FOMC Minutes in the Charts: EUR/USD & GBP/USD FOMC Minutes in the Charts: EUR/USD & GBP/USD
During their June meeting, minutes released on Wednesday indicated that almost all Federal Reserve officials expect further tightening in the future. Despite the majority's belief in upcoming rate hikes, policymakers chose not to increase rates due to concerns about over-tightening. They acknowledged the delayed impact of previous policies and other factors, which led them to skip the June meeting after implementing ten consecutive rate increases.
Out of the 18 participants, all but two anticipated at least one rate hike to be appropriate within this year, while twelve members expected two or more hikes.
The prevailing consensus that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the end of the July policy meeting has lent some strength to the US Dollar and exerted downward pressure on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD. The DXY (US Dollar Index) surged above 103.30, reaching its highest level of the week.
EUR/USD further declined to the 1.0850 region. The outlook for the Euro has turned negative as the EUR/USD pair dropped below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA).
If the GBP/USD pair falls below 1.2700 and confirms that level as resistance, the next potential bearish targets could be 1.2680, 1.2658, 1.2647 according to fib retracement levels and previously pivot points.
Gbpusdshort
Resistance at 1.267: Key Level to Watch After BoE Rate Decision
The UK continues to struggle with high inflation, as demonstrated once again this morning when headline inflation exceeded expectations at 8.7%, surpassing the projected 8.4%. Core inflation also outperformed, registering a 7.1% figure compared to the expected 6.8%. This divergence emphasizes the contrast between the UK and its counterparts in the US and Europe.
Tomorrow, the Bank of England is set to announce its interest rate decision, and there are expectations of further tightening from the central bank. Given the elevated level of inflation, the bank may have little choice but to maintain a hawkish stance.
Last week, the GBPUSD initially tested the support level at the previous resistance of 1.250. However, that brief decline was followed by four consecutive days of significant gains, ultimately reaching a new high for the year.
There was a temporary resistance encountered at a critical level of 1.267. Following tomorrow's rate decision, this level could potentially act as a support area, particularly considering the slight pullback observed in recent days and the elevated RSI (Relative Strength Index).
On the other side of the trade, we have Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments on the central bank's ongoing battle against inflation falling short of the market's more hawkish expectations.
During his testimony to lawmakers, Powell acknowledged that inflation remains significantly above the Fed's target and indicated that raising rates could still be a sensible course of action, albeit at a more moderate pace. Traders particularly took note of the term "moderate," which Powell used to qualify the potential rate increases. We still have one more day of testimony from Powell.
GBPUSD trading setup for next weeks and monthsGBPUSD is right now testing at weekly resistance and also been rising for last 6 weeks . It may seem for correction here at this moment with target at fib. retracement at 61.8 .
Stop loss just above the weekly resistance . You can trade accordingly with proper risk management . Also , this week we have BoE interest rate decision in view and also the GDP report on friday.
Be cautious on these days
Happy trading
GBPUSD CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD
As you can see in GBPUSD pair is in consolidation since Dec 22 (long time ) and now it is near to the resistance, if it rejects the resistance level and come down then we can plan for sell side with the conformation of pull back entries. Plan your trade accordingly.... (4 HR time frame)
Rising Wedge Chart Pattern On All TF - GBPUSDIt's important to note that the behavior of the GBPUSD pair can be influenced by a wide range of factors such as global economic conditions, political developments, supply and demand, and market sentiment. Therefore, it's important to do your own research, analyze the market conditions, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
However, I can provide an explanation of the chart pattern you mentioned, which is the rising wedge pattern. A rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern that occurs when an asset's price is trading within an upward sloping channel but with a contracting range. This pattern is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows that form two converging trendlines that slope upward.
The rising wedge pattern is formed when the price reaches a resistance level and starts to consolidate, with the highs getting lower and lower while the lows maintain their level, indicating that the buyers are losing momentum. Once the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge pattern, it can indicate a trend reversal, and traders may consider shorting the asset.
However, it's important to note that the rising wedge pattern is not foolproof, and false breakouts can occur. Additionally, it's essential to use risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders, to limit potential losses if the trade does not go as expected.
In summary, the rising wedge pattern is a bearish chart pattern that can occur in the GBPUSD pair or any other asset, and it indicates a potential trend reversal. However, investors should conduct thorough research and analysis and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions based on chart patterns.
GBPUSD Trading setup 16.03.2023*As i marked the hogh probability POI zone *market touchs this zone and start moving downward
*Market already gives CHoCH and make an INDUCEMENT
* After taking inducement we take multiple entry on sell side as per risk appetite.
I enter this trade after taken out the minor liquidity taht i draw a line on char that you can understand better way.
Now i use 4hr time frame and entry will be 15min timeframe because we must check the lower timeframe for taken out inducement thank uou
**Pls zoom the position and compare to my line chart that you can understand better..
GBPUSD Downtrend movement; RISK :Reward Ratio=2.9 #FOREX#GBP #USD #GBPUSD, #NASDAQ, #CURRENCY, #CURREYPAIRS, #FOREX @GBPUSD
#GBPUSD DOWNWARD movement potential with risk: reward ratio 2.9.
SELL at 1.1985 with SL 1.2060 and Target is 1.17750
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NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
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GBPUSDPrice has closed below the institutional OCP$ i'd expect a sweep back into the 1.24400 region in order to sweep out retail traders, could also be a nice revesed LQT$ on the daily timeframe too, eyess are peeled for our desired POI, another solid solid potential here.
Going to see how price develops!
Potential RR: 1:25
GBPUSD Sell OrderDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
GBPUSD Sell OrderDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.