GBPUSD - BULLS NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION - NEWS AHEADSymbol - GBPUSD
CMP - 1.2937
The GBPUSD pair has shown impressive bullish strength recently, continuing its upward move against the US dollar. This strength can be attributed to aggressive sell-off of the US dollar, which has created a favorable environment for the British pound. The pair is currently trading in a critical zone, with consolidation at the 1.2920 - 1.2940 levels, making it a pivotal point for future price action.
From a technical standpoint, I previously shared my analysis when GBPUSD was trading around the 1.2460 levels, identifying a strong breakout, and I'm pleased to report that all the targets I set have been reached.
However, the current situation remains complex, with crucial economic data due to be released shortly. US JOLTs job openings data is expected later today, followed by CPI data tomorrow. These releases will have a significant impact on the US dollar, which in turn will influence GBPUSD. Given that the US dollar index (DXY) is trading at oversold levels, if the upcoming data comes more than forecast, we could see a strong rebound in the US dollar, potentially pushing GBPUSD lower. However, if the data comes lower than expected reading, it could trigger another corrective move in the DXY & an up move in GBPUSD. Despite this, I believe such a move would be a false breakdown in DXY, with the US dollar likely to recover and strengthen in the medium term.
In the event of weaker than forecast data, the GBPUSD pair could see a push towards the 1.3050-1.3080 levels. These levels represent strong resistance zones, where the pair is likely to encounter selling pressure. Should GBPUSD reach these levels, a reversal back towards lower levels is highly probable.
Key Support Levels: 1.2920, 1.2900
Key Resistance Levels: 1.2950, 1.3000, 1.3060
As key support for the pair is at 1.2920-1.2900, and a strong break below these levels could signal a potential shift in trend. On the other hand, resistance levels lie around 1.2950. If the bulls manage to push past these levels, we may see further price growth till 1.3050-1.3080. However, bulls should exercise caution at current levels. Any reversal could occur sooner than expected, given the prevailing market conditions and upcoming economic data releases.
In conclusion, the fate of GBPUSD heavily depends on the upcoming US economic data. Traders should closely monitor the JOLTs and CPI data, as these will likely dictate the next move for the pair.
Gbpusdlevel
GBPUSD - TREND REVERSAL?Symbol - GBPUSD
GBPUSD is attempting to capitalize on a potential trend reversal amid the ongoing correction of the U.S. dollar. The price is currently testing a key resistance level within a consolidation phase, indicating a possible breakout. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above the previously breached trendline, with the effort to surpass the resistance providing insights into market sentiment. A continued correction in the dollar could benefit the British pound, particularly if the U.S. Dollar Index breaks below 107 and moves toward the 106-105 range.
From a technical perspective, attention is centered on the 1.257 level, which acts as a crucial resistance threshold. A sustained break and consolidation above this level may trigger a rally.
Resistance levels: 1.2575, 1.2718
Support levels: 1.250, 1.2377
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the 1.250 support level to accumulate liquidity before further upward movement. The dollar is expected to continue its correction following remarks from Trump and Powell regarding potential rate cuts.