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Gbpusd-trading

GBP/USD Strong Bearish TrendWith the price moving below both the Bollinger Bands and the SMA. The expansion of the Bollinger Bands indicates that volatility is increasing, a typical sign in a deep downtrend. The pair has been in a downtrend since October, with new lows being set continuously. The closest support level we can observe is around 1.25730, which the price has recently touched. A break of this level could lead to a further decline, while a positive reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term technical recovery. In the current market environment, based on what I see from the charts and my understanding of the economic factors affecting GBP/USD, my personal view is that the downtrend of the pair is likely to continue. The increased volatility and the price continuously setting new lows are clear signs that selling pressure is taking over. I expect that any price recovery will likely be quickly sold off in the current downtrend. Upcoming economic events and policy statements from Central Banks may provide additional data to assess the pair's outlook in more detail, and I will continue to monitor closely and adjust my trading strategy accordingly.
by Maria_aaa
Deep Downtrend and Gap AnalysisThe GBP/USD 4-hour chart shows a clear downtrend, with price consistently moving below both the 34 and 89 exponential moving averages (EMAs), which is a clear indication of the strength of the current downtrend. These EMAs are also acting as strong resistance levels, preventing any further price recovery. From the chart, it appears that a gap has been created during the price decline. In the short term, if price starts moving back to “fill the gap” and breaks above this level, it could signal a reversal or at least some stabilization before resuming the current trend. However, if price continues to fall and fails to return to fill the gap, this would further reinforce the downtrend and could test lower support levels.
by Maria_aaa
Will 1.2590 Support Hold?On the hourly GBP/USD chart, it is clear that the British pound is under pressure. The price is currently trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, which is a sign that the downtrend is still intact. The fact that the 34 EMA is below the 89 EMA suggests that the downtrend could extend. In recent hours, it seems that the price has tested the support around the 1.2590 area but has not been able to recover above the 34 EMA, which indicates weakness in the GBP recovery attempt. If this support level is broken, we could see GBP/USD continue to decline to new lows.
by Maria_aaa
Signs of Recovery or Resistance Ahead?Currently, GBP/USD is trading around 1.26857, indicating a slight recovery after the previous extended bearish phase. The British pound is showing more positive signs, however, the pressure from the EMA 89 resistance has not been completely broken. The GBP/USD pair remains in an overall downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and lows. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to slope down, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. Resistance and support: Nearest resistance: The area around 1.2700-1.2720, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important zone that needs to be broken to confirm a short-term reversal. Key support: The 1.2600 area, where the pair has found buying pressure in recent sessions. If this zone is broken, GBP/USD could fall further to 1.2540. Personal view: I expect GBP/USD to continue its slight recovery in the short term to test the resistance zone of 1.2700-1.2720. If it fails to break, the price will reverse and retest the support at 1.2600. However, if there is a strong news factor supporting the pound, the pair could break above the 89 EMA and open the door for further gains.
by Maria_aaa
GBP/USD Faces Strong Selling, Downtrend May ContinueLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I notice that the pair is in a clear downtrend, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both sloping down, indicating strong selling pressure. The current price is approaching the bearish support line below the 1.2740 area. The psychological resistance zone around 1.2800 – 1.2850 has been tested several times but failed to break above. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and is likely to push the price further down if there are no signs of strong support. My trading plan is to wait for a small correction to the resistance zone of 1.2800. If the selling pressure persists in this area, I will consider entering a short position with the target of approaching the lower support zone around 1.2700 or lower. Conversely, if price breaks and goes above 1.2850, I will re-evaluate my strategy.
by Maria_aaa
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GBP/USD Facing Bearish Pressure, Testing Key SupportLooking at the GBP/USD chart, I see that the pair is in a downtrend and is facing a strong resistance zone around 1.2920. The price has formed a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, along with moving below the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating that the bearish momentum is still strong. The key support zone is currently located in the range of 1.2880–1.2900, which could act as a buffer in the short term. If the price breaks this zone, GBP/USD could continue its downward trend, with the nearest target at 1.2800. Conversely, if this support zone holds and buying pressure appears, I will be watching for a possible recovery to the 1.2950 resistance zone. However, I still favor the bearish scenario due to pressure from the larger trend and weakening bullish momentum.
by Maria_aaa
GBP/USD Waiting for Breakout in Downward ChannelGBP/USD is currently moving within a downward channel with resistance around 1.3000 and support at 1.2850. If the price breaks the upper channel boundary, an uptrend could be formed, with the target of reaching higher highs. Conversely, if the support at the lower boundary is broken, the downtrend could resume, pushing the price lower. The EMAs (34 and 89) are sloping downwards, indicating weak bullish momentum. Traders should keep a close eye on the channel boundaries to determine the next move.
by Maria_aaa
The USD simultaneously increased againAccording to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a 39% chance that the Fed could raise interest rates again later this year, but only a 6% chance of a hike. in the next month. Fed Governor Christopher Waller recently said he wants to monitor whether the US economy continues to grow strongly or weaken this year in the context of the Fed's recent sharp increase in interest rates. Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams also said that interest rates will need to remain high for a certain period of time to bring inflation back to the Central Bank's 2% target. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and several regional Fed presidents will give speeches today, October 19. A series of recent economic data shows that US economic activity has been little changed over the past month, due to the gloom in the labor market, and prices continue to increase at a "modest" pace. . Additionally, the greenback also benefited from its safe-haven status due to concerns about the conflict in the Middle East. On the contrary, the Euro fell 0.38% to 1.0536 USD.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster