7 years breakout candidate KIRI INDUSTRIESKiri Industries Ltd., incorporated in the year 1998, is a Small Cap company (having a market cap of Rs 3,236.49 Crore) operating in Chemicals sector.
Kiri Industries Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Dyes Intermediates and Other Operating Revenue for the year ending 31-Mar-2024.
For the quarter ended 30-09-2024, the company has reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 277.11 Crore, up 3.98 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 266.50 Crore and up 19.19 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 232.50 Crore. Company has reported net profit after tax of Rs -12.70 Crore in latest quarter.
Fundamental Analysis
Ascending Triangle Pattern in BAJAJ FINANCEChart Analysis & Trade Setup
Stock: Bajaj Finance Ltd (NSE)
Timeframe: 1W (Weekly Chart)
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zone (Orange Region):
The price has faced multiple rejections in this zone historically.
The stock has now broken above this resistance, signaling a potential breakout.
Support Levels:
Purple Trendline: Long-term ascending trendline acting as dynamic support.
Blue Zones: These levels indicate past significant buying areas.
Breakout Confirmation:
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around ₹7,899 - ₹8,000, post-breakout confirmation.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at ₹7,600 (below breakout zone).
Target: ₹10,000 (based on breakout projection and past price action).
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio:
Target Gain: ₹2,000 (from ₹8,000 to ₹10,000)
Risk (SL): ₹400 (from ₹8,000 to ₹7,600)
RR Ratio: 5:1 (Favorable trade setup)
Expected Price Movement:
The price is expected to retest the breakout zone around ₹8,000 before moving higher.
If the retest holds, the stock may rally toward ₹9,200 - ₹10,000.
USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Breakout: Path to Parity Bullish Scenario 🚀📈
1. Breakout Above the EMA (200) 🔺:
If the price closes above the 200-week EMA (0.9082), it could confirm a long-term bullish trend reversal.
A strong push may target key levels like 0.9500 and eventually 1.0000 (parity) 🎯, as shown by the projection arrow.
2. RSI Support 💪:
The RSI above 50 indicates that buyers are gaining momentum.
If RSI trends toward 70, it signals even stronger bullish momentum ✅📊.
3. Higher Highs and Higher Lows 📶:
The chart is forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic signal of an uptrend.
This pattern supports a move toward higher price levels 🚀.
🔥 Key Takeaway: A breakout above the EMA could spark a powerful rally, with parity (1.0000) as a major psychological target.
Database Option Trading Options are highly sensitive to market volatility. Significant price swings can lead to substantial gains or losses. A trader might buy a put option expecting a stock to drop. If the stock instead surges in price due to unforeseen events, the value of the put option plummets.
Call options give buyers the right, but not the obligation, to buy a stock for a fixed price, on or before some date. Buying call options on a stock can be more profitable — but also more risky in percentage-change terms — than buying that stock itself.
Option TradingOptions are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
When options are better. Options can be a better choice when you want to limit risk to a certain amount. Options can allow you to earn a stock-like return while investing less money, so they can be a way to limit your risk within certain bounds. Options can be a useful strategy when you're an advanced investor.
LONG On Kalyan JewellersHere are all the insights of the recent report published by the company
### **Kalyan Jewellers Financial Analysis and Investment Recommendation**
#### **Overall Financial Performance:**
1. **Revenue Growth:**
- **Q3 2024 Revenue:** ₹72,888 million, up from ₹60,654 million in Q2 2024 and ₹52,230 million in Q3 2023.
- **9-Month Revenue:** ₹188,878 million, significantly higher than ₹140,133 million in 2023.
- Strong revenue growth is driven by festive demand and new store openings.
2. **Profitability:**
- **Q3 2024 Net Profit:** ₹2,186 million, up from ₹1,803 million in Q3 2023.
- **9-Month Net Profit:** ₹5,265 million, up from ₹4,587 million in 2023.
- Margins are stable, and profitability is improving with strong consumer demand.
3. **Expenses & Costs:**
- **Cost of materials consumed:** ₹63,528 million in Q3 2024 (major contributor to total expenses).
- **Advertisement & Promotion Costs:** ₹1,106 million in Q3 2024, showing continued brand investment.
- **Finance Costs:** ₹876 million in Q3 2024, stable compared to previous quarters.
4. **Debt & Liquidity:**
- No major debt concerns; company remains well-capitalized.
- Disposal of non-core assets (aircraft sale) improved cash flow.
---
### **Investment Recommendation:**
✅ **Reasons to Invest:**
- Strong **revenue and profit growth**.
- **Expanding market share** with new store openings.
- Strong **brand recognition and festive demand** driving sales.
- No major debt concerns, **solid financial position**.
❌ **Risks & Concerns:**
- **Gold price volatility** affecting margins.
- **High marketing expenses** impacting net margins.
- Competitive industry with **changing consumer preferences**.
**Final Verdict:**
📌 **Kalyan Jewellers is a strong long-term investment with solid revenue growth, expanding market presence, and brand strength. However, short-term fluctuations due to gold prices and marketing expenses should be considered.**
---
- 📈 **Revenue is consistently growing**, reflecting strong sales momentum.
- 📉 **Net Profit increased significantly** in Q3 2024, indicating improved profitability.
- 🔺 **Expenses have also risen**, mainly due to material costs and marketing spend.
This confirms that **Kalyan Jewellers is on a strong growth trajectory**, making it a solid **long-term investment**. 💎📊
Option Trading with Option chainOption chains provide specific data related to options contracts, including strike prices, expiration dates, implied volatility, and open interest. Traders use this data to construct options strategies, manage risk, and profit from price movements in the underlying asset.
Top options trading strategies
Covered call. A covered call is a popular options strategy where you own a stock and simultaneously sell a call option on the same stock. ...
Married put. ...
Bull call spread. ...
Bear put spread. ...
Protective collar. ...
Long straddle. ...
Long strangle. ...
Long call butterfly spread.
Advance Option Trading Option trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.18 Dec 2024
Even though successful options trading can be immensely profitable and financially liberating, you need to set your life up so you can afford to get good at trading without worrying about money and stress. It is possible, but trading is not a way to get rich quickly or without effort.
Data TradingMarket data is a broad category of information about the financial markets, consisting of essential details like price, bid/ask quotes, trading volume, trading period (high, low, open, or closed), etc.
Options trading is a type of financial trading that allows investors to buy or sell the right to purchase or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price, at a future date. Options trading operates on the basis that the buyer has the option to exercise the contract but is not under any obligation to do so.
PCR / Put Call RatioA PCR greater than 1 indicates that more put options are being traded than call options, suggesting a bearish market sentiment. Investors may expect a market decline or hedge against potential losses.
PCR ratio = 1500/2000. = 0.75. Points to be noted: A PCR value below 1 is indicative of the fact that more Call options are being purchased relative to the Put options which signals that investors are anticipating a bullish outlook for the markets ahead.
Contrarian indicator: Can signal potential market reversals with extreme values of the put/call ratio. An example of this is a put/call ratio of 2.5. This can suggest a very bearish sentiment while a put/call ratio such as 0.25, could indicate an extreme bullish sentiment.
Support and Resistance 'Support' and 'resistance' are terms for two respective levels on a price chart that appear to limit the market's range of movement. The support level is where the price regularly stops falling and bounces back up, while the resistance level is where the price normally stops rising and dips back down.
The basic strategy is to buy at the support level and sell at the resistance level, recognizing that these are zones of potential demand and supply changes. How does resistance work?
BANKNIFTY DECODING 30/01/25 BIG OPPORTUNITYToday’s Update:
The market dropped by 300 points today. Tomorrow, we plan to focus on short trades. Even if the market goes up a bit, avoid taking long positions and look for opportunities to sell.
Plan for Tomorrow:
Stick to short trades to make the most out of the market’s decline.
Don’t get tempted to go long, even if the market shows a small rise.
Why this approach?
The global markets are still in a selloff, which means the trend is likely to stay down for now. It’s better to focus on the downside for better returns.
FIND ONLY SHORT TRADE.
TradingOne of the most effective ways of studying is to carve space out between sessions. If you break up your study load over several days, you'll retain information far more readily than if you crammed it into your head during one long session.
Day trading and swing trading are two very different approaches to short-term investing. If you're more interested in an exciting, higher-risk environment that requires greater attention, day trading is better for you. Otherwise, the slower, more methodical path of swing trading might be a better option.
Advanced Database TradingOptions trading is a type of financial trading that allows investors to buy or sell the right to purchase or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price, at a future date. Options trading operates on the basis that the buyer has the option to exercise the contract but is not under any obligation to do so.
Option trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.18 Dec 2024
Advanced Swing Trading for Option TraderSwing traders analyze stock price patterns to anticipate when prices will rise, allowing them to buy low, and when prices will fall, enabling them to sell high. The goal of swing trading is to make money by buying a stock or option at a low price and selling it later at a higher price.
The 1% rule restricts Day Traders' risk to no more than 1% of their total account value on any given trade. Trading large positions with close stop-losses or small positions with stop-losses far from the entry price allows traders to risk 1% of their account, but it also involves the risk of daily volatility.
Important Video for Trader'sTake regular breaks when you are reading or studying. Reading for short periods of time of about 20-30 minutes should be enough to really focus on the text and take in as much as possible. 7. Read in a positive environment that is comfortable and free of distractions as this will help improve your concentration.
The 60-60-50 RSI strategy is a trading strategy that generates buy/sell signals by analysing the RSI across multiple timeframes. This course will teach you the logic of the 60-60-50 strategy and how to apply it.
Trading Management and PsychologyTrading psychology refers to the mental state and emotions of a trader that determines the success or failure of a trade. It represents the aspects of a trader's behavior and characteristics that influence the actions they take when trading securities.
A professional trader knows that in trading it's 10% and the rest 90% is psychology. If you mastered the psychology in trading then you have almost cracked the code of trading. Psychology is a big factor in trading, it can make or break the trader from the market.
PCR TradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
Let's delve into the concept of put/call ratio, which is derived by dividing the put trading volume by the call trading volume. A put/call ratio of 0.74 indicates that for every 100 calls purchased, 74 puts were also acquired.
Roadmap for a TraderA trading roadmap is essentially a strategic plan that guides your trading decisions. It encompasses your goals, risk management strategies, analysis methods, and decision-making processes. Think of it as a personalized guide that helps you make informed choices in the dynamic world of trading.
By recognising specific patterns like the Cup and Handle or Double Bottom, traders can identify moments when the market is likely to make a significant move. These patterns signal potential price swings, providing traders with a roadmap for entering positions at the optimal time.
GBPJPY - TRADING WITHIN TRAINGLE PATTERN FORMATIONSymbol - GBPJPY
The GBPJPY is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern and recently experienced an attempt to breach resistance levels and rise. However, the momentum has proven insufficient, as market participants remain skeptical of any bullish movement, primarily due to the actions of the Bank of Japan. The Bank of Japan recently increased its interest rate by 0.25%, marking the highest level since 2008, in response to accelerating inflation and a slowing economy. The central bank has signaled that further rate hikes are possible if inflation continues to rise.
From a fundamental perspective, this could lead to a potential decline in the GBPJPY currency pair, although the strength of the British Pound against the US Dollar may mitigate this effect. Technically, the recent attempt to break resistance appears to be a false breakout, with the medium-term outlook influenced by both the technical structure and the Bank of Japan's actions.
Key resistance level: 195.00
Key support levels: 192.00, 190.50
It is possible that another attempt to test resistance will occur before a subsequent decline. Traders are increasingly building long positions on the Japanese Yen, which could result in a bearish correction for the currency pair.
KPIT TECH Date 30.01.2025
KPIT TECH
Timeframe : Day Chart
FY25 MARGIN GUIDANCE INCREASED TO 21%
Key Consolidated Financial Metrics
🔹 Revenue from Operations: ₹1,478 crore
➤ (YoY: ₹1,257 crore, +17.6%)
🔹 Net Profit (PAT): ₹187 crore
➤ (YoY: ₹155.3 crore, +20.4%)
🔹 EBIT: ₹254 crore
➤ (YoY: ₹209 crore, +22%)
🔹 EBIT Margin: 17.2%
➤ (YoY: 16.6%, improvement of +60 bps)
Analysis Notes
🔹 Revenue Growth:
➤ Strong 17.6% YoY growth driven by demand in automotive software solutions, particularly in electric & autonomous mobility.
🔹 Profitability Expansion:
➤ PAT growth of 20.4% YoY highlights improved operational efficiencies and increasing order execution.
🔹 EBITDA & Margins:
➤ EBIT grew 22% YoY, with EBIT margin improving to 17.2% (+60 bps YoY), reflecting better cost control and higher-value projects.
🔹 Beats Estimates:
➤ The company outperformed market expectations, delivering higher-than-estimated revenue and profitability.
Operational Highlights
1.Growth in Automotive Engineering:
➤ Increasing engagements with OEMs & Tier-1 suppliers in EV, ADAS, and Software-Defined Vehicles (SDVs).
2.Strong Order Pipeline:
➤ Healthy deal wins in the mobility ecosystem and sustained growth momentum across geographies.
3.Efficiency Gains:
➤ Higher-margin projects and cost optimization led to improved EBIT margins.
Challenges
•Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Potential slowdowns in automotive spending could impact future growth.
•Talent & R&D Costs: Continued investments in talent and innovation may exert pressure on margins.
Investor Takeaways
•Solid Revenue & Profit Growth: KPIT is capitalizing on the rapid shift toward automotive digitalization.
•Margin Expansion: Cost efficiencies and premium projects contributed to EBIT margin growth.
•Outlook Positive: Strong pipeline of next-gen mobility solutions positions KPIT for continued growth.
KPIT Technologies delivered a stellar Q3 FY2025 performance, exceeding expectations with robust revenue growth, higher profitability, and margin expansion, reinforcing its leadership in automotive engineering solutions.
Regards,
Ankur