ITC
ITC FuturesITC Futures
I am unable to understand the reason why is ITC Futures underperforming because there are so many bullish signs in the charts.
1. The candles in the daily charts have made a patter called triple bottom which means that ITC Futures are supposed to fly but there is a resistance at 212 levels.Next resistance can be seen at 216.10 but the pattern means that ITC Futures have collected a lot of strength here and we should soon see a price tag of 220 / 226 / 230.
2. Divergence indicator in RSI on the daily chart has issued a Hidden Bull sign.
3. There is an ascending triangle pattern on the hourly chart which again is a bullish pattern but RSI has broken the 50 levels downwards so if we see a positive opening and one push with a decent momentum this can be changed to a bullish sign in no time.
4. Daily charts which is a 15m chart is a little scary as the pattern seen is a descending triangle and this is a bearish pattern. It is opposite to the ascending triangle being made in the daily charts but looking at the bigger picture, I get a lot of confidence. One breakout and the pattern can be broken.
5. RSI will form a double bottom if we get a gap-up opening as well.
The lot size of ITC Future is 3200 shares. This is a very big lot and you can trade in cash if you are not comfortable to hold such quantity or take such big risks. The stop should be maintained below 201 levels.
ITC FuturesITC futures have turned 203 levels into a very strong support zone. We have heard about double and triple bottom which are strong bullish patterns but look at this, the candles taking support for 4 times and this makes me wonder how much strength has ITC Futures gathered now?
Can buy (lot is 3700 shares so please calculate risk) at CMP which is around 209.75 with a Stop Loss below 203 and targets of 215 / 220 and even 230+. Time frame can be entire month.
ITC at Daily support. Amazing Long OpportunityOur previous trade idea didn't go well since Nifty was in channel correction mode and the correction is expected to stop around 14450-14550. I am sharing the same script but a different definite idea for which I am very certain will succeed and recover our loss in the last trade.
Disclaimer:
Although my previous idea was clearly specified for March Futures, some of you are still holding as recommended. Please note that I had asked you strictly to not go for February Series Options and Futures, and yet some of you have DMed me about what options to choose. All the options buyers who went against what I asked on the strategy aren't even getting a cent on the dollar now, and that is why options buying is just so bad. Not only you need to be right, but also you need the movement in your direction and worst of all? You have to fight against time.
However, since a lot of you have margin limitations and would like to get into the trade with a lesser margin, I am writing this idea especially for you.
Hedge your Future Position
Buy ITC March 185 PE: Margin req is 3,200
Buy ITC March Futures after buying the hedge, your margin req for futures will reduce by 13k to 41k.
Total Margin: 44,414
Stop Loss: 202.5 on Spot (1.5 Rs Stop Loss only) We are buying at support.
Targets: 218, 224, 238, 245, 264
Only enter this trade around 204.3 on Spot Price. Please please I emphasize do not cut your PE position when we go up, you will have a margin call and your future position might also be squared off by your broker. You are getting a margin benefit of 13k for a mere 3.2k premium. Keep that as a hedge if the position goes against you.
The first two targets are possible from the past behaviour of the stock. However, please do not sit on the position and take the SL immediately if you happen two otherwise you will lose really big if you do not follow the SL with discipline. Respect your hard-earned money.
As much as I am not responsible for your loss or profit, please be responsible to follow the trades as directed strictly. I was disheartened to see how some of you didn't exit on time citing the trade is for March Futures. You are correct, but now we are entering the same trade at lower levels and while we reach 215 levels with good profits or cut another SL for a small amount, you will either breakeven just for not following the Stop Loss strictly or might have to square off around 202 at a heavy loss.
Best Risk Reward. Immediately long ITC. 1:7 RRITC is consolidating at such a level that it is definitely not worth the mss. The last trading price of ITC is around 217 and I am we cannot have a better chance than this to create a long position. However, please read this completely before taking a position otherwise you might incur a loss.
Chart analysis
The oozing out of selling pressure indicates exhaustion of sellers around critical support. This is a strong bullish sign. However, since the results took a beating on the stock, I am recommending going with March F&O instead of February. I am expecting a sharp recovery in the stock. We might hit the stop loss here however the Risk to Reward is just too good to not take a risk here.
Buy March Futures Only.
Lot Size: 3200
Margin: 1,52,700
Keep SL of 2 points only at 215 on the spot price.
Targets: 232, 236, 244, 251
Profit at Targets:
At 232 (44,800 or 29.3% ROI), At 236 (57,600 or 37.7% ROI), At 244 (86,400 or 56.6% ROI), At 251 (1,08,000 or 70.8% ROI)
Max Loss: 2*3200 = 6,400 (or 4.2%)
Risk to Reward at T1: 1:7
Please note, that I am not a registered advisor and this should be used only for informative purposes. You are advised to consult your advisor before investing.