GBPUSDDear friends, Currently, the British pound may have increased due to improved data released on Thursday from the United Kingdom.
Currently, this currency pair is facing temporary resistance at 1.2700 before 1.2740. If GBP/USD recovers within the 1.2740 channel, there is a possibility that the price will decrease again, with a potential target of 1.2399.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD retreat appears elusive beyond 1.2650GBPUSD extends the late 2023 pullback from a five-month-old horizontal resistance area towards 1.2700 during early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought region, as well as the sluggish MACD signals. However, the bull cross on the SMA joins the quote’s sustained trading beyond an ascending trend line from November 01, close to 1.2650 at the latest, to keep the buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of 1.2650 will quickly drag prices to the 50-SMA support of 1.2490, a break of which will allow the 100-SMA level of 1.2450 to test the bears.
On the flip side, GBPUSD buyers should remain cautious unless they witness a clear upside break of the aforementioned horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.2800-2820. Following that, the Pound Sterling buyers could aim for a late July swing high of near the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Although the RSI conditions are likely to test the bulls around the stated round figure, the pair’s successful trading beyond the same will easily surpass the year 2023 peak near 1.3145.
Overall, the GBPUSD pair may witness further downside but the bears are less likely to retake control beyond 1.2650.
Foreign currencies increased sharply at the same timeThe USD decreased in the last trading session
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) may begin cutting interest rates when inflation falls closer to the US Central Bank's 2% target.
However, trading volumes fell after Christmas as some markets remained closed for the holidays. Many traders globally also take a holiday until Tet.
The greenback is on track for its worst performance since 2020 against other currencies, as market expectations of a Fed rate cut have dented the dollar's appeal against peers. other currency.
Many analysts expect the US economy to slow markedly in 2024, but the Fed is also expected to take action to ensure that the gap between the federal funds rate and actual inflation is not too wide. .
If inflation falls much faster than target, the Fed may tighten monetary conditions more than policymakers intended.
GBPUSD retreats within bullish pennant amid dicey marketsGBPUSD struggles to defend the previous weekly gains as bulls lack incentive amid Christmas and Boxing Day holidays in the UK. As a result, the Cable pair eases within a two-week-old bullish pennant. However, the upbeat RSI (14), not overbought, joins the bullish MACD signals to highlight the 1.2630 support confluence comprising 100-SMA and the stated pennant’s bottom line. Even if the quote defies the bullish chart pattern by breaking the 1.2630 key support, an ascending trend line from early November, around the 1.2600 threshold, precedes the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2545 to restrict the Pound Sterling pair’s further downside. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.2500 will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears.
Meanwhile, GBPUSD pair’s further upside needs validation from the bullish pennant formation, by successfully crossing the 1.2740 resistance. Also likely to challenge the Cable pair buyers is the latest peak of near 1.2800, as well as an ascending resistance line stretched from late November, close to 1.2830 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the quote’s sustained trading beyond 1.2830 allows the buyers to aim for the 1.3000 psychological magnet and then the yearly peak of near 1.3145.
Overall, the GBPUSD bulls can ignore the latest pullback in the quote unless the price slips beneath 1.2500.
GBPUSDFOREXCOM:GBPUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
GBPUSD bulls struggle to keep reins as UK inflation loomGBPUSD retreats toward 1.2700 ahead of the UK inflation release on Wednesday, after snapping a two-day losing streak the previous day. Even so, a two-month-old rising trend channel joins the upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, to keep the Cable buyers hopeful unless the quote stays beyond 1.2620. Even if the pair defies the bullish chart formation by sliding beneath the 1.2620 support, the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2510 will act as the last defense of the bull before directing prices toward the early October swing high of around 1.2335.
Meanwhile, an upward sloping resistance line stretched from early September, close to 1.2785 by the press time, guards immediate run-up of the GBPUSD pair. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of the pair’s March-July upside and the aforementioned channel’s upper line, respectively near 1.2830 and 1.2920, will test the Pound Sterling buyers. In a case where the quote stays firmer past 1.2920, the late July peak of around 1.3000 and the yearly peak of 1.3142 will lure the bulls.
Overall, the GBPUSD bulls are in the driver’s seat as markets await the UK inflation and the US CB Consumer Confidence.
GBPUSD bulls flex muscles ahead of UK employment, US inflationGBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from a six-week-old rising support line as traders prepare for the UK jobs report and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair also justifies a recovery in the RSI (14) line. However, a fortnight-old descending trend channel joins the sluggish MACD signals to challenge buyers. Should the quote manage to cross the 1.2580 immediate hurdle, its run-up toward a downward-sloping resistance line from late November, near 1.2690, will be imminent. Following that, the previous monthly high of near 1.2735 and a seven-week-long rising resistance line, close to 1.2870, will be in the spotlight.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the aforementioned support line, around 1.2540 by the press time, isn’t an open invitation to the GBPUSD sellers as the bottom line of the previously stated channel and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.2470 and 1.2420, will challenge the fall. Also acting as the downside filter is the mid-November swing low surrounding 1.2370, a break of which will make the Pound Sterling vulnerable to dropping toward the November 10 trough near 1.2185.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to reverse the previous week’s losses unless the UK/US data recall the pair sellers.
GBPUSD portrays bullish consolidation above 1.2600GBPUSD struggles to extend the previous three-week uptrend as it seesaws around a three-week high after retreating from an ascending resistance line stretched from late October. The pullback also takes clues from the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought territory, as well as an impending bear cross on the MACD. With this, the Cable pair appears vulnerable to extending the latest weakness towards the 1.2480-70 support confluence comprising 100-SMA, 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-July upside. However, the 1.2600 and 1.2500 round figures are likely to test the bears before allowing them to confront with strong support. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.2470, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward October’s peak of 1.2337 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, GBPUSD recovery needs validation from the recent top surrounding 1.2735. Even so, the aforementioned resistance line, close to 1.2800 at the latest, and the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of nearly 1.2830 will challenge the Pound Sterling’s upside targeting the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Following that, the yearly high of 1.3142 will be in the spotlight.
Above all, fears of the UK’s economic slowdown unearth as traders shift attention from dovish Fed concerns and brace for this week’s US jobs report, which in turn tests the GBPUSD pair buyers.
GBPUSD pullback appears overdue, 1.2560 eyedGBPUSD seesaws at the highest level in 12 weeks, printing mild intraday gains during a four-day uptrend, amid early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable buyers jostle with a one-month-old bullish channel’s top line amid an overbought RSI (14) line. As a result, the quote’s pullback appears imminent. However, an ascending trend line from early November, close to 1.2560 at the latest, puts a floor under the Pound Sterling. In a case where the pair breaks the 1.2560 support, it becomes capable of challenging the short-term bullish channel formation, as well as the 200-EMA, by poking the 1.2370-65 support confluence. It’s worth noting, however, that the bear’s dominance past 1.2365 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low of around 1.2100.
Alternatively, GBPUSD bulls need to cross the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 1.2645-50 at the latest, to defy the odds of witnessing a pullback. In that case, the early August swing high of around 1.2820 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will lure the Cable buyers. However, the run-up will need validation from the US Q3 GDP, PCE Core Price Index and Fed Chair Powell’s speech, not to forget the concerns surrounding the UK’s economic growth and BoE’s hawkish move.
Hence, the odds of witnessing the GBPUSD pair’s further upside appear thin but the pullback needs to break 1.2560 to convince sellers.
GBPUSD bounces off 200-SMA ahead of UK PMIsGBPUSD snapped a three-day winning streak the previous day as the UK’s Autumn Statement failed to impress Cable buyers despite offering tax cuts and higher wages. The reason could be linked to the mixed economic outlook for Britain and a corrective bounce in the US Treasury bond yields. However, the 200-SMA defends the Pound Sterling buyers so far on the Thanksgiving Holiday in the US, as well as ahead of the UK’s release of preliminary S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for November. It’s worth noting, that the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals enable the pair buyers to keep the reins within a one-month-old rising channel, currently between 1.2330 and 1.2620. However, the RSI conditions are nearly overbought and hence the late June’s low and May’s peak, close to 1.2590 and 1.2680 in that order, appear tough nuts to crack for the bulls past 1.2620.
Meanwhile, a daily closing beneath the 200-SMA level of 1.2450 needs validation from the downbeat prints of the UK PMIs to lure the GBPUSD sellers. Even if the quote slides beneath the 1.2450 key SMA support, the aforementioned bullish channel’s bottom line of around 1.2330 will challenge the Cable bears. It’s worth noting, however, that the Pound Sterling’s rejection of the bullish chart pattern, by a daily closing below 1.2330, will make it vulnerable to drop towards the previous monthly low of around 1.2035 and then to the 1.2000 psychological magnet, before targeting the yearly low of around 1.1800.
GBPUSD fades bounce off 21-SMA, UK inflation, US inflation eyedGBPUSD snaps a two-day winning streak with mild losses around 1.2270 as traders await the UK employment and the US inflation data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair fades bounce off the 21-day SMA. However, the absence of an overbought RSI (14) line, bullish MACD signals and the quote’s defense of the early-month resistance breakout keeps the buyers hopeful. With this, the tops marked in October around 1.2290 and the monthly high of near 1.2340 could lure the Pound Sterling bulls during a fresh run-up. However, the 200-day SMA level surrounding 1.2440 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls, a break of which won’t hesitate to direct the prices toward the August month’s swing low of around 1.2550.
It’s worth noting, however, that the fundamentals are against the bullish technical signals considering the UK’s economic weakness vis-à-vis the US. Even so, the 21-day SMA and the previous resistance line, respectively near 1.2200 and 2120, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. In a case where the Pound Sterling bears dominate past 1.2120, a five-week-old horizontal support near 1.2070, the previous monthly low of near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet could test the sellers before giving them full control.
Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to edge higher unless the scheduled data posts too disappointing numbers.
GBPUSD ends the price increaseThe GBP/USD pair has entered a phase of decline and is oscillating within a narrow range around the 1.2220-1.2225 area.
The US Dollar (USD) managed to maintain its upward momentum overnight, inspired by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which turned out to be the main factor acting as resistance to the GBP/USD pair. On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) is weighed down by bleak economic prospects in the UK and increasing expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will soon begin cutting interest rates, serving as a psychological arrow for investors to sell off the GBPUSD pair.
On the chart, this currency pair has surpassed the support area at 1.225, and a downward correction could bring the pair back to lower levels along the expected trendline at around 1.214 after a short-term price increase adjustment.
GBP/USD : The pound continues to slipDear friends,
Currently, the British Pound (GBP) is stuck in a narrow range as investors seem reluctant to establish new positions before the release of the UK's third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which is scheduled for Friday at 07:00 GMT. The GBP/USD pair is still struggling as the Q3 GDP report will shape the monetary policy outlook for the Bank of England (BoE) in December.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that the price has broken out of the upward channel, resulting in a significant price increase. At the time of writing, the price is trading around 1.2272, after retreating from 1.2430. Therefore, it is likely that GBP/USD will continue to move lower in the short term during this weekend session.
GBPUSD drops towards 1.2200-2190 support confluenceGBPUSD remains on the way to posting a weekly loss after declining in the last four consecutive days, pressured around 1.2220 during early Friday. The Cable pair’s U-turn from the seven-week-old horizontal resistance area and the broadly firmer US Dollar join bearish MACD signals to underpin the downside bias. However, the cautious mood ahead of the key UK GDP and the US consumer sentiment details join a convergence of the 100-SMA, SMA and a fortnight-long rising trend line to challenge the pair bears around 1.2200-2190. In a case where the Pound Sterling drops below 1.2190, the monthly low of around 1.2095 and the late October bottom surrounding 1.2070 could lure the bears before probing them with the previous monthly trough near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet.
On the flip side, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the GBPUSD pair’s September-October downside, respectively near 1.2300 and 1.2355, guard near-term recovery. Following that, the aforementioned horizontal resistance surrounding 1.2425-30 will be a tough nut to crack for the Pound buyers. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s ability to stay firmer past 1.2430 enables the bulls to challenge the late September swing high of around 1.2550.
Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bear’s radar unless it stays below 1.2430. Hence, any data-driven rebound will be elusive below the stated upside hurdle and needs to be traded with caution.
GBPUSD: Reduce below 1,2300 when the US dollar stronger!Hello everyone, after a significant breakthrough last week, GBPUSD is currently undergoing corrective trends and showing clear short-term bearishness on the 1-hour chart. The currency pair is trading at the level of 1.229 and has lost 0.06% during the day.
The GBP/USD exchange rate depicts a bearish trend in the near future after failing to break the 1.2400 level. As a result, the retracement has surpassed the previous cycle's high of 1.2337, opening up opportunities for deeper losses. Buyers need to hold the price above the highest level on October 24th, which is 1.2288, if they want to maintain hopes of higher prices. Otherwise, this currency pair will continue to extend its losses, with sellers targeting 1.2069, the lowest level on October 26th.
GBPUSD: Breakthrough transaction stepsAfter a quiet Asian trading session, GBP/USD regained momentum and reached its highest level in 7 weeks at 1.2400 on Monday. The currency pair has transitioned into an overbought state from a technical standpoint, but buyers may still be interested in the possibility of 1.2400 remaining as support.
The US unemployment rate rose to 3.9% in October from 3.8% in September, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 150,000, which was lower than expectations. The US dollar (USD) continued to weaken against its major counterparts following the October employment report, and GBP/USD saw an impressive increase before the end of the week.
GBPUSD rebound approaches key upside hurdle on BoE DayGBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from an eight-month-old ascending support line as the Cable traders await the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. While recovering from the stated support line, the Pound Sterling respects the upward-sloping RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggests the quote’s further upside. However, a falling resistance line from mid-July, close to 1.2220 by the press time, guards the immediate upside of the pair. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of 1.2220 will allow the bulls to challenge the previous monthly high of around 1.2340 but a convergence of the 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently near 1.2400, will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward.
On the contrary, the GBPUSD pullback needs validation from the aforementioned support line and 78.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, close to 1.2080. Following that, October’s bottom of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold will test the Cable bears before giving them control. In that case, the yearly low marked in March around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight.
To sum up, a GBPUSD rebound appears imminent but the BoE’s likely dovish halt and stated EMA confluence prod the bullish bias.