GBPUSD sellers need validation from 1.2565 and UK/US GDPGBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2630 while paring the first weekly gains in three, so far, as traders await Thursday’s final prints of the UK and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024. In doing so, the Pound Sterling struggles to defend the previous week’s rebound from the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) amid downbeat RSI (14) line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the Cable pair’s sustained trading beneath the convergence of 50-EMA and previous support line stretched from early February, around 1.2680 at the latest, keep the sellers hopeful. That said, the quote needs to provide a daily closing beneath the 200-EMA level of 1.2565 to confirm the further downside. Following that, the yearly low of 1.2518 and December 2023 bottom surrounding 1.2500 will act as the final defense of the bulls.
On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the 1.2680 resistance confluence comprising the 50-EMA and the previous support line could recall the GBPUSD pair buyers. Should the quote remain firmer past 1.2680, the 15-week-old horizontal resistance zone will challenge the bulls around 1.2795-2805. In a case where the Pound Sterling rises beyond 1.2805, the yearly peak of 1.2893 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight.
Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains bearish ahead of the key UK/US GDP data but the downside room appears limited.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD recovered againHello wonderful people! Let's dive into GBPUSD insights today.
In today's North American trading session, the British Pound is making a modest comeback against the US Dollar, thanks to speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in June. At this time, GBP /USD is trading at 1.2657, marking a 0.16% gain on the day.
Essentially, GBP/USD is forming a 'bullish harami' pattern, hinting at potential trends ahead. To confirm a trend reversal, it needs to clear the 1.2679 mark, announcing targets at 1.2700, followed by the 1.2803 peak. Conversely, a slide below the 1.2591 support could negate this pattern, potentially extending losses.
What are your views on future steps?
EURUSD 15M ANALYSISFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
GBPUSD continues to bounce back!Hello dear friends! GBPUSD is showing signs of recovery this Monday, bouncing back after a significant drop at the end of last week. The recovery started when it touched the Trendline, although the overall trend is still bearish due to the momentum the US Dollar (USD) has gained from Wall Street activities, despite the declining interest rates that have reinforced the potential recovery of this currency pair.
In the short term, I lean towards a buying strategy, aiming for the resistance level at 1.267. What about you? Do you think now is a good time to buy?
GBPUSD: SELL?Hello dear friends,
Yesterday our GBPUSD experienced a significant downturn. Based on fundamental analysis, GBP/USD extended its losses and formed a 'bearish' candlestick pattern, indicating the potential for further decline. If sellers break through the psychological level of 1.2600, it could pave the way for a level of 1.2500. On the other hand, buyers should reclaim the 1.2700 level and expect some consolidation patterns.
GBPUSD: Price channel not broken yet!The GBP/USD has risen above the 1.2700 level, recovering from a two-week low below 1.2670 on Tuesday. Investors are cautious about taking significant positions ahead of the policy meetings of the Fed and BoE, causing this currency pair to struggle to find a clear direction.
Furthermore, the widespread strength of the US dollar (USD) continues to weigh on this currency pair ahead of the policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). With the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond holding above 4.3% after rising over 5% last week, support for the USD remains strong. As GBP/USD is still trending downwards, further price declines may be imminent!
GBPUSD: Bounces back after a series of losses?The GBP/USD pair gained momentum in the early hours of Thursday's Asian trading session. This increase was driven by the weakening of the US dollar following Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's cautious press conference.
Additionally, the 1.2760 level, representing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest uptrend, is currently seen as the initial support level reinforcing the pair's upward progress. There is a possibility of immediate breakthrough of the resistance level at 1.281, with the goal of reaching the peak at 1.289.
GBPUSD bulls keep eyes on 1.2900 and BoEGBPUSD bulls take a breather at a weekly high, after rising the most in a fortnight the previous day, as traders await the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcements on Thursday. Also important will be the preliminary UK S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for March. That said, the quote’s successful break of a two-week-old descending resistance line, now support, as well as the 50-SMA, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a horizontal resistance area comprising tops marked since March 08, close to 1.2820-25, will join the overbought RSI line to challenge the Pound Sterling’s further upside. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2825, the odds of witnessing a quick run-up toward the monthly high surrounding 1.2900 can’t be ruled out.
On the flip side, the 50-SMA and the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line could restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair to around 1.2760 and 1.2740 respectively. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and a five-week-old rising trend line, near 1.2670 by the press time, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable sellers. Should the quote remain bearish past 1.2670, the monthly low of around 1.2600 and the previous monthly bottom surrounding 1.2520 will be in the spotlight.
To sum up, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt allowed GBPUSD to cross the short-term upside hurdle and lure the buyers ahead of the key UK PMIs and the BoE monetary policy decisions. It’s worth noting that the BoE isn’t expected to offer any change in the current monetary policy but can push back the rate cut bias toward late 2024 and help the British Pound (GBP) to defend the latest run-up.
GBPUSD: Drops below 1.2700 on notable US Dollar demandHello everyone, as we predicted, GBPUSD has continued to decline under the strength of USD's recovery. The current trading price is 1.268, firmly holding within the downtrend channel.
The next target is to push this pair up to the support level of 1.2625, after all the previous important defensive measures have been broken by sellers.
So what about you? Do you plan to continue selling this currency pair?
GBPUSD: Starting to correct?Hello dear friends!
Today, GBP/USD is gradually decreasing to the level of 1.2800 tons in the first day of the new week. The US Dollar has prevented its losing streak as the market shifts to risk aversion ahead of the highly anticipated US CPI report, which will be released on Tuesday. This has somewhat limited the upward trend for the GBP/USD pair.
As a result, the sellers are starting to suppress the price increases in the short to medium term. From the chart, we can see that a peak near 1.290 has formed and the price is starting to correct after a significant increase from the previous week.
The technical targets and prospects in this case are highly evaluated at around 1.275, which is approximately the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
GBPUSD :Pay attention to US CPI data!Greetings dear friends, today the currency pair is trading around the level of 1.278 and has started a slight correction after facing selling pressure since yesterday.
The cautious sentiment in the market ahead of important events in both the UK and the US may provide some support for safe-haven assets like the US Dollar (USD). The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February is estimated to maintain stability at 3.1% compared to the same period last year, and the core CPI is expected to decrease from 3.9% to 3.7% in February.
A stronger-than-expected CPI report could further diminish hopes of a Fed interest rate cut in the near future. Conversely, this could boost the US Dollar and create resistance for the GBP/USD currency pair.
GBPUSD: Under pressure from the recovering USDThe GBP/USD pair remains below the psychological barrier of 1.2800 in the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The US dollar is stronger after the release of the US CPI inflation data for February, which pushed the major currency pair lower. Investors are awaiting the UK's GDP growth figure for January, which is forecasted to increase by 0.2% compared to the previous month. The price may continue to decline if this is favorable news for the USD.
In the short term: The first resistance level is at 1.2800 before 1.2850 and 1.2870. On the other hand, 1.2750 is considered the first support level before 1.2730-1.2720 and 1.2690.
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GBPUSD hovers above 1.2770 resistance-turned-support on key dayGBPUSD regains 1.2800 after snapping a six-day losing streak, making rounds to 1.2820 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Cable pair portrays the market’s cautious mood ahead of the all-important UK employment data and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. That said, the overbought RSI (14) line joins the pre-data anxiety to test the Pound Sterling buyers. However, a seven-month-old resistance line, now support around 1.2770, challenges the immediate downside of the quote. Even if the pair drops beneath the resistance-turned-support of 1.2770, the 50-SMA level of 1.2690 and convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.2585, will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears.
Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s sustained run-up needs strong UK data, as well as softer US inflation to entertain the keep the Pound Sterling buyers on board. Even so, the yearly high marked on last Friday, around 1.2895, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2895, backed by the positive fundamentals, the quote could aim for the tops marked in July 2023 near 1.2995 and 1.3140 in that order.
To sum up, the GBPUSD pair buyers keep the reins on the day of releases of the key employment and inflation data from the UK and the US.
GBPUSD : Moving towards critical creature abilities !The GBP/USD pair remains steady above the psychological barrier of 1.2800 in the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Selling pressure by the US Dollar provides some support for the major currency pair. The highlight on Friday will be the US labor market data for February.
This currency pair has continued to gain points, although it has not yet surpassed the 1.2800 level. As mentioned before, buyers may not be able to sustain the value, and GBP/USD could face a decline. The next support level will be at 1.2700, followed by the 34-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2673. On the other hand, if buyers exten
GBPUSDThe GBP/USD exchange rate has increased by 0.31% during the North American trading session and is trading at 1.2746, after rebounding from the daily low of 1.2690. The spring budget announcement in the United Kingdom and the testimony of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have supported the rise in this currency pair, which is now poised to test the 1.2800 level.
GBPUSD: Is this week's trend up or down?RKarina sends greetings at the beginning of the week to everyone, wishing you all a smooth and exciting trading week.
Currently, GBPUSD is maintaining a fairly stable price around 1.266, recording a 0.08% recovery during the day. The GBP/USD pair has formed a good recovery on Friday from the level of 1.2600, which has been a low point for a week and a half, and has attracted some positive momentum.
In terms of trends, GBPUSD is still in a sideways state, but in the short and medium term, it seems that the buying side is holding strong with price increases after this currency pair tested the 34 and 89 EMA lines and continued to move up.
My goal for this week is for GBPUSD to continue rising with two main targets, namely 1.270 and 1.276. What about you? Do you have a goal for an increase or decrease in price?
GBPUSD bulls jostle with multi-month-old resistance lineGBPUSD rose to the highest level in a month the previous day but failed to offer a daily closing beyond a downward-sloping resistance line from July 2023. In addition to the inability to cross the key trend line resistance, softer prints of the UK PMIs and sluggish MACD signals also challenged the Cable pair buyers. However, the quote’s capacity to remain firmer past the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the firmer RSI (14) line push back the bears. Hence, the Pound Sterling bulls are likely to keep the reins and can overcome the immediate resistance line, close to 1.2700 by the press time, but its further advances need validation from the late 2023 swing high of around 1.2830 and the MACD signals to confirm the bullish trend. In that case, tops marked on July 23 and 13, respectively around 1.3000 and 1.3140, will be in the spotlight.
Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s pullback moves remain elusive beyond a one-month-old rising support line, close to 1.2600. Following that, the Cable bears will need confirmation from the 200-EMA level of 1.2530 on a daily closing basis to retake control. Should that happen, the quote’s gradual downward trajectory toward highs marked in November and October of 2023, around 1.2430 and 1.2335 in that order, can’t be ruled out.
Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest struggle with the key resistance line. Apart from the technical details, the cautious mood ahead of the US ADP Employment Change and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Testimony also appear crucial to determine near-term moves of the Pound Sterling.
GBPUSD: The risk of a price drop lurksThe GBP/USD exchange rate is hovering around 1.2680 on Wednesday as markets seek new impetus from the Federal Reserve (Fed) as investors gradually shy away from high-interest rate cut bets. Data on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) inflation and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index will be released this week.
Data from the United Kingdom remains sparse this week, with the market focusing on important figures to update expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
As a result, GBPUSD is struggling to rise, with both short-term and medium-term corrections indicating a downward trend. The currency pair has already broken below the support level of 1.267. In the event that the next support level at 1.265 is breached, the possibility of a decline below 1.262 is entirely plausible as there will be no significant support points to prop up GBPUSD.
GBPUSD : Slight discount !The GBP/USD pair broke free from the recent low around 1.2620 and rebounded to 1.2660 at the start of Thursday's Asian trading session. The demand for the US Dollar (USD) weighed heavily on the GBPUSD pair ahead of a significant event in the United States.
Investors are currently awaiting the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for January at the end of the day, hoping for fresh momentum.
GBP/USD: maintain good growth rateThe GBP/USD pair continues its upward momentum below the psychological barrier of 1.2700 in the early Asian trading session on Tuesday. The FOMC minutes indicated that the Fed has reaffirmed its data-dependent approach, leading to a more dovish outlook. This has weighed on the US Dollar (USD) and created a favorable environment for this currency pair.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2685, up 0.02% for the day. My expectation is that the price will continue to rise after finding support at the 34 and 89 EMA levels.