(Gold) 1H – Bullish Continuation After Support Rejection
Market Overview
On the 1-hour timeframe, Gold is maintaining a short-term bullish structure following a strong impulsive rally from the 4,990–5,000 region toward the 5,240 highs. The market recently pulled back into a clearly defined support zone (5,080–5,110), where buyers stepped in aggressively.
The rejection from this demand area confirms that the broader bullish momentum remains intact.
Key Technical Structure
1. Impulsive Leg
Strong bullish expansion from ~4,995 to ~5,240.
Momentum-driven breakout, indicating institutional participation.
Higher highs and higher lows established.
2. Pullback into Support
Price retraced into the marked support zone.
Clear V-shaped rejection from support.
Structure remains bullish as long as this zone holds.
3. Resistance Zone
Immediate resistance: 5,220–5,240.
This area previously acted as supply.
A clean breakout above 5,240 would likely trigger continuation buying.
Trade Scenario (Based on Chart Structure)
Entry Zone: After confirmation of bullish reaction above 5,150–5,170
Stop Loss: Below 5,080 (under support zone)
Target 1: 5,220
Target 2: 5,240
Extended Target: 5,260+ if breakout occurs
Risk-to-reward profile remains favorable while price stays above the demand area.
Bullish Confirmation Signals
Higher low formation on lower timeframes
Strong bullish candles near resistance
Break and close above 5,240
Invalidation Scenario
If price breaks and closes below 5,080, the bullish structure weakens and deeper retracement toward 5,030–5,000 becomes likely.
Conclusion
Gold remains structurally bullish on H1. The support zone reaction suggests continuation toward the 5,220–5,240 resistance band. A breakout above this level could open the path for fresh highs.
Goldtrend
Bullish Breakout & Pullback Continuation Setup
🔎 Market Structure Overview
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Trend: Strong bullish impulse from the 20th–22nd
Price rallied aggressively, forming a clear higher high structure
Currently in a pullback phase after rejecting resistance
🟢 Key Zones Identified
1️⃣ Resistance Zone (~5,220 – 5,240)
Marked as the recent swing high rejection
Price tested this level and pulled back sharply
A break and hold above this area would confirm continuation
2️⃣ Support / Demand Zone (~5,120 – 5,140)
Previously broken resistance → now acting as support
Also near the suggested stop-loss zone
Structure remains bullish above this area
📈 Trade Idea Shown on Chart (Bullish Continuation)
Entry Area: Around current consolidation (~5,170 area)
Stop Loss: Below 5,115 (under demand zone)
Target: 5,230 – 5,240 area
This suggests a higher low formation before continuation upward.
🧠 Technical Confluence
✔ Strong impulsive move → healthy pullback
✔ Higher low attempt forming
✔ Trend still intact on 1H
✔ Risk-to-reward appears favorable (approx 1:2+)
However:
⚠ Price needs to hold above 5,137–5,120
⚠ Failure to hold support could trigger deeper correction
📊 Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability Currently)
Consolidation → breakout above minor structure
Retest of 5,220+
Extension toward 5,240+
Bearish Scenario
Break below 5,120
Structure shifts to lower high
Deeper retracement toward 5,080 zone
📌 Summary
Gold remains intraday bullish unless 5,120 breaks decisively.
Current setup looks like a bullish pullback continuation trade, provided support holds.
XAUUSD H1 – Bullish Breakout and Continuation Toward 5,240
On the 1H timeframe, Gold has completed a structural shift from consolidation to bullish continuation after reclaiming the 5,070–5,080 support zone.
Market Structure
Price formed a higher low around 4,880–4,900.
Strong impulsive move broke above the horizontal resistance at 5,070.
The former resistance has flipped into support (classic breakout–retest structure).
Momentum remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels
Support Zone: 5,070 – 5,045
Stop-Loss Area: Below 5,045
Immediate Resistance: 5,160
Target Zone: 5,218 – 5,241
Trade Logic
The breakout above 5,070 confirms bullish strength. Holding above this flipped support keeps buyers in control. As long as price sustains above 5,045, upside continuation toward 5,218 and potentially 5,240 remains the primary scenario.
Invalidation
A clean break and close below 5,045 would weaken bullish momentum and could trigger a deeper pullback toward 5,000.
Bias: Bullish continuation above 5,070.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H timeframe, and the chart is structured
🔎 Market Structure
1️⃣ Overall Bias: Bullish
Price formed a V-shaped recovery from ~4,720.
Higher highs and higher lows are forming.
Price is trading above ALMA (moving average) → short-term bullish momentum.
Currently consolidating above previous resistance → potential breakout continuation.
📊 Key Zones on Your Chart
🟢 Demand Zone (Buy Area)
Around 5,135 – 5,150
Institutional support area.
Marked as BUY zone.
If price pulls back here, it’s a high-probability reaction area.
🔵 Resistance (Now Being Tested)
Around 5,085 – 5,100
Previously rejected price.
Now acting as breakout level.
If price holds above it → bullish continuation confirmed.
🔴 Stop Loss Zone
Around 5,000 – 5,020
Below structure support.
If price breaks this, bullish structure weakens.
📐 Fibonacci Extension Targets
From your fib projection:
🎯 1.618 → ~5,146
🎯 2.618 → ~5,237
🎯 3.618 → ~5,327
🎯 4.236 → ~5,384
Your primary target appears near 5,146 – 5,160, with extended targets above.
💡 Trade Idea (Based on Your Chart)
Option A – Breakout Continuation
Entry: Above 5,090–5,100 after confirmed close
Stop: Below 5,020
Target 1: 5,146
Target 2: 5,237
RR: Good structure-based RR if momentum continues
Option B – Pullback Entry (Safer)
Wait for retrace to:
5,050–5,060 (minor support), OR
5,135 demand zone if deeper pullback
Look for bullish rejection candle
Same upside targets
⚠️ What Would Invalidate This?
Strong bearish candle closing below 5,020
Failure to hold above previous resistance
Momentum divergence forming on 1H
🧠 What This Setup Represents
This is a:
Breakout → Retest → Continuation pattern
combined with Fibonacci extension targeting.
It’s a classic intraday bullish continuation structure.
If you’d like, I can:
Refine it into a scalping plan
Convert it into a swing trade plan
Or calculate exact position sizing based on your risk %**
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(XAUUSD) – Bearish Continuation From Major Supply Zone (45m)
Market Structure
Clear trend reversal from the highs → strong impulsive sell-off.
The curved marking shows a distribution/top formation, followed by aggressive downside momentum.
Overall structure is lower highs & lower lows → bears in control.
Key Zones
Resistance / Supply Zone (~4,700–4,750)
Previous support flipped into resistance.
Price has retested this zone multiple times and failed to break above → strong seller presence.
Target / Demand Zone (~4,350)
Prior demand area and liquidity pool.
Logical downside objective if resistance continues to hold.
Entry Logic (as drawn)
Short entry after rejection inside the resistance zone.
Confirmation comes from:
Weak bullish candles
Long upper wicks
Failure to reclaim the zone
Price Action Read
The small bounces are corrective pullbacks, not reversals.
Each push up is being sold → classic bearish continuation / pullback-to-supply setup.
Bias & Expectation
Bias: Bearish
Expectation:
Rejection from resistance → continuation toward 4,350 target
Invalidation if price accepts and closes above the resistance zone
Summary
This chart shows a textbook support-to-resistance flip after a strong sell-off. As long as price remains below the highlighted resistance, the path of least resistance is down, targeting the lower demand zone.
GOLD 29/08: Monthly Candle Closing. DON’T BUY FOMOGold is sitting at a crucial level. As the monthly candle closes, traders must avoid emotional entries. With Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Elliott Wave Theory, here are the clear trading zones to watch.
🔎 Market Structure (SMC + Elliott)
Elliott Wave: Waves III – IV – V completed. Wave V hit the D1 trendline, showing signs of exhaustion.
SMC Insights:
Multiple BMS (Break of Market Structure) → institutional liquidity play.
EQH (Equal Highs) & EQL (Equal Lows) → liquidity pools ready to be taken.
Demand Zones:
3398 – 3396 (EQH + BMS support)
3372 – 3370 (EQL / deep liquidity sweep)
Resistance: D1 trendline remains the key dynamic cap.
📌 Trading Plan
Scenario 1 – Short-term Sell (Counter-trend):
Entry: 3319 – 3321
SL: 3327
Target: 3398 – 3396
Scenario 2 – Buy at Demand Zone 1 (Main Setup):
Entry: 3398 – 3396
SL: 3390
Target: 3410 – 3415
Scenario 3 – Buy at Demand Zone 2 (Deeper Sweep):
Entry: 3372 – 3370
SL: 3365
Target: 3400 – 3410
✅ Best Risk–Reward setup with liquidity sweep + Elliott retracement.
✅ Conclusion
Bias: Still bullish in the bigger picture.
Risk: Expect liquidity sweeps before continuation.
Advice: Don’t chase price. Wait for demand zone confirmations.
Focus: Safer buys from 3398–3396 or 3372–3370 instead of impulsive FOMO buys near highs.
Gold Consolidating for a Robust UptrendOn Weekly Basis:
GOLD took a support at 1640 (inverted head) on weekly charts (October, 2022) after it made a peak at 2035 (August, 2020) and correcting nearly 50%. It tried to pierce the daily top of 2070 twice after peaking in August,2020. It means it made a triple top which could mean a bear market for GOLD instead it made an inverted head at 1640 and shoulder pattern between 2010 to 2035. 50% retracement has been completed 1640, starting from 1190 and completing at 2035. The year 2024 is the fourth year of consolidation in GOLD. The resistance at 2035 has been broken and remaining in medium term consolidation pattern between 1980 to 2075. Currently 200 DMA is at 1966 with an uptrend.
Fresh new Wave may start in near future by the time 200 DMA move above 2000 level. One can be optimistic and it provides a good choice to buy at current level with a minimum bold target of 2950, which becomes a strong buy from long term point of view. It has come out of oversold position to neutral zone. RSI was oversold in October, 2023. Now it has broken out of the long-term channel of 4 years and continuously trading above the upper line of the channel at an all-time high with minor blip down.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
Update Gold Analysis 23rd May Overview
During the Tokyo trading session, gold experienced a dramatic fall, dropping from $2375 to $2355. This sharp decline suggests significant selling pressure and potential shifts in market sentiment. In response to this movement, traders should look for opportunities to enter the market at strategic sell zones, with each trade targeting 50 pips away to manage risk effectively.
Technical Analysis
Sharp Decline in Tokyo Session:
Support and Resistance Levels: The decline from $2375 to $2355 indicates a strong resistance level at $2375 and a new support level at $2355. This movement sets the stage for identifying potential sell zones.
Market Sentiment: Such a sharp drop often reflects a shift in market sentiment, possibly due to macroeconomic news, geopolitical developments, or changes in investor risk appetite.
Identifying Sell Zones:
Sell Zone Definition: In this context, a sell zone is an area on the chart where the price is likely to encounter resistance and reverse direction. Given the recent decline, potential sell zones can be identified near previous support levels that may now act as resistance.
Strategic Entry Points: Based on the current price action, look for sell opportunities around $2365 to $2370, close to the previous support level at $2375. If the price retraces to these levels, it could provide an optimal entry point for short positions.
20 MAY 2024 GOLD ANALYSISTechnical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level at $2400: This level has proven to be a strong support as prices have rebounded after reaching this level. It indicates that there is significant buying interest at this price point.
Resistance Levels: As gold moves up, the next resistance levels to watch would be around $2450 and $2500. These are psychological levels and previous highs where selling pressure might appear.
Trend Analysis:
Short-Term Trend: The short-term trend shows a bounce from the support level, indicating potential for a bullish phase.
Medium to Long-Term Trend: If gold maintains its momentum above $2420 and breaks through the resistance at $2450, it could signal the beginning of a longer-term uptrend.
GOLD | STRONG PULLBACK WE CAN EXPECT HERE
#GOLD Setup: We will take a BUY position @ 2355 and collect profit at 2360, 2365 & 2370
Many confluence confirmed: Uptrend.
Risk:- 0.50-1%
Tips: Keep trailing your SL after 80+ Pips to lock your profit.
Thanks to all those who have followed me and liked my post.
Special thanks to all those who DM me and commented on my analysis wanting to know more about the trade.
GOLDBEES | Investment OpportunityDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
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GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UPWARD MOMENTUM
It's showing a fall due to these reason
It's retracted the support after the breakout
2.its getting support from neckline plus support making it's more stronger due to double support
3. The trendline also giving a support
4. Overall meaning is it's getting support from three point mean it's a good situation for buying
A good move gonna show here
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
DOUBLE TOP VISIBLE IN XAUUSD - SHORT OPPORTUNITY IN GOLD ?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold has given a huge up move in recent months after breaking out of 2070 - 2080 zone.
Gold went till 2430 on 12 April and witnessed sharp selling immediately from that level. After consolidating, It tested 2420 level today again and exhibited sharp selling from that level for the second time.
XAUUSD CMP - 2392
I'm planning to short it between 2392 - 2410 with SL above 2427.
Gold is following a support trendline. I will add more position on breaking this trendline.
Targets will be 2358 - 2338 - 2300 - 2260
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Bold move of gold is about to hold1. Price is out of regression,
Thats an outlier movement, which explained the intensity of the impulse, its a characteristic movement of 3rd wave
2. Internal wave structures & Primary wave analysis,
5 sub wave of 3 primary wave is am extension wave, price structure is quite stiff and resembles with Climax Top
3. Cup & Handle pattern target has achieved, have spotted 2 such a structures
4. Deviation from 200 ema
Considering these counts, price could come to 67600 Or 62500, this would be complex correction & expected to see flag formation.
GOLD SELL ❗❗❗Just sell for some days if you are a trader,
If you're a investor then hold for multiyears.
I am a trader so I am going to short .
Reason lots of people trying to buy the gold now .
This is not right time wait for some days.
Because already central bankers bought at low price,but you guys hear the news late
And you tend to buy ,they are going to offload now to you if you're a buyer.
My thoughts only, don't scold me if not happens.
Learn to trade by yourself,it will be helpful in a long term.
🔥Gold will have major correctionsFrom a technical analysis, gold has been seriously overbought, not only on the daily and hourly charts, but also on the weekly level. In the past month or so, gold's crazy rise has been mainly based on expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The trend of gold hitting new highs has caused the entire financial market to be shrouded in the strength of gold. Although this extreme emotional trend looks very strong on the surface, in actual operation it is not easy to find suitable entry opportunities, making it difficult for traders to make decisions.
The daily chart continues to rise, and technically it also needs to be adjusted. At present, after the continuous high fluctuations on the 4-hour chart, the K-line has begun to show signs of gradually falling below the short-term moving average. The strength and persistence of the price rebound after touching the previous support band are not too great. In terms of short-term trends, There are signs of gradually weakening. The 1-hour chart shows a certain degree of divergence, with the K-line gradually falling below the short-term moving average, indicating that gold will continue to adjust to a certain extent in the short-term trend. Gold rebounded to around 2360 today and then quickly fell back. The rebound highs were successively lowered, indicating that the bulls began to weaken. At the same time, the United States will release heavyweight CIP data today. If the data is negative for gold, it is expected to peak in the short term, and adjustments will be carried out next.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2360-2365 resistance range, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2338-2342 support range.
MCX GOLD - ONE MORE SHORT ATTEMPT ?MCX GOLD is currently trading at 68900.
I shorted GOLD twice in last three weeks. One position was closed in 700 points profit and other went 1000 points in profit and then closed CTC.
I'm shorting MCX Gold Futures once again at CMP 68900. I will add more short position if 69600 comes & will hold with SL above 70100.
I think rally in gold is about to end and I'm expecting Gold to fall soon & change its trend from bullish to sideways - negative. M pattern is in making in 4 HTF.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!






















