GBP/USD Eyes NFP & BoE Amid Trade Tensions Relief🔔 GBP/USD Eyes NFP & BoE Amid Trade Tensions Relief
Sterling (GBP) has rebounded against the US dollar (USD), riding a wave of improved market sentiment after signs of de-escalation in the US–China trade conflict. As investors reposition ahead of today’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and next week’s Bank of England (BoE) rate decision, GBP/USD finds itself at a pivotal moment.
🌐 Macro Picture: A Tale of Two Central Banks
The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% during next week’s meeting.
The BoE, meanwhile, is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points, pricing in weak UK inflation data and global trade uncertainties.
Meanwhile, sentiment got a boost after China's Ministry of Commerce signalled openness to trade talks with the US, provided “sincerity” is shown — easing fears of a prolonged trade war.
This shift in tone lifted risk appetite and helped push GBP/USD back near the 1.3320 zone, recovering from earlier losses this week.
🧭 Focus Turns to Today’s NFP
Markets expect:
+130K jobs added in April (vs. 228K prior)
Unemployment rate holding at 4.2%
Wage growth YoY to increase slightly to 3.9%
Any significant surprise may reshape rate expectations for the Fed, especially after recent ISM data showed rising input costs — suggesting inflation remains sticky.
📊 Technical Outlook – GBP/USD
After bouncing from the 1.3245–1.3265 zone, GBP/USD is approaching a heavy resistance range around 1.3335–1.3375. A break above this could invalidate the bearish setup, while failure may trigger a strong downside rotation toward 1.3185 – 1.3145.
🔺 Key Resistance:
1.33350
1.33750
🔻 Key Support:
1.32650
1.32450
1.31850
1.31450
🎯 Trade Plan
🔵 SELL ZONE: 1.33350 – 1.33750
SL: 1.34000
TP: 1.33300 → 1.32850 → 1.32550 → 1.32000
🔴 BUY ZONE: 1.32650 – 1.32450
SL: 1.33250
TP: 1.32250 → 1.31850 → 1.31450 → 1.31000
⚠️ Trading Notes:
NFP volatility could create false breakouts — wait for confirmation before committing size.
Post-NFP, market focus will quickly shift to the BoE decision on May 9th.
Expect traders to react swiftly to wage growth and job creation figures.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
GBP/USD is trading at a sensitive macro-technical intersection. While optimism on trade and NFP relief could boost the pair, BoE’s likely rate cut still clouds the medium-term path.
Stay patient. Let price react to the data before jumping in.
💬 What’s your positioning into NFP? Let's discuss below 👇👇
GBP
Gbpjpy - Buy Setup - It appears you are inquiring about GBP/JPY, the currency pair representing the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling (GBP) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). This pair indicates how many Japanese Yen are needed to purchase one British Pound. As of March 28, 2025, the GBP/JPY exchange rate was approximately 193.94 JPY, reflecting a decrease of 0.85% from the previous trading session .
The GBP/JPY pair is known for its volatility, influenced by factors such as economic indicators, interest rate differentials between the UK and Japan, and geopolitical events. Traders often monitor this pair closely due to its potential for significant price movements.
For real-time charts, historical data, and technical analysis, platforms like TradingView provide comprehensive resources . Additionally, financial news outlets such as Reuters offer up-to-date information on exchange rates and market trends .
If you have specific questions about GBP/JPY or need further details, feel free to ask.
SONACOMS (TF|W|) Bullish view .SONACOMS stock analysis Potential breakout opportunity
Chart Analysis : SONACOMS is displaying a strong breakout chart , indicating the upward movement in it's stock price.
CUP & HANDLE Pattern : The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
VOLUME BUILDUP: volume buildup near the breakout zone . Increased trading volume is a positive indicator, suggesting more interest in stock and potential momentum
GBPJPY sell setup right now workingGBPJPY can make a reversal and going down to 169.500 and below which we may see the actual trend bearish or it's just a correction . So , to be on a safe side with the stop loss above this week's high and target at the above price .You can get a great risk- reward .
Enjoy trading
Trade only with what you can lose
Happy week
GBPUSD CHART ANALYSISGBPUSD Form Ascending Chart Pattern and After falling from his Major Resistance getting support at lower levels and now get straight towards his Major Resistance with the help of Trendline Support…
Now GBPUSD at its Crucial Level and soon it Can Break The Major Resistance….!!!! Looking at below volumes Majpr Players are Building there positions there…
We can see such big upmove soon
KEEP AN EYE ON IT….!!!!!!!!
Bullish on GBP / USDIf you're trading in the foreign exchange market, then you'll want to keep an eye on the GBP/USD pair. The pair has been looking very bullish lately, and it looks like it could be on the rise. This is good news for those who are looking to make some profits in the Forex market. The GBP has been steadily gaining strength against the USD, and this could mean that there are some big opportunities for those who are paying attention. Of course, it's always important to do your research before entering any trades, but this could be a great time to get in on the action! The GBP/USD pair looks like it could be headed for some big gains in the near future, and we can't wait to see what happens.
The when, why, and how sterling reaches parityIn just two trading days, the probability that the sterling will fall to parity against the US dollar increased to 60% on Sept. 26 from 32% on Sept. 23 after the UK government's announcement of new tax cuts elevated concerns for the country's economy.
Bloomberg estimates that the GBP/USD will have equal value before the end of 2022, based on sterling-dollar implied volatility . The value of the sterling was $1.0350 as of Sept. 26, marking a record low for the currency.
Economists believe that the slump in the pound could force UK's central bank to enact another interest rate increase in order to support the currency, The Guardian reported. Capital Economics UK Economist Paul Dales told the paper that the Bank of England could raise interest by 100 basis points or 150 basis points.
The weakness in the pound is being exacerbated by fears the UK economy is entering a recession after inflation breached the 10% mark in July, marking a record-high for the country. It elicited a promise from the Bank of England that it will "respond forcefully, as necessary" to curb the growth in the prices of goods and services.
The path to parity
The downward movement of the sterling follows the UK government's announcement of new tax cuts, fueling the concerns of investors and economists that the four-nation country's debt will reach unaffordable levels and further fuel inflation . It also comes after the Bank of England increased rates by 50 basis points, lower compared with the 75 basis-point hike of the US Federal Reserve .
The government intends to finance its tax cuts with debt worth tens of billions in sterling. The UK Debt Management Office is planning to raise an additional 72 billion pounds before next April, raising the financing remit in 2022-2023 to 234 billion pounds.
Deutsche Bank UK Economist Sanjay Raja said the tax cuts were adding to medium-term inflationary pressures and were "raising the risk of a near-term balance of payment crisis."
Vasileios Gkionakis, a Citi analyst, echoed sentiments that the move will bring the sterling to parity with the US dollar , noting that "the UK will find it increasingly difficult to finance this deficit amidst such a deteriorating economic backdrop; something has to give, and that something will eventually be a much lower exchange rate."
"Sterling is in the firing line as traders are turning their backs on all things British," said David Madden, a market analyst at Equiti Capital. "There is a creeping feeling the extra government borrowing that is in the pipeline will severely weigh on the UK economy."
If it comes to pass, what then?
The implications of the sterling being at parity with the US dollar boil down to how and where the money is being spent. When the euro was at parity with the dollar, there were winners and losers and the same could be expected if ever the sterling is at the same value as the dollar.
For trading and exporters, the change in the exchange rate will surely be noticeable. In the US, a stronger dollar would mean lower prices on imported goods, which could help cool down inflation . The opposite could be anticipated for the UK as previous payments would afford lesser products if the two currencies are at parity.
Accordingly, US companies doing business in the UK will see revenue from those businesses shrink if they bring back earnings in pounds to the US. However, if pound earnings are used in the UK, the exchange rate becomes less of an issue.
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in GBPCHFTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (1.1658).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. GBPCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 74.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.1714
TP2= @ 1.1764
TP3= @ 1.1804
TP4= @ 1.1897
TP5= @ 1.1972
SL= Break below S2
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💡 GBPCAD - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.52450, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.60016 breaks.
If the support at 1.52450 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.60020 on 06/17/2022, so more losses to support(s) 1.53533 and minimum to Major Support (1.52450) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 37.
Supports and Resistances:
1.80078
1.76000
1.73728
1.69541
1.66382
1.61707
1.60016
1.57750
1.56132
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. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️