recommend creating habits that are organically linked to your strategy. For example, to decide about a deal, I constantly refer to news about the selected companies. It is significant for me to understand whether critical events have arisen that could influence my decision to open or close a position. However, regularly reading corporate news can hardly be called a fascinating activity for everyone. This is not looking at memes at all. Therefore, below I will give a few tricks that will help make this (and not only this) activity systemic:
1. Set your alarm for 1 hour before the stock market opens. Let this signal remind you that it is time to study the news on companies that have already been bought or are very close to being bought.
2. Make access to news as convenient as possible. Install the TradingView app on your phone, tablet, home computer or laptop. Don't have problems accessing information in any situation: if you are lying on the couch, sitting at the table or walking in the park.
3. Start with small steps. For example, start by reading only the headlines of news stories, rather than the entire story at once. Gradually increase the amount of incoming information. In one full hour, you can easily gather all the information you need to get a complete picture before the market opens.
4. Use modern technologies. For example, reading news from your voice assistant. This is convenient if you are on the move.
5. Combine your habit with another direction you are developing. For example, if you are learning a foreign language, practice reading the news in that language.
6. Organize public attention to your habit. For example, agree with your wife that for every time you skip a habit, you take her to a new restaurant (I think the most effective method for married men). Chat with like-minded people and/or post your thoughts on the news on social networks. The extra attention will motivate you to keep doing it.
7. Add a little joy to your news reading habit. If you like freshly squeezed juice, place a glass of it next to you. After the work you've done, be sure to thank yourself. For example, a delicious dessert or watching one episode of your favorite TV series.
8. Formulate your goal as follows: not to be someone who understands everything, but to be someone who never misses a single event.
9. Separately, I would like to draw attention to keeping a diary of your operations. This is an essential document that will help you track your progress - your Track Record. At the same time, it is one of the systemic habits. I recommend adding to Track Record information about cash transactions, trades, taxes, dividends, conditions that prompted you to open or close a position in shares. You can organize such a diary in any spreadsheet to calculate some of the metrics using formulas.
Below, I will present the metrics that I use in my Track Record. All data in it will be provided as an example only.
10. And finally, I think it is significant to visualize your achievements not only in electronic form, but also to have a physical embodiment of your results. For example, these can be empty glass flasks where you can put coins or balls corresponding to certain actions: opening a position, closing a position with a profit, closing a position with a loss, paying dividends. One flask - one year. Such an installation will look beautiful in your room or office and will remind you of what you have finally achieved. You might even have some interesting stories to tell to curious guests who notice this piece of furniture.
Database trading Part 5Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes
Algo trading, also known as algorithmic trading, is a method of executing orders by providing a predefined set of rules to a computer program. When the predefined conditions are met, orders are placed at a speed and frequency that is impossible for a human trader.
Line charts are one of the most commonly used charts in intraday trading. The line charts only display the closing price.
Advanced Level Pcr tradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
If PCR is above 1, it would mean that more puts are being traded and since more puts are being traded by the retail traders (option buyers) this could mean that markets might do the opposite which is go up. Higher than 1 the PCR is, higher the chances of the market going up.
Why RSI is Important in Trading???The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures recent price changes as it moves between 0 and 100. The RSI provides short-term buy and sell signals and is used to track the overbought and oversold levels of an asset.
To use the RSI indicator, check if the value is above 70 to show an asset is overbought, or below 30 to show it is oversold. Traders can use these signals to find possible trading opportunities.
Successful trades often occur when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating a buy signal) or below 70 (indicating a sell signal). Adjusting the RSI period to 9 can make it more sensitive to price changes and be suitable for more active trading strategies
Divergence Based TradingDivergence is when the asset price moves in the direction opposite to what a technical indicator indicates. When a stock is diverging, it signals weaker price trends and the beginning of a reversal. The two types of divergence are: Positive: A positive divergence is a sign of higher price movement in the asset.
Divergence signals tend to be more accurate on the longer time frames. You get fewer false signals. This means fewer trades but if you structure your trade well, then your profit potential can be huge. Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable.
Divergences are a powerful trading concept and the trader who understands how to trade divergences in the right market context with the correct signals can create a robust method and effective way of looking at price.
What Is NON-FARM PAYROLL (NFP) ?Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) is a crucial U.S. economic indicator that tracks changes in the total number of paid workers, excluding farm workers, federal employees, private household workers, and nonprofit staff. It is released on the first Friday of every month and significantly impacts the forex market due to its implications for economic growth and inflation.
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Key Points:
What is NFP?
Tracks the total number of paid workers in the U.S., excluding certain sectors (e.g., farms, government, private households, nonprofits).
Indicates labor market health and economic trends.
⚠️Release Schedule:
Published on the first Friday of each month .
Provides monthly updates on U.S. employment changes.
📊Market Impact:
Causes significant rate movements in the Forex Market.
Anticipated by traders, analysts, and investors for market forecasting.
📊Economic Implications:
Increasing NFP Numbers:
Signals economic growth and currency value appreciation.
Can raise concerns about inflation risks.
Decreasing NFP Numbers:
⚠️Indicates potential economic slowdown or broader issues.
NFP serves as a barometer for the U.S. economy and is closely monitored for decision-making in financial markets. 📊
🔥 How Many Moment Expected in Gold : 160-200 PIPS
📚 Learn more about trading strategies and market insights!
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Database Trading Part 4Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes.
Trading data is a sub-category of financial market data. It provides real-time information about stock and market prices as well as historical trends for assets such as equities, fixed-income products, currencies and derivatives.
A database is an electronically stored, systematic collection of data. It can contain any type of data, including words, numbers, images, videos, and files. You can use software called a database management system (DBMS) to store, retrieve, and edit data.
Buy RKForge above 1040 Target 1120 SL 998Buy Ramakrishna Forging above 1140 SL 998 Target 1120
Vloume on 15-10-2024 was 3 X of average volume, trendling breakout as per chart & stong outlook
Company has delivered good profit growth of 23.2% CAGR over last 5 years
Debtor days have improved from 102 to 78.4 days.
Company's median sales growth is 23.9% of last 10 years
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 117 days to 88.6 days
#investing #nseindia #Bseindia #RKforge
Are we looking at the NEXT World Economic Order?This is an analysis (long term) for the Japanese currency since it started to trade in world in 1991. The chart is somewhere suggesting that it might cross ₹70 in near future, probably after the demon-etisation of GB(gone-baloon) Pound and US(un-stable) Dollar.