GBPUSD
GBPUSD, formed a triangle towards end of March, 22-26GBP against Dollar pair have moved between 1.40 and 1.38 for almost a month and neither up or low seen beyond this price limits, and expect the same this week also , and it formed a triangle pattern towards end of the month..
Analysis only for education purpose
GBPUSD stays inside bullish set-up on BOE Super ThursdayAfter cheering the Fed-led run-up the previous day, GBPUSD bulls catch a breather below a three-week-old resistance line. However, a confluence of 50-day SMA and yearly support line, coupled with upbeat oscillators signals the pair’s further upside past-1.3990 immediate hurdle. Additionally, wide expectations of the BOE’s disappointment contrast Governor Andrew Bailey’s ability to surprise the market, which in turn adds strength to the bullish bias. Though, a clear break of the 1.4000 threshold will become necessary for the GBPUSD buyers before eyeing the previous month’s top, also the highest since April 2018, around 1.4240.
Alternatively, downside moves will not only need to break the 1.3810 support confluence but also an ascending trend line from September 23, currently around 1.3675, to recall the GBPUSD bears. Following that, lows marked during February and January, respectively near 1.3560 and 1.3450, will be the key to watch. Hence, GBPUSD bulls can ignore losses unless breaking the 1.3675 level, which requires an extremely dovish BOE that is out of course for now.
GBPUSDAs I said last week ..eGU rejected as I said and is heading towards the very strong resistance area 1.37800
From that area, technically it should reject and rise again 200-300 pips from where ... DOWN AGAIN to 1.35 in the first phase and 1.27 in the next period!
THISW WEEK...as I said UG went up 300 pips and reached the trend line formed in the last 10 years and from here ... even if it will make a small range and maybe it will retest the trend line ... it will go down at least 500-700 pips!
NOTE: Starting this week I will try to highlight in parallel the chart for 1 week and the one for 1 month for a better accuracy of the analyzes
- This pair may be influenced in the short term by any news
GREAT ATTENTION: Our analyzes have an accuracy of over 91% but due to market manipulations during this period we will avoid putting exact values on SL!
We also recommend avoiding short-term trades during this period because news can appear at any time that can destabilize the market.
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
GBPUSD fades bounce off key supportsWith the bond bears keeping the reins, GBPUSD drifts lower during early Monday. In doing so, the quote fizzles recovery moves from 200-SMA portrayed during the last week amid downbeat RSI and MACD conditions. Even so, sellers have a bumpy road ahead that starts with a 200-SMA level of 1.3865. Should the cable bears break 1.3865 support, an ascending trend line from early February and one-month-old horizontal area, respectively around 1.3830 and 1.3770, will challenge the pair’s further downside. However, a clear downside break of 1.3770 will be enough to challenge February’s bottom surrounding 1.3565-60.
Alternatively, the latest swing high near 1.3950 guards the pair’s short-term upside ahead of the 1.3990-4000 resistance zone comprising multiple levels marked since February 19. Although reflation fears can keep threatening GBPUSD bulls around 1.4000, a successful run-up may catch a breather around February 24 low near 1.4080 ahead of challenging the yearly peak of 1.4237.
GBPUSD, could be the End of March Consolidation, Mar 15-19Pound vs Dollar pair have been sideways after a long bearish at Feb end..1.39750 area to be look out for this week, reaction of price action at this price mark could define the week's move,
if there is no news impact, this could be a bullish week for GBPUSD
Analysis only for education purpose
GBPUSD, critical week against strong USDLast week its a unexpected bearish moves brought GBPUSD @ 1.37700 area, after NFP Dip also GBPUSD recovered to a little high end of the week, continuous strong momentum of USD may keep down GBPUSD this week,
Wait to see the High impact news of Pound on Monday, if it breaks down it may land the price zone of 1.37300 , where it looks like strong support for this pair..
Analysis only for education purpose
GBP/USD BUYS FROM A BETTER PRICE 1.38600-1.38750 OR THE 1.38300 Looking at GU we have come up to 1.42 region and have respected it quite well overall last week was bearish but the trend is still bullish on 4hr we can see no structure has been broken so I'm still looking for buys from these two areas we have to remember the overall trend is higher so looking for sells while we have been in a strong uptrend is us going against the trend and we could get stopped out at anytime
Looking on lower time frames we can see we are starting to make lower lows but I just think this could be a fake move for banks to buy at a cheaper price we can normally see a decent amount of movement from Tuesday to thursday and yesterday gu didn't move that much so I expect Thursday between London and New York session we could see a move down to cover the imbalances and then shoot up
BUY ZONE 1
ENTRY : 1.38750
STOP LOSS 1.38550 (20 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 1.40 (125 PIPS)
REASONS FOR BUYING AT THE PRICE
1. 88.6%
2. S2
3. Lower g1
4. no lower lows structure forming
BUY ZONE 2
ENTRY: 1.38300
STOP LOSS: 1.38180(12 pips)
TAKE PROFIT : 1.40 (170 pips)
REASONS FOR BUYING AT THE PRICE
1.Double bottom
2. 4hr structure
3. S3
4.4hr 200
If price breaks below 1.38300 do not enter wait for price action and enter
GBPUSD teases sellers ahead of UK budgetIn addition to a sustained downside break of the one-month-old support line, portrayed last Friday, the weekly falling trend line also suggests a bearish bias for the GBPUSD prices ahead of the key UK annual budget announcement, up for publishing around 12:30 GMT. It should, however, be noted that British Chancellor Rishi Sunak is up for releasing the heavy government help while targeting speedy recovery from the pandemic. Hence, a cautious selling could be eyed unless the quote stays below the previous support line, now resistance, near 1.4095. For an immediate basis, 1.3970 and the 1.4000 threshold can probe the GBPUSD bulls.
Alternatively, a downward sloping trend line from February 22 around 1.3840 and a 200-bar SMA level of 1.3800 could lure the cable sellers should Sunak disappoints markets by announcing plans of tax hikes. Though, the bulls are less likely to lose hopes unless witnessing a daily close below February’s low near 1.3560.
GBPUSD bears stay hopeful below key support lineAlthough 100-SMA defends cable buyers, bearish MACD and hopes of the US dollar’s further recovery, following the $1.9 trillion covid stimulus, seem to favor the GBPUSD sellers. As a result, the bears should wait for a clear downside break of 1.3915 to initial fresh selling positions. Following that, 1.3780-75 and the previous month’s low of 1.3563 will be in the spotlight. Overall, the Sterling has run a long way up versus the US dollar and bright spots are suggesting a fresh downside wave during the key week comprising the UK’s budget.
On the contrary, 50-bar SMA and an upward sloping trend line from February 04, respectively around 1.4015 and 1.4040, guard the quote’s immediate upside. Also acting as the hurdle is a one-week-old horizontal area surrounding 1.4080. If at all the GBPUSD bulls manage to cross 1.4080, odds of witnessing a fresh high beyond the latest ones 1.4237 can’t be ruled out.
💡 Don't miss the great sell opportunity in GBPUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.4128). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. GBPUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.3982
TP2= @ 1.3870
TP3= @ 1.3785
TP4= @ 1.3640
TP5= @ 1.3454
SL: Break Above R2
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