HEROMOTOCO – Wave 5 Setup Unfolding After Ideal Wave 4 📘 HERO MOTOCORP – Wave 5 Setup from Textbook Elliott Structure
Timeframe: Weekly
Structure: Impulsive (1–2–3–4 complete) → Preparing for Wave 5
Type: Positional Swing Setup | Elliott Wave Based
🔍 1. Elliott Wave Structure Breakdown:
Wave 1: ₹1,475 to ₹3,629
Wave 2: Retraced to ₹2,146.85 (between 50%–78.6% Fib of Wave 1)
Wave 3: Impulse to ₹6,246.25
Wave 4: Currently correcting between 38.2%–61.8% Fib of Wave 3 (₹4,680–₹3,712)
✅ Price found support near ₹3,344, which is just below 61.8% retracement – a common zone for Wave 4 completion.
🟫 2. Wave 4 Support Zone – ₹3,712 to ₹3,344:
This zone is acting as a potential reversal base with:
Fib retracement confluence: 38.2%–61.8% of Wave 3
Failed breakdown attempts followed by recovery candles
CHoCH observed in lower timeframes – suggests momentum shift
🟩 3. Breakout Confirmation Level – ₹4,680:
Breaking above ₹4,680–₹4,800 range would confirm Wave 5 activation
Indicates structure validation + bullish resumption
Close above this zone = strength & momentum breakout
📈 4. Wave 5 Target Projection – ₹6,595 to ₹7,019:
Calculated using:
113%–127% Fibonacci extension of Wave 3
Historical rally symmetry from Wave 1 and 3
Target zone offers positional upside potential of ~55%+
🛑 5. Stop Loss & Invalidation Level:
SL Zone: ₹3,344
Sustained breakdown below this invalidates Wave 4 base
Can lead to sharp drop toward ₹2,600–2,900 (next Fib cluster)
✅ 6. Trade Plan (Swing):
Accumulation Zone: ₹3,700 – ₹4,300 (if support structure holds)
Breakout Entry: Close above ₹4,680–4,800
Stop Loss: ₹3,344
Target: ₹6,595–7,019 (Wave 5 zone)
🧠 7. Why This Setup Matters:
Elliott Wave Confluence: Clean 1–2–3–4 formation
Textbook Fib Behavior: Wave 2 and Wave 4 within ideal retracement ranges
Defined R:R Structure: Tight invalidation + 1:2+ reward
Momentum Setup: Wave 5 can unfold rapidly once confirmed
📌 Conclusion:
HERO MOTOCORP is poised for a potential Wave 5 rally after a well-behaved corrective Wave 4.
A breakout above ₹4,680 could trigger bullish continuation toward ₹7,000+.
This is a classic trend continuation setup for wave-based swing traders.
Long
