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Welspun Corp could excel in your Investment PortfolioInvestment Advice by Gooodluck Capital (SEBI Registered) Buy Welspun Corp NSE:WELCORP ● Buy Range (1) - CMP (current market price) ● Buy Range (2) - 660 - 665 ● Buy Range (3) - 620 - 630 ● Target - 960 - 970 ● Stoploss - below 500 ● Potential Return - 50 - 52% --------------------------------------- Approx investment period 18 - 24 months Company Overview Welspun Corp Limited manufactures and sells steel pipes, coatings, plates, and coils in the US, Europe, Saudi Arabia, and India. The company offers helically, longitudinally, and electric resistance welded pipes, pig iron and ductile iron pipes, billets, thermo mechanically treated rebars, stainless steel pipes, tubes, and bars. Its products are used in various industries, including oil, gas, water transmission, infrastructure, and defense. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India. Sector - Iron & Steel Technical Analysis (1) In January 2008, the stock faced significant resistance around the 500 level, leading to a substantial price correction. (2) Over time, it established a support base near the 45 level, from which it began to rebound, climbing back towards the 300 level. (3) However, the stock struggled to break past the 300 threshold and eventually retreated to its former support. (4) Following this, it entered an extended phase of consolidation until it finally broke through the 300 level in July 2023. (5) This pivotal moment propelled the stock into strong upward momentum, culminating in a multi-year breakout at the 500 mark after nearly 16 years. (6) Subsequently, the stock not only maintained this breakout level but has also begun to steadily rise. Entry, Target & Stop-loss ● Entry with Capital allocation strategy (1) consider adding 40% of your desired quantity at the current market price. (2) The second buying opportunity will be in the 660-665 range, where you can also add another 40% of your quantity. (3) If the price dips to the 620-630 range, that will present the best buying opportunity. Make sure to reserve 20% of your quantity to take advantage of this level. ● Target Chart analysis indicates a promising upside potential of above 50% for this stock from the current level, with a target around the 960 to 970. There is also a strong likelihood that the stock could exceed this target. ● Stoploss It is crucial to implement a strict stop-loss below the 500 level, as we anticipate that the stock may encounter challenges if it drops to this point. Fundamental Analysis ● Stock Valuation ● (1) Intrinsic Value ➖ The current price-to-earnings ratio for the stock is 14.5. ➖ The median price-to-earnings ratio for the stock over the past year stands at 15.4, while the earnings per share for the trailing twelve months is 45.55. ➖ This leads us to calculate the intrinsic value of the stock as follows: 15.4 * 45.55 is equals to 701.47. ➖ With the current market price hovering around 695, which is below the intrinsic value of 701, it clearly indicates that the stock is considerably undervalued right now. (2) P/B Ratio The present PB ratio for this stock stands at 3.06, indicating a slightly high valuation but not reaching overvalued territory. ● Debt Analysis ● (1) The company's current debt is Rs. 1,949 crore, which is quite minimal compared to its market capitalization of Rs. 17,249 crore. (2) With a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.35, it’s evident that the debt level is relatively low for this type of capital-intensive business, providing the company with the flexibility to secure additional funding as needed. (3) A glance at the balance sheet reveals a significant reduction in debt, dropping from Rs. 3,381 crore last year to the current Rs. 1,949 crore. ● Revenue Break-up ● (1) Product wise break-up The company generates its revenue through three primary product categories: ➖ HSAW Pipe, which accounts for approximately 76% of the total revenue, ➖ LSAW Pipe, contributing close to 15% of the total revenue, ➖ ERW Pipe, responsible for about 8% of the total revenue. (2) Location wise break-up The company derives approximately 54% of its revenue from India. Additionally, Welspun Corp. operates facilities in the USA and Saudi Arabia, contributing around 8.6% and 34.2% to its overall revenue, respectively. ● Profit & Loss Analysis ● (1) Over the past three years, this stock has achieved an outstanding compounded annual growth rate of 34% in sales. (2) The cumulative profit increase over the past three years has been an impressive 21%, indicating a strong upward trend. (3) The profit margin has seen a significant boost, rising to 9% from 5% YoY. For the fiscal year 2024, the growth in earnings per share is striking, skyrocketing to 42.41 from 7.90 in fiscal year 2023. ● Cash Flow Analysis ● Operating cash flow has seen a remarkable surge, soaring to 1,306 crore from a negative 185 crore in FY23. ● Shareholding Pattern ● (1) As of the June 2024 quarter, the promoters own a notable 50.03% stake in the company. (2) Goldman Sachs possesses a notable 10.51% share in the company, reflecting a slight decline from 10.70% in March 2024. (3) Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stakes since the previous quarter, yet they still hold over 9%, which remains quite significant. ● Conclusion ● The steel industry in India is set for expansion, bolstered by new government initiatives. Lower import duties on essential raw materials, combined with heightened public investment in infrastructure and housing, are anticipated to greatly enhance the sector's performance. Therefore, we are excited to see how Welspun Corp will thrive in the near future.
NSE:WELCORPLong
by GoodluckCapital
1
PSB Breakout Long Buy predictionPunjab & Sind Bank is engaged in the Business of Deposits, Loans & Advances, and Remittances & Collections. If we look at the chart: The market has broken multiple bullish pattern confirmations. It has a broken flag & pole, and descending triangle while having a very strong volume at the breakout. If we look at the RSI, its crossing 60 to the upside can be a good sign of long-term bullish for the stock. Investors of short term traders can proceed with the stock as follows: you can execute the trade with R:R of 1:4. Plan of Action: Buy: LTP (64-65) Stop loss: 60 Target1: 76 Final target 82
NSE:PSBLong
by finnova_
6
SONACOMS Bullish breakout predictionSona BLW Precision Forgings, an India-based automotive technology company, designs, manufactures, and supplies engineered automotive systems and components, including differential assemblies, gears, and EV Traction motors. If we look at the chart: The market has broken to the upside with very good volume. The market has broken the trendline to the upside. Also, the market is receiving support at 200 EMA. After the support, it has consolidated and then given a bullish hammer. We can make an entry with Risk:Reward: 1:2.6. Plan of Action: Buy: 651-655 Stop loss: 614 Final Target: 747
NSE:SONACOMSLong
by finnova_
Central Bank Breakout analysis to buyCentral Bank of India is a commercial bank. The Bank's segments include Treasury Operations, Corporate/Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking and other Banking business. The Treasury Operations segment includes dealing in government and other securities, money market operations and Forex operations. If we look at the chart: The market has broken multiple bullish pattern confirmations. It has a broken Sideways Range, Head and shoulder, while having a very strong volume at the breakout. If we look at the RSI, its crossing 60 to the upside can be a good sign of long-term bullish for the stock. Investors of short term traders can proceed with the stock as follows: you can execute the trade with R:R of 1:2. Plan of Action: Buy: above 69.40 Stop loss: 66 Target1: 75.75
NSE:CENTRALBKLong
by finnova_
TRIVENI BREAKOUT buy MODE ON Triveni Engineering and Industries Ltd is an Integrated and diversified conglomerate in the areas of sugar, ethanol, and engineering. The Stock has given a successful breakout of Flag and pole pattern, falling wedge, and a consolidation of six months. You can make an entry with R:R :: 1:2. I am expecting Triveni to go bullish. Reason: Bullish Flag and POLE breakout to the upside. Taking support at the VWAP indicates a good sign to enter. RSI crossing 60 to upside shows good bullishness. Successful breakout after six months. High volume is traded on the last day, which shows a lot of interest in stock buying. Price > EMAs show bulls are more powerful than bears. We can make an entry. Taking successful support at 200 EMA with good buying interest(volume spike). Verdict : Strong Bullish Plan of action : BUY: 350 Stoploss: 327 Target: 400 Trailing SL: 10 or VWAP or logical
NSE:TRIVENILong
by finnova_
TILAKNAGAR INDUSTR (TI) breakout analysis BUY TILAKNAGAR INDUSTR (TI) has given a breakout of bullish flag and pole pattern to upside. All important levels have been marked at the chart. As stock has broke to upside you can generate a buy @LTP. If we see the volume surge it was massive yesterday. if we enter stock at 230 we can achive the target with Risk: Reward :: 1 : 3. Reasons: Bullish Flag and POLE breakout to upside. Taking support at the VWAP, indicates good sign to enter. RSI crossing 60 to upside shows good bullishness. Successful breakout after 6 months. High Volume is traded last day, which shows lots of interest in stock buying. Price > EMAs, shows bulls are more powerful than bears we can make an entry. Taking successful support at 200 EMA with good buying interest(volume spike). Verdict: Strong Bullish Plan of action: BUY: 230 Stoploss: 214 Target: 281 Trailing SL: 5
NSE:TILong
by finnova_