Sector-Based Analysis: Navigating Today's Market DynamicsTo complement my earlier NIFTY analysis, let's dive into the key sectors and their potential impact on today's market movement. Here’s a quick breakdown of the major indices to watch and how they could influence NIFTY's direction:
1. Banking Sector (BANKNIFTY):
Current Level: 51,383.95 (+32.95, +0.06%)
Analysis: The banking sector remains mildly positive today, reflecting stability in major financial stocks. Any sustained upward move in BANKNIFTY above 51,400 could provide additional momentum to NIFTY. However, if BANKNIFTY fails to hold above the 51,300 support level, it may trigger some selling pressure on NIFTY as well.
2. Financial Services (CNXFIN):
Current Level: 26,706.65 (+68.75, +0.29%)
Analysis: The financial services index is showing resilience with a modest uptick. A positive performance in this sector often signals broader market strength. The continuation of buying interest in this index above 26,700 would support a bullish view for NIFTY.
3. Information Technology (CNXIT):
Current Level: 42,940.00 (+152.40, +0.36%)
Analysis: CNXIT is gaining momentum and is a key driver today. Tech stocks are often considered safer bets, and a rally in this sector could act as a strong tailwind for NIFTY. Watch for a breakout above 43,000 for further bullish confirmation.
4. Auto Sector (CNXAUTO):
Current Level: 32,073.60 (-98.90, -0.31%)
Analysis: The auto sector is underperforming, with notable weakness visible in several major auto stocks. If CNXAUTO continues to decline, it could create a drag on NIFTY, particularly if other sectors also show signs of fatigue.
5. FMCG (CNXFMCG):
Current Level: 66,739.70 (+609.95, +0.95%)
Analysis: The FMCG sector is exhibiting strong buying interest and is currently one of the best-performing sectors. Positive movement here might help sustain NIFTY's overall sentiment, especially if consumer demand trends remain favorable.
6. Metals (CNXMET):
Current Level: 23,947.05 (-35.90, -0.15%)
Analysis: The metal sector is seeing some selling pressure today, possibly due to profit booking after recent gains. Any further downside in CNXMET could weigh on market sentiment, but if it stabilizes above 23,900, it might not have a significant negative impact on NIFTY.
7. Pharma (CNXPHARMA):
Current Level: 23,181.70 (-35.90, -0.15%)
Analysis: Pharma is relatively flat today. The sector's lack of direction indicates uncertainty among investors. However, if it stays above the 23,150 level, it may provide some support to the overall market.
Sector-Wise Conclusion:
The Banking, Financial Services, and FMCG sectors are showing positive momentum and are crucial to driving NIFTY higher today.
Auto and Metal sectors are underperforming; however, their impact might be mitigated if strength in other sectors persists.
Keep a close watch on CNXIT and BANKNIFTY for further clues on market direction. A strong performance in these sectors could be the catalyst needed for NIFTY to break its current resistance.
What to Watch Today:
A sustained uptrend in BANKNIFTY and CNXIT will be critical for a bullish continuation.
Any significant weakness in Auto or Metals could be a red flag for potential profit booking in NIFTY.
Monitor the FMCG sector closely; its outperformance could provide stability to the broader market.
Intraday
JSW Energy Intraday short-term analysisIn short term period chart create a down trend .
We can expect a good down move within 2-3 days. RSI indicate divergency . Price is below the volume.
Intraday support level - 680-677
Scenarios:
gap up - market open above 710 and wait 15 min for price action and if price goes below 703 then create short position with your Risk Reward.
side base - don't take any position between 703-720
gap down - if market open near about 690-703 wait for 5-10 min and make a short position and initial target will 680-677
TIME TECHNOPLAST INTRADAY TRADEINTRADAY TRADE FOR 26th Aug 2024
Buy - 408 ( yellow line in chart)
SL- 396 ( Red Line)
Target 1 - 419(Green Lines)
Target 2 - 430
Target 3- 440
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
PVR - Positional Long SetupCMP 1349.30
The stock is showing reversal signs in the last few sessions. The logics are indicated on the charts.
MACD is also showing reversal signs even on weekly charts.
Above all, the risk-reward is pretty good at this point.
If gains momentum over 1350, targets may be 1460/1550/1640.
If sustains below 1300, that will show weakness on the charts. One has to plan an exit according to risk management.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a piece of trading advice in any form.
All the best.
SYMPHONY TRIANGLE PATTERN INTRADAY TRADE The stock has formed TRIANGLE PATTERN pattern on the
15 MINUTES TIME FRAME chart.
One can enter above 1740 with a strict Stoploss of 1696
Target 1 - 1770
Target 2 - 1800
Target 3 - 1820
#INTRADAY TRADE
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
SYMPHONY TRIANGLE PATTERN INTRADAY TRADE The stock has formed TRIANGLE PATTERN pattern on the
15 MINUTES TIME FRAME chart.
One can enter above 1740 with a strict Stoploss of 1696
Target 1 - 1770
Target 2 - 1800
Target 3 - 1820
#INTRADAY TRADE
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
SEQUENT Intraday trade for tomorrow 13 Aug 2024If Stock opens Gap up or Gap down from the buy price please Avoid trade
DISCLAIMER:- I'm not SEBI registered research analyst or investment adviser. All stocks & information given is for educational purpose only. Consult with your financial advisor before taking the trade on my views given here.
Nifty View 06-08-2024NSE:NIFTY
Nifty has rebounded from 23,890 to 24,350, a gain of approximately 450 points.
However, upon applying the Fibonacci retracement from 25,078 to 23,893, we observe that the 0.38 Fibonacci level coincides with the 24,350 zone.
Notably, Nifty encountered selling pressure once again at this level.
The market is currently experiencing significant selling pressure and a general sense of weakness.
At present, there are two potential outcomes.
1.
If Nifty decisively close below the 23890 zone, we can anticipate a potential decline towards the 23200 level in the near future.
2.
In the event that the Nifty holds the 23890 zone and establishes a double bottom formation, there is a possibility of a market reversal or a range-bound movement between the 24400 and 23900 zones.
Always respect SL & position sizing
===================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
===================
Disclaimer
Not SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any
decisions
you take on basis of our research
MARKET CRASHNSE:NIFTY TVC:DJI
US market 1929 vs 2024
Is it just coincidence or is history going to repeat itself ??
Great Depression, was a worldwide economic downturn that began in 1929 and lasted until about 1939. It was the longest and most severe depression ever experienced by the industrialized Western world, sparking fundamental changes in economic institutions, macroeconomic policy, and economic theory.
Similarities and differences between the microeconomic conditions during the start of the 1929 market crash and those in 2024.
Similarities
Credit Expansion and Financial Innovation:
1929: The 1920s saw significant credit expansion, with many Americans buying stocks on margin (borrowing money to buy stocks), leading to inflated stock prices.
2024: Similarly, the 2020s have seen rapid credit expansion globally, with innovations in financial products and increased borrowing, contributing to elevated asset prices1.
High Leverage:
1929: High leverage was prevalent, particularly in the stock market, where investors borrowed heavily to invest.
2024: High leverage is also a concern today, not just in stock markets but across various sectors, including real estate and corporate debt1.
Financial Sector Vulnerabilities:
1929: The financial sector was vulnerable due to speculative investments and lack of regulation, leading to bank failures.
2024: Today’s financial sector, while more regulated, still faces vulnerabilities from high leverage and interconnected global markets1.
Economic Contraction:
1929: The U.S. experienced a severe economic contraction, leading to the Great Depression.
2024: There are concerns about economic contraction due to various factors, including high inflation, geopolitical tensions, and slowing growth in major economies.
Differences
Policy Responses:
1929: The policy response was slow and inadequate. The Federal Reserve’s actions were limited, and there was a lack of coordinated fiscal policy.
2024: Today’s policy responses are much more proactive. Central banks and governments have implemented significant monetary and fiscal measures to stabilize economies.
Globalization:
1929: The global economy was less interconnected, with the U.S. being the primary driver of the economic downturn.
2024: The global economy is highly interconnected, meaning economic issues in one region can quickly spread to others. This interconnectedness also allows for coordinated policy responses.
Technological Advancements:
1929: Technological advancements were limited, affecting communication and the speed of economic activities.
2024: Technological advancements have transformed economies, enabling faster communication, better data analysis, and more efficient markets1.
Regulatory Environment:
1929: There was minimal regulation of financial markets, contributing to speculative bubbles and bank failures.
2024: The regulatory environment is much stricter, with measures in place to prevent excessive risk-taking and ensure financial stability.
Conclusion
While there are some striking similarities between the microeconomic conditions of 1929 and 2024, particularly in terms of credit expansion, high leverage, and financial sector vulnerabilities, the differences in policy responses, globalization, technological advancements, and regulatory environments are significant. These differences suggest that while there are risks, the tools available to manage economic downturns are more robust today.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on the basis of our research.
Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd | A Trending sectorAmbika Cotton Mills Ltd | A Trending sector
Ambika Cotton Mills is engaged in manufacturing and selling specialty cotton yarn catering to the needs of manufacturers of premium branded shirts and t-shirts. Exports constitute significant portion of the operations. The company operates with total installed spindle capacity of 108288 (Previous Year 108288 Spindles) of compact facility housed in four units and Knitting facility of converting 40,000 Kgs of yarn per day into fabrics.
Market Cap =₹ 1,014 Cr. ROCE=20.7 % ROE=14.5 % Debt to equity=0.00
Promoter holding =50.2 % Profit Var 3Yrs=28.9 % Sales growth 3Years=10.8 %
Return on assets=12.4 %
company s almost debt free and having good sales and profit growth.
chart shows rounding bottom and consolidation period over .
its time to up move in momentum side.
friends I am not SEBI registered analysis. this is just education purpose only.
before investing please do your research.
if you like my simple way to teach technical and fundamental analysis than like boost and follow for more.
thanks for supporting me.
NIFTY VIEWNSE:NIFTY
NIFTY is giving Breakout
BUT IF THIS BO FAILS THEN WE CAN WITNESS QUICK FALL IN MARKET
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on the basis of our research.
Nifty Analysis for Monday 29 July 2024Nifty created sharp upside momentum in last 2 days, it's ultimate goal is 25000.
So I am providing highest probability intraday setup in Nifty50
My overview is bullish in nifty for Monday... it will good if Market opens gapdown or flat & creates a selling swing in first 30-45 mins then after creating a support price will bounce.
If Market opens gapup or flat and moves upside in first 30-45 min. then there is a very less probability of continuation so if Market creates M pattern then selling swing will be expected and intraday low break is min. expected.
Rising Wedge pattern breakout in METROPOLISMETROPOLIS HEALTHCARE LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Rising Wedge Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 2410+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 2034-.
Ujjivan Small Finance bank good to study NSE:UJJIVANSFB
Its on Near to support of FIB ZONE
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
KRBL Good to keep on RadarNSE:KRBL
Its on the verge of new Breakout
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
BDL On the verge of BreakoutNSE:BDL
Good to keep on the radar
As its on the verge of new breakout of Flag n pole
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
NCC looking good for Short term investment; 20% ReturnFundamentally good stock,
Good For short term investment in cash market'.
Leave a " Like If you agree ".👍
.
.
Entry: 335/ 321
target: 342- 355- 393 - 400
sl: 321
major stoploss / support: 311
.
.
Enter only after breaking & close above " Yellow box " mentioned.
'
'
Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " simple, focus on consistency💹
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
.
Refer old ideas attached below
Follow for regular updates👍
Bank Nifty 03/07/2024Scenario 1:
If Open Drive is Gap Up: If Price will test the Level @ 52420 to 52470.
The Price May Reject @ This level (52420 - 470) and Expected to Fall Till 51995 to 51838.
51838 Is the Major Support Level.
It is very Hard to price Break this level.
Scenario 2:
If Open Drive is Gap Down : If Price will test the Level @ 51995 to 51837.
The Price May Reject @ This level (51995 - 51837) and Expected to rally Till 52420.
Bank Nifty 02/07/2024If Price rejects @ 52716, Bank Nifty will test 52168 . If the zone Breaks , Then it will test Secondary Buying Zone level of 52046.
Once it is tested the Zone 52046, there is buying Opportunity in intraday.
Expected both Bear and Bull Market on 02/07/2024 as explained in the market
XAUUSD - Positional Short SetupCMP - 2326.41 on 30.06.24
The price movement in recent sessions is analyzed on the chart. If it does not cross and sustain above the 2340-50 levels, this setup remains valid with a short view.
Possible targets may be 2280/2200.
The setup becomes invalid if the price sustains above 2350 for a couple of days.
One has to choose the position size following risk management. Always think about the exit/stop loss while entering into a trade.
This illustration is only for learning and sharing purposes, not a bit of trading advice in any form.
All the best.