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Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Gains as the Bullish Wave Forms Again📌 Macro Overview US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives the green light for a potential 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September. July CPI remains soft → USD weakens, bond yields fall, boosting gold’s bullish outlook. Gold briefly touched $3,370/oz, closing at $3,355.9/oz (+0.24%). Gains capped as US equities continue to break records and geopolitical tensions ease. Market focus now shifts to PPI data, jobless claims, and the anticipated Trump–Putin meeting for the next directional cues. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Analysis The bullish recovery wave is clearly re-emerging after a corrective phase, with price hunting liquidity zones left behind in the recent retracement. Preferred strategy: Trade around key liquidity levels or continuation zones for SELL opportunities; BUY entries will be taken earlier to catch the recovery wave within the current price channel. Price Structure & Observation Zones: Short-term uptrend channel intact, primary support at 3336 – 3334 (Liquidity – OBS BUY Zone). Major resistance at 3394 – 3396 (Liquidity Grab Zone + H1 Supply). 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Catch the recovery wave Entry: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ??? 🔹 SELL SCALP – Counter-trend at resistance Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 📊 Key Levels Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395 Support: 3340 – 3336 – 3330 💡 MMFLOW Strategy Tip: Wait for price to retest the 3336 – 3334 BUY ZONE for trend-following BUY positions. Watch for liquidity absorption signals at 339x – a potential SELL reversal zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
PCR Trading StrategyHedging with Options Hedging protects your portfolio. Portfolio Hedge with Index Options Buy index puts to protect against market crashes. Example: NIFTY at 20,000, buy 19,800 PE to offset losses in stocks. Covered Puts for Short Positions For traders shorting stocks, selling puts can hedge upside risk. Advanced Option Concepts in Trading To master strategies, you must understand Option Greeks: Delta – Measures price change sensitivity. Gamma – Measures delta’s rate of change. Theta – Time decay rate. Vega – Sensitivity to volatility changes. Rho – Interest rate sensitivity. Example: If you’re buying options before a big earnings announcement, Vega is crucial — higher volatility increases option value.
NEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
KESERPE - A Perfect Cup & Handle FormationThe chart shows Cup & Handle Formation & it's executed with high volume is a key note. stock's current high is about 70 almost. right now trading at 32 rs. balance sheet has been improved (YoY PROFIT GROWTH & EPS BOTH INCREASED ALMOST 3X). i feels it can be multibagger. you can check shareholdings. Fiis & diis are entered this quarter. one of the ace public investor (Setu securities) entered before some quarters. for me it's looking good & can give a epic Rally if sustains above Cup & handle. check yourself before doing anything.
BSE:KESARPE
by Rhino_Trader_
BTC Update 15th august BTC recovers the inefficiency left on10th July, bouncing on the support level at 111K and returning on the last target, in the red zone. From a technical point, this is could be forecast following the empty zone, as the wick on July 14th, which underlines a POL (point of liquidity), also supported by the heatmap liquidation. Fundamentally, this new sphere of positivity and institutional adoption is helping BTC's rally to conclude this cycle with the utter targets. The grow in the past cycle is been sustained- less hyped than the previous two. Both due to the high currency price of the Big coin, which makes difficult have a high percentage changes in short time, and due the consistent consolidation of the VIX index. At the same time, the entrance of new institutional players, as side general traders, investors and big whales, has stabilized a bit the market in terms of entrance and exit, make it more forecastable and stable. New targets in the next post. Thanks for reading, M
by itsmcasalinii
TFCILTD Price Action## TFCILTD – Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - **Current share price:** ₹297.75 (as of August 13, 2025; latest close). - **Market capitalization:** Approx. ₹2,757crore. - **52-week range:** ₹122.32 (low) – ₹303.50 (high); new high reached in early August. - **All-time low:** ₹4.45 (Sep 2001). - **All-time high:** ₹303.50 (July–August 2025). - **Day’s range (Aug 13):** ₹282.60–₹303.50. - **Volume:** 3,955,421 shares traded on Aug 13. - **Beta:** 1.24, showing moderate volatility. ### Returns & Volatility - 1-week gain: Around 8.25%. - 1-month gain: Approximately 4%. - 1-year return: Roughly 67%. - Daily moves of 5-6%; volatility is moderate to high recently. ### Valuation - **Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio:** 31.10–31.47 (much higher than sector average of ~11.4). - **Price/Book (P/B) ratio:** 2.69–3.14. - **Book Value Per Share:** ₹94.80–₹110.54. - **Dividend yield:** About 1.01%; ex-dividend date August 14, 2025. - **EPS (TTM):** ₹9.46–11.77. - **Intrinsic value estimate (GF Value):** ₹152.95—current price trades at a 95% premium over this fair value estimate. ### Financial & Business Highlights - Revenue (TTM): ₹1.58billion. - Net profit (TTM): ₹1.09billion. - Net profit margin: Approximately 69%. - Debt/Equity Ratio: ~70.9% (moderate leverage). - Gross margin: 99% (financial lending business). ### Technical & Sentiment Overview - Stock made a new all-time high in early August. - Trend is bullish, supported by heavy volumes. - Dividend payout scheduled for September 20, 2025. - Overall business cited as "average growth, high valuation" in recent analysis. *** ## Summary TFCILTD is trading near record highs at ₹297.75, well above its estimated fair value and sector norms. The stock’s valuation metrics—particularly its P/E and P/B ratios—are elevated, reflecting strong price momentum and investor enthusiasm. Financial performance shows very high profit margins and reasonable growth, but the premium to intrinsic value signals potential overvaluation risks. Volatility and recent price swings are moderately high. Investors should weigh current optimism and momentum against valuation concerns and sector returns.
NSE:TFCILTDLong
by KamalKJoshi
Gokul Agro Resources LtdDate 14.08.2025 Gokul Agro Timeframe : Day Chart About (1) Company is in manufacturing and processing of various kinds of Edible, Non-Edible oils and meals (2) Its edible oil portfolio includes brands like Vitalife, Mahek & Zaika. Vanaspati portfolio includes brands like Richfield & Puffpride Business Segments (1) Edible Oils & By-Products 90% (2) Non-Edible Oils & By-Products 10% Exports (1) Exports contributed to ~7% of revenue over 36 countries (2) France, Singapore, the USA, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Belgium, the UK, China, South Korea, and others Clientele (1) Parle Biscuits, ITC, Britannia, Sunraja Oil, Balaji Wafers, etc (2) The top 5 clients contribute to 20-25% of the overall revenue Distribution Network The company has a network of over 700 dealers and distributors across 20 states Valuations (1)Market Cap = ₹ 4,492 Cr (2) Stock P/E = 20.2 (3) Book Value = 5X (4) ROCE = 34.5 % (5) ROE = 26.5 (6) Sales growth is 17.0% of last 10 years Shareholding Pattern (1) Promoter = 73.67% (2) FII = 1.44% (3) DII = 0.01% (4) Public = 24.87% Regards, Ankur
NSE:GOKULAGRO
by AnkurSingh
Breakout & Breakdown Strategies in Trading1. Introduction Trading is not just about buying low and selling high—it’s about identifying when the market is ready to move decisively in a particular direction. Among the most powerful price action-based methods, Breakout and Breakdown strategies have earned their place as timeless tools in a trader’s arsenal. Breakout: When the price pushes above a significant resistance level or price consolidation zone, signaling potential bullish momentum. Breakdown: When the price falls below a significant support level or consolidation zone, signaling potential bearish momentum. The reason these strategies are so popular is simple: when price escapes a strong level, it often triggers a wave of orders—both from new traders entering the market and from existing traders closing losing positions. This can create explosive moves. 2. Understanding Market Structure Before diving into strategies, it’s important to understand how the market’s “architecture” works. 2.1 Support and Resistance Support is a price level where buying interest tends to emerge, preventing the price from falling further. Resistance is a price level where selling pressure tends to emerge, preventing the price from rising further. A breakout happens when resistance is breached, and a breakdown occurs when support is breached. 2.2 Consolidation Zones Markets often move sideways before a breakout or breakdown. These “tight” ranges reflect indecision. The tighter the range, the stronger the potential move after the breakout. 2.3 Market Participants Understanding who’s involved can help: Retail traders often chase moves. Institutions accumulate positions quietly during consolidation. Algorithmic traders may trigger breakouts with large volume spikes. 3. Market Psychology Behind Breakouts & Breakdowns Price movements are not just numbers; they reflect human emotions—fear, greed, and uncertainty. 3.1 Breakouts Traders waiting for confirmation jump in as soon as resistance breaks. Short sellers may cover their positions (buy to exit), adding buying pressure. Momentum traders and algorithms pile on, accelerating the move. 3.2 Breakdowns Long holders panic and sell when support breaks. Short sellers initiate fresh positions. Stop-loss orders below support get triggered, adding to the downward momentum. 3.3 False Breakouts/Breakdowns Not every breakout is genuine—sometimes price quickly returns inside the range. This is often due to: Low volume breakouts. Manipulative “stop-hunting” by large players. News events reversing sentiment. 4. Types of Breakout & Breakdown Setups 4.1 Horizontal Level Breakouts Price breaks a clearly defined horizontal resistance or support. Works best when levels are tested multiple times before the break. 4.2 Trendline Breakouts A downward sloping trendline break signals bullish potential. An upward sloping trendline break signals bearish potential. 4.3 Chart Pattern Breakouts Ascending Triangle → Breaks upward most often. Descending Triangle → Breaks downward most often. Flags/Pennants → Continuation patterns after a sharp move. Head and Shoulders → Breakdown after neckline breach. 4.4 Range Breakouts Price has been moving sideways; breaking the range signals a new directional trend. 4.5 Volatility Breakouts Using Bollinger Bands or ATR to identify when volatility expansion may trigger breakouts. 5. Technical Tools for Breakout & Breakdown Trading 5.1 Volume Analysis Genuine breakouts usually have above-average volume. A price breakout without volume can be a trap. 5.2 Moving Averages Breakouts above the 50-day or 200-day MA often attract attention. Crossovers can confirm breakouts. 5.3 Bollinger Bands Breakout beyond the upper band often signals bullish continuation. Breakdown beyond the lower band often signals bearish continuation. 5.4 Average True Range (ATR) Helps set stop-losses based on market volatility. Breakouts with ATR expansion are more reliable. 5.5 RSI & Momentum Indicators RSI crossing above 50 during a breakout supports bullishness. Divergences can warn against false moves. 6. Step-by-Step Breakout Trading Strategy Let’s break down a long breakout strategy: Identify Key Level Mark strong resistance levels or consolidation highs. Wait for Price to Approach Avoid preemptively entering; wait until price tests the level. Check Volume Confirmation Look for higher-than-average volume during the breakout candle. Entry Trigger Enter after a candle closes above resistance, not just a wick. Stop-Loss Placement Place SL below the breakout candle’s low or below the last swing low. Profit Targets First target: Equal to range height. Second target: Use trailing stop to capture more upside. 7. Step-by-Step Breakdown Trading Strategy For a short breakdown strategy: Identify Strong Support Multiple touches strengthen the level. Observe Price Action Watch for compression near support. Volume Confirmation High volume on breakdown increases reliability. Entry Enter after candle closes below support. Stop-Loss Above the breakdown candle high or last swing high. Profit Targets First: Range height projection. Second: Trail stop for extended moves. 8. Risk Management Breakout and breakdown trading is high-reward but also high-risk without proper risk controls. 8.1 Position Sizing Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. 8.2 Avoid Overtrading Not every breakout is worth trading—quality over quantity. 8.3 Stop-Loss Discipline Never widen stops once placed. 8.4 Recognizing False Breakouts No volume surge. Price rejection at the breakout point. Sudden reversal candles (shooting star, hammer). 9. Advanced Tips for Success 9.1 Multi-Timeframe Analysis Confirm breakouts on higher timeframes for reliability. 9.2 Retest Entries Instead of chasing the breakout, wait for price to retest the broken level and bounce. 9.3 Combine With Indicators MACD crossovers, RSI breakouts, or Ichimoku Cloud confirmations can filter false signals. 9.4 Avoid News-Driven Breakouts These are often short-lived spikes unless supported by strong fundamentals. 10. Real-World Example Breakout Example Stock consolidates between ₹950–₹1000 for weeks. Volume surges as it closes at ₹1015. Entry at ₹1015, SL at ₹990. Price rallies to ₹1080 within days. Breakdown Example Nifty support at 19,800 tested thrice. Price closes at 19,750 with high volume. Short entry at 19,750, SL at 19,880. Price drops to 19,500. 11. Pros and Cons Pros: Captures explosive moves early. Works in all markets (stocks, forex, crypto). High reward-to-risk potential. Cons: False breakouts can be frustrating. Requires discipline to wait for confirmation. Volatility can trigger stop-losses before the real move. 12. Summary Table: Breakout vs Breakdown Feature Breakout (Long) Breakdown (Short) Key Level Resistance Support Volume Signal High volume on upward candle High volume on downward candle Stop-Loss Below breakout candle low Above breakdown candle high Target Range height or trend ride Range height or trend ride 13. Final Thoughts Breakout and breakdown strategies work because they align with the natural order flow of the market—when key levels are breached, they often trigger a flood of buying or selling activity. However, success depends heavily on patience, confirmation, and risk management. A trader who learns to differentiate between a true breakout and a false move has a powerful edge. By combining technical levels, volume analysis, and disciplined execution, breakout/breakdown trading can become a cornerstone strategy in any trading plan.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
5
Building a Consistent Trading PlanIntroduction Trading without a plan is like sailing without a compass — you may catch some winds, but without direction, you’ll eventually drift into trouble. A consistent trading plan is the blueprint that guides your decision-making, helps control your emotions, and allows you to measure performance objectively. It’s the difference between gambling and structured, calculated trading. In this guide, we’ll explore how to build a complete trading plan from scratch, the core components every trader must include, the psychological discipline needed, and real-world implementation steps to maintain consistency. 1. Why a Trading Plan Matters Before we start building, let’s understand the why. Removes Emotional Decision-Making Without a plan, traders tend to react impulsively to market moves, buying out of greed or selling out of fear. A trading plan gives a predefined set of rules, reducing emotional bias. Creates Measurable Consistency Consistency is key in trading. A trading plan ensures that every trade is based on the same logic, making it easier to identify strengths and weaknesses in your approach. Improves Risk Management It forces you to define how much you’re willing to lose per trade and per day/week/month, helping to protect your capital. Enables Continuous Improvement When you follow a documented plan, you can review your trades, find patterns in mistakes, and improve over time. 2. Foundations of a Trading Plan A good trading plan rests on four pillars: Clear goals – Defining what you want to achieve and in what timeframe. Trading strategy – How you find, enter, and exit trades. Risk management – Protecting capital and managing exposure. Psychological discipline – Staying consistent under stress. Step 1: Define Your Trading Goals Your goals need to be Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, and Time-bound (SMART). Example: Earn 3% per month on average. Limit monthly drawdown to 5%. Execute no more than 20 trades per month. Review performance weekly. Long-term vs. Short-term goals: Short-term: Develop discipline, avoid overtrading, stick to stop-loss rules. Long-term: Build a track record, scale position sizes, move toward full-time trading. Step 2: Choose Your Trading Style Different trading styles require different plans. Choose the one that matches your time availability, personality, and capital. Trading Style Holding Time Time Commitment Risk Profile Example Assets Scalping Seconds–Minutes High High Forex, Index Futures Day Trading Minutes–Hours High High Stocks, Commodities Swing Trading Days–Weeks Medium Medium Equities, ETFs Position Trading Weeks–Months Low Low Stocks, Bonds Step 3: Select Your Market & Instruments A trading plan should specify exactly what markets you trade to avoid distraction. Example: Markets: Nifty50, Bank Nifty, Gold, EUR/USD Instruments: Futures, Options, Spot Market Avoid spreading yourself too thin — mastering one market is more profitable than dabbling in many. 3. Core Components of a Trading Plan Let’s break down exactly what to include in your plan. A. Entry Criteria Clearly define the conditions that must be met before you enter a trade. Example (Technical-based Entry): Price must be above the 50 EMA for long trades. Entry trigger: Breakout of last swing high with above-average volume. Confirmation: RSI above 50 but below overbought. Example (Fundamental-based Entry): Quarterly earnings growth > 20%. Stock in strong sector outperforming the market. Institutional buying trend confirmed. Tip: Avoid vague signals like “when I feel it’s right” — your rules should be objective and back-testable. B. Exit Criteria Exits are more important than entries for profitability. Two types of exits: Stop Loss Exit – A predefined loss limit per trade. Target Profit Exit – A predefined profit goal, or trailing stop for trend-following. Example: Stop Loss: 1.5% below entry. Target: 3% above entry (2:1 reward-to-risk ratio). Trailing Stop: Move stop to breakeven after 1% gain. C. Risk Management Rules Without risk control, even the best strategy will fail. Key Rules: Risk per trade: 1–2% of capital. Max daily loss: 4% of capital. Max open positions: 3 at a time. Position sizing formula: Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / Stop Loss (in price terms) Example: Account Size = ₹5,00,000 Risk per trade = 1% = ₹5,000 Stop loss distance = ₹10 Position size = 500 shares. D. Money Management Money management focuses on how profits are reinvested and how losses are recovered. Approaches: Fixed Fractional: Risk a fixed percentage of current equity. Kelly Criterion: Optimize bet size based on historical win rate and payoff ratio. Scaling In/Out: Increase size in winning trades, reduce exposure in losing trades. E. Trade Management Trade management deals with what you do after entering a trade. Do you let profits run or take partial profits? Do you move your stop loss after a certain gain? Do you hedge positions? A strong trading plan has exact decision points for trade management. F. Trading Journal A trading journal is non-negotiable. It records: Date & time Market & instrument Entry & exit price Stop loss & target Trade rationale Result (profit/loss) Emotional state Why it’s important: Reviewing past trades exposes patterns of mistakes and successes. 4. Psychological Discipline in Trading A trading plan is useless if you don’t follow it. Key Mental Challenges: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) – Chasing moves without confirmation. Revenge Trading – Trying to recover losses quickly. Overtrading – Taking too many trades without quality setups. Loss Aversion – Cutting winners too early and letting losers run. Solutions: Pre-market checklist. Daily routine. Accountability partner or trading community. Meditation or breathing exercises to reset focus. 5. Backtesting and Forward Testing Before trading live, your plan must be tested. Backtesting: Test your strategy on at least 1–2 years of historical data. Track win rate, average profit/loss, drawdowns. Forward Testing (Paper Trading): Execute trades in a simulated account. Evaluate performance under current market conditions. 6. Building Your Trading Routine Consistency comes from habits. Pre-Market Routine: Review overnight news. Identify key support/resistance levels. Prepare watchlist. Plan possible entry/exit levels. During Market Hours: Follow plan strictly. Avoid unplanned trades. Post-Market Routine: Review trades. Update journal. Analyze mistakes. 7. Continuous Improvement The market evolves — so should your plan. Monthly Review Checklist: What rules did I break? Which setups worked best? Is my win rate improving? Is my risk/reward ratio holding? Quarterly Updates: Adjust stop loss levels. Modify position sizing. Test new indicators or filters. 8. Common Mistakes to Avoid Trading multiple strategies without mastery. Ignoring risk rules after a streak of wins. Changing strategies too often. Not accounting for transaction costs and slippage. 9. Example of a Simple Trading Plan Trading Style: Swing Trading Market: Nifty50 stocks Strategy: 50 EMA trend-follow with RSI confirmation Entry Rules: Price above 50 EMA. RSI between 50–70. Breakout of last 10-day high with volume spike. Exit Rules: Stop Loss: 2% below entry. Target: 4% above entry or trailing stop. Risk Management: Risk per trade: 1% of account. Max open positions: 4. Routine: Pre-market: Scan for setups. Post-market: Journal trades, review performance. Conclusion A consistent trading plan is not a guarantee of profits — but it guarantees discipline, risk control, and structured decision-making, which are the foundations for profitability. The best traders are not those who predict the market perfectly, but those who manage their trades systematically over years. Your plan should be written down, tested, followed, and reviewed regularly. The market will keep changing, but your disciplined approach will keep you in the game.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
IIFLCAPS Price Action## IIFL Capital Services Ltd – Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - Current share price is approximately ₹323 as of August 13, 2025. - Market capitalization is around ₹9,649 crore. - 52-week price range is ₹170 (low) to ₹449 (high). - All-time high was ₹449 on October 21, 2024. - All-time low was ₹19.10 on October 15, 2019. ### Returns & Volatility - Recent price movement shows some volatility, with the price trading mostly in the range of ₹300–₹330 over August 2025. - The stock rebounded after hitting lows near ₹170 in April 2025. - Trading volumes appear moderate with daily volumes in the range of 100,000 to 700,000 shares recently. ### Valuation & Financial Highlights (typical for financial services sector) - Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio data was not specifically stated but likely moderate given sector norms. - The company is part of the financial sector, focusing on capital markets and financial services. ### Qualitative Notes - IIFL Capital has shown resilience after a significant dip in early 2025 and is maintaining a stable trading range. - The company has a solid market capitalization reflecting its presence in the financial services industry. - Volatility and price swings are typical of the capital markets sector, influenced by market conditions and investor sentiment. ### Summary IIFL Capital shares are currently trading well below their all-time highs but have recovered from significant lows earlier in 2025. The stock displays moderate volatility consistent with the financial services sector and recently trades near ₹320. Market capitalization and trading volumes indicate solid investor interest. Valuation appears reasonable for its sector, but investors should watch for market volatility and financial sector dynamics in their decisions.
NSE:IIFLCAPSLong
by KamalKJoshi
2
Motilal Oswal Financial Services LtdDate 13.08.2025 Motilal Oswal Timeframe : Day Chart MOFSL Group Services (1) Capital markets (2) Asset and Wealth Management (3) Housing Finance Revenue Split (1) Capital Markets - 71% (54% rev earned from Brokerage) (2) Asset & Wealth Management - 18% (3) Housing Finance - 11% Operational Metrics (1) AUM Rs. 4,10,000 crs (2) Lending Book Rs. 10,500 crs. (3) Clients 60 crs. Capital Markets (1) Demat accounts increased over 3x from 47 mn to 130 mn Asset & Wealth Management (1) Wealth RMs increased from 123 to 221 (2) Company has a network spread 550+ cities and towns (3) 2,500+ Business Locations operated by their Business Partners Valuations (1) Market Cap = ₹ 55,625 Cr. (2) Stock P/E = 20.0 (3) Book Value = 5X (4) ROCE = 18.7 % (5) ROE = 25.2 % (6) Median sales growth = 18.5% (last 10 years) (7) Profit growth = 68.7% CAGR (last 5 years) (8) Operating profit margin = 55% Shareholding Pattern (1) Promoters = 67.80% (2) FIIs = 7.29% (3) DIIs = 5.44% (4) Public = 19.46% Regards, Ankur
NSE:MOTILALOFSLong
by AnkurSingh
BYD Company Limited (BYDDY) AnalysisCompany Overview: BYD Company Limited OTC:BYDDY is a Chinese EV and battery manufacturing leader, investing CNY 100B to dominate the intelligent EV market with AI-driven systems and advanced driver assistance—offered at no extra cost to consumers. Key Catalysts: Product Expansion & Global Reach 🌍 2024 saw the launch of flagship EV models across multiple segments. New market entries in Colombia and Oman are accelerating international sales. Vertical Integration Advantage 🏭 BYD’s fully integrated supply chain covers everything from battery production to final assembly. This enables cost control, rapid innovation, and resilience against supply chain disruptions. AI & Smart Mobility Leadership 🤖 Intelligent vehicle systems enhance driving experience and safety. Strategic investment positions BYD as a global disruptor in next-gen mobility. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on BYDDY above $12.00–$13.00, supported by global expansion, vertical integration, and AI-driven innovation. Upside Potential: Price target: $20.00–$22.00, reflecting market share gains and technological leadership. 📢 BYD—Driving the Future with AI, Global Reach, and Vertical Strength. #BYD #EVs #ElectricVehicles #AI #Batteries
OTC:BYDDYLong
by Richtv_official
How Promoter Holding Tells You the Real Story of a Company!Hello Traders! When you invest in a company, you’re putting your money into the vision and decisions of its promoters. One of the most powerful yet overlooked indicators of a company’s future is its promoter holding , the percentage of shares owned by the people who run the business. Here’s why it matters and how to read it. 1. High Promoter Holding Shows Confidence If promoters own a large portion of the company, it means they have a big personal stake in its success. They win only when shareholders win, which often aligns their interests with yours. 2. Falling Promoter Holding Can Be a Red Flag If promoters are consistently reducing their stake without clear reasons, it could mean they are losing confidence or need cash for other purposes. This trend needs deeper investigation before you invest. 3. Pledged Shares Tell Another Story Sometimes promoters pledge their shares to take loans. If a large percentage of holdings is pledged, it’s a risk, because if the loan isn’t repaid, lenders can sell those shares, pushing the stock price down. 4. Stability Over Time is a Good Sign A steady promoter holding over years shows trust in the business and signals that promoters are in it for the long run. Rahul’s Tip: Promoter holding should never be looked at in isolation. Always check it alongside fundamentals, financial health, and industry outlook before making any decision. Conclusion: Promoter holding can reveal the real confidence level of the people behind the company. When the promoters are heavily invested, and not pledging their shares, it’s usually a sign you’re looking at a solid long-term bet. If this post gave you a new perspective, like it, drop your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more practical stock market insights!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
HINDALCO Price Action ## HINDALCO Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - **Current share price:** ₹700.50 (NSE, as of August 13, 2025). - **Market capitalization:** Approximately ₹1,574 billion (₹1.57 lakh crore). - **52-week price range:** ₹546.45 (low) to ₹772.65 (high). - **Day's trading range:** ₹670.95 to ₹704.95 on the latest session. - **Price change:** Up about 5.01% from previous close. ### Returns & Volatility - **1-week price change:** Approximate gain of 2.29%. - **3-month price change:** About 10.36% gain. - **6-month price change:** Around 16.27% gain. - The stock shows moderate volatility consistent with general metals sector trends. ### Valuation Metrics - **Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio:** Approximately 9.2, which is relatively attractive for the sector. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS):** ₹76.11. - **Price/Book (P/B) ratio:** Around 1.2. - **Dividend yield:** Low, close to 0.7%. ### Financial & Business Highlights - Hindalco has exhibited a strong revenue growth, with a recent annual revenue growth rate beating its past three-year CAGR. - The company maintains control over its interest and employee expenses relative to operating revenues, with interest cost at about 1.43% of revenue. - It operates in the metals and non-ferrous sector with a broadly positive market sentiment. - The company recently held a board meeting focused on quarterly results, indicating active management and transparency. ### Technical & Sentiment Overview - The recent price momentum is upward, with the stock closing near its higher range for the year. - Volume traded is robust, reflecting active interest among investors. - Technical charts indicate some bullish candle formations recently. *** ### Summary Hindalco Industries is trading near ₹700, well within its 52-week range and showing resilient upward momentum backed by solid earnings and reasonable valuation multiples. The P/E ratio near 9.2 suggests the stock is relatively undervalued compared to many peers in the sector, supported by stable profitability and manageable expenses. Dividend yield is modest, reflecting a growth-oriented capital allocation approach. The company’s strong operational performance, with revenue outpacing historical averages, combines with positive technical signals to offer confidence for investors. Moderate volatility and sector conditions should be considered, but overall the valuation appears attractive given Hindalco's bulk steel and aluminum markets exposure and growth trajectory. Investors should watch for quarterly financial updates and sector dynamics for ongoing assessment.
NSE:HINDALCOLong
by KamalKJoshi
SKIPPER Price Action## SKIPPER Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - Latest share price is approximately ₹538.75. - Market capitalization stands around ₹6,074–6,085crore. - The 52-week low is ₹341.55 (April 2025) and the high is ₹665.00 (December 2024). - Recent price trend: Strong rebound from April lows, with current price near the top of the recent trading range. - Day range on August 13: ₹505.10 – ₹538.20. ### Returns & Volatility - 1-month gain: About 12%. - 1-year return: Roughly 33–35%, outperforming broader indices and sector averages. - 3-year return: Over 880%. - Skipper often sees daily volatility in the 2–6% range, especially during August. Historically, Augusts show flat average returns but are characterized by abrupt price changes both upward and downward. ### Financial Performance - Trailing 12-month EPS: ₹14.37. - TTM net profit: About ₹158.9crore. - Net sales for the last reported quarter (June 2025): ₹1,253.86crore, up 14.85% YoY. - Consolidated net sales (March 2025): ₹1,287.75crore, up 11.64% YoY. - Profit margin is moderate—company has low interest coverage and return on equity relative to valuation. ### Valuation - P/E ratio: 35–37, well above sector average. - P/B ratio: About 5.1. - Dividend yield is very low, with most earnings retained. - Book value per share: ₹105.69. ### Qualitative & Technical Notes - The company’s growth is supported by solid export and infrastructure orders, but margins and returns remain modest compared to peers. - Promoter holding is robust (around two-thirds of shares). - Technical trend is positive, with outperformance versus sector and key moving averages, but sharp swings are common and corrections have occurred previously after strong rallies. - Stock currently trades above estimated fair value and sector multiples. *** ### Summary SKIPPER has rebounded powerfully from earlier lows and is now trading near multi-month highs, supported by strong sales growth and consistent profitability. However, the valuation has become elevated with respect to sector and intrinsic value metrics, while dividend yield remains nominal. Daily volatility and historical instability in August should be considered alongside strong long-term returns and positive business momentum—investors should be alert to potential price corrections or swings at these levels.
NSE:SKIPPERLong
by KamalKJoshi
Bajaj Finance LtdDate 13.08.2025 Bajaj Finance Timeframe : Weekly Chart Key Metrics (1) AUM: 416,661 Cr (2) New Loan Booked: 43.42 Mn (3) Customer Franchise: 101.82 Mn (4) Cost of Fund: 7.97% (5) Cost to Income: 33.2% (6) ROA: 4.6% (7) ROE: 19.2% (8) Gross NPA: 0.96% (9) Net NPA: 0.44% (10) CRAR: 21.9% AUM Mix FY25 (1) Urban: 43% (2) Rural: 12% (3) SME: 20% (4) Commercial: 16% (5) Mortgage: 9% FY26 Guidance (1) Customer franchise: 14-16 Mn (2) AUM Growth: 24%-25% (3) Credit Cost: 1.85%-1.95% (4) ROA: 4.4%-4.6% (5) ROE: 19%-20% (6) GNPA: 1.2%-1.4% (7) NNPA: 0.4%-0.5% Business Wise AUM (1) Bajaj Finance: 73% (2) Bajaj Housing Finance: 27% Pan India Presence (1) 4,263 locations presence in India (2) 2,681 rural locations (3) 1,582 urban locations (4) 2,32,200 active distribution network Digital Channels (1) Bajaj Finserve App (2) Bajaj Finserve Website (3) Payment Valuations (1) Market Cap = ₹ 5,29,333 Cr. (2) Stock P/E = 30.4 (3) Book Value = 5.5X (4) ROCE = 11.4 % (5) ROE = 19.2 % (6) Financing Margin = 34% (7) Median sales growth = 30.9% (last 10 years) Regards, Ankur
NSE:BAJFINANCE
by AnkurSingh
Jammu and Kashmir Bank LtdDate 13.08.2025 Jammu and Kashmir Bank Timeframe : Weekly Chart Business Segments (1) Retail Banking: 60% (2) Treasury: 21% (3) Corporate Banking: 19% Key Ratios Yield: 9.5% CoF: 4.42% NIM: 4% CRAR: 15% NIM: 3.90% GNPA: 3.95% NNPA: 0.85% PCR: 90.54% Branch Break-Up (1) Rural: 54% (2) Metro: 19% (3) Semi-Urban: 16% (4) Urban: 11% Loan Book Gross advances of the bank stood at Rs. 99,242 Cr Gross Advance Mix (1) Personal Finance: 39% (2) Trade & Services: 21% (3) Agriculture: 10% (4) Financial Markets: 10% (5) Manufacturing: 7% (6) Others: 13% Deposits Bank has total deposits of Rs. 1,37,918 Cr Deposits Mix (1) Term Deposits: 51% (2) CASA: 49% Sponsored Regional Rural Bank (RRB) (1) The bank sponsors J&K Grameen Bank and holds a stake of 35%. (2) The operations of J&K Grameen Bank are carried out in 13 districts of the UT of J&K (3) UT of Ladakh including Baramulla, Bandipora, Kupwara, Ganderbal, Srinagar Jammu (4) It has 216 branches and 1,226 employees Valuations (1) Market Cap = ₹ 11,474 Cr. (2) Stock P/E = 5.27 (3) Book Value = 0.81X (4) ROCE = 6.15 % (5) ROE =15.8 % (6) EPS = 19 (7) Financial Margin = 12% Regards, Ankur
NSE:J&KBANKLong
by AnkurSingh
Solana (SOL/USDT) – Short Setup on 15M ChartAfter an extended bullish run, Solana is showing early signs of exhaustion near the $196–$197 zone. Price has failed to sustain above recent highs, forming a potential short-term reversal pattern. 📉 Trade Idea: Entry: $196.40 Stop Loss: $201.66 (Above recent swing high) Target: $191.06 (Support zone from prior consolidation) This setup aims to capture a pullback move following a strong rally, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
CRYPTO:SOLUSD
by Kapil-Mittal
1
Paytm ready for flyPaytm’s stock looks attractive for the short term due to its breakout above major resistance levels shown in the chart. The price is now above prominent moving averages (EMA 44, 100, 200), indicating bullish momentum. The pattern also suggests a strong upward trend with higher lows and accelerating volume, signaling continued buying interest and potential for further gains. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
NSE:PAYTMLong
by MrRohitGupta
2
TransRail: Cup & Handle Breakout Setup | Key Levels & TargetsTransRail has recently formed a textbook cup and handle pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout. The stock showed strong momentum after retesting the breakout zone and is currently consolidating near key resistance. Key Points: • Cup Formation: Evident over the past months, indicating accumulation. • Breakout Levels: First breakout candle confirmed; price now approaching resistance at ₹830.25. • Buy Trigger: Entry above ₹830.25 for bullish confirmation. • Fibonacci Targets: Next potential targets at ₹888.35 (1.13 Fib), ₹945.25 (1.41 Fib), and ₹986.30 (1.618 Fib). • Stop Loss: Maintain SL at ₹777.15 to manage risk. • Volume: Strong earnings volume supports the setup. Watch for sustained volume and a decisive move above resistance for confirmation. Add TransRail to your watchlist for a potential swing trade opportunity!
NSE:TRANSRAILLLong
by TradeTravel_Explore
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
How to Use Quarterly Results for Investment Decisions!Hello Traders! Every three months, listed companies announce their quarterly results. While many traders react instantly to the numbers, smart investors know how to read them in context before making a move. Here’s how you can use quarterly results to make better investment decisions. 1. Compare With Previous Quarters Don’t just look at the latest figures in isolation. Compare revenue, profit, and margins with the last 3–4 quarters to see if the business is improving or declining. 2. Check Year-on-Year Growth Seasonal factors can distort quarter-to-quarter results. That’s why comparing the same quarter of the previous year (YoY) gives a clearer picture of long-term growth trends. 3. Watch for Margin Changes Rising sales with falling margins can mean rising costs or pricing pressure. Stable or improving margins show operational efficiency and pricing power. 4. Look Beyond Profits Also track debt levels, cash flow, and promoter commentary in the results report. Sometimes profits rise due to one-time gains, which don’t indicate real growth. 5. See Market Reaction – But Think Independently Stock prices may jump or fall sharply after results. Don’t follow the herd; understand the data yourself before taking a position. Rahul’s Tip: Quarterly results are snapshots, not the full movie. Use them as a check-in point to confirm if your investment thesis still holds. Conclusion: Quarterly results can be a powerful tool if you know what to look for. By focusing on growth trends, margins, and underlying financial health, you can make smarter investment decisions and avoid knee-jerk reactions. If this helped you, like the post, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more practical stock market insights!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
4