Gold Losing Glitter With An Hourly Kumo BreakdownOn the Daily timeframe , price continues to trade predominantly below the Kijun-sen equilibrium level . A brief doji close above Kijun lacked follow-through and was quickly negated, suggesting rejection rather than a sustained reclaim of equilibrium.
On the Hourly chart, a confirmed Kumo breakdown has occurred with clear downside freedom for the Chikou span. Both Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen have moved below the cloud, reinforcing short-term bearish momentum in alignment with the prevailing daily weakness.
A flat Kijun at 153722 may act as a magnetic level and attract price in the near term. However, unless 154240 is decisively reclaimed on an hourly closing basis , rallies are likely to remain corrective in nature.
Failure to take out 154240 could open the path for price to interact with the following lower reference levels:
151306 → 150681 → 150061 → 149800
Goldfutures
Chart Analysis — Rounded Bottom Reversal Toward Key ResistanceMarket Structure
Price formed a rounded bottom (cup-like reversal) after a sharp selloff, signaling exhaustion from sellers and a gradual shift to buyers.
The lowest point (circled) shows strong demand absorption, followed by higher lows → early trend reversal behavior.
Key Levels
Support zone: ~4,890–4,950
This area held firmly and acted as the base for the bounce. Buyers consistently defended it.
Entry zone: Just above support
The pullback into prior support + bullish reaction suggests a safe long entry on confirmation.
Mid resistance: ~5,100
Price already reclaimed this zone, flipping it from resistance into short-term support.
Major resistance / target: ~5,210–5,250
This is the next liquidity zone and logical profit target, aligned with previous supply.
Momentum & Price Action
The white projected path shows a bullish continuation scenario:
Break and hold above 5,100
Brief consolidation / retest
Push toward the upper resistance band
No immediate signs of distribution yet; momentum favors continuation unless price loses the support zone.
Bias
Bullish while above ~4,950
Invalidation if price accepts back below support with strong bearish candles.
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: 📈 Bullish continuation
Entry: Support retest / bullish confirmation
Target: 5,210–5,250
Risk: Breakdown below support
XLong
GOLD can continue to SHINEGold is known as a hedge against Inflation and currency devaluation. It is following the Time Cycle very well as u can see in this chart. Accumulating gold at current levels and on dips a can be a good strategy to ride the trend towards 70000 levels as long as 62000(cycle low) is held on the downside.
GOLD AT 60,000 , WHATS NEXT ??Short Recap - Gold had good rally from 6th oct , to the upside from 56500 to 61250
Currently - price is hovering around the higher time frame bearish order block which is resulting a resistance phase to gold price from (61500 to 60500 zone)
there is been a internal CHOC (trend change) from bullish to bearish
although the bearish continous will be confirmed if price breakdown and close below 60200 - 60,000
What to do -
after the break and close of 60,000 short trade can enter with quick targets
as this could be pullback on major time frame
where as those willing to go long will need to wait for specific levels
consider 58250-58000 zone as a value buying zone
this can be tracked based on price shifting the stucture from lower low and lower high towards higher high to higher low as Long Indication
GOLD continue to decline again...GOLD FUTURES (MCX)
continued to decline from the 59900 lvl and has broken the mtf support of 58135
with a gap down
price then retested the support, (as the support breaks it will act as resistance now)
similarly we seen a rejection and price coming back to day low
further if the day low is taken out, we can project the price heading towards its higher time frame demand zone which is around 57650 and 57800 lvl
if youre interested in creating fresh short side pos make sure you follow the lower high and lower low formation as there will be certain bounce when the bearish sign starts fadading
MCX:GOLD Future AnalysisTrend Until May 2023 -
In the short term, Gold may fall to 58,800 or 57,950 levels.
Future Trend -
In the long run, post-May' 23, Gold is expected to consolidate, and once again breakout above the previous highs. It can reach 63,000 to 64,000 levels.
Technicals -
The leading indicator RSI is trailing above 60 in Daily, Weekly, and Monthly charts, and MACD has a bullish crossover above the zero line on Weekly-Monthly charts.
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GOLD FUTURES ANALYSIS Hello, gold futures analysis on 2hr chart buy: 52,000 target: 53,200 stoploss: 51,750.
LOGIC BEHIND TRADE : Gold futures has formed W pattern on 2hr chart & given breakout of resistance, buying on pull back is strategy RR is good in trade (target identified from harmonic xabcd pattern level 0.886) stoploss is taken low of resistance candle. MCX:GOLD1!
GOLD, XAUUSD LONG TERMDirectional Bias: Bullish
Pattern Type: Continuation
Pattern Description: This pattern occurs within the context of a longer
uptrend and is characterized by the price forming a u-shaped cup with a short
handle on the right. The duration of the cup should last at least 7 weeks if
using a daily chart.
Volume Description: Volume will typically follow the shape of the cup, with
high volume as the left lip forms, falling volume as the bottom of the cup
forms and rising volume toward the right lip and on the breakout.
Breakout Confirmation: A close above the upper trend-line drawn across the
handle with above average volume.
Measuring Technique: The price target is obtained by measuring the right lip
to the bottom of the cup and then added to the price level of the right lip.
Statistical Notes: The pattern has a low failure rate but doesn’t move as
strongly as other patterns. Patterns with shorter handles perform better than
longer handles, and deeper cups with the left lip slightly higher than the right
lip perform better.
Gold is looking long beyond expectation In the monthly time frame, gold gives a clear pattern rounding bottom, which is a big bullish pattern for a far long target. It has given breakout and retested the breakout level. Now it is amazing to see the bullish move from here. We can also see the bullish move from 1800 or some below the level in the weekly time frame. If this happens we can expect the first target at 2440 in the next 1-1.25 year and the next target at 3300 in the next 2-2.5 yr.
This could be a very good long-term investment in gold as we could have some big target of return of money in future
Trade not recommended
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