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GBPUSD eyes further downside ahead of crucial US/UK data GBPUSD holds a confirmed place in the bear’s radar after breaking an important support line from mid-November, as well as the 200-DMA, as traders await the UK data dump and the US jobs report. That said, a daily closing below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the Cable pair’s upside from November 2022 to January 2023, near 1.1795, becomes necessary to witness the quote’s further declines amid the nearly oversold RSI and downbeat MACD signals. In that case, the late October 2022 swing high and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, around 1.1645-40, may lure the pair sellers. Should the quote remains bearish past 1.1640, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.1422 and the November 09 bottom of around 1.1330 might act as intermediate halts before directing it to the late 2022 low of 1.1144. On the contrary, GBPUSD recovery may initially aim for the 200-DMA level of around 1.1910 ahead of challenging the 1.1950 support-turned-resistance comprising the previous support line from November 17 and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Following that, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and a downward-sloping resistance line from late January, near 1.2090, will be in focus. It’s worth observing that the Cable pair’s successful trading beyond 1.2090, as well as crossing the 1.2100 threshold, could help the bulls to retake control. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to decline further unless crossing the 1.2100 hurdle.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bulls need to cross 1.3700 for confirmationUSDCAD bulls struggle to defend the two-week-old winning streak ahead of the Canadian GDP data. However, the Loonie pair stays beyond the fortnight-long support line, as well as the key moving averages, to keep buyers hopeful. That said, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early October 2022, around 1.3700 appears the key upside hurdle for the pair. Following that, a run-up towards the 1.3830 and the 1.3900 threshold could be quick. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.3900, the previous yearly top surrounding 1.3975 and the 1.4000 psychological magnet could challenge the upside momentum. It should be noted that the RSI appears overbought but the MACD remains bullish, which in turn highlights the incoming data. Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially poke the immediate support line near 1.3580 before approaching the 100-DMA support of around 1.3500. In a case where the USDCAD remains weak past 1.3500, a gradual downturn toward the 200-DMA close to 1.3260 can’t be ruled out. However, the Loonie bears need a clear downside break of the stated key DMA support to retake control. Overall, USDCAD remains on the bull’s but a pullback can’t be ruled out unless the price remains below 1.3700. That said, strong prints of Canadian GDP could trigger the much-needed retreat of the Loonie pair.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD rebound appears shallow ahead of important EU, US dataBe it sustained trading below the 3.5-month-old ascending trend line or the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI (14), not oversold, the EURUSD pair has it all to lure bears as first readings of Eurozone Q4 GDP and US CPI for January loom. Even so, the pair’s latest run-up beyond the 50-DMA hurdle seems to challenge the bears. That said, the quote’s fresh selling should wait for a clear downside break of the 50-DMA support of 1.0700 to aim for the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 1.0530. However, the previous monthly low near 1.0400 and the 100-DMA level surrounding 1.0370 could act as the last defense of the bears afterward. Alternatively, the late 2022 peak around 1.0740 and the support-turned-resistance line from November, close to 1.0950, could probe the EURUSD buyers in case the data favors Euro buyers and the US Dollar sellers. It’s worth observing that the 1.1000 round figure and the current monthly high of 1.1033 are likely to act as additional upside filters during the pair’s run-up beyond 1.0950. Overall, EURUSD is on the bear’s radar as traders await important catalysts. It should be observed, however, that the volatility around the scheduled events is likely to be high and hence traders should wait for markets to stabilize after the data before taking any major positions.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY lures buyers ahead of Japan GDP, US inflationUSDJPY snapped a three-week uptrend as traders await Japan's Q4 GDP and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) with mild losses by the end of Friday. While a U-turn from the 50-DMA played a major role in calling bears, the bulls aren’t off the table as the pair remains beyond the previous resistance line from late November, around 129.00. Even if the pair breaks the resistance-turned-support line, January’s bottom around 127.20 and May 2022 low near 126.35 will be crucial for the pair sellers to conquer before taking control. It’s worth noting that the RSI appears mostly steady and favors the trend line break out. Alternatively, the 50-DMA surrounding 132.30 appears immediate hurdle to restrict the immediate USDJPY upside. Following that, January’s peak near 134.80 and the 200-DMA near 136.80 could act as additional challenges for the bulls to cross before approaching the driver’s seat. It should be observed that the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s May-October 2022 upside, around 139.10, precedes the 140.00 round figure to act as the last defense of the pair bears. Overall, USDJPY bears are less convinced ahead of the key data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD reverses from 200-SMA ahead of UK GDPGBPUSD pares the early-week recovery from 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of January 06-23 upside while taking a U-turn from the 200-SMA hurdle. The pullback also take justifies the downbeat RSI and MACD conditions, suggesting further declines towards 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, around 1.2070 and 1.1970 in that order. It’s worth noting, however, that the GBP/USD pair’s weakness below 1.1970 will make it vulnerable to drop toward the previous monthly low of near 1.1840. Alternatively, a successful break of the aforementioned key SMA hurdle surrounding 1.2190 isn’t an open invitation to the GBPUSD buyers. That said, the 1.2200 and late January swing low around 1.2265 could challenge the Cable buyers before the three-week-old resistance line of 1.2370. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2370, the two-month-long horizontal area around 1.2440-50 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. To sum up, GBPUSD braces for the key UK Q4 GDP which is likely to disappoint.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eases inside two-month-old bullish channelBetter-than-expected US growth numbers triggered the much-awaited pullback in the EURUSD prices from the eight-month high. The retreat, however, stays inside a two-month-long ascending trend channel, which in turn suggests less incentive for the bears. Even so, the previous weekly low surrounding 1.0765 and December’s peak of 1.0736 could lure short-term sellers. Following that, an upward-sloping support line from early November, close to 1.0730 might probe the further downside. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 1.0730 could make it vulnerable to testing the 1.0610-600 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA and lower line of the stated bullish chart formation. In a case where the pair stays weaker past 1.0600, the bears could have an easy battle to retake control. Meanwhile, EURUSD buyers could drill the aforementioned channel’s top line, around 1.0950 by the press time, during the fresh advances. Following that, the 1.1000 round figure could probe the upside momentum. It’s worth observing that the tops marked during March 2022 around 1.1140 and 1.1185 appear the easy reach for the pair bulls in case of its successful trade beyond 1.1000 psychological magnet. Overall, EURUSD bulls aren’t off the table but are tired enough to trigger a pullback.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold struggles to stay on bull’s radar, $1,917 is the keyGold buyers appear to run out of steam as traders await the key advance US GDP for Q4 2022, following the five-week uptrend. A one-month-old rising wedge formation joins recently sluggish oscillators to tease the metal sellers. However, a clear downside break of the $1,917 support appears necessary to confirm the bearish chart pattern, which signals a theoretical south-run towards the previous monthly low surrounding $1,767. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 200-SMA and upward-sloping trend line from late November, close to $1,846, appears an important stop during the anticipated slump between $1,917 and $1,767. Meanwhile, the stated wedge’s upper line near $1,948 appears immediate hurdle for the Gold buyers to cross to retake control. Following that, a run-up toward the June 2022 peak of around $1,966 becomes imminent while the $2,000 psychological magnet could lure the bulls afterward. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,000, the year 2022 high of $2,070 will be in focus. Overall, gold is likely slipping off the bull’s radar but the bears have a tough task to take entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears lurk behind 1.2080 key supportGBPUSD fades upside momentum after reversing from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of January-September downside, despite the latest rebound. A pullback in the RSI and receding strength of the bullish MACD signals also backs the broad retreat in prices. However, a convergence of the 200-DMA and three-month-old ascending trend line, near 1.2080, challenges the pair sellers, a break of which could quickly drag the quote to 1.1760-40 support area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-July. It’s worth noting that the Cable pair’s failure to bounce off 1.1740, the early October swing high near 1.1500 could lure the bears. On the flip side, GBPUSD recovery could aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio, around 1.2440. That said, August month’s high of near 1.2295 and the 1.2300 round figure acts as the immediate resistance to probe the buyers. In a case where the Cable rises past the 1.2440 hurdle, an upward-sloping resistance line from late October, close to 1.2660, will be in focus. Also acting as the upside hurdle is May’s peak surrounding 1.2665. Hence, 1.2660-65 is the key block for the Cable buyers. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to recall bears and even if it doesn’t at the moment, the recovery remains elusive below 1.2665.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD remains firmer as traders await UK GDPGBPUSD’s rally post-US inflation data enabled it to poke the 100-DMA for the first time since late February. The pair’s further upside, however, appears limited as bulls brace for the UK’s Q3 GDP amid fears of witnessing a clear sign of recession. That said, the 100-DMA hurdle of 1.1665 and the upper line of a five-week-old bullish channel’s resistance line, near 1.1750, could challenge the quote’s immediate advances. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of August-September downside and the early August low, respectively near 1.1875 and 1.2000, could entertain the buyers. Meanwhile, pullback moves need a daily closing below the two-month-old resistance line, close to 1.1585 at the latest, to tease GBPUSD sellers. Even so, a convergence of the 50-DMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1330 will be a tough nut to crack for the bears. It’s worth observing that the previously stated bullish channel’s lower line, near 1.1210, appears the last defense of the buyers, a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge October’s low surrounding 1.0950. Overall, GBPUSD is on the bull’s radar ahead of the key UK GDP data. However, the quote’s further upside appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bulls struggle ahead of BOC, Canada employment dataUSDCAD again battle with the resistance line of an upward sloping trend channel since late October 2021. Given the rebound in oil prices and RSI pullback, the Loonie pair is likely to witness further declines ahead of the key data/events from Canada. That said, a three-week-old support line and the 100-DMA, respectively around 1.3000 and 1.2860, appear strong challenges for the short-term bears. Also acting as important support is the previous monthly low near 1.2730-25. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s weakness past 1.2725 remains elusive unless the sellers defy the bullish channel, via a downside break of the 1.2600 support. Meanwhile, a successful upside break of the stated channel’s resistance line, at 1.3180 by the press time, will defy the bullish chart pattern. Following that, the yearly top marked in August, close to 1.3225, will precede the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of October 2021 to August 2022 moves near 1.3300 should challenge the bears. In a case where the USDCAD bulls dominate beyond 1.3300, highs marked during October and September of the last year, around 1.3390 and 1.3420 in that order, will be in focus. Overall, USDCAD bulls are running out of steam ahead of the all-important Bank of Canada (BOC) rate hike and the monthly employment data from Canada.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY rebound has limited upside roomUSDJPY bounced off 131.25-50 horizontal support area despite multiple failures to cross the 50-DMA, not to forget the monthly resistance line. The recovery moves, however, appear to lack support from the oscillators, which in turn suggests another play of inability to cross the aforementioned key hurdles. Even if the quote manages to cross the one-month-old resistance line and the 50-DMA, respectively near 134.60 and 135.30, the monthly high around 135.60 and June’s peak of 137.00 will be tough challenges for the pair buyers to keep the reins. Meanwhile, a four-month-old horizontal support area close to 131.25-50, comprising the 100-DMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-July upside, becomes a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bears. In a case where the pair drop below 131.25, the monthly bottom of 130.40 and the 130.00 psychological magnet will be important supports for the sellers to watch. Overall, USDJPY consolidates the previous monthly fall but the road to the total recovery is a bumpy one.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls step back from key resistance ahead of UK GDPGBPUSD retreats from the 11-week-old descending trend line as the traders await the first readings of the Q2 2022 UK GDP. In addition to the trend line hurdle, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March-July downside, near 1.2345, guards the pair’s immediate upside. Following that, the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.2435 will be in focus. In a case where the quote remains strong past 1.2435, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards May’s peak of 1.2665 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, GBPUSD sellers can aim for the 21-DMA support near 1.2075 during further weakness. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s downside beneath 1.2075 will have the two-month-old resistance-turned-support line, around 1.1955, as the last defense for buyers. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.1955, the odds of its south-run towards the yearly low near 1.1860 can’t be ruled out. Overall, GBPUSD bulls are in the driver’s seat ahead of the key UK GDP data. It should be observed that the British economy is likely to witness recession and hence positive surprise will be welcomed with zeal considering the pre-data bullish bias.
Editors' picks
by MTradingGlobal
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Gold buyers aim for $1,755 ahead of US GDPGold defends the post-Fed rally around a two-week high, also keeping the upside break of the 100-SMA level of $1,725 and the previous resistance line, now support around $1,721. The upside momentum also takes clues from the bullish MACD and RSI signals, not to forget Fed-inspired USD weakness to direct the buyers towards July 08 high near $1,753. Following that, $1,773 and $1,783 may entertain the bulls before directing them to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the June 17 to July 21 downturn, near $1,820. Alternatively, pullback moves may initial aim for the 100-SMA level near $1,725 before challenging the resistance-turned-support of $1,721. However, a fortnight-old horizontal support zone, near $1,699-94, appears a tough nut to crack for metal sellers. Given the bearish MACD signals and the downbeat RSI, not to forget the Fed-led firmer USD, the precious metal is likely to decline further. That said, the yearly low of around $1,680 could offer an intermediate halt during the south run targeting the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of $1,655.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls run out of steam after Aussie GDPAUDUSD struggles to remain beyond a three-week-old support line, having reversed from a multi-day high the previous day, even as Australia’s Q1 2022 GDP rises past the market’s downbeat forecasts with 0.8% QoQ figures. That said, the Aussie pair bears need validation from the immediate support line, near 0.7145, to challenge the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April-May fall, around 0.7025. The quote’s downside past 0.7025, however, could struggle as the broad 0.6965-50 support area appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers, a break of which won’t hesitate to refresh the yearly low, marked in May around 0.6830. Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 100-DMA level surrounding 0.7230, as well as May’s peak near 0.7265. Following that, a run-up towards 61.8% Fibo level close to 0.7345 becomes imminent. However, tops marked in March and late April, respectively around 0.7440 and 0.7455, will challenge the AUDUSD bulls before directing them to April’s high, also the yearly peak, near 0.7660. Overall, AUDUSD recently flashed the much-awaited pullback signals and hence further downside is brewing. However, the US NFP is left to propel prices, which in turn requires the trader’s discretion.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
200-DMA tests USDCAD bears ahead of Canada GDPUSDCAD bears keep reins around a five-week low, attacking the 200-DMA ahead of the key Canada Q1 GDP. Given the likelihood of a softer growth number, as well as considering nearly oversold RSI, the Loonie pair may rebound from the stated moving average surrounding 1.2660. In a case where the quote refrains from respecting the RSI and the DMA, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2021 to May 2022 upside and an upward sloping support line from late 2021, respectively near 1.2585 and 1.2500, will be important to watch during the additional south-run. Meanwhile, recovery moves may initially aim for the 1.2700 threshold and then the 1.2760 hurdle before challenging a 13-day-long resistance line surrounding the 1.2800 round figure. It’s worth noting that the USDCAD pair’s run-up beyond 1.2800 won’t hesitate to challenge March’s high of 1.2900 and December 2021 peak close to 1.2965. To sum up, USDCAD bears battle with the key support and may retreat a bit should the scheduled data disappoint.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears dominate ahead of EU GDP, US Retail SalesEURUSD portrays a bearish consolidation inside a seven-week-old descending trend channel ahead of the key Eurozone GDP for Q1 2022, the US Retail Sales for April and a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Although oversold RSI conditions challenge the pair’s further downside, a convergence of the stated channel’s resistance line and the 10-SMA, around 1.0500, appears a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Even if the quote rises past 1.0500, the monthly high surrounding 1.0640 and March’s low of 1.0805 will challenge the upside momentum before welcoming the buyers. On the contrary, lows marked since 2017, around 1.0350-40, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD. Following that, a downward trajectory towards the 1.0300 threshold becomes imminent. However, a convergence of the aforementioned channel’s lower line and downward sloping trend line from late January, close to 1.0220-10, could gain the market’s attention before the 1.0200 round figure. It’s worth noting that the pair’s south-run past 1.0200 seems a slow grind towards the 1.0000 psychological magnet. Overall, the EURUSD pair’s downside has recently stalled but the trend remains bearish.
by MTradingGlobal
Falling wedge at two-year low teases GBPUSD buyers, UK GDP eyedGBPUSD remains guarded, despite all the difficulties, ahead of the preliminary readings of UK Q1 2022 GDP. In doing so, the cable pair portrays a falling wedge bullish chart pattern at the lowest levels since June 2020. Given the likelihood of firmer UK growth numbers and anticipated positive news from Brexit, not to forget the wedge near multi-month low, the cable has brighter odds of consolidating recent losses. However, a clear upside break of 1.2415 becomes necessary to the ball rolling in favor of buyers. Following that, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2850 may probe the theoretical upswing towards 1.3200. It’s worth noting that the 1.3000 psychological magnet and April’s high near 1.3165 can act as additional upside filters to watch. Alternatively, a disappointment may drag the quote initially towards the latest bottom near 1.2260, a break of which could propel GBPUSD prices towards the stated wedge’s support line, close to 1.2200. In a case where the cable pair remains on the back foot past-1.2200, May 2020 low around 1.2075 might test the bears on the way to the 1.2000 round figure. Overall, GBPUSD bears seem running out of steam ahead of the key UK data and the falling wedge near the two-year top appears cherry on the top. Though, it all depends upon the British GDP, which in turn requires caution on the part of buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears approach key support ahead of US GDPGold sellers cheer firmer US dollar and a sustained break of the three-month-old ascending trend line at the lowest levels in nine weeks ahead of the key US Q1 2022 GDP data. However, a convergence of the 100-DMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) level of December 2021 to March 2022 upside, surrounding $1,875, appears a tough nut to crack for the metal bears. Also acting as a downside filter is January’s high of $1,853 and 78.6% Fibo. level near $1,819, a break of which will make the bullion vulnerable to drop towards the sub-$1,800 region. On the flip side, recovery remains elusive below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around $1,910. Following that, the 50-DMA and previous support line will challenge the gold buyers at around $1,938 and $1,943 respectively. Even if the metal prices rally beyond $1,943, a two-month-old horizontal area between $1,975 and $1,982 will be a tough challenge. Overall, gold bears have the controls but need validation from strong support to dominate further.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD hints at corrective pullback during the big weekDespite a refreshing two-year low, EURUSD prices remain above a five-month-old downward sloping support line. Adding strength to the recovery hope is Emmanuel Macro’s victory in French Presidential Elections and nearly oversold RSI. That being said, the 10-DMA level surrounding 1.0810 challenges the corrective pullback before directing buyers towards the monthly horizontal resistance near 1.0940. It’s worth noting, however, that the 50-DMA and a descending trend line from early February, respectively around 1.1000 and 1.1030, will be tough nuts to crack for the pair bulls afterward. Meanwhile, the aforementioned support line from late 2021, near 1.0690 by the press time, restricts the immediate downside of EURUSD prices ahead of Tuesday’s Durable Goods Orders. Also important for the week are the Preliminary readings of Q1 2022 GDP figures for the US and Eurozone, up for publishing on Thursday and Friday in that order. Even if the quote drops below 1.0690, the year 2020 lows around 1.0635 and the 1.0600 threshold may entertain bears ahead of highlighting the late 2015 bottom of 1.0515.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD sellers attack 0.7365-60 support zone on China dataAUDUSD renews its monthly low during early Monday as mixed data from the biggest customer China joins the risk-off mood. However, a five-week-old horizontal support area surrounding 0.7365-60 tests the pair sellers. Adding to the downside filters is an upward sloping trend line from late February, around 0.7310 by the press time. It should be noted, however, that a clear downside break of the 0.7310 will need validation from the 0.7300 threshold before directing bears toward the early March swing low. On the contrary, the 200-SMA level of 0.7410 guards the quote’s recovery moves ahead of the 100-SMA, at 0.7485 at the latest. During the quote’s successful break of 0.7485, AUDUSD could aim for 0.7540 and the 0.7600 resistance level. Moving on, successful trading past-0.7600 enables the Aussie pair to renew the yearly top close to 0.7665 by approaching the 0.7700 round figure. It should be noted that oversold RSI and multiple key supports to the south can challenge the bears going forward. However, sour sentiment and a clear break below the key SMAs keep sellers hopeful.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCHF retreats from crucial resistance zone ahead of Swiss GDPUSDCHF posted weekly gains but eased from the short-term key horizontal area as Ukraine-Russia headlines controlled safe-haven pairs. That said, the risk-barometer currency pair retreated from a seven-week-old broad resistance zone, between 0.9275 and 0.9295, by the end of Friday. In addition to the market’s risk appetite, Swiss Q4 GDP will also make USDCHF interesting, not to forget the latest pullback. Hence, a firmer GDP and improvement in the market’s mood may extend the recent declines towards the 100-SMA level near 0.9220 before challenging the latest swing low near 0.9165. In a case where the quote drops below 0.9165, the monthly bottom and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of January’s upside, surrounding 0.9150, will be crucial to watch for the bears. Meanwhile, an extended risk-aversion wave, coupled with downbeat Q4 GDP will propel the USDCHF prices to battle the 0.9275-95 zone. Also acting as an upside filter is the 0.9300 threshold. Should the pair rise past-0.9300, January’s peak of 0.9340 will test the bulls ahead of directing them to November 2021 high close to 0.9375. Overall, USDCHF may witness pullback moves should the Swiss GDP come in stronger than 0.3% expected. It’s worth noting that easing pessimism and a firmer reading near or beyond the previous 1.7% will be a boost to the pair’s downside momentum.
by MTradingGlobal
Impending bull cross tease GBPUSD buyers on UK GDP dayGBPUSD stays ready to reverse the month-start bearish signal, initially triggered by the 50-SMA’s break below 200-SMA, as markets await the preliminary reading of the UK Q4 GDP. However, the monthly resistance line and a descending trend line from January 20, respectively around 1.3585 and 1.3610, guard the quote’s short-term upside. During the pair’s run-up beyond 1.3610, the late January’s peak surrounding 1.3660 may offer an intermediate halt before directing the bulls towards the yearly top near 1.3750. Meanwhile, a clear downside past 50-SMA level of 1.3530 rejects the odds of witnessing a bull cross, which in turn suggests a south-run towards the previous month’s low near 1.3355. That said, 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements (Fibo.) of December-January upside, near 1.3460 and 1.3300 in that order, act as an extra filter during the declines. Overall, GBPUSD bulls have a brighter scope to renew the 2022 peak given the positive support from UK GDP growth data.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears aim for sub-1.1200 area post-Fed, US GDP eyedEURUSD bears cheer a clear downside break of a two-month-old ascending trend line, as well as sustained trading below 50-DMA, to brace for 2021 bottom surrounding 1.1185. The MACD and RSI both support the bearish bias. However, the pair’s declines past 1.1185 have a bumpy road as March 2020 swing high near 1.1150 and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late September 2021 to January 2022 moves around 1.1120 will challenge the sellers afterward. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions also inch closer to the oversold territory and hence a move past 1.1185 will push it to signal a bounce before further south-run. Alternatively, the aforementioned support-turned-resistance line near 1.1295 precedes the 50-DMA level of 1.1315 to restrict short-term EURUSD rebound. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of September-November 2021 declines, close to 1.1360, will gain the market’s attention. It’s worth noting, however, that the pair’s upside beyond 1.1360 will be challenged by the 1.1460-65 resistance confluence, comprising 100-DMA and 38.2% Fibo. To sum up, EURUSD has already flagged downside signals towards 2021 bottom but any further weakness becomes doubtful.
Short
by MTradingGlobal