Fundamental Analysis
Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis for June 24 –June 28 June , 2025~~ Technical Outlook ~~
Current Trend: The Nifty Bank Index is in a positive trend, with a closing value of 56,252.85 on June 20, 2025, reflecting a 1.22% gain. The index has entered a bullish phase in the last trading session, supported by strong buying in key constituents like HDFC Bank (+1.44%), ICICI Bank (+1.07%), Canara Bank (+2.25%), and Federal Bank (+1.62%).
#Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: Immediate support lies at 55,781, followed by 55,308 and 54,726. A critical long-term support is around 51,500; a break below 51,000 could signal weakness.
Resistance: Resistance is seen at 56,900, with potential upside targets at 56,600, 57,000, and a new all-time high around 57,267–57,500 if momentum sustains. the Long-term Target is around 60,500
!! Market Sentiment
Domestic and Institutional Activity: Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have been strong buyers, purchasing ₹8,207 crore on June 18, while Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net buyers with ₹1,482 crore, indicating robust domestic support.
Sectoral Performance: The banking sector led gains, with 11 of 12 constituents in the green on June 20. Private banks like HDFC and ICICI Bank limited downside pressure, while public sector banks (PSU Banks) showed relative weakness, with the Nifty PSU Bank Index down 0.9% on June 16.
# Due to geopolitical tension, the market may be sideways or volatile.
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Bitcoin 1D Technical Analysis Bearish Bias- Bitcoin is currently trading at 99,453$, down almost 11% from its ATH
- Bitcoin trapped many buyers above 110,000$, and now they have become aggressive trapped sellers
- We have origin fill left and a large inefficient gap left for Bitcoin to fill at 88,765$ to flip bullish I will sit and wait for BTC to start a consolidation there, and then I will look for aggressive spot buys
- Avoid leverage at all cost, it makes no sense to lose money until the price behaviour of BTC settles We can see BTC repurging 73,000, it's in the playbook as well
- Market Structure shift in BTC is highly bearish unless we see a structure shift on a 4h or 1d TF
- Manage your risk and try to avoid leverage at all cost
NRB Bearing - Cup & Handle PatternNRB Bearing after a downfall has made a cup & handle pattern and is looking to move upward. Other factors:
1. Last few quarters growth rate was not good because of fire in a major factory, which now has been rectified, and capacity has reached at same levels.
2. Capacity expansion of 200 crores
3. Promoter has un-pledged all shares, showing strong financial position
4. Cup & Handle with good volumes.
Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stock at Right Time at Right Price.
Cheers!!
SHFA - A hidden Gem with its own MOAT on PSX.📊 Bullish Thesis: Shifa International Hospitals Ltd (PSX: SHFA)
Shifa International Hospitals continues to demonstrate strong fundamental performance across key financial metrics, supporting a bullish long-term outlook:
🔹 Growth Metrics (CAGR-based)
Revenue CAGR: 13.37%
Operating Profit CAGR: 23.47%
Net Income CAGR: 24.14%
These indicate a healthy expansion in top-line and bottom-line over the evaluated period. The high Operating Profit CAGR outpacing revenue growth shows strong cost control and operational efficiency.
🔹 Profitability Ratios
Operating Margin: 14.35%
Net Margin: 8.02%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC): 8.47%
Margins remain solid, indicating good pricing power and disciplined cost management. ROIC near 8.5% confirms efficient capital allocation in a capital-intensive healthcare sector.
🔹 Cash Flow & Taxation
CCFO vs CPAT: ✅ Positive cash flow support
Tax %: 43.33% – indicates compliance and contribution at a healthy level
🔹 Other Key Financial Indicators
COGS %: 84.94% – consistent with healthcare service delivery models
TTM Diff: +204.08% – massive improvement in trailing twelve-months performance, likely due to post-COVID healthcare demand normalization and operational leverage.
I will wait till 390 price to take a bullish stance in this stock.
Ethereum Accumulation Zones Huge Dip Incoming- Ethereum is currently trading at 2262, down more than 22%
- Ethereum has two important areas to look at, and some important zones like 2110 & the OTEs 1694-1880$
- From an accumulation perspective, I would like to wait for ETH to purge either below the Inefficient gap or start going sideways at the buying zones
- To confirm this bias, we also need to make sure we consider taking a look at USDT D as well once it tops out, ETHs bottom will be near
- Manage risk properly and try to only trade in Spot
HDFCLIFE | Potential Symmetrical Triangle breakout trade
STOCK TREND - Sideways to Bullish
MULTI TF ANALYSIS
==================
MONTHLY - Price is trading near ATH
WEEKLY - Week Consolidation near ATH
DAILY - Symmentrical Triangle breakout near ATH
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
===================
Symmentrical Triangle breakout with Volume and RSI confirmation
Stock Price is trading above SMAs
RSI >
VOLUME > MA
Support/Resistance Zone -
Demand Zone - NA
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
======================
Compounded Sales Growth -
Compounded Profit Growth -
Stock Price CAGR -
Return on Equity -
Note: The stock is currently little overvalued as Stock PE(92.7) ~ Industry PE(77.3).
TRADE DESIGN
=============
ENTRY -
SL -
TARGET -
RRR - +
Disclaimer: This chart study is for educational purpose only. Kindly trade at your own risk.
AXIS BANK🏦 AXIS BANK – Tight Consolidation Below Major Resistance | Breakout Watch 🚨
📅 Date: June 21, 2025
🕰️ Timeframe: Daily Chart
💸 CMP: ₹1,220.70 (+0.26%)
📊 Volume: 4.65M
📦 Price Action Overview:
🔲 Axis Bank has been consolidating in a tight rectangle pattern between ₹1,160 and ₹1,240 for nearly 7 weeks.
📌 Current price is approaching the upper end of the range, indicating a possible breakout setup.
🟡 There’s a strong historical resistance zone near ₹1,280–1,300 from October 2024 – if broken, this can open the gates for a new rally.
📈 Technical Levels:
Support Zone: ₹1,160 – ₹1,180
Resistance Zone: ₹1,240 (box top)
Major Resistance: ₹1,280 – ₹1,300
Breakout Target 1: ₹1,275
Breakout Target 2: ₹1,310+
🎯 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: Buy above ₹1,242–1,245 (on daily close with volume confirmation)
🛑 Stop-loss: ₹1,180
🚀 Target 1: ₹1,275
🚀 Target 2: ₹1,310+
📊 Volume Insight:
Healthy volume near the upper range = accumulation in progress
Breakout candle with > average volume = confirmation trigger
✅ Conclusion:
Axis Bank is setting up a bullish continuation pattern after a sharp rally from ₹920. A breakout above ₹1,240 can attract fresh buying, aiming toward its previous resistance zone. Keep this stock on your breakout radar! 📡
🔖 #Hashtags for Visibility:
#AxisBank #BreakoutStocks #SwingTrading #NSEIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #RectanglePattern #BankingStocks #ChartPattern #PriceAction #TradingViewIndia #AatrishaCapital
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in TEGA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BHARTIARTL | Breakout with potential Pullback trade
STOCK TREND - BULLISH
MULTI TF ANALYSIS
==================
MONTHLY - BULLISH trend
WEEKLY - SIDEWAYS TO BULLISH trend
DAILY - Potential area of interest at the (RTS + DZ + TL) confluence
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
===================
BoS breakout with good Volume and RSI > 60
Stock Price is trading above
RSI >
VOLUME - GOOD
Support Level -
Demand Zone -
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
======================
Compounded Sales Growth -
Compounded Profit Growth -
Stock Price CAGR -
Return on Equity -
Note: The stock is currently fairly valued as Stock PE(41.9) ~ Industry PE(26.2).
TRADE DESIGN
=============
ENTRY -
SL -
TARGET -
RRR -
Disclaimer: This chart study is for educational purpose only. Kindly trade at your own risk.
Power Finance Corporation (NSE: PFC)
🎯 Thesis:
Power Finance Corporation is a fundamentally undervalued government-backed infrastructure financier currently at a key technical breakout level. Its improving profitability, consistent dividend, and strong ROE provide an excellent risk-reward setup.
🧮 Fundamental Highlights
| Metric | Value | Insight |
| ----------------------| ----------------------------- | ------------------------ |
| P/E Ratio | ~5.9× | Undervalued vs sector |
| P/B Ratio | ~1.2× | Below historical average |
| ROE / ROCE | ~21% / 9.7% | Very strong |
| Dividend Yield | ~4.0% | Income + value combo |
| Q4FY25 PAT | ₹8,358 Cr (+10.6% YoY) | Growing earnings |
| Loan Book Growth | Healthy YoY growth | Stable core business |
| Risk | High leverage (D/E > 8×) | Needs monitoring |
💡 Overall: A fundamentally strong, undervalued PSU with strong cash flows and state support.
📉 Technical Setup (Weekly Chart)
Pattern: Descending triangle breakout
Support: ₹383–387
Breakout Level: ₹425
Target (Measured Move): ₹500 → ₹563
Volume: Surge with breakout — strong signal
Risk: Breakdown below ₹380 may invalidate pattern
Entry : ₹425 (on weekly breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss : ₹382 (below triangle support)
Target 1 : ₹470
Target 2 : ₹510
Target 3 : ₹563 (measured move target)
Reward:Risk : ~3.5:1
📊 Position Sizing (Example)
If capital is ₹1,00,000
Entry: ₹425
SL: ₹382 → Risk = ₹43/share
Risk per trade (1% of capital): ₹1,000
Quantity = ₹1,000 / ₹43 ≈ 23 shares
🗓️ Strategy
📌 Positional Swing Trade (4–8 weeks)
📈 Add more on breakout retest (₹410–₹415)
📉 Exit if weekly close < ₹380
🧠 Optional Hedge
Buy PFC equity + sell OTM call options (e.g., ₹480 CE) to earn time decay if consolidation continues
Or use trailing SL if breakout sustains above ₹450
Compression Before Expansion: Market Awaits Its Next MoveBTCUSD – Compression Before Expansion: Market Awaits Its Next Move
Bitcoin is trading within a compressed structure after rejecting key resistance and retesting support. While the overall sentiment remains cautious, the technical setup is beginning to show signs of strength — if buyers can reclaim control.
🧭 Macro Check-In: Calm Before the Crypto Storm?
No rate cut from the Fed yet, but markets are starting to price in the possibility of a pause in Q3 or Q4.
ETF inflows slowing, but institutional positions are not closing — suggesting long-term conviction remains.
Political momentum in the US is shifting towards crypto adoption, with Bitcoin emerging as a talking point in election debates.
Dollar index (DXY) continues to chop, giving crypto room to breathe if inflation data remains mild.
In short: liquidity is building, but the trigger hasn’t fired — yet.
📊 Chart Structure (H1–H4): Levels That Matter
BTC is holding just above 103,100, a key level where previous demand stepped in.
The mid-range resistance lies at 104,184 — this needs to break for bulls to gain short-term control.
Above that, eyes are on 106,047, then 107,586 (top of the descending channel).
EMA alignment is still bearish → wait for structure shift, not FOMO.
📌 Trade Map
🔵 Buy Setup
Zone: 103,100 – 103,300
Condition: Bullish reaction + rejection wick / engulfing
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 Sell Setup (Only if trap triggers)
Zone: 107,500 – 107,800
Condition: Rejection + volume fade
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
🧠 Trader Insight
“When the chart compresses, smart money positions early.”
Bitcoin is not trending — it's accumulating or distributing. Retail is waiting for breakout. Smart traders are preparing for both scenarios.
Watch the reaction, not the prediction.
Stay objective. Let levels lead the logic.
#NAVAAsset: Nava Ltd (NAVA)
Entry Level: 574
Potential Target: 675 (1st target)
Stop Loss: 537 (~7% risk)
Timeframe: Short to Medium term
Risk to Reward ratio : 1:2
Rationale:
Fundamentals -
Fundamentally decent stock with the following attributes:
* ROCE - 17.2%
* ROE - 15.0%
* Debt to Equity - 0.12
* Stock PE 15 / Industry PE - 38.4 || Stock PBV 2.16 / Industry PBV 2.77 - Company is underpriced
* EPS / Revenue - Has been increasing for the last 6 months
* ADR is 4%
Technical -
* Overall structure - Large rounding pattern. ~45% retracement and price has started to go up on increased volumes.
* Relative Strength and Momentum is picking up.
* Multiple timeframe analysis - Weekly structure is surfing the 10 WMA
* Price has bounced off of a good launching pad of moving averages
Market analysis
* Promoter holding has gone up.
* Holding levels of MFs, DIIs, and FIIs is decent though it does not look very high
* Retail holding is going down
Cons
* Holding levels of institutional entities (Domestic and Foreign) can do better
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages that may result from the use of this information.
Institutions Option Database Trading Part-5 Risk Management in Option Trading
Even with data, risk control is key:
Max 2% capital risk per trade.
Hedge with opposite option.
Avoid low liquidity options.
Always track IV, PCR, OI live.
Building a Custom Option Scanner
With databases and logic, you can create a personal scanner for:
High IV options
OI breakout zones
PCR + Max Pain alert
Theta-rich expiry trades
Long Term Database TradingHow Institutions Use Option Databases
🔍 Institutional Insights:
Banks & HFTs (High-Frequency Traders) run option strategies over petabytes of data.
Real-time arbitrage opportunities are found using option databases.
They model Vega, Theta & IV impact per stock and expiry.
Example Institutional Workflow:
Pull 10 years of NIFTY options.
Train ML model to predict next-day IV.
Execute based on high-probability straddles/strangles.
Exit before expiry using trailing delta hedge.
Database Trading Introduction to Database Option Trading
Database Option Trading is an advanced strategy where traders use massive historical and real-time market data stored in structured databases to identify profitable option trades. Unlike conventional trading, this approach focuses on data-driven decision-making—leveraging algorithms, statistics, and pattern recognition rather than pure technical/fundamental analysis.
2. The Role of Data in Option Trading
Types of Data Used:
Option Chain Data: Strike prices, premiums, LTP, OI, IV, volume.
Historical Data: Past price action, volatility, Greeks, PCR.
Sentiment Data: FII/DII positions, news sentiment.
Real-Time Market Feeds: Tick-by-tick updates.
Macroeconomic Data: Interest rates, inflation, events.
Domino’s (DPZ) – Firing Up Growth with Tech + Delivery Synergy Company Overview:
Domino’s NASDAQ:DPZ is a global leader in pizza delivery, leveraging a franchise-dominant model (~98% franchised units) and cutting-edge digital ordering platform to scale operations with minimal capital investment.
Key Catalysts:
DoorDash Partnership 🚀
New nationwide DoorDash integration projected to boost delivery orders by 50%, expanding reach and convenience.
Positions Domino’s to compete aggressively in the third-party delivery ecosystem, tapping into previously unreachable customer segments.
Digital Strength + Franchise Scale 💻🏪
Tech innovations like GPS tracking and predictive ordering enhance efficiency and user experience.
Asset-light franchise model enables global expansion and margin resilience, even in inflationary environments.
Strong Institutional Backing 📈
~95% institutional ownership adds a layer of stability and long-term support.
Reflects confidence in Domino’s execution and growth roadmap.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on DPZ above $400.00–$405.00.
Upside Target: $550.00–$560.00, underpinned by digital dominance, logistics synergy with DoorDash, and scalable unit economics.
🍕 Domino’s is delivering more than pizza—it’s serving up tech-fueled global growth.
#Dominos #DPZ #FoodDelivery #DoorDash #TechInRetail #FranchiseModel #ConsumerStocks #GrowthStocks #InstitutionalOwnership
Eternal: An outstanding growth stock in the Indian marketHello,
One of the most requested stock analyses in India is Zomato, now rebranded and listed as Eternal Ltd (Ticker: Eternal). The company is guided by an ambitious vision:
Better food for more people
Instant commerce indistinguishable from magic
World class going out experiences in India
Make India malnutrition free
The company’s businesses are involved in the following businesses
Zomato food delivery: Food ordering and delivery business
Blinkit Quick commerce: Quick delivery (in 10 minutes) of products across categories (fresh, staples, electronics, beauty, general merchandise, festive needs ++)
District Going out: Enabling discovery and transactions across going-out experiences including dining-out, movies, sports and live events
Hyperpure B2B supplies: B2B business supplying quality food ingredients & other products to restaurants and other B2B buyers
The Eternal limited business is showing signs of further potential with the gross revenue increasing over the last 5 years. On a bigger timeframe, revenue has scaled from INR 4.66 billion in 2017 to reach a high of INR 202.43 billion in 2024. The company broke even in 2023 and the net income increased by over 50% in 2024 to reach INR 5.7 billion. With a positive earnings per share, we are confident that there is greater opportunity for early investors. The companies within the holdings continue to build resilient businesses within their lines. The Zomato business has scaled well and can now be seen as sustainably profitable. While Blinkit Quick commerce is yet to achieve profitability we noted that the business is scaling rapidly with the average monthly transacting customers increasing by over 100% in the financial year 2025. This is largely being driven by a business that
Mirrors existing offline customer behaviour in India where frequent top-up purchases are delivered quickly when needed
Addresses majority of customer’s needs across multiple categories such as food (staples and fresh), electronics, beauty, general merchandise, festive needs +)
Is rreliable (quick delivery eliminates the need for planning)
We see immense opportunity in the District going out business since it remains a market that is untapped. District going out is a dedicated going-out app that enables discovery and transactions for multiple going-out experiences including dining out, movies, sports & other live events. We see the opportunity for this business to be used in ticketing and dining/hotel reservations in the future. While the business is yet to achieve profitability, its revenue continues to grow immensely. In the Financial year 2025 alone, revenue for this product line grew by over 186%.
Eternal ltd, the holding entity of all the businesses maintains a robust balance sheet with assets as at the end of 2024 at INR 356.23 billion. Total liabilities for the business as at the end of 2024 stood at INR 53.13 billion. The company has free cashflow of INR 1.87 billion with a huge amount of cash used in investing. This is agreeable since the company is in the growth phase and has a great potential for further growth. We expect that the business should be able to give dividends in the future once it achieves sustainable growth.
From a technical perspective the share price of this stock has grown by more than 5 times. Due to the immense growth in share price of this company, we expected a correction on the stock. The correction is currently happening. The price has reached its 2025 bottom and is bouncing back. The MACD indicator is also showing signs of bullish crossover further confirming the upside trend. We continue to see opportunity for this company and recommend a BUY.
Long term buyers have an opportunity to double their money just by holding this stock.
Short to medium term investors can look for 21% upside as a potential point to look to take profits.
You can get more details on the financial statements, financial ratios, revenue lines, next earnings date on Tradingview via in.tradingview.com
XAUUSD – Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?XAUUSD – Goldman Sachs Issues a Storm Warning: Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?
As gold continues to trade in a narrow range for the sixth week, one major catalyst could be on the horizon — Goldman Sachs has issued a bold warning about the US debt crisis. Indian traders, this may be the signal we’ve been waiting for…
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US DEBT SET TO BREAK WWII RECORDS
US public debt is approaching historic highs, with interest payments projected to exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — surpassing even defense and healthcare spending.
Goldman warns that if urgent action isn’t taken, the US may face aggressive fiscal tightening, which could shrink GDP without lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio.
Root causes: overspending, rising interest rates, and deep political division.
📌 For Indian investors, such instability in the US economy tends to weaken the USD and increase demand for gold, which has always been a trusted asset in Indian households and institutional portfolios alike.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Updated – M30/H1)
Gold remains within a strong descending channel, and price action is currently showing signs of a bearish continuation setup.
The zone at 3,338.422 is acting as a mid-pivot. A pullback to the upper trendline (around 3,368.048) is expected before the next leg lower.
EMA ribbons are stacked downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
If the bounce toward 3,368 fails to break out, we expect price to revisit the FVG zone near 3,325.783, and possibly extend toward 3,309.256.
✅ TRADING PLAN (Unchanged Zones)
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
SL: 3303
TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
SL: 3318
TP: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
SL: 3424
TP: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
SL: 3403
TP: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS
As we close the trading week, market liquidity may spike suddenly after Thursday’s US bank holiday. This could trigger a decisive move — either a breakout or a trap.
✅ Stick to your SL/TP, avoid emotional trading, and let the market confirm the direction.
Gold remains structurally bearish, but any shift in global sentiment — especially driven by US debt concerns — could flip the script fast.
Watch. Plan. Execute. Let the market come to you.
Silver at Warzone – Breakout or Bloodbath? (XAG/USD D1 Analysis)Silver is trading at one of the most critical inflection zones in recent years. The chart shows a clear double top formation near the $33 mark (TOP1 & TOP2), but don’t be fooled — this setup could flip either way, with massive implications.
🔻 Bearish Outlook – Double Top Breakdown in Play
Price rejected twice at the same zone (~$32.5–33), forming a textbook double top.
If price breaks below $28.80 (neckline zone), it confirms the pattern.
Breakdown could lead to a violent drop with targets:
📉 $28.00 (psych level)
🎯 $22.73 (structural support)
🎯 $20.76 (macro base)
This setup aligns with a potential DXY bounce, tightening by the Fed, or global demand slowdown.
🟢 Bullish Flip – Breakout Above $33 Could Be Legendary
If Silver breaks $33+ with strong volume, the double top is invalidated.
This flips the narrative into a high timeframe breakout of a multi-year wedge.
Next targets open wide:
🚀 $36.00 (intermediate breakout zone)
🚀 $40–50 (parabolic rally territory)
Macro catalysts: Dovish Fed, USD weakness, or global geopolitical tensions.
⚠️ Final Take:
This is a binary setup.
Break below $28.80 = confirmed crash.
Break above $33 = breakout rally.
No middle ground. Watch price and ride the move.
📌 Trade the confirmation, not the prediction.
#Silver #XAGUSD #Commodities #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #TradingView #Metals #DoubleTop #Wedge #VolatilityAhead
Silver faked the break — bearish unfolding beginsSilver has delivered a classic bull trap, where price briefly breached the highs, lured breakout buyers, then reversed aggressively. The failure to hold above the breakout zone indicates institutional distribution. Now, momentum has flipped bearish with immediate downside targets in focus.
📊 key levels breakdown
zone/level description
35.14 immediate target — former breakout support
33.18 (blue line) structural level — high-volume node
31.80–32.20 deep down target — major April accumulation zone
📉 current price action insights
Daily structure is breaking down.
Clear rejection candle post breakout = strong bearish intent.
Price fell back into the old value area — suggests no bullish acceptance above.
🔻 bearish scenario pathway
✅ first leg: push to 35.14 — likely short-term.
🔜 if 35.14 fails: expect a quick slide toward 33.18 (prior liquidity pool).
📉 final target: the April-May accumulation zone around 32.00, where stronger hands may step in.
🧭 market psychology at play
breakout buyers are trapped — stop-loss hunting now in play.
Institutions engineered the breakout to build shorts at premium.
Unless reclaimed fast, price may continue hunting liquidity below.
⚠️ invalidation for bears
A daily close back above $36.00 with strong follow-through could invalidate this bearish scenario.
✅ summary
Silver has faked the breakout and is now shifting structurally bearish. All signs point toward a sell-on-rise setup with immediate and deep targets well defined. Only a strong reclaim of $36 would neutralize this bias — until then, downside looks active and attractive.
Gold Day Trade analysis - 20-6-2025Gold has decisively broken below the HVZ , confirming a structural shift in momentum. The bias is confidently bearish as the price now trades under key value, rejecting any bullish reclaim attempts. A temporary support exists near 3350, but it lacks strength unless backed by volume and momentum reversal.
Unless gold reclaims the HVZ range, the current structure favors continued downside. The day trade target is set at 3322, which aligns with the next demand zone from prior price action. Any pullbacks toward 3360–3365 can be seen as opportunities to build shorts with invalidation above 3370. As of now, all signs point to further weakness ahead.
Learn Institution Trading Part -6Introduction to Institutional Option Trading
Institutional option trading refers to the sophisticated strategies used by hedge funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, proprietary trading firms, and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) to manage portfolios, hedge risks, and generate consistent alpha from the derivatives market. Unlike retail traders, institutions operate with large capital, access to advanced technology, and deep market insights, allowing them to structure complex trades.
2. Why Institutions Trade Options
Institutions don’t usually trade options for quick profits. Their trades are designed to meet broader objectives:
Hedging Equity Portfolios
Volatility Trading
Generating Yield on Holdings
Market Making and Arbitrage
Directional or Non-directional Speculation
3. Core Institutional Option Strategies
Let’s explore the most popular strategies that institutions use with real-world logic behind them.
A. Covered Call (Buy-Write)
Use: Income generation from long-term stock holdings
Structure: Buy stock + Sell Call Option (OTM or ATM)
Institutional Use Case:
A mutual fund holding Reliance shares might sell monthly call options against its holdings to generate monthly income (premium), enhancing total returns.