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GBPUSD

100-SMA prods GBPUSD bears on BoE Super ThursdayGBPUSD stays defensive at the lowest level in a week, snapping a two-day losing streak, as the pair traders await the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Announcements, as well as the quarterly monetary policy report that makes the day a “Super Thursday”. It’s worth noting that the 100-SMA puts a short-term trading floor under the prices near 1.2480, especially amid the downbeat RSI suggesting a pause in the previous fall. However, the bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained downside break of a two-week-old support line, now immediate resistance surrounding 1.2515, and clear trading beneath a downward-sloping trend line resistance stretched since mid-March, at 1.2585 at the latest, keeps the sellers hopeful. Even if the Pound Sterling gains support from the BoE and rises past 1.2585, the monthly high of 1.2634 will be the last defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls. Meanwhile, a downside break of the 100-SMA support of 1.2480, as well as the BoE’s inability to convince the GBPUSD bulls, will resume a south run targeting the 1.2400 threshold. In a case where the Cable bears keep the reins past 1.2400, the yearly bottom marked in April surrounding 1.2300 and the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s March-May moves, near 1.2265, will be in the spotlight ahead of the late 2023 bottom of near 1.2067. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains in a bearish trend on the BoE Super Thursday despite the latest consolidation. Hence, even a surprise rebound should not be considered a bullish sign.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD : New breakthrough has appeared!GBP/USD keeps sliding and trades in the negative territory below 1.2500 after losing nearly 0.5% on Tuesday. The newfound strength of the US dollar, fueled by hawkish remarks from the Fed, weighs heavily on this pair as market focus shifts to the policy announcements from the Bank of England on Thursday. From chart observations, this pair has broken out of the uptrend channel after a prolonged period. Expectations are for further downward adjustments after a retest of the Breakout zone, with the selling strategy continuing to be prioritized during this time.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Downtrend is still going on!Hello friends! GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its upward momentum and is trading below 1.2550 during the US session. Earlier in the day, disappointing April jobs reports from the US triggered a USD sell-off, pushing the pair to multi-week highs above 1.2600. However, it failed to hold this level and quickly fell to 1,254. On the other hand, the daily chart shows that the sharp rise in GBP/USD broke the 34, 89 EMA, forming a 'shooting star' pattern, opening up opportunities for sellers.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Technical uptrend continues!Hello everyone, today, GBP/USD rose to levels near 1.2535 early in the Asian session. This move was driven mainly by the significant weakening of the US dollar (USD) after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to keep interest rates unchanged. Analysis from the chart shows that GBP/USD has broken away from the previous downtrend, starting to form a new uptrend with important support around the 1,247 area. Looking ahead, buyers appear to have the upper hand, with the next target being resistance at 1,256. If this uptrend continues, the next level could be 1,269, especially if GBP/USD can turn 1,256 into a new support area.
Long
by RKarina
GBPUSD bull’s journey to retake control appears long and bumpyGBPUSD grinds higher past 50% Fibonacci retracement of October 2023 to March 2024 upside as traders await more clues about Friday’s US employment report for April. In doing so, the Pound Sterling extends the late April rebound from a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 1.2365, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio. That said, the bullish MACD signals and a steady RSI (14) line also underpin the Cable pair’s recovery moves targeting the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2550. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2550, a five-month-old support-turned-resistance line around 1.2570 will test the buyers before directing them to a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from March, close to 1.2600. Following that, the 100-SMA hurdle of 1.2650 will act as the final defense of the sellers ahead of giving up control. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s pullback could aim for the 50.0% and 61.8% Fibonacci ratios, respectively around 1.2465 and 1.2365. However, Pound Sterling’s fall past 1.2365 will make it vulnerable to drop toward the yearly low marked in April around 1.2300. It should be noted that the pair’s weakness past 1.2300 won’t hesitate to challenge the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2220 and the late 2023 low of around 1.2035. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to extend the latest recovery but there are multiple resistances to challenge the bull’s confidence.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: Recovery again?Hello everyone, here! Today, after a positive close for two consecutive days, GBP/USD has regained momentum and climbed above the 1.2500 level for the first time in nearly two weeks. The short-term technical outlook for this currency pair indicates an upward trend as it has successfully surpassed the resistance level at 1.248 and turned it into a new support level. The price action currently shows a convergence between the two EMA lines and this support level, therefore, the outlook is aimed at higher levels, surpassing the resistance level at 1.256. Wishing you all a happy weekend of trading!
Long
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Looking for a new breakthrough!Hi everybody! After rising above the 1.2450 level during the Asian session on Wednesday, GBP/USD failed to maintain momentum and fell below this mark. However, according to short-term technical analysis, the pair remains in a favorable position as long as the 1.2400 support level remains in place. The weakness of the US Dollar (USD) has become the driving force for GBP/USD to recover after a losing streak. Going forward today, US Durable Goods Orders data for March will be closely watched for fresh dynamics. While the recent figures did not move the market much, the market reaction to Tuesday's disappointing PMI report indicated that weaker figures could weaken the USD and provide further support for the GBP/USD in recovery of upward momentum.
Long
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Recovering but price is still in the bearish channel!On Wednesday, during the first Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair rose to 1.2450. Optimism from April's US PMI data and increased demand for risk assets have put the US Dollar under selling pressure, which in turn boosted the price of GBPUSD. Later in the day, US Durable Goods Orders and Weekly Mortgage Applications figures will be released. However, from a technical analysis perspective, although there have been signs of recovery, the price is still in a long-term downtrend because the price channel has not been broken and important support levels are no longer holding. solid. The price movement below the EMA 34 and 89 is still beneficial for sellers. Pay attention to the 1.252 area, as this could continue to be a seller's target for GBPUSD.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Sellers Continue to Get the Advantage!Hello dear fellow travelers! What are your thoughts on the direction of GBPUSD? Current rumors suggest GBP/USD is moving cautiously, near 1.2350, which is the lowest level since mid-November, when Tuesday's Asian session first began. The USD index is consolidating its position above 106.10, while traders patiently await global PMI data from the US and UK for April, which has kept the direction of GBPUSD becomes vague and lifeless. However, a look at the chart shows that the pair is likely to resume its downtrend after the brief sideways period ends. GBPUSD remains on its old path below the 34 and 89 EMA pair. This consistency bodes well for bearish supporters, showing that the downtrend remains popular!
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD rebounds from Golden Fibonacci ratio, “Falling Wedge” eyeGBPUSD bears take a breather after a two-week downtrend as the quote bounces off the lowest level since mid-November 2023. In doing so, the Pound Sterling takes a U-turn from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its run-up from October 2023 to February 2024, also known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio”, while justifying the traders’ consolidation ahead of this week’s key UK/US catalysts. That said, the oversold RSI line and a receding bearish bias on the MACD favor the quote’s further rebound, which in turn highlights the monthly falling wedge bullish chart formation. However, the pair’s successful trading beyond 1.2440 becomes necessary to lure the buyers. Even so, a 4.5-month-old previous support line and the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), respectively near 1.2545 and 1.2560, will be the key upside hurdles to test the Cable’s north-run. On the contrary, the aforementioned key Fibonacci retracement support restricts the immediate downside of the GBPUSD pair to around 1.2360. Following that, the stated falling wedge’s bottom line, near 1.2345 at the latest, quickly followed by the October 2023 peak of 1.2337, could act as the final defense of the Pound Sterling buyers before surrendering to the sellers. In that case, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 1.2220 will be in the spotlight before the late 2023 bottoms around 1.2070 and 1.2037. Overall, the GBPUSD pair’s corrective bounce appears overdue but the road toward the north will be long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
GBP/USD remains limited below 1,250At the start of the Asian session on Friday, the GBP/USD pair held firm at a defensive level around 1.2430. The British pound weakened against a stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by strong U.S. economic data and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, leading markets to speculate that the The US central bank may postpone interest rate cuts until September. On the chart, the price has broken through the sideways area, ending the previous period of consolidation, and is expected to continue falling in the trend described by Dow Theory.
Short
by RKarina
GBP/USD remains limited below 1,250Hello dear friends! During the first Asian trading session on Thursday, the GBP/USD pair traded light at 1.2450. The weakening of inflation in the UK has stimulated speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) may cut interest rates in the near term, putting downward pressure on the British Pound (GBP) against the Dollar. US Dollar (USD). Investors are eyeing key upcoming economic reports, including U.S. initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, the Conference Board Leading Index and other data. data on existing home sales, to further assess the trend of GBP/USD. Regarding technical analysis, sellers are dominant. Although GBP/USD has recovered slightly, it remains in a bearish bias and is moving below the 34 and 89 EMAs. A retest of the EMAs and a move towards resistance could re-invigorate the pair. trying to sell prospects.
Short
by RKarina
GOLD IN CORRECTIONHi everyone... Right now market touches our 1st Weekly PULL BACK zone which is 2357-2477 zone We got Day High(using MY HIGH find method)-correction sell 80% confirms In 4hrs the market got bounce on small buy zone which is 2335-2320 Also we got 15min low(using MY LOW find method)-trend continues but doesn't get CHOCH(doesn't cross 2319) confirmation in 15Mins and 4Hrs Careful with sell And mainly in Monthly time frame previously we got H&S so Head and Shoulder full target is 2527 Monthly 1st back zone we Got here which is 2462-2689 Here is the Result 1st Analysis Buy@2344.3-2336 SL@2330(or use buy limit SL) TP 2346 TP 2352 TP 2364 TP 2388 TP 2430 TP 2520 Buy limit@2329-2323 SL@2319 TP 2331 TP 2345 TP 2352 TP 2364 TP 2388 TP 2430 TP 2520 2nd Analysis Sell limit@2388-2395(we need a confirmation before enter this) SL@2397 TP 2386 TP 2380 TP 2300 TP 2278 TP 2167 TP 2050 TP 1973 Sell limit@2426-2428(EXTREME SELL zone BUT BE CARE FULL WE DOSENT GET 15M & 4h CHOCH) SL@2432 TP 2424 TP 2400 TP 2380 TP 2300 TP 2278 TP 2167 TP 2050 TP 1973 USE RISK MANAGEMENT SAFE TRADER ONLY TAKE 3 TO 5 TRGT BASED ON YOUR EQUITY BUT 1ST TP MUST AFETR HIT 1ST TP MUST SET BE(Break Event) ==Use stop order -.5 pips from SL(if you ok) stop order needs high equity== NOTES:EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
GBPUSD hovers at five-month low, UK Inflation, BoE’s Bailey eyedGBPUSD traders lick their wounds at the lowest level in five months early Wednesday as the monthly UK inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and a speech from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey loom. Apart from the pre-data anxiety, the oversold RSI (14) also challenges the Pound Sterling sellers at a multi-day bottom. With this, the corrective bounce can aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the Cable’s run-up from September 2023 to March 2024, close to 1.2465, if backed by upbeat UK data and hawkish comments from BoE’s Bailey. It’s worth noting, however, that an ascending resistance line from early December, previous support around 1.2545, will precede the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of 1.2565 to test the buyers afterward. Above all, a convergence of the 50-EMA and a five-week-old downward-sloping trend line, near 1.2625 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls before retaking control. On the contrary, downbeat UK inflation clues and BoE Governor Bailey’s failure to convince policy hawks could join the bearish MACD signals to exert downside pressure on the GBPUSD pair. In that case, a horizontal area comprising lows marked in November 2023, close to 1.2370-75, will lure the Pound Sterling bears. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and October 2023 peak, respectively near 1.2365 and 1.2330, could test the sellers. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.2330, the odds of witnessing a southward trajectory toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and then to the previous yearly low, near 1.2220 and 1.2035 in that order, can’t be ruled out. Overall, GBPUSD bears appear running out of steam but the road toward the north appears long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: Uptrend continues to be threatenedHello everyone! This week, GBP/USD has witnessed a slight recovery, climbing above the 1.2450 level after dropping to its lowest point in November at 1.2426 last week. The technical outlook still signals a downward trend, but easing geopolitical tensions may prolong the currency pair's recovery time. Investors sought safe haven assets last week following reports that Iran may retaliate for what is believed to be an Israeli attack on their consulate in Damascus on April 1st. This has boosted the US dollar as a preferred safe asset, thereby putting pressure on GBP/USD at the end of the US trading session. US stock index futures were last seen rising between 0.4% and 0.6% for the day. If Wall Street's key indices open positively and continue to rise, the US dollar may struggle to maintain its strength, potentially allowing GBP/USD to climb higher.
Short
by RKarina
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GBPUSD: Upward price momentum has not appeared yet!The GBP/USD pair is seeing a continuation of its strong downtrend, with the lowest since November 17 recorded during Tuesday's Asian session. Currently, GBP/USD is re-approaching the bottom of the monthly descending channel at 1.2440, and a test of this level is underway. Last Friday's low of 1.2430 is also in the market's sights. A clear break through this support could open the door towards 1.2370, and if the decline continues, there is no other obvious support until 1.2220. For the pair to recover, a break above 1.2505 is needed as a first step, where a large uncovered order volume is likely to be the driving factor for a further pullback to come. level 1.2565. These developments will be important in determining the near-term trading strategy for GBP/USD, especially given the current climate in the global foreign exchange market.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: End of uptrendThe GBP/USD pair continues to face selling pressure around the 1.2540 level, after bouncing back from its lowest point in 2024 at 1.2520. The selling of this major currency pair is driven by a stronger US dollar, which unexpectedly rose after the US Consumer Price Index data for March. A quick look at the chart shows that the upward trend has been decisively broken and the downward momentum is further supported by the intersection of the two EMA trend lines. The market seems to be increasingly favoring sellers as the USD continues on its recovery trajectory.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Selling force is still strong!On Friday morning of this week during the Asian session, the GBP/USD exchange rate stabilized at 1.2550. The market is excited with predictions that the Bank of England (BoE) may reduce interest rates ahead of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which is putting pressure on the British Pound and the exchange rate. Today, UK GDP numbers for February and Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index for April will be in focus for investors. Earlier in the week, higher-than-expected CPI figures triggered speculation that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts this year in terms of quantity and timing. Fed officials believe the central bank has reached the peak of its current rate-tightening cycle and that current monetary policy puts them in a good position to respond to the economic outlook. They also open up the possibility of maintaining higher interest rates for longer if inflation tapers off. Hawkish statements from Fed officials increased the value of the US dollar, which in turn put downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD sellers attack 1.2540 key support ahead of UK/US dataGBPUSD fades bounce off the yearly low, marked the previous day, following its failure to cross the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ahead of top-tier UK/US data on Friday. Apart from the failure to cross the key EMA hurdle, the bearish MACD signals and lackluster RSI (14) line also suggest a continuation of the Cable pair’s south-run. However, a daily closing beneath an upward-sloping support line stretched from December 2023, close to 1.2540 at the latest, becomes necessary for the bears to tighten the grip. Even so, February’s low of 1.2520 and late 2023 trough surrounding the 1.2500 threshold could challenge the Pound Sterling’s further downside. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past 1.2500 will make it vulnerable to plunge toward mid-November 2023’s low of near 1.2375. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s recovery needs a daily closing beyond the 200-EMA level of 1.2567 to convince short-term buyers. Even so, a five-week-old descending resistance line and the monthly high will challenge the Pound Sterling’s further upside around 1.2645 and 1.2710 in that order. It’s worth noting that the pair’s upside beyond 1.2710 enables it to confront a four-month-long horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.2790-2805. Following that, the Cable buyer’s ability to renew the yearly high, currently around 1.2900, can’t be ruled out. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is on the way to bear’s platter as a slew of monthly UK data dump and the US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index occupy Friday’s economic calendar.
by MTradingGlobal
GOLD IN CORRECTIONNow we got 4h high which is using my method... Already our 2 sell entry running profit also we found 2 sell zone 1st sell limit 2254-2257 sl 2259 (need 1m or 5m confirmation then entry it else wait for 2nd zone) tp 2252 tp 2249 tp 2244 buy zones are the tp4 and tp 5 In 4hrs we found 2 buy zone 1st buy zone 2201-2192 (we need 15M confirmation to take entry) 2nd buy zone 2167-2156(extreme buy zone no need to confirm)...which is in linked analysis 2nd sell limit 2261-2264 sl 2267 tp 2259 tp 2256 tp 2251 buy zones are the tp4 and tp5 In 4hrs we found 2 buy zone 1st buy zone 2201-2192 (we need 15M confirmation to take entry) 2nd buy zone 2167-2156(extreme buy zone no need to confirm)...which is in linked analysis NOTES: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY