GOLD ON 17TH MAY 2024Current Market Situation
Gold prices have been experiencing a bullish trend, recently approaching the resistance zone of 2397-2400. This movement is significant as it indicates a potential test of this critical resistance level.
Scenario 1: Immediate Upward Movement
In the first scenario, gold continues its upward trajectory and tests the 2397-2400 resistance zone. This scenario is plausible due to several factors:
Global Economic Uncertainty: Ongoing economic uncertainties, including inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating interest rates, often drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Weakening Dollar: A weaker US dollar makes gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies, thus increasing demand and pushing prices higher.
Technical Indicators: Technical analysis may show bullish signals such as rising moving averages or positive momentum indicators, supporting the case for an immediate test of the resistance zone.
If gold successfully breaches the 2397-2400 resistance, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially leading to new highs.
Scenario 2: Retracement to 2370 Before Rising
In the second scenario, gold experiences a retracement to 2370 before resuming its upward movement. This scenario can occur due to the following reasons:
Profit-Taking: After a significant rise, investors may take profits, causing a temporary pullback in prices.
Technical Resistance: The 2397-2400 zone may act as a strong resistance, leading to a short-term correction as the market digests recent gains.
Market Sentiment: Changes in market sentiment, such as positive economic data or policy shifts, could cause a brief decline in gold prices.
If gold finds support at 2370 and holds, it would likely attract buyers looking for an entry point, leading to a rebound and another attempt to test the 2397-2400 resistance zone.
Strategic Implications
For traders and investors, both scenarios offer potential opportunities:
Scenario 1: A break above 2397-2400 could be seen as a buying signal, with potential for further gains.
Scenario 2: A pullback to 2370 could be an opportunity to buy at a lower level, anticipating a rebound.
Risk management is crucial in both scenarios, with stop-loss orders and position sizing helping to mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion
Gold's price movement is influenced by a complex interplay of economic factors, technical indicators, and market sentiment. Monitoring these elements closely will be essential for making informed trading decisions. Whether gold continues to rise immediately or retraces to 2370 before moving up, both scenarios present potential trading opportunities in the current market environment.
Goldtradingstrategy
GOLD CONTINUES TO INCREASETechnical analysis from TradingView highlights that gold recently touched $2,360 and even approached $2,380 before facing some resistance and correcting downwards. Despite this, the sentiment remains that a round bottom pattern may indicate potential growth in prices, with key levels being watched at around $2,365 and $2,379 (TradingView).
The ongoing developments and forecasts suggest that gold might continue to see bullish trends with key resistances and supports being tested. If you're actively trading or considering trading gold, watching these levels and the response to them could be crucial for understanding potential market movements this week.
20 MAY 2024 GOLD ANALYSISTechnical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level at $2400: This level has proven to be a strong support as prices have rebounded after reaching this level. It indicates that there is significant buying interest at this price point.
Resistance Levels: As gold moves up, the next resistance levels to watch would be around $2450 and $2500. These are psychological levels and previous highs where selling pressure might appear.
Trend Analysis:
Short-Term Trend: The short-term trend shows a bounce from the support level, indicating potential for a bullish phase.
Medium to Long-Term Trend: If gold maintains its momentum above $2420 and breaks through the resistance at $2450, it could signal the beginning of a longer-term uptrend.
GOLD | STRONG PULLBACK WE CAN EXPECT HERE
#GOLD Setup: We will take a BUY position @ 2355 and collect profit at 2360, 2365 & 2370
Many confluence confirmed: Uptrend.
Risk:- 0.50-1%
Tips: Keep trailing your SL after 80+ Pips to lock your profit.
Thanks to all those who have followed me and liked my post.
Special thanks to all those who DM me and commented on my analysis wanting to know more about the trade.
#XAUUSD Has Already Acquuired Big Liquidity For NFP Data As expected, the market movers executed a well-coordinated setup to clear out sellers who had entered short positions below 2300. This move triggered stop losses for sellers. Subsequently, after reaching 2320, many buyers entered the market anticipating a further rise towards 2350. However, the market makers took advantage of this, triggering stop losses for both buyers and sellers, thus achieving the necessary liquidity for a significant movement ahead of tomorrow's NFP.
I anticipate that during the NFP release, we may witness a move towards 2200-2180 if we observe another H4 closing below 2290.
Once We Get H1/H4 Closing Below 2295 We Can Sell Till 2286-2280 with Sl around 2305 .If H4 Closes Below 2290 Than It Will Confirm Our Bearish Trend And We Can Expect 2260-2200.
GOLDBEES | Investment OpportunityDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UPWARD MOMENTUM
It's showing a fall due to these reason
It's retracted the support after the breakout
2.its getting support from neckline plus support making it's more stronger due to double support
3. The trendline also giving a support
4. Overall meaning is it's getting support from three point mean it's a good situation for buying
A good move gonna show here
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
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GOLD can continue to SHINEGold is known as a hedge against Inflation and currency devaluation. It is following the Time Cycle very well as u can see in this chart. Accumulating gold at current levels and on dips a can be a good strategy to ride the trend towards 70000 levels as long as 62000(cycle low) is held on the downside.
🔥Gold will have major correctionsFrom a technical analysis, gold has been seriously overbought, not only on the daily and hourly charts, but also on the weekly level. In the past month or so, gold's crazy rise has been mainly based on expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The trend of gold hitting new highs has caused the entire financial market to be shrouded in the strength of gold. Although this extreme emotional trend looks very strong on the surface, in actual operation it is not easy to find suitable entry opportunities, making it difficult for traders to make decisions.
The daily chart continues to rise, and technically it also needs to be adjusted. At present, after the continuous high fluctuations on the 4-hour chart, the K-line has begun to show signs of gradually falling below the short-term moving average. The strength and persistence of the price rebound after touching the previous support band are not too great. In terms of short-term trends, There are signs of gradually weakening. The 1-hour chart shows a certain degree of divergence, with the K-line gradually falling below the short-term moving average, indicating that gold will continue to adjust to a certain extent in the short-term trend. Gold rebounded to around 2360 today and then quickly fell back. The rebound highs were successively lowered, indicating that the bulls began to weaken. At the same time, the United States will release heavyweight CIP data today. If the data is negative for gold, it is expected to peak in the short term, and adjustments will be carried out next.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2360-2365 resistance range, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2338-2342 support range.
🔥Gold Analysis Strategy for April 9The current fluctuations in gold prices are mainly affected by market news, and the rise and fall depend on the intensity of the selling.
whether it is the impact of risk aversion caused by war factors or the economic impact of whether the United States cuts interest rates, it is undoubtedly supporting gold. If it continues to rise, then as long as there is no major bad news in the market, gold will not have a major correction. Therefore, whether it is short-term or long-term, we will continue to be bullish on gold!
Gold is currently rising directly to a new high. The support point of gold has gradually moved up from around 2330 yesterday to around 2345 now. The current daily trend of gold maintains a volatile and strong pattern, and the intraday price fluctuations are large. On the 4-hour chart, the price of gold is temporarily fluctuating at a high level within a narrow range, and the K-line continues to remain strong above the short-term moving average. On the 1-hour chart, after continuous shocks, the technical form is gradually repairing, and the K-line gradually stabilizes the short-term moving average, suggesting that the short-term trend is still possible to continue upward. The 30-minute chart shows that the double top has been broken through, and a support point has been formed near the previous strong top of 2345. As long as the price remains above 2345, it is an opportunity to go long on dips.
Although there is momentum to continue rising in the short term, the higher the high, the greater the risk, so be sure to bring a stop loss, because there is no resistance reference above, so it is not sure where the high point will be.
In summary, the short-term operation of gold today is mainly based on callback longs, supplemented by rebound shorts. The top short-term focus is on the 2370-2373 resistance range, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2345-2347 support range.
XAU/USD Gold Technical Analysis - Gold has shown a very impulsive move from its point of release
- Gold can continue its impulsive move for long as well
- However, when a ball bounces hard gravity always pulls it back again, apply the same concept here when you think about getting in the middle of a Trend or at the Top
- Similarly wait for a pullback if you are looking for fresh longs.
- If you are already holding this continue to ride you winners
GOLD GOOD FALL DETECTEDGold showing a good falling due to
The neckline breakout Strategy
Also a heavy fall also showing due to volume
Increasing for sell
Just wait for pure breakout then grab it
Follows for more SURESHOOT tradeing setup
Gold showing a good falling due to
The neckline breakout Strategy
Also a heavy fall also showing due to volume
Increasing for sell
Just wait for pure breakout then grab it
Going against the trend on Gold (position Trade)after the gap on 21st the buying potential looks faded and we can see a strong rejection
then we have 4h bearish fvg and then filtered with 15mn another bearish fvg
which is at the level of 66400 could be the selling or short limit with sl of 66800 and target of 65200 and second target at 64400
#2 GOLD Update - know where to buy and sellIf, price below 61450 will trigger the liquidity of trades who entered recently
because the price have not mitigated the order block below it 61200 and 61100
On the upper side, above 62700
63200 - 63400 - 63800 will be the sellers order block and fair value they will look to sell
the remaining levels will be choppy
trade level to level
MCX GOLD - Profit Booking on Cards?MCX Gold has rallied one way from 62000 to 66000 in last 8 days without any major retracements.
This sharp up move can not sustain without a good retracement.
Dollar Index is also trading at a major support zone of 102.500 so there's very high chance that we might see a correction very soon.
Here's a trading opportunity.
GOLD CMP - 65950
I'm taking short position in Gold April Future at CMP 65935.
Will add more position if 66100 comes.
Holding with Stoploss 66300.
I'm expecting minimum 1000 point correction in Gold very soon.
Gold 65000 PE is currently trading at 345. I'm taking some position in it too. I'm expecting it to get double by next week.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Potential Future Outlook for XAUUSD - March 10th, 2024Why We Think the Price Might Drop:
1. The price is hitting a trendline around 2195-2205 .
2. We expect a correction after a big increase in price.
What Might Happen Next:
Overall, it might be a good idea to sell XAUUSD when the price is between 2200-2210 . We're aiming for targets around 2145 and 2085 afterwards.
Short Swing Trade on XAUUSDSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP 2147
A retracement is pending in XAUUSD after a huge up move.
Taking short position in XAUUSD at CMP 2147
SL - 2160
Expected Targets - 2125, 2112 & 2090
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Plan Trading Gold 7 MarchYesterday's candle was a strong green one, with a range of 27 pips and a body of 20 pips. Notably, it broke through the previous peak at 2149, reaching 2152. The trading volume for three consecutive days was consistently higher than the average, indicating a strong upward trend for gold prices.
Regarding news: Yesterday had three pieces of news— one negative for the currency and two positive ones. However, overall, the economy seems to be facing difficulties as the indicators are worse compared to previous months.
Today's news includes Unemployment Claims at 8:30 AM (better if lower for the currency). The last release was negative for the currency, yet the price sharply increased by 18 pips. This news is crucial.
Another news event is Fed Chair Powell's Testimony at 10:00 PM, tightening/ maintaining is good for the currency. The recent release was yesterday, causing a 4-point price fluctuation with general and vague statements.
Key buy/sell zones to watch:
Buy zone 01: 2133-2134
Buy zone 02: 2124-2125
Scalping orders: Around buy 2142, sell 2150.
It's challenging to estimate the sell zone after the news due to risks. Perhaps around 2174.
Plan Trading Gold for February 27Yesterday, the candle closed with a long red body, indicating a significant price pullback from 25. The price range of approximately 12 points suggests market indecision, waiting for a reaction.
Important news today:
Durable Goods Orders m/m at 20:30 (better for the currency if higher). The most recent occurrence was on January 25th, with negative news causing the price to drop to 7 points and then increase by 14 points from the bottom. On December 22nd, positive news led to a drop of 5 points, followed by a rise of 12 points from the bottom.
CB Consumer Confidence at 22:00 (better for the currency). On December 30th, positive news caused a price surge of 12 points before the release, and after the news, it dropped by 19 points, exhibiting a high volatility. On December 20th, negative news for the currency resulted in a 3-point increase in gold prices followed by a decrease of 7 points.
Today is expected to be highly volatile (with potential fluctuations of 20-25 points throughout the day).
Key buy/sell zones:
Sell zone 01: 44
Sell zone 02: 47-49
Buy zone 01: 24-25
Buy zone 02: 16-18
Scalping orders (close orders before news): Sell at 40, sell at 36, buy at 26.
Wishing everyone a fantastic day and big wins!