Buying Opportunity in BNF All the details are mentioned on the chart
Till now market showing bullish bias
-->There is just one more check box left
-->If price can give a closing above previous high and if it can retrace min 0.5 -0.618 % then we can enter for a long position.
-->No trade if price comes back without creating a higher high & View will be negated if it cross bellow 40200 before breaking previous high.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
***If you like my analysis let me know by giving boost or a comment.
I will be updating
Index
NIFTY Pre Market Analysis 17/10/2022 E3Good Morning everyone,
Keeping SGX Nifty in mind (17070 levels) Lets say Nifty will have a gap down of approx. 100 points
-->Nifty will try to open @ 17060-70 levels
-->We will be almost opening near support zone.
--> Unless it breakdown 17000 level on stays there for min 15 mins there shouldn't be any shorting .
-->After opening,
--> If market shows bullishness like 5 Min range breakout/15 min narrow range breakout then we can go long with Stop losses below the range.
-->Targets would be as mentioned on chart.
-->After opening,
--> If market goes to test 17000 level (good demand zone) ,Here wait with patience if market shows bullishness(forming bullish candles or
breaking previous highs on 5m TF) then we can go long with SL placed below 16950 and the Targets would be same as mentioned on the
chart.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
If you think video analysis will be good for better understanding & If you want me to do video analysis pls give a boost. If I can get 2000 boosts overall on my profile I will start doing video analysis. Need motivation very badly. Expecting as low as 10 follows for this work 🙏🙏🙏.
Selling opportunity in NiftyClosing above the red line will be first sign of bullishness
-->IF we get rejection at 0.618 levels in 5 min TF and candle should not close above red line
All levels are mentioned on the chart it self.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
I will be updating
Shorting opportunity in bank niftyAll levels are mentioned on the chart it self
Safe players can wait for a pull back and enter as per levels
Risky people can enter according to their risk management.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
NIFTY PRE MARKET ANALYSIS 14/10/2022 E2Good Morning Everyone,
-->If we observe price action yesterday, in the second half Nifty started showing bullishness. Price has failed to break previous low and started going up till dynamic trend line.
-->So everything together formed big double bottom.
-->After seeing SGX Nifty yesterday at 16800 I thought today will be completely different day. But SGX Nifty turned around and went all the up to 17280 -17300 levels.
-->After breaking the trendline now price will try to shift the zone first.
--> Will the gap up sustain?
-->If we measure the distance from yesterdays closing and to todays opening (say 17280 -17300) It will be more than 1% increase.
-->Things to keep in mind today.
--> 5 Min breakout or 15 min Breakout should work today.
If price breaks 5 min candle or 15 min narrow range breakout we can enter the trade in the price direction.
--.If the price comes down after opening to neck line then look for buying opportunities.
If price start going up
Resistance 1-17350
Resistance 2-17425
If Price start coming down
Support 1-17140 - 17170
Support 2-17070
-->When the market is live observe the price action whether it is creating higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows . You will get all the answers.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
If you think video analysis will be good for better understanding & If you want me to do video analysis pls give a boost. If I can get 2000 boosts overall on my profile I will start doing video analysis. Need motivation very badly.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at crucial point. What's the next move ?The U.S. dollar index (USDX) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. The USDX was established by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1973 after the dissolution of the Bretton Woods Agreement. It is now maintained by ICE Data Indices, a subsidiary of the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
The index is currently calculated by factoring in the exchange rates of six foreign currencies, which include the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), Canadian dollar (CAD), British pound (GBP), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF).
The Dollar index also impacts the inflationary trend in India. Though the Indian Rupee is not included in the index, changes in the dollar's index relative to other currencies have an impact on the Indian economy. An increase in the Dollar index makes the dollar strong and depreciates the value of the INR.
A weakened rupee makes imports costlier and impacts India Inc.’s profitability due to increased production costs. Increased costs lead to inflation, and the prices of goods and services rise, much to the detriment of consumers. Thus, the overall GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is impacted and suffers a slowdown when the dollar strengthens.
* 15 Year cycle is progressing.
* Trading withing rising channel.
* Arc 1 breakout around July, 2014.
* Arc 2 breakout around March, 2022.
* Trading near it's resistance (Resistance 5).
Buying Opportunity in NIFTY All details are mentioned in the chart
SL is low worth a shot
Index showing somewhat bullishness. If our view is correct we can ride a good intraday rally
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
Nifty Expiry Day Pre Market Episode 1Good Morning Everyone,
If we observe the chart in 30 min time frame we can see a head&shoulder pattern followed by a beautiful breakdown and an excellent retest to😁.
Retest is in the form of one of the triangular patterns.
-->Look at the big red breakdown candles. So most people would have shorted CE's or bought PE's.
-->If the price breakout of the pattern to the upside it will just go into a major supply zone . If any rejection from there it will move the market down.
-->So don't be over excited about break out please look for levels where bulls/bears might get trapped and play accordingly otherwise we will get trapped.
-->17035 levels is last swing low in smaller time frame ,breaking this level will make bulls to exit their longs.
-->From my Side just want to give you two levels 17210-15 & 17035-40 When the price is near these two lines plan your trade.
-->If the price is above the line BUY if the price is below the line SELL
-->Don't curse me for giving all the directions its just that we should respect every possibility before market opening at least.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
If you think video analysis will be good for better understanding & If you want me to do video analysis pls give a boost. If I can get 2000 boosts overall on my profile I will start doing video analysis. Need motivation very badly.
Nifty Expiry Day Pre Market 13/10/2022 Episode 1Good Morning Everyone,
If we observe the chart in 30 min time frame we can see a head&shoulder pattern followed by a beautiful breakdown and an excellent retest to😁.
Retest is in the form of one of the triangular patterns.
-->Look at the big red breakdown candles. So most people would have shorted CE's or bought PE's.
-->If the price breakout of the pattern to the upside it will just go into a major supply zone. If any rejection from there it will move the market down.
-->So don't be over excited about break out please look for levels where bulls/bears might get trapped and play accordingly otherwise we will get trapped.
-->17035 levels is last swing low in smaller time frame ,breaking this level will make bulls to exit their longs.
-->From my Side just want to give you two levels 17210-15 & 17035-40 When the price is near these two lines plan your trade.
-->If the price is above the line BUY if the price is below the line SELL
-->Don't curse me for giving all the directions its just that we should respect every possibility before market opening at least.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
If you think video analysis will be good for better understanding & If you want me to do video analysis pls give a boost. If I can get 2000 boosts overall on my profile I will start doing video analysis. Need motivation very badly.
Selling opportunity in NiftyPlanned this trade in 5 min TF.
Can plan this trade with a Small SL
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
If you want me to video analysis pls give a boost. If I can get 2000 boosts overall on my profile I will start doing video analysis.
Need motivation very badly
Selling opportunity in Bank NiftyPlanned this trade in 5 min TF.
Can plan this trade with a Small SL
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
If you want me to video analysis pls give a boost. If I can get 2000 boosts overall on my profile I will start doing video analysis.
Need motivation very badly
NIFTY PRE MARKET ANALYSIS 11/10/2022Good morning,
All the levels and key ideas mentioned on the chart itself.
When the market opens today wait for confirmations. Don't take random trades with high SL's.
Yesterday I read something like major institutions are short on market. So keep that in mind
-->No trade until nifty touches any of the two lines (17280) on the upside and (17140) on the down side.
-->Suppose say it is near 17140 what should be your plan of action?
-->Mainly two outcomes are possible, market breaking that level market taking support from that level.(Be Aware of false breakouts also)
-->Go to 5min time frame and look at price action near that support line.
-->Big green candles, breaking previous lower highs will be signs of intraday reversal then you can plan buying with day high levels as targets
-->Breaking that 17140 levels with Big red candles and staying for more than 15 mins there will be signs of falling then we can short market there.
-->Same logic applies when the market is at 17280 levels.
-->Keep small SL's
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
Will there be an Upmove in Nifty on Monday? Hi there,
I trying to understand and predict the market movement based on crowd mentality.
First I will try to explain my theory on what might have happened (It may not be the case).
GREEN ECLLIPSE @ 16800 LEVEL
--> Price was at the demand zone ,started moving up and at the EOD Nifty was at 17100
OBSERVATION:
-->Most people must have carried longs for the next day.
Next day Nifty opened flat and started going down in the first hour.
OBSERVATION:
People who were long the previous day will be in confusion now might have started exiting their positions (they will be booking losses also if needed)
So by the EOD on 03/10/2022 there are
-->People who shorted the markets freshly will be carrying their trades.
-->Do you think retailers will be carrying longs this day ? (My opinion is very little)
Date:04/10/2022
-->BOOM !! whoever shorted are now trapped, aren't they ?
-->As usual short covering happened and all the bulls started taking positions this day only.(Fresh positions)
Date:06/10/2022 (Expiry day)
Price is at supply zone and in the second half price gave confirmation and came down. So here again every one will be carrying shorts overnight.
--> Next day If we observe price made a V pettern and it went up. Mostly every bear booked their positions and bulls took charge.
-->By EOD everything has changed and suddenly people started carrying longs for the weekend thinking that bulls are strong (Nothing wrong).
HOLA ...SGX at 17070 all of a sudden. All my analysis from now will be if market opens at these levels.
--> Who are more for monday morning ?
a) Those who carried longs booking their losses and exiting their positions or
b)Those who carried shorts and exiting their positions with profits?
I think (a)>>>(b).
And most importantly market will be at its demand zone (opening price is in the FIB extension area of the recent trend)
So any of the above options (a)/(b) happens there will be a retracement wave causing the market to move upside.
I'm expecting retracement wave till 17170 to 17200 levels.
After that there may be fresh shorting of market because actually most of us not benefited from this gap down or bulls might take charge again .
For any of this to happen we will need more confirmations and we will see them in future.
--> I have drawn all the levels here based on Elliott waves & by using Fib tools
In short on Monday first look for any strong bullish candles or confirmation. Take long positions
Try to avoid shorting unless if there is a retracement.
Mostly I will post analysis in 15m time frame for intraday buy/sell Ideas. Follow me If you don't want to miss any updates.
Please let me know if you have liked my analysis with a boost or a comment.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
HERO ZERO TRADE IN NIFTYThese big candles indicating that price is at supply zone in higher TF
Price failing to breach these levels and go up
Even though price is again and again going back to its supply zone
1) It is creating lower lows in lower time frame
2)Getting rejection from 0.786 Fib levels in intraday
All the levels are mentioned in the chart
what the price comes there all you have to do is buy 17350 PE 6 oct expiry
Price will be around 15-17 rs .
Risk per lot is 750-800 .
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
PLAN FOR EXPIRY MOMEMTUM TRADE !!!!All the levels and details are mentioned on the graph itself
Market is in the range of 90 points
If at all we get a breakout on either side we can see some quick momentum.
The Arrows on either side indicate where bulls and bears are trapped.
When the breakout happens trapped people need to cover their position which can cause some momentum.
In my opinion breakdown and ending below 17390 should get market to days low first.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS IN NIFTYDATE:03/10/2022
In a daily time frame price has formed a inside candle.
If we observe in 1 hr. time frame its not a bearish sign until price breaks down recent low (16750 levels)
So until it crosses that low its better not to carry any short positions in nifty.
Observe the price action structure here
1)There is a recent lower high formation (17050 levels)
2)There is a recent Low (16750 levels)
For the market to turn bullish it has to break 17050 level and form a higher high. This will be thr first sign
Then find the golden zone with the help of Fibonacci tool and wait for entry (This will be safe with small SL).
or One can go long by observing PA in the first 15-30 mins with confirmation of bullish candles. plan the SL accordingly
*** If Price breaks 16750 better to exit all long positions.
I hope this analysis will help you.
If you agree with my analysis you can comment on this post by yes or give a boost
Thank you. And happy trading.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
MONTHLY STRADDLE IN NIFTY FOR OCTOBER Hi there,
Nifty Closing today 29/09/2022 : 16818 spot
Since last 3 weeks if we observe Nifty movement there is lot of selling pressure.
From the recent high of 18096 levels Nifty has declined almost 7.5%.
In the chart if you observe I have drawn a primary wave .It looks like we are in the wave 2 of that Elliott wave.
wave 2 will be mostly 3-3-3 or 5-3-5 corrective wave.
In this WXY corrective wave W is 0.318 Fib retracement of wave 1.So there is higher probability that we will find some support in this area.
X point is 0.618 Fib retracement of wave W
Considering the recent aggressive selling those who missed the bus will short the market again or take fresh positions when the retracement wave happens.
SO WHY MONTHLY STRADDLE?
There will be 4 weekly candles in the October series.
So even this weeks candle engulfs the latest red candle by oct 6 expiry or after that expiry market will be facing resistance at X area.
If people start shorting the market fresh then high chance that market will go to Y area to complete the correction wave .
In this process mostly after 3 weeks we can see the market in these levels again with most of the price decay.
What if Nifty breaks W area this week without taking support there ?
Then the retracement is inevitable in coming weeks and 2 or 3rd week again nifty will be in the anticipated area.
Straddle breakeven should be above X and near Y
16750 STRADDLE will do the work.
By calculating the percentage return one can safely exit the straddle there.
Nifty monthly straddle has almost 30% ROI.
Even 10% in 15 days is a better deal.
Avoid If you don't know about straddle management
I hope this analysis will help you.
If you agree with my analysis you can comment on this post by yes or give a boost
Thank you. And happy trading.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
Last opportunity for Nifty reversalNifty is in the Golden Fib zone.
If any expiry day reversal this will be good time
Conditions :
Nifty should form a low here in and around golden zone
It should give closing above 16945.
After that If it give a pull back then we can enter with day low as SL
No trade if the conditions not met.
If all conditions are met
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
I will be updating
Buying Opportunity in BNF All the rules and conditions explained in previous Nifty idea.
Same logic applies here also.
If today's low is defended this will be a jackpot trade
All the details are mentioned below
Entry:38015 Don't have a feeling of FOMO. No need to compromise. We can always find entry points.
SL :37820
Lets see If we can secure this trade.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
I will be updating
Profit booking rally in Nifty Since the last 1D green candle close our market is down by almost 4.5%
Those who shorted the market heavily will start booking profits if the market start going up.
Because of this reason I'm expecting a positive day and close today.
Even the recent idea Elliott waves suggesting a retracement.
All the details are mentioned below
Entry:16930-16950 Depending on your risk per lot. Don't have a feeling of FOMO. No need to compromise. We can always find entry points.
SL :16880
Lets see If we can secure this trade.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
I will be updating
INTRADAY buying opportunity in NIFTY I have attached my actual idea link here
Going by that setup we can plan for intraday buying opportunity
Entry:17040
SL :16970
Its a little bit big SL per lot If i have to say roughly 35 rs per lot for ATM call option.
Lets see If we can secure this trade.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES