Investing
After falling 25% Nifty50 stock is giving good entry to go long Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought Bajaj-Auto stock which has fallen 25% from all time high and now trading at importance support zone, There is higher probability for reversal from these levels. It is giving good entry for short term to long term traders and investors.
Bajaj Auto, the flagship company of Bajaj Group, is a two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing company that exports to 79 countries across several countries in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and many more. Its headquarter is in Pune, India.
It has acquired 48% of the KTM Brand which manufactures sports and super sports two-wheelers, which was 14% in 2007 when the company first acquired KTM.
Market Leadership:-
The company is the 2nd-largest player in the domestic motorcycle segment in terms of volume. It is the largest 3W producer in the world and the largest exporter of 2W and 3W from India.
Manufacturing Capacity:-
The company has five manufacturing plants, of which two are in Chakan and one each in Waluj, Akurdi, and Pantnagar, with a total installed capacity of 7.1 million units per annum.
Expansion:-
In FY24, the company set up a new plant in Brazil with an initial capacity of 20k units/ month that commenced commercial production on Jun 24. It will incur capex of Rs. 600 Cr -Rs. 700 Cr in FY25-FY26, largely towards maintenance activities.
Vehicle Financing:-
Its wholly-owned captive financing company Bajaj Auto Credit Ltd. commenced business in Maharashtra and Goa on 1st Jan 24 and expanded to Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Rajasthan, and Gujarat. It plans to cover all the balance states by FY25. On Apr 24, the board approved additional investment in BACL of Rs. 2250 Cr, in addition to the existing Rs. 600 Cr approved earlier, to fund its expansion plans.
Market Cap
₹ 2,72,363 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 9,753
High / Low
₹ 12,774 / 5,285
Stock P/E
36.9
Book Value
₹ 1,109
Dividend Yield
0.80 %
ROCE
33.5 %
ROE
26.5 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
64.6
Debt
₹ 5,245 Cr.
EPS
₹ 263
Promoter holding
55.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 3,891
Pledged percentage
0.01 %
EVEBITDA
25.8
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
10.7 %
Sales growth 5Years
8.13 %
Return over 5years
25.2 %
Debt to equity
0.17
Net profit
₹ 7,371 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
21.8 %
Profit growth
7.74 %
Earnings yield
3.64 %
PEG Ratio
3.46
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
Dr Reddy is Ready to fly in blue sky, Short term Trading Idea .I hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. I have brought a stock which has formed a pull back pattern and taken support at previous breakout zone. Stock name is Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd and it is a leading India-based pharmaceutical company which offers a portfolio of products and services, including Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs), Custom Pharmaceutical services (CPS), generics, biosimilars and differentiated formulations.
Stock is good for short term trading idea as it has taken support in the previous breakout zone. Stock is good for long term investing as well. This can be best SIP stock to invest and get handsome returns in future.
Market Cap
₹ 1,09,439 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,312
High / Low
₹ 1,421 / 1,041
Stock P/E
19.7
Book Value
₹ 339
Dividend Yield
0.61 %
ROCE
26.5 %
ROE
21.4 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Industry PE
34.5
Debt
₹ 2,002 Cr.
EPS
₹ 66.7
Promoter holding
26.6 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 1,033
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
12.3
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
24.4 %
Sales growth 5Years
12.6 %
Return over 5years
18.9 %
Debt to equity
0.07
Net profit
₹ 5,565 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
16.7 %
Profit growth
17.8 %
Earnings yield
6.77 %
PEG Ratio
0.81
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
Long Term & Short Term Investing Always Invest Minimum For 4.8 Year. You Can Get Better Then Mutual Fund Longterm Investing Minimum Time is 4.8 Year.
For Longterm Investment I Prefer 1000-1500 CR Market Cap Company Below 3 Year I Invest in SME /MicroCap.
Small Company High Risk So Can’t Assume 5-10 Year Plan.
Disclaimer : This is NOT Investment Advice. This Post is Meant for Learning Purposes Only. Invest Your Capital at Your Own Risk.
Happy Learning. Cheers!!
Shyorawat Arun Singh ❤️
(@Shyorawat_ArunSingh)
Founder : Shyorawat Capital
Short Term Trading idea in Dr. Lal Pathlabs, 17% upside possibleHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have just brought a short term idea in Lab stocks. Stock name is Dr. Lal Pathlabs Ltd. and it is one of India’s leading consumer healthcare brand in diagnostic services. It has an integrated nationwide network, where patients and healthcare providers are offered a broad range of diagnostic and related healthcare tests and services for use in: core testing, patient diagnosis and the prevention, monitoring and treatment of disease and other health conditions. The services of DLPL are aimed at individual patients, hospitals and other healthcare providers and corporates.
Stock has given near term consolidation breakout on daily and weekly time frame. Stock can travel towards all time high levels from here, I have already mention all the levels like stop loss and Targets. Stock is really good for long term investing as well. But for now i have just added kind of short term Idea. Please follow the levels.
Market Cap
₹ 29,198 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 3,494
High / Low
₹ 3,525 / 1,943
Stock P/E
76.5
Book Value
₹ 222
Dividend Yield
0.69 %
ROCE
25.2 %
ROE
20.4 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
53.6
Debt
₹ 247 Cr.
EPS
₹ 45.7
Promoter holding
54.6 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 743
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
40.4
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
12.4 %
Sales growth 5Years
13.1 %
Return over 5years
20.9 %
Debt to equity
0.13
Net profit
₹ 386 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
21.3 %
Profit growth
44.6 %
Earnings yield
1.97 %
PEG Ratio
6.15
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
Cosmic Collision: DLF & Oberoi Realty Clash in Real-Estate Space◉ Abstract
The Indian real estate market is growing fast and is expected to reach $1 Trillion by 2030. Two big companies in this field are DLF and Oberoi Realty. DLF makes most of its money from commercial properties mainly through rental income, while Oberoi Realty focuses on homes.
Both companies are doing well, but Oberoi Realty is growing faster and making more profit. DLF's stock price might go up soon after being stable for a long time. Oberoi Realty's stock has been going up steadily. Both companies don't have too much debt and are attracting investors. DLF seems expensive when you look at its price compared to earnings, while Oberoi Realty looks like a better deal. Oberoi Realty is also spending more on growing its business.
In the end, both companies are in a good position to benefit from India's growing economy and increasing demand for real estate.
◉ Introduction
The Indian real estate sector has witnessed significant growth in recent years, driven by increasing demand, policy reforms, and infrastructure development. Two prominent players, DLF Limited and Oberoi Realty Limited, have been at the forefront of this growth, shaping the country's urban landscape. Both companies have established themselves as leaders in the industry, with a strong presence in residential, commercial, and retail segments.
◉ Indian Real Estate Sector: Future Growth Prospects
India's real estate market is expected to register significant growth in the coming years, driven by a number of factors. Here's a quick summary of the key trends:
● Market size and GDP contribution: The market size is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030, up from US$ 200 billion in 2021, and contribute 15.5% to GDP by 2047.
● Residential market growth: The residential market is witnessing strong growth, with the value of home sales reaching an all-time high of Rs. 3.47 lakh crore (US$ 42 billion) in FY23. Demand is surging in top 8 cities across mid-income, premium, and luxury segments.
● Retail and office space: The retail and office space segments are also growing rapidly. Gross leasing in top 7 cities crossed 60 million sq ft for the first time in 2023, with technology companies leading leasing activity.
● Data centers: Data center demand is on the rise, with an expected increase of 15-18 million sq ft by 2025.
● Housing shortage: There is a significant housing shortage in urban areas, with the current shortage estimated at 10 million units. An additional 25 million units of affordable housing are required by 2030.
Overall, the Indian real estate sector presents a promising picture for growth and development. The sector is benefiting from a number of factors, including a growing economy, rising urbanization, and increasing disposable incomes. This is leading to strong demand for both residential and commercial properties.
◉ Company Overviews
● DLF NSE:DLF
DLF Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on colonization and real estate development across India. Their activities encompass land acquisition, project planning, construction, and marketing. The company specializes in developing and selling residential projects, while also managing commercial office spaces and retail properties, including malls and hospitality ventures. Notably, it owns The Lodhi Hotel and Hilton Garden Inn in New Delhi, as well as the DLF Golf & Country Club in Gurugram. Additionally, DLF is involved in leasing, maintenance, power generation, and recreational services. Established in 1946, DLF Limited is headquartered in Gurugram and operates as a subsidiary of Rajdhani Investments and Agencies Private Limited.
● Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
Oberoi Realty Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate development and hospitality in India. It operates in two main segments: Real Estate and Hospitality. The company develops and sells various projects, including residential, commercial, hospitality, retail, and social infrastructure. It also leases office and retail spaces. Additionally, it manages hotel operations, which include room sales, food and beverage services, and related offerings, as well as constructing residential apartments and providing property management services. Established in 1998, the company is based in Mumbai, India.
◉ Market Capitalization
● DLF - ₹ 2,26,256 Cr. ($26.8 B)
● Oberoi Realty - ₹ 68,970 Cr. ($8.2 B)
◉ Relative Strength
The chart vividly demonstrates that neither company has managed to surpass the performance of the real estate sector over the past year. The realty sector has achieved an impressive return of 94%, while DLF and Oberoi Realty have delivered returns of 73% and 67%, respectively.
◉ Technical Aspects
● DLF
➖ Since its listing in July 2007, DLF reached an impressive peak of ₹ 1046 in January 2008.
➖ However, the stock faced a significant decline following the Lehman Brothers crisis later that year.
➖ After enduring a lengthy period of consolidation lasting eight years, the price stabilized around ₹ 66 in February 2016 and began its upward trajectory.
➖ Now, after nearly 17 years of consolidation, the stock is trading just below a critical resistance level, with a breakout anticipated in the near future.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Since its launch in December 2010, Oberoi Realty has shown a consistent upward trajectory
➖ During this ascent, the stock formed a Bullish Pennant pattern, and after breaking out, it surged to an all-time high of ₹ 1970 in September 2024.
➖ Currently, it is trading just below this peak. Analysts expect the stock to continue its upward momentum and reach new heights in the coming days.
◉ Revenue Breakdown
● DLF
DLF mainly generates its revenue from real estate development, concentrating on both commercial and residential areas. Significantly, the commercial real estate sector contributes a considerable 74% of the company's total revenue, largely through rental income.
● OBEROIRLTY
The company predominantly earns around 97% of its revenue from the real estate development sector. Furthermore, it also participates in the hospitality industry, which adds the remaining 3% to its overall revenue.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● DLF
➖ Over the past three years, DLF has recorded a modest compounded annual growth rate of 6% in sales.
➖ Despite this, the company has seen remarkable profit growth, which surged by 33% during the same timeframe.
➖ Currently, DLF enjoys a robust operating profit margin of 33%, an increase from 30% in FY23.
➖ In fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have jumped to 11.02, up from 8.22 the previous year, reflecting a consistent upward trend in EPS over the last four years.
● OBEROIREALTY
➖ In the last three years, Oberoi Realty has achieved an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 30% in sales.
➖ Profit growth has closely mirrored this success, with a CAGR of 34% during the same period.
➖ The company currently boasts an outstanding operating profit margin of 55%, a figure that continues to rise.
➖ While the EPS growth from FY23 to FY24 is modest, with EPS standing at 52.99 compared to 52.38 the previous year, the overall trend in EPS has been positive over the last four years.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ DLF's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 79.6, slightly exceeding its 1-year median P/E of 76.7. However, when juxtaposed with the industry average of 34.4, it becomes evident that DLF is significantly overvalued at this time.
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty presents a P/E ratio of 31.50, which is just above its 1-year median P/E of 29.6. Yet, when compared to the industry P/E of 34.4, it appears to be undervalued.
● P/B Ratio
➖ DLF's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 5.74, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to the industry average of 3.54.
➖ Similarly, Oberoi Realty also seems overvalued with a P/B ratio of 4.98.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Oberoi Realty's PEG ratio of 1.83 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to DLF's considerably higher PEG of 4.79.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ DLF ROCE - 6% in FY24
➖ OBEROIRLTY ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ These numbers clearly demonstrate that Oberoi Realty is more profitable than DLF, as it efficiently leverages its total capital—comprising both equity and debt—to yield higher returns.
◉ Capex Analysis
● DLF
➖ The cash flow statement for DLF reveals a negative capital expenditure, indicating that the company is selling or disposing of its existing capital assets.
➖ This suggests a strategic decision to reduce its portfolio of office spaces and similar fixed assets, as they are no longer deemed necessary.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty has ramped up its capital expenditure from 601 crore to 677 crore compared to the previous year.
➖ This increase is a positive sign for the company, reflecting its ambition for expansion and growth in the market.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ DLF has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, rising to 2,539 crore from 2,375 crore in FY23.
➖ Oberoi Realty has also performed exceptionally well, transforming its cash from operations to an impressive 2,810 crore, marking a significant recovery from a considerable negative of 2,383 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ DLF demonstrates robust financial health with a manageable debt level of 4,894 crores and an impressive debt to equity ratio of just 0.12, signaling that debt is not a significant issue for the company.
➖ On the other hand, Oberoi has a debt of 2,495 crores, resulting in a debt to equity ratio of 0.18, which indicates that the company is also not worried about its debt situation.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● DLF
➖ Currently, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) possess a 16.17% stake, reflecting a decline from the previous quarter.
➖ On the other hand, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have increased their holdings to 4.81% as of the June quarter, a slight rise from 4.77% in the last quarter.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have made a notable increase in their investment in this stock, now holding 18.05%, up from 16.96% in the last quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stake to 12.30%, down from 12.83% in the March quarter.
◉ Conclusion
After a comprehensive assessment of the technical and financial metrics, we have concluded that Oberoi Realty has surpassed DLF in terms of valuation, profitability, revenue growth, and future expansion prospects. However, this does not imply that DLF cannot enhance its performance in the future. In fact, DLF is on the verge of a significant multi-year breakthrough, and if this happens, it could create an excellent opportunity for investors to take advantage of any price declines.
In the end, both companies exhibit strong growth potential as they are leaders in the real estate sector. As the economy continues to grow, both Oberoi Realty and DLF are well-positioned to capitalize on this expansion.
Exide Industries Have A Look Exide Industries Touch All Time High In a Month Of July And Cool Down and following a Trend line
After Following The Trendline . The Stock Given Us Breakout Of Trendline .
There My Point Of View , The Stock Have A more Potential to Touch Again AllTime High its Move in Percentage 18% Can Move After A Good Pull Back . 52 Week High Magnetic Setup Activate & Give Us Gain Of 17-18% from Breakout .
Please Look at In This Chart .
Thank You For Giving Time On My Post .
Mahindra & Mahindra update 500 pointsmahindra and mahindra reached 500+ points from given level
📌 Please support me with your likes 🤞🏻 and comments 💬 to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your any opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Davis 🥰
Hit the like 🤞🏻 button to !! Motive some energy !!🥇
📌 Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀
⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀
⫸ You are responsible for your trading ✅ not me ❌ ⫷
HAPPY TRADING 🥰
Zomato-Is it investment worthy now?This is an idea of one of the most famous listed new age company, Zomato
The stock had listed at 2x of issue price(around 70) and later on went to about 50% of issue price and now again standing at 2x of issue price.
What an amazing rounding bottom pattern!
This kind of breakouts are very powerful to give multibagger returns.
Keep in watchlist. Best buy range is 125-130
VIP INDUSTRIES : A good bet for short term📈 VIP INDUSTRIES is a good buying candidate for a short term swing trading.
🔰 It can show some decent upside move upto 15% to 30% in the near future.
🟢 Range : 515 - 525
🎯 Target : 560 / 600 / 655 / 700
🛑 Stop : 490 ( wcb )
⚠️ Disclaimer : It's not a buy/sell recommendation. It's a view only for an educational purposes.
copper next movecopper can make small correction for fill FVG on down side for make uptrend
📌 Please support me with your likes 🤞🏻 and comments 💬 to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your any opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Davis 🥰
Hit the like 🤞🏻 button to !! Motive some energy !!🥇
📌 Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀
⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀
⫸ You are responsible for your trading ✅ not me ❌ ⫷
HAPPY TRADING 🥰
GRINDWELL next moveGRINDWELL started sell trend and also making trend line liquidity forbreak upside
if break above 2440 we can expect uptrend up to 2810
if breaks bellow 2320 we can expect 1980
Hit the like button to Rock !! Show some energy !!
Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy or sell.
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge in trading for myself
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis and my trading journey. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
⫸ You are responsible for your trading not me ⫷
happy trading 🥰
Neogen Chemicals LtdNeogen Chemicals Ltd
Neogen Chemicals Ltd, incorporated in 1991, manufactures bromine and lithium-based organic and organo-metallic compounds, used in the pharmaceutical, agricultural chemicals, and engineering industries.
Market Cap₹ 6,166 Cr. Current Price ₹ 2,337
ROCE9.38 % ROE5.74 %
Profit Var 3Yrs4.40 % Sales growth 3Years27.1 %
GREAT COMPANY WITH STRONG FUNDAMENTAS.
Fourth largest manufacturer of Chlor-Alkali has given breakoutHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well, i have brought another stock from chemical sector which produces Chloralkalis: Caustic Soda Lye and Flakes, Liquid Chlorine, Hydrogen, Caustic Potash Lye and Flakes, etc. Company belongs from solid fundamentally Meghami Group. it is the fourth largest manufacturer of Chlor-Alkali in India.
Stock has already given breakout of Triangle Pattern on weekly timeframe and after retesting the breakout level stock has given breakout of neckline of previous highs. Now there is high probability stock should fly from here towards our given targets on charts. Stock is good to hold for long term also, this can give you multifolds returns in long term. For short term and near long term targets i have already placed on chart.
Market Cap
₹ 5,092 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,226
High / Low
₹ 1,277 / 811
Stock P/E
26.0
Book Value
₹ 272
Dividend Yield
0.41 %
ROCE
32.1 %
ROE
39.4 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
18.6
Debt
₹ 971 Cr.
EPS
₹ 47.2
Promoter holding
71.4 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 1,483
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
12.4
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
18.3 %
Sales growth 5Years
29.6 %
Return over 5years
%
Debt to equity
0.86
Net profit
₹ 196 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
37.7 %
Profit growth
-47.8 %
PROS:-
Company has delivered good profit growth of 18.3% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 36.8%
Debtor days have improved from 46.8 to 27.7 days.
CONS:-
Company might be capitalizing the interest cost.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
AUBANK - LONG TERM INVESTMENT CANDIDATE ?AU Small Finance Bank Limited is engaged in providing a range of banking and financial services including retail banking, wholesale banking, treasury operations and other services.
CMP - 565
AUBANK is currently trading in a support zone & looking good for long term investing perspective. I am allocating my investment allocation at CMP.
Targets I'm expecting are 785 & 850 which is 40-48% upside from current level.
My SL would be 500.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my investment position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Bitcoin Looks Promising on Bullish SideBitcoin has made double bottom base at around 53000 price range.
Also in weekly time frame, coin is in consolidation to negative pattern which shows a FLAG AND POLE pattern possibility.
Other support is near to 40000 to 40600 price range.
In Monthly Time Frame it is just showing profit booking.
If price breaks above 64000 in weekly candle or sustains above 70000 (Safe Side+ breakout of flag and pole pattern) the price can reach to the levels given in chart.
Follow for more such content.
Disclaimer: Above is just my own opinion about the coin and is for educational purpose only.
JKCEMENT looks bullishHere's a detailed look at JK Cement's chart that caught my eye.
1. Resistance Zone: The stock faced strong resistance around ₹4,500, with multiple rejections at this level over the past few months. This was a tough barrier to crack!
2. Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The trend has been bullish, with a clear formation of higher highs and higher lows, signaling strength in the uptrend.
3. Support Level: We see solid support around ₹3,624, where buyers have consistently stepped in to push the price back up.
4. Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern: A textbook inverted head and shoulders pattern has formed near the support level. This is typically a bullish reversal pattern, and it's exciting to see it play out here!
5. Breakout Alert: The stock has broken out of the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern, moving above the previous resistance level. This breakout is a strong buy signal, pointing to potential further gains.
6. Trade Setup: I've got my eyes on this one. Entry on the breakout, with a stop-loss just below the support level, and a target way above, giving this trade a fantastic risk-to-reward ratio.
This is a classic setup for those who love technical analysis! Let’s see how this plays out.
Do your own analysis before investing!
GEEKAYWIRE - Breakout and retest GEEKAYWIRE - Breakout and retest observed in Geekay Wires, the breakout was with good volumes.
This stock has excellent fundamentals and a classic compounder chart patterns. The company has been a very good performer with very impressive clientele.
This can be both a swing and long term option.
Note: These views are personal and for educational purpose. Please conduct your own research when investing.
Electrosteel: The Dark Horse in the Ductile Iron Pipe Industry!Summary
● Electrosteel Castings Limited (ECL) is a prominent Indian company specializing in ductile iron (DI) pipes, fittings, and cast iron (CI) pipes. With a market cap of ₹13,640 Cr, ECL generates 88% of its revenue from India, holding a 28% domestic market share.
● Over the last 3 years, ECL recorded a 29% sales CAGR and 97% profit growth. Its current PE ratio of 15.3 is below the industry average, suggesting undervaluation.
● ECL plans to boost DI pipe capacity to 1 million tons by FY26. The ductile iron pipes industry is poised for growth due to urbanization and government initiatives.
● With its strong market position and robust financials, ECL is well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity and deliver shareholder value.
Investment Advice by Goodluck Capital
Buy Electrosteel Casting NSE:ELECTCAST
● Best Buy Range - 210 - 220
● Target - 275 - 280
● Potential Return - 28 - 30%
● Approx holding period 8 - 12 months
Company Overview
Electrosteel Castings Limited produces and supplies ductile iron (DI) pipes, fittings, and accessories, as well as cast iron (CI) pipes, both in India and globally. Their DI pipes and fittings are used in various applications such as water transmission, potable water distribution, industrial water supply, ash-slurry systems, fire-fighting systems, desalination, sewerage, stormwater drainage, and recycling. They also offer ductile iron flange pipes for temporary installations and restrained joint pipes. Additionally, the company supplies metallurgical coke, sinter, sponge iron, ferro silicon, pig iron, and silico manganese ferro alloy, along with cement branded as SPL GOLD. Originally named Dalmia Iron and Steel Ltd, the company was established in 1955 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Market Capitalization - ₹ 13,640 Cr.
Peer Companies
● Jindal Saw NSE:JINDALSAW - ₹ 22,576 Cr.
● Jai Balaji Industries NSE:JAIBALAJI - ₹ 19,682 Cr.
● Welspun Corp. NSE:WELCORP - ₹ 18,092 Cr.
Technical Aspects
● In January 2008, the stock reached an impressive peak of ₹71 but subsequently faced a significant decline.
● The price eventually stabilized around ₹8, leading to an extended period of consolidation.
● During this time, a Rectangle pattern, often referred to as the Darvas Box pattern, took shape.
● After breaking out of this pattern in May 2023, the stock price surged past its previous strong resistance level in October 2023.
● Since then, the stock has maintained its upward momentum and is currently trading just shy of its historical high of ₹226.
● Expectations are high that this momentum will sustain and lead the stock to reach new peaks in the near future.
Relative Strength
● The chart clearly illustrates that Electrosteel Castings has greatly outperformed the Nifty Smallcap 250 index, boasting an impressive annual return of 219%, which is truly an outstanding achievement.
Revenue Break-up
● Product wise break-up
➖ The primary source of the company's revenue comes from the production of Ductile Iron pipes and fittings, which alone makes up about 86% of its total income. Additionally, the company manufactures Cast Iron pipes, contributing roughly 2.8% to the overall revenue.
● Location wise break-up
➖ The company generates nearly 88% of its revenue from India, where it holds a 28% share of the domestic market. The remaining 12% of its income is sourced from international markets.
Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Over the last three years, this stock has recorded an impressive compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% in sales. Additionally, the total profit growth during this period has been remarkable, achieving a staggering 97% CAGR.
● Furthermore, the company has successfully maintained an operating profit margin of 16%, a notable increase from 10% in FY24.
● For the fiscal year 2024, earnings per share (EPS) have surged from 5.31 in fiscal year 2023 to an impressive 11.97. Currently, the EPS for the past twelve months is at 14.69.
● A closer look at the quarterly results shows that the company reached a record high in quarterly sales, reporting 2,012 crore in June, up from 2,004 crore in the March quarter. This figure significantly exceeds last year's June quarter sales of 1,685 crore.
Product Demand Analysis
● Inventory Turnover Ratio
➖ Current Inventory Turnover - 1.82
➖ Inventory Turnover 3 years ago - 1.70
➖ These figures indicate that product demand has risen over the past three years.
Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ The company's current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 15.3, which is below its one-year median PE of 15.8. Compared to the industry average PE of 36.76, this suggests that the stock is significantly undervalued at present.
● P/B Ratio
➖ The stock seems to be undervalued, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 2.67, particularly when compared with the industry average PB ratio of 5.52.
● Intrinsic Value
➖ Electrosteel Castings is presently priced at ₹220, which is significantly below its intrinsic value of ₹258, suggesting that the stock is currently undervalued.
● Peg Ratio
➖ A PEG ratio of 0.47 suggests that the stock is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth.
Cash Flow Analysis
● The operating cash flow has experienced an impressive leap, climbing to 806 crore from 452 crore in FY23. This remarkable growth highlights the company's robust financial health. Furthermore, the current CFO/PAT ratio stands at 0.9 of its five-year average, reflecting the company's exceptional capability in turning profits into cash efficiently.
Debt Analysis
➖ The company's existing debt stands at Rs. 2,332 crore, a figure that is notably low when juxtaposed with its market capitalization of Rs. 13,655 crore.
➖ With a debt-to-equity ratio of merely 0.46, it is clear that the debt burden is manageable for a capital-intensive enterprise, allowing the company ample room to pursue further financing if required.
➖ Examining the balance sheet shows a remarkable decrease in debt, which has fallen from Rs. 2,667 crore last year to the present Rs. 2,332 crore.
Capex Plans
➖ The ongoing capital expenditure stands at around ₹700 crores and is on track, with ₹410 crores already utilized by the end of Q1 FY25.
➖ There are ambitious plans to boost the total manufacturing capacity of DI pipes to 1 million tons by FY26.
➖ Additionally, land is being acquired in Odisha for a new Greenfield project focused on DI pipes and fittings.
Shareholding Pattern
➖ The promoters currently hold about 46.22% of the company, up from 44.08% in December 2023, indicating growth during the March quarter.
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been consistently increasing their stakes, with total holdings reaching 21.16% as of June 2024, a significant rise from 14.93% in June 2023. On a quarter-to-quarter basis,
➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have raised their holdings to 0.44% from 0.36% in the March quarter; however, this represents a notable decline from the 1.68% recorded in the same period last year.
Ductile Iron Pipes Industry Outlook
● Advantages of choosing DI pipes over PVC pipes
➖ According to the analysis of the ductile iron pipes market in India, these pipes are made up of approximately 90% recycled materials and are fully recyclable.
➖ Additionally, using ductile iron pipes instead of PVC can lead to an energy consumption reduction of around 40%.
● Ductile Iron Pipes Market Growth
➖ Ductile iron pipes play a crucial role in public infrastructure, serving irrigation, drinking water distribution, sewage, and wastewater systems.
➖ With India's economic growth, the rise of smart cities and projects like Bharatmala Priyojana and the Narmada Valley Development Project is driving the demand for extensive pipeline networks, boosting the ductile iron pipes market.
➖ Factors such as increasing urbanization and government initiatives like Jal Jeevan Mission, AMRUT, and Smart City Mission, focused on delivering drinking water to households, are further fueling this demand.
Conclusion
● After thoroughly examining both the technical and fundamental factors, we have concluded that Electrosteel Castings is well-positioned for substantial growth, driven by the increasing market demand for ductile iron pipes, which is likely to positively impact its share price as well.