BRITANNIA [POSITIONAL | SWING] [LONG]I have taken a long entry In BRITANNIA At 4800
Upcoming Tax budget will have relaxation which would boost FMCG & Auto sector.
Fundamental Information
Britannia Industries Limited is a leading player in India's fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, renowned for its extensive range of bakery and dairy products. Let's delve into its fundamental strengths and key financial metrics:
Market Position and Brand Strength: Britannia boasts a robust brand presence with products like Good Day, Marie Gold, and NutriChoice, enjoying significant market share in the biscuit segment.
Financial Performance:
Revenue Growth: For the fiscal year ending March 2024, Britannia reported a revenue of ₹46.68 billion, marking a 5% increase from the previous year.
REUTERS
Net Profit: The net profit for the same period was ₹5.31 billion, reflecting a decline attributed to challenges like urban demand slowdown and commodity inflation.
REUTERS
Profitability Ratios:
Gross Margin: Stood at 43.05%, indicating efficient production cost management.
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Operating Margin: Reported at 17.28%, showcasing effective control over operating expenses.
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Net Profit Margin: At 12.9%, reflecting the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
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Valuation Metrics:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Approximately 68.38, suggesting market expectations of future earnings growth.
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Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Around 37.96, indicating investor confidence in the company's asset utilization.
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Fundamental Analysis
Support and ResistanceTOP-10 Support and Resistance Indicators
Fibonacci Levels.
Support and Resistance Zones Indicator.
Linear Regression.
Margin Zones Indicator.
Trend Lines.
Fair Value Gaps.
Stacked Imbalance Indicator.
Psychological Levels.
The basic strategy is to buy at the support level and sell at the resistance level, recognizing that these are zones of potential demand and supply changes. How does resistance work?
Database TradingIt comes with limited downside risk, making it a safer investment than futures or margin trading. In addition, option trading can be more complex than other financial instruments, as it requires traders to have a good understanding of the underlying asset and market conditions.
Yes, you can make a lot of money, or lose a lot of money, trading options. Options provide a leveraged payoff on some underlying asset, such a stock. Below are the basics and some points to be aware of. The prices of options are based on the movement of some underlying asset, often stocks.
Management and PsychologyTrading Psychology simply refers to the feelings and emotions of a trader experiences and the associated actions the trader takes as a result. Just like in any other aspect of life, understanding how our mind works can improve our ability to trade better, take more informed, rational decisions and calculated risk.
How do I master my trading psychology?
What is Trading Psychology? ...
1) Create a Trading Plan. ...
2) Take Regular Breaks. ...
3) Don't Quit Your Day Job. ...
4) Accept That You Will Lose. ...
5) Practice, Practice, Practice. ...
6) Use a Take Profit and a Stop Loss. ...
7) Backtest Your Trading Strategy.
More items...
Database Part 2Options are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
Option trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.
PCR TradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
option TradingOption trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.
If a person trades for excitement or social proofing reasons, rather than in a methodical way, they are likely trading in a gambling style. If a person trades only to win, they are likely gambling. Traders with a "must-win" attitude will often fail to recognize a losing trade and exit their positions.
ONDOUSDT - TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT - BULLISH OUTLOOKSymbol - ONDOUSDT
ONDOUSDT continues to demonstrate an upward trend, with periodic cyclical counter-trend corrections. The chart is currently indicating a potential conclusion of the correction phase, suggesting a readiness for further upward movement. A significant consolidation pattern has developed within the context of the prevailing uptrend. In this regard, the price is attempting to break above the consolidation resistance (triangle) and surpass the next key resistance level at 1.538. This level is of particular importance. Should the bulls successfully maintain support above 1.538, ONDO may experience a recovery towards the 1.7–1.9–2.15 range in the short to medium term.
Support levels: 1.538, 1.44
Resistance levels: 1.7344, 1.90
A minor pullback to support, followed by a false breakdown, remains a possibility. However, sustained price consolidation above this level would confirm readiness for upward movement. Entry, SL & Target levels are indicated on the chart.
Database option TradingOptions are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
Options are highly sensitive to market volatility. Significant price swings can lead to substantial gains or losses. A trader might buy a put option expecting a stock to drop. If the stock instead surges in price due to unforeseen events, the value of the put option plummets.
Budget day decoding 1 february 2025We are at very important supply area. Be careful if the budget comes best as per expectation another 700-1000 points upside range is there but our plan is short because of risk reward is perfect here to short with small stop loss. Last 2 days also we saw that after a certain upmove there is a huge fall which trapped buyers. Yesterday was proper short covering move by big players.
I don't really like trading events because of huge volume formation market works totally opposite. But as of now our plan is short side.
Revising my outlook on SAMHI SAMHI seemed to have entered the party a little late with the big boys already enjoying rich valuations...much of what it got in the IPO went for debt cleanup and it still has a good pile of debt left relative to its maketcap.
The biggest drawback of this company is that it does not have a promoter with skin in the game. Who but the MD calls the shots here? Ashish Jakhanwala poses a keyman risk that I previously didnt think of. goldman sach left in a tearing hurry and now with the dollar doing what it is quite a big chunk of FII are exiting.
Amongst the Institutional Investors, Govt of Singapore with 8% equity and ACIC Blue Chandra & GTI with 22.47% equity seem to be the steady ones but the latter only because the lock in period of their shareholding is till March 2025. Then there are investors like SBI MF, Aditya Birla MF, Lion, TT that have a 10.6% stake which are reducing their holding every quarter.
The slide in share price wont stop until this 10.6% changes hands and Blue, GTI an ACIC decide to wait it out for some appreciation.
Another drawback is that it is present primarily in 6 cities. bengaluru, hyderabad, pune, ahmedabad, chennai & gurgaon will account for 87% of its portfolio. It doesnt have any presence in mumbai and only one midscale hotel in delhi. It doesnt have leisure or theme travel as its core strategies.
Fundamentally, the company is set to make the most of operating leverage in the quarters to come. It is continuously upgrading its portfolio of rooms and in 3 years time it is set to nearly double the rooms in the premium upscale and upper upscale category with that becoming 33% of its portfolio..
I expect it to churn out nearly 100 crores of net profit in this FY. And with that get te ball rolling for years of growth and entering new markets and territories. This concall I would like to ask the management of how they would tackle keyman risk and the possibility of roping in promoters as it has a danger of disintegrating if there do not remain sticky institional investors here.
RSI Divergence Low RSI levels, typically below 30 (red line), indicate oversold conditions—generating a potential buy signal. Conversely, high RSI levels, typically above 70 (green line), indicate overbought conditions—generating a potential sell signal.
Successful trades often occur when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating a buy signal) or below 70 (indicating a sell signal). Adjusting the RSI period to 9 can make it more sensitive to price changes and be suitable for more active trading strategies.
Advanced Trading with StepsIf a person trades for excitement or social proofing reasons, rather than in a methodical way, they are likely trading in a gambling style. If a person trades only to win, they are likely gambling. Traders with a "must-win" attitude will often fail to recognize a losing trade and exit their positions.
Swing trading is a popular trading strategy designed to take advantage of price movements or 'swings' in the markets. Swing traders look to buy or sell an asset before its value makes its next substantial move, before closing their position for a profit.
Technical AnalysisTechnical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
Technical analysis is a strategy for predicting movement in the stock market, or other securities markets, that relies on information from short periods of time. For this reason, day traders or other short-term traders often use technical analysis.
Trading RoadmapOptions are highly sensitive to market volatility. Significant price swings can lead to substantial gains or losses. A trader might buy a put option expecting a stock to drop. If the stock instead surges in price due to unforeseen events, the value of the put option plummets.
Market Volatility: The futures and options markets are known for their high volatility, meaning prices can change rapidly and unpredictably. If you happen to be on the wrong side of one of these price swings, you can lose a tremendous amount of money in a very short amount of time.
MACD Divergence TradingMoving average convergence/divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The signal line is a nine-period EMA of the MACD line.
The indicator is calculated by subtracting a 26-period Exponential Moving Average from the 12-period moving average. There is also a histogram available on the indicator which can also be used as a divergence indicator. As a result, you will then see the MACD line, which shows as an indicator below the price chart.
Option Trading Options are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
When options are better. Options can be a better choice when you want to limit risk to a certain amount. Options can allow you to earn a stock-like return while investing less money, so they can be a way to limit your risk within certain bounds. Options can be a useful strategy when you're an advanced investor.
Advanced Swing TradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
Stock Analysis: Jash EngineeringIntroduction:
Jash Engineering Limited is involved in the manufacturing a wide range of equipment for Water Intake Systems, Water and Waste Water Pumping Stations and Treatment Plants, Storm Water Pumping Stations, Water Transmission Lines, Power, Steel, Cement, Paper & Pulp, Petrochemicals, Chemical, Fertilizers, and other process plants. Jash offers a single-stop solution under one roof including Design, Casting, Fabrication, Assembly & Testing, and provides the most varied range of these products in the largest possible sizes. Jash is an industry leader in India and also exports these products to over 45 countries worldwide.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹ 3,589 Cr.; Stock P/E: 46.2 (Ind. P/E: 39.70) 👎;
ROCE: 25.1% 👍 ; ROE: 22.6% 👍;
3 Years Sales Growth: 20% 👍; 3 Years Profit Growth: 30% 👍;
3 Years Stock Price CAGR: 83% 👍
Cons: Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -9.36%
Technicals:
Jash engineering has fell sharply from the strong resistance level of 638 in Mud jan 2025.
Jash engineering has given a good breakout in the past few sessions after taking strong support around 100 EMA level of 542.
RSI (56.24) is indicating price strength.
20 EMA (Black Line) is trading above 50 EMA (Orange Line) and 100 EMA (Blue line).
Resistance levels: 638, 663
Support levels: 559, 520, 483
NIFTY 50 - BEARISH TREND WITH RESISTANCE ZONES AHEADSymbol - NIFTY50
CMP 23260
The Nifty50 is currently in a downtrend and is trading within a falling wedge pattern, indicating potential for a bearish move in the near future. At present, the index is trading at a resistance zone, specifically between 23260-23300, with additional resistance zones positioned further upwards. Given these technical factors, there is a strong expectation for a sell-off from the current levels. The downside targets are expected to be around the lows that were formed a few days back, which are near the 22800 level and possibly lower.
From a broader perspective, the Nifty50's technical structure suggests that further downward movement is likely as the price faces resistance and struggles to break above key levels. Therefore, traders should be cautious of any bullish reversal in the immediate term and instead focus on potential downside targets.
Key resistance levels to watch are near 23260-23300, with additional resistance higher up. Support is anticipated at the 22900-22830 level and below. Given the current pattern and resistance zone, a short-term bearish outlook seems more probable, with a potential continuation of the downtrend.