A quick retracement; contrary move in AUDUSD...Greetings fellow traders!
Bullish Purge and Revert in progress in AUDUSD. The purging 4h candle's high is broken and we have the confirmation. Long till 0.66599 .
Do remember this is a contrary move , against the bias . Traders are professional losers . Be professional .
Have an insightful trading week ahead!
Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Ictstudent
All we need is just one concept... AUDUSD bearish...Greetings fellow traders!
I was originally bullish on AUDUSD, until I hit consistent stops on my longs which pushed me to check higher timeframes for clarity and bias . I really love the Purge and Revert concept as it's easy to spot and trade. The 2022 model combined with P&R...
Trading is simple, but not easy . The more we complicate it, the tougher it gets.
Have an insightful trading week ahead!
Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Yen to go bulls till 162... Greetings fellow traders!
I have always been majorly bullish on the Yen. I expect to see it tap 200.000 some time in the future. But that's just a weak expectation and not a proper forecast. Let's get into what 'my' forecast is.
Yen swept the sellside liquidity below 140.000 , which was Dec'23 swing low, in Sep'24. The structure shifted on the weekly timeframe (marked as wmss) with a strong bullish marubozu type bar, showing the excitement and strength of the market.
The seasonality of Yen tells us that the pair tends to peak around November-December . Now, if we club this with the current scenario and data, we can expect market to hit 162.000 before New Year 2025 . Is that a necessity? Of course, no. But that is what we expect after reading the market. What does @I_Am_ICT always say? The market does not have to get to where we want it to go, to be profitable.
The major concept that I've applied in the whole analysis is Purge and Revert on the monthly timeframe & clubbed it with various other scenarios and timeframes to conclude to this analysis. There are certain levels and imbalances which can be of value and have been marked on the charts attached. One may refer to them for more info. Trading conversations are welcome.
PS- It can be expected, looking at the daily and LTFs, that some retracement into discount prices is possible before a rally.
Have an insightful trading week ahead!
Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Nifty moving into premium array, might reject and continue downI'm new to ICT concepts and trying to understand the market using that.
Now here, NIFTY is moving right into a daily premium array formed by the gap on 17th Jan 2024. If NIFTY rejects of this premium array in the coming days we might fall and target the daily DOL at 21137.20, breakdown of which will indicate the pullback on the weekly chart.
However, if it blows through the premium array because of tomorrow's budget news, we might see a pullback after breaking the highs of 16th Jan 2024.
Weekly and daily are giving bearish arguments while on the 1h chart, with the break of the intermediate swing high of 23rd Jan 2024 is signaling bullishness in the short term.
If the market opens and moves lower into the hourly discount arrays (FVGs), we might see a 200/300 point move up from 21500/21600 - 21800/21900 before falling back.
AUD/USD Sell Trade Based on Technical Analysis-Forex Pip TargetsDescription:
Embark on a lucrative trading journey with a compelling Forex opportunity that revolves around an AUD/USD sell trade, meticulously analyzed through advanced technical indicators. As the global financial markets continue to evolve, strategic traders are eyeing this potential profit-making scenario with great anticipation.
Technical Analysis Highlights:
Bearish Trend Confirmation:
Comprehensive technical analysis reveals a clear bearish trend in the AUD/USD currency pair. Multiple indicators, including moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), align to signal a downward trajectory, providing a solid foundation for a sell trade.
Key Resistance Levels:
Critical resistance levels have been identified through careful analysis of historical price action. These levels act as formidable barriers, further validating the potential for a downward movement in the AUD/USD pair.
Chart Patterns:
Recognizing chart patterns is crucial in predicting market movements. The presence of bearish chart patterns, such as descending triangles or head and shoulders formations, adds weight to the sell proposition, enhancing the probability of a successful trade.
Forex Pip Target Projection:
In this sell trade opportunity, traders are encouraged to set a realistic pip target to maximize profits while managing risk effectively. The Forex Pip Target for this AUD/USD sell trade is conservatively projected at pips, offering a balanced risk-reward ratio.
Risk Management Strategy:
Implementing a robust risk management strategy is paramount in navigating the uncertainties of the forex market. Traders are advised to set stop-loss orders strategically, protecting their capital from unexpected market fluctuations. Additionally, monitoring the trade closely and adjusting stop-loss levels as the market progresses is essential for optimal risk management.
Conclusion:
Seize the moment and capitalize on this carefully analyzed Forex trade opportunity in the AUD/USD pair. The sell trade, backed by comprehensive technical analysis, presents a favorable risk-reward profile, making it an attractive prospect for traders seeking potential profits. Stay informed, stay strategic, and embark on this trading endeavor with confidence.
(Note: This description is a generic example and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial professional before making trading decisions.)
GBPUSD Journal EntryNote : I am Learning student of ICT
trading journal help you to build your basic foundation so if you are learning ICT concepts so you have to do this every single day.. may this example help you (All credit go to ICT only i am his student)
So if you are forex trader annotate your DXY \ EURUSD \ GBPUSD chart every day
with Your Daily | H1 | M15 chart for next 3 months to build your understanding about how price flow move
Note ::
Always have narrative and short term bias in your mind
for more detail Watch ICT Month 5 , 6 , 7 , 12
And video of ICT from Core content (what to focus on)
EURUSD Journal entryNote : I am Learning student of ICT
trading journal help you to build your basic foundation so if you are learning ICT concepts so you have to do this every single day.. may this example help you (All credit go to ICT only i am his student)
So if you are forex trader annotate your DXY \ EURUSD \ GBPUSD chart every day
with Your Daily | H1 | M15 chart for next 3 months to build your understanding about how price flow move
Note ::
Always have narrative and short term bias in your mind
for more detail Watch ICT Month 5 , 6 , 7 , 12
And video of ICT from Core content (what to focus on)
DXY bullish? ICT Concepts application.Hello Traders!
I mentioned in the last update of the BTC idea, how I started learning ICT concepts, around a month back. This is the first idea to be published based on those concepts. One must understand that these concepts are vast, and I've only begun it. Everything gets better with more and more practice.
1. Let's begin from 14th April 2023, where DXY market made a new swing low on the daily. We see a massive, fast move up. A 4hr swing high (white highlight) is broken. The market makes a double top (red highlights) and falls.
2. Since, a swing high was broken, we could look for potential moves up from the white 4hr POB (potential order block). This block also coincided with the 70.5% percent Fib level. This Fib was taken from an institutional level of 100.50. I know. Those who don't know ICT concepts find this amusing and, at times, even stupid. But it really does work. I initially was wary of using it but, the more I practice, the more I gain the confidence of doing this. Test it out yourself before you take my words.
3. Market moved up drastically just as was originally expected, grabbing the liquidity from above the double tops and creating a new swing high (neon highlight). ICT stresses on looking at equal lows or highs with suspicion. Every trader knows that the stops of the people who shorted and the orders of people willing to go long on the break of the high rest there, creating liquidity.
4. This new swing high gave us another window of likely opportunity. In my understanding, until a new swing low breaking the old swing low (blue highlight) is made, the market is primarily bullish.
5. More liquidity rests below the equal lows where the market has created the current support upon. It may not necessarily go for that liquidity pool, but it definitely can.
6. The new 4hr POB (fluorescent rectangle) could also hold potential for an up move.
I hope this gave you something new to learn today. If you already know ICT concepts, then that is amazing. I still have a long way to go.
All of this is only for educational purposes. Please take advice from your financial advisor before taking any financial risk.
Do use proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
STUDY ( EOD )Understanding where the liquidity in the market is our edge, now note we are not anticipating a change in detraction, but a pullback after the swipe of liquidity at least 20-30 pips pullback, we take advantage of the pullback that why we go deeper to the ltf to look for entry, so we can get into the trade, and know where to get out