GBPUSD - BUY Trade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 :
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!AND IF YOU WANT TO LEARN IT WHAT STOPPING YOU TO ASK HOW ?
GBPUSD
GBPUSD - LONG Trade Idea: buy
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 2.5
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!AND IF YOU WANT TO LEARN IT WHAT STOPPING YOU TO ASK HOW ?
GBPUSD signals further downside on BoE DayA daily closing beneath the 1.2720 support confluence, now resistance, teases the GBPUSD bears as Bank of England (BoE) policymakers brace for another interest rate hike. Apart from a sustained break of the 50-DMA and five-month-old rising trend line, bearish MACD signals and the descending RSI line, not oversold, also keeps the Cable sellers hopeful of revisiting the 100-DMA support of around 1.2570. However, the quote’s further downside past 1.2570 will make the Pound Sterling vulnerable enough to slump toward May’s bottom surrounding the 1.2300 round figure. Though, the early April swing high of near 1.2550 and the 1.2500 threshold can test the downside moves.
On the contrary, a dovish hike or a surprise pause in the hawkish cycle could trigger a U-turn and fetch the GBPUSD pair back above the 1.2720 support-turned-resistance confluence comprising the 50-DMA and a multi-day-old ascending trend line. Following that, June’s high of near 1.2850 and the late July peak close to the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be on the Cable buyer’s radar. Should the Pound Sterling remains firmer past 1.3000, the odds of witnessing a fresh yearly high, currently around 1.3145, can’t be ruled out.
GBPUSD LONG Trade Idea: GBPUSD BUY Signal
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 7
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!AND IF YOU WANT TO LEARN IT WHAT STOPPING YOU TO ASK HOW ?
GBPUSD sellers should keep eyes on 1.2760 and UK PMIGBPUSD marked the first weekly loss in three while slipping beneath the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support trend line stretched from late June. Adding strength to the downside were bearish MACD signals and the RSI line’s reversal from the overbought territory. However, the MACD teases a bull cross as the RSI hovers around the oversold territory, which in turn suggests a corrective bounce in the Cable price. The same highlights a convergence of the 200-SMA and a two-month-old rising trend line, close to 1.2760 as the key level to watch as traders await the UK PMIs for July. In a case where the Pound Sterling drops below the 1.2760 support, the odds of witnessing the quote’s slump towards the late June swing low of around 1.2590 can’t be ruled out. However, the June start swing high of around 1.2550-45 and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its May-July upside, near 1.2480, can test the bears before directing them to the May month’s low of around 1.2310.
Meanwhile, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the previous support line from late June, close to 1.2870 at the latest, restricts the immediate upside of the GBPUSD pair. Following that, the 1.2960 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet may challenge the buyers before giving them control. In that case, the yearly high marked earlier in the month of around 1.3145 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to witness further downside but it all depends upon the UK data and 1.2760 break.
UK inflation and 1.3170 need to vouch for GBPUSD bullsGBPUSD extends pullback from a 15-month high, marked the last week, as it awaits the UK’s headline inflation data for June, per the Consumer Price Index (CPI) gauge. The pair previously cheered the US Dollar weakness to refresh the multi-month high before the fears of British recession weighed on the prices. The upside momentum also took clues from a clear break of a downward-sloping resistance line from May 2021 and the 200-week SMA. However, the overbought RSI highlights a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since December 2021, near 1.3170, as the immediate key hurdle to cross for the Cable buyers to keep the reins. Following that, the pair’s run-up toward the January 2022 low and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its May 2021 to September 2022 downturn, respectively near 1.3360 and 1.3440, can’t be ruled.
On the contrary, downbeat UK inflation data and a failure to cross the 1.3170 resistance can trigger the GBPUSD pair’s pullback toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet before highlighting the 200-week SMA support, close to 1.2885 by the press time. In a case where the Pound Sterling falls below the 200-week SMA, the previous monthly low of around 1.2760 and the broad resistance-turned-support line, near 1.2520, will be in the spotlight for the pair sellers.
Overall, GBPUSD bulls are near the testing point as the UK inflation data looms.
Long EUR/CADAfter the breakout from the rectangle on the hourly charts the pair is now testing the support. Stops will be below the range or in this case in the middle of the range. Instead of using the target here we can just use the moving average to ride the trend for as long as possible on the hourly time frame. One can also use the ichimoku for the same
Chart pattern: Head and Shoulders (H&S)The Head and Shoulders, from now on referred to as H&S, is a chart pattern used in technical analysis of stock markets. It is a pattern that indicates a reversal, signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction.
It is one of the most important and widely used patterns due to its high reliability and the number of required implications. However, this does not mean it is infallible, as its success rate is around 70%.
Regarding its potential projection, if the price breaks below the support line after the formation of the Right Shoulder (RS), the range between the maximum price of the Head (H) and the support line is measured. This distance is then applied to the breakout point, as shown in the image, to obtain the minimum pattern projection.
gbp/jpy sell gbpjpy has broken down from the head and shoulder reversal pattern and is now heading lower. Yen has been strengthening overall and it is interesting to see that even the USDJPY pair has been struggling. There is some risk off in the financial markets as a whole and that seems to help yen. The target is the depth of the pattern and is marked on the chart. There can be a partial entry at the current price and then some more when the neckline is re-tested if at all.
GBPUSD renews multi-month high near 1.2900GBPUSD printed the first weekly gain in three after the US Dollar’s fall post-NFP. Following that, the Cable pair crossed the 1.2850 resistance, as well as defy the bearish triangle to rise to the highest level since April 2022. It’s worth noting that the bearish RSI divergence, where the price made a higher high but the indicator marked a lower high, suggests a lack of bullish momentum. However, the sellers need to confirm the bearish triangle break by slipping beneath the 1.2680 support, as well as witness downbeat UK employment data. Following that, the early June swing high of around 1.2550, the 100-DMA level near 1.2420 and May’s low near 1.2310 can act as intermediate halts before directing the quote toward the theoretical target of the bearish triangle, namely the 1.2140 level.
Meanwhile, a clear upside break of the 1.2850 hurdle on the daily closing basis becomes necessary for the GBPUSD upside toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet. It should be noted that the UK employment report needs to back the upside break of 1.2850 to keep the Pound Sterling buyers hopeful. Following that, a slew of supports and resistances marked between December 2021 and April 2021 highlight the 1.3150-60 region as the key challenge for the pair buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to return to the bear’s radar after a few weeks of absence. Though, the fundamentals need to back the Cable sellers.
GBPUSD my prediction.Analysis for GBPUSD: 10th july
Liquidity:
internal liquidity : N/A
external liquidty: yet to taken on the buyer side
Volume profile: D shape
VWAP : weekly Above fair value : close to +2
Propable move: Buy side once it reaches the black dotted lines. But can only predict after confirmation.
Take your own risk. Analysis may be different in pov for market makers.
I have plotted 4 scenarios (arrows) based on my own analysis.
:
We have
1. Gbp unemployment rate
2. Inflation rate usd
GBPUSD recovery appears elusive below 1.2850GBPUSD defends the last Thursday’s rebound from the 200-EMA to brace for the first weekly gain in three. The Cable pair’s recovery also takes clues from the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggest room for further upside. The same highlights a three-week-old horizontal resistance zone around 1.2760-70 as the short-term key hurdle. Following that, multiple tops marked around 1.2840-50 can act as the last defense of the Pound Sterling bears. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2850, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 25 to June 29 moves, near 1.2930, followed by the 1.3000 psychological magnet, will lure the buyers.
On the contrary, a broad support zone comprising levels marked since early May challenges the GBPUSD bear’s entry between 1.2690-70. Should the quote Cable bears manage to conquer the 1.2670 support, the 200-EMA level of around 1.2615 and the 1.2600 round figure will be on their radars. However, a six-week-old ascending support line, close to 1.2580 at the latest, seems a tough nut to crack for the Pound Sterling sellers, a break of which will give back powers to them.
Overall, GBPUSD remains firmer but the room towards the north appears limited.
FOMC Minutes in the Charts: EUR/USD & GBP/USD FOMC Minutes in the Charts: EUR/USD & GBP/USD
During their June meeting, minutes released on Wednesday indicated that almost all Federal Reserve officials expect further tightening in the future. Despite the majority's belief in upcoming rate hikes, policymakers chose not to increase rates due to concerns about over-tightening. They acknowledged the delayed impact of previous policies and other factors, which led them to skip the June meeting after implementing ten consecutive rate increases.
Out of the 18 participants, all but two anticipated at least one rate hike to be appropriate within this year, while twelve members expected two or more hikes.
The prevailing consensus that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the end of the July policy meeting has lent some strength to the US Dollar and exerted downward pressure on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD. The DXY (US Dollar Index) surged above 103.30, reaching its highest level of the week.
EUR/USD further declined to the 1.0850 region. The outlook for the Euro has turned negative as the EUR/USD pair dropped below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA).
If the GBP/USD pair falls below 1.2700 and confirms that level as resistance, the next potential bearish targets could be 1.2680, 1.2658, 1.2647 according to fib retracement levels and previously pivot points.