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GBPUSD

GBPUSD bulls take a breather ahead of UK employment reportGBPUSD extends the week-start retreat from a one-month high, after posting a two-week upside, as it braces for the UK employment numbers on Tuesday. The In doing so, the Cable pair holds onto the previous day’s pullback from a six-week-long horizontal resistance as RSI retreats from nearly overbought territory. Even so, the MACD indicator flashes bullish signals hence a downside appears limited unless breaking an upward-sloping support line from early March, close to 1.2420 by the press time. Following that, the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), near 1.2330, will give the last fight to the bulls before giving control to the sellers. Meanwhile, a clear upside break of the aforementioned resistance zone, around 1.2580-85 at the latest, could quickly propel the GBPUSD price towards the yearly high marked in May near 1.2680. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2680, the 1.2700 and the 1.2800 round figures will act as intermediate halts during the likely run-up towards a 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s March-May moves, close to 1.2850. It should be observed that the May 2022 peak near 1.2670 offers an additional upside filter. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to remain bullish unless breaking 1.2330, even if today’s UK employment data and the US inflation numbers disappoint and drags the quote downwards.
by MTradingGlobal
5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week The US dollar is in the midst of a week filled with pivotal events. Together, these fundamental drivers hold the key to understanding the potential shifts in the US dollar's performance throughout the week: - US President Joe Biden announced that a bipartisan agreement has been reached to raise the US debt ceiling of $31.4 trillion, aiming to avoid a default. He has now called on Congress to pass the deal asap. Fitch ratings will remove the “negative watch” rating on the United States when the deal passes or looks likely to pass congress. - The debt ceiling agreement has potentially weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar, leading to an increase in risk appetite in global markets. - The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure, rose by 4.4% in April compared to the previous year, up from the 4.2% increase observed in March. This development has raised the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June. - Due to the Memorial Day weekend in the US, as well as bank holidays in Europe and the UK, Monday will experience reduced market liquidity. Additionally, institutions are preparing for month-end trading on Wednesday, which could introduce more volatility. - The US payrolls report for May will be released on June 2nd. Recent months have consistently shown better-than-expected job figures. It is anticipated that this week's job numbers will indicate an addition of 180,000 jobs, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. A tighter job market will reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with strong wage data also providing support if the actual figures surpass estimates.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPUSD needs to break 1.2260 to convince sellersGBPUSD marked a three-week downtrend while closing below the 50-DMA, as well as an eight-month-old ascending support line. While the bearish MACD signals join the aforementioned breakdowns and favor the sellers, the RSI (14) line is below 50.00, which in turn suggests a lack of conviction at the bull’s front. As a result, an upward-sloping support line from October 2022, close to 1.2260 by the press time, becomes crucial for the sellers. Should the quote remains bearish past 1.2260, the Cable pair can fall to the 200-DMA support of around 1.1980. Following that, the current yearly low of near 1.1800 will offer the last battle to be won for the sellers before taking the throne. On the other hand, the 50-DMA and aforementioned previous support line, respectively around 1.2435 and 1.2500, can challenge the GBPUSD pair’s latest recovery. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2500, April’s high surrounding 1.2525 and the monthly peak of 1.2680 could lure the buyers. It’s worth noting that if the Pound Sterling rises past 1.2680, it will become capable of poking the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to return to the bear’s radar, after a two-month absence, but it needs to break the key support line to convince sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD prints bullish consolidation ahead of UK employment dataGBPUSD portrays a bullish megaphone trend widening formation as the Cable traders await the UK employment report on Tuesday. The quote’s latest rebound from the stated pattern’s bottom line allowed it to cross the weekly resistance line. However, a clear upside break of the 100-SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the March-May upside, near 1.2525, becomes necessary for the buyer’s conviction. Following that, a fortnight-long horizontal hurdle around 1.2585 and the 1.2600 round figure may act as extra checks for the Cable buyers before directing them to the megaphone’s top line, close to the 1.2700 round figure. It should be noted that the latest multi-month peak of near 1.2680 and likely overbought RSI conditions around then may challenge the bulls ahead of the 1.2700 hurdle. Alternatively, GBPUSD pullback remains elusive unless the quote breaks a convergence of the stated megaphone’s lower line and the previous resistance line from May 10, close to 1.2445 at the latest. Should the quote drop below the stated key support, a quick decline to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.2340 can’t be ruled out. Additionally, the Cable pair’s weakness past 1.2340 makes it vulnerable to challenge the previous monthly low of around 1.2270. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to grind higher but a surprise disappointment from the UK jobs report, like the last week’s BoE, can drag the quote lower.
by MTradingGlobal