US DOLLAR INDEX - TRADE IDEA ON SHORT SIDESymbol - DXY
DXY is currently trading at 105.57
My reversal setup has formed in DXY & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting DXY at CMP 105.57
I will add more position if 106.00 comes & will hold with SL 106.30
Targets I'm expecting are 104.75 - 104.30 - 103.73 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
J-DXY
DXY - TRADE OPPORTUNITY ON SHORT SIDESymbol - DXY
DXY is currently trading at 104.72
My reversal setup has formed in DXY & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting DXY at CMP 104.72
I will add more position if 104.45 comes & will hold with SL 104.75
Targets I'm expecting are 103.25 - 102.75 - 102.15
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
DXY Analysis: Bearish Trend Signals Potential Drop📊 DXY Analysis (2H Chart) 🧐
The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a consolidation phase around the 104.50 level after a sharp drop from the recent highs. Let’s break down what the technicals are signaling:
1. Bearish Structure 📉:
• The index has been trading within a descending channel, which indicates a prevailing bearish trend.
• A significant Cross Doji candle at the top hints at a potential reversal, followed by strong bearish momentum.
2. Key Levels to Watch 🔍:
• Resistance Zone: The DXY is consolidating below the 104.60 level, which is acting as a key resistance. Multiple rejections around this area could signify strong selling pressure.
• Support Zone: The next major support lies around the 103.60 level, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
3. EMA Dynamic Resistance 💡:
• The 50-period EMA (green line) is currently acting as a dynamic resistance. A sustained move below this EMA can add further downside pressure.
4. Potential Scenario 🔮:
• If the DXY fails to break above the 104.60 resistance, we could see a drop towards the 104.00 level initially.
• A break below the 104.00 support might accelerate the move toward the 103.60 zone, completing the bearish leg.
📉 Bearish Outlook: Unless we see a breakout above the consolidation zone and a close above the descending channel, the bias remains bearish for the DXY in the short term.
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DXY gearing up for a big fallDate: 30 Oct’24
Symbol: DXY
Timeframe: Weekly
US Dollar Currency Index currently seems to be in final stages of Wave (e) of B. One more leg up and DXY will be ready to head lower sharply and in a big way. It is likely to head towards 90 and lower. This also means with DXY treading lower, Nifty is likely to witness an up move.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
US Dollar Currency Index vartamaan mein Wave B (e) ke antim charan mein lagta hai. Ek aur pair upar aur DXY teji se aur bade paimaane par neeche jaane ke lie taiyaar hoga. Iske 90 aur usase kam kee or badhane kee sambhaavana hai. Iska matalab yah bhee hai ki DXY ke nichale star par chalane se Nifty mein teji dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Yah koi trade karne ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apana vishleshan khud karen.
Gold : on Hold from last week ..What next?Last week gold printed a indecisive candle on weekly time frame ..the current price action formation is a tringle and price will remain indecisive under this formation ..For Intra day we have to wait for breakout (on confirmation) and then we can trade in direction of breakout...Last week we have seen a good bullish candle on DXY , and we have seen that gold remained under pressure due to that ...For this week also we can expect more higher level on DXY which can push the gold price in lower side ...In lower side we can plan buy trade near weekly S1 (2626) or at weekly S2 (2600 area).
(Overall it's a buy the Dip scenario on Higher TF )
"Update on the upcoming before the Fed - interest rate cutsMany people have asked me about my view on how the Fed's interest rate cuts will impact the market.
I have a few thoughts on this, but please note that these are just my personal opinions and should not be considered as trading recommendations!
In the chart, I’m displaying two lines:
- Red: Federal Funds Rate
- Blue: Unemployment Rate
If you look back at history, each time the Fed cuts rates, it typically coincides with economic troubles, although the signs may not be immediately apparent in the early stages.
Initially, Powell’s objective was to combat inflation and achieve a soft landing, but in his most recent speeches, the focus has shifted to stabilizing the economy. This indicates a change in the Fed's assessment of the economic situation, which concerns me as it suggests that we could be heading towards a recession.
History supports this perspective, as the unemployment rate is one of the clearest indicators of recession. Other accompanying metrics, such as GDP, also matter, but during this period, the CPI holds less value for assessing the economic landscape.
In my opinion, it’s just a matter of when the recession will occur. We’ll need to wait for a few key indicators over the next two to three months.
This article is meant for everyone to evaluate the current economic situation. The next article will update on asset classes like Gold, BTC, and stocks, and how they might perform during a recession."
Let me know if you need further assistance!
USDTHB - TRADE ON LONG SIDE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - USDTHB
USDTHB is currently trading at 34.90
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USDTHB pair at 34.90
I will be adding more if 34.50 & 34.20 comes & will hold with SL of 33.95
Targets I'm expecting are 35.80 - 36.35
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDSGD - LONG TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - USDSGD
USDSGD is currently trading at 1.3150
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USDSGD pair at 1.3150
I will be adding more if 1.3080 comes & will hold with SL 1.3030
Targets I'm expecting are 1.3385 - 1.3560
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
DXY 1 D - ANALYSIS 10 AUG 2024
Definition: Explain what the DXY (US Dollar Index) is and how it measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of major foreign currencies.
Importance: Highlight why the DXY is a crucial indicator for forex traders, investors, and economists.
2. Market Analysis
Current Trends: Present recent trends in the DXY, including historical data and recent movements.
Technical Analysis: Use charts and technical indicators to analyze patterns that suggest a potential decline in the DXY. Include tools like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and support/resistance levels.
3. Economic Indicators
Impact of Economic Data: Discuss how economic data (like GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation rates) affects the DXY.
Federal Reserve Policies: Explain how interest rate changes and monetary policy from the Federal Reserve influence the DXY.
4. Global Factors
Geopolitical Events: Examine how global geopolitical events, such as trade wars, political instability, or international conflicts, can impact the DXY.
Comparative Currencies: Compare the US dollar’s performance with other major currencies like the Euro, Yen, or Pound.
5. Risk Management
Risk Factors: Outline potential risks involved in selling the DXY, including unexpected economic announcements or geopolitical events.
Strategies: Offer strategies for managing risk when betting against the DXY, such as setting stop-loss orders and diversifying investments.
6. Case Studies
Historical Examples: Provide case studies or historical examples where selling the DXY proved profitable or unprofitable. Analyze these cases to offer insights into current market conditions.
7. Expert Opinions
Interviews: Feature insights from financial analysts, economists, or trading experts who can provide professional opinions on the DXY’s future.
Market Sentiment: Summarize current market sentiment and how it aligns with or contrasts against your position on selling the DXY.
8. Actionable Insights
Investment Strategies: Suggest specific trading strategies for those interested in selling the DXY, such as short selling, options trading, or futures contracts.
Tools and Resources: Recommend tools, platforms, or resources that traders can use to track DXY movements and execute trades.
9. Conclusion
Summary: Recap the key points discussed and reinforce why selling the DXY could be a profitable strategy.
Charts and Graphs: Use visual aids to illustrate trends, technical analyses, and economic impacts.
Infographics: Create infographics to simplify complex information and make it more accessible.
Videos/Webinars: Host video analyses or webinars to provide a dynamic and engaging way to discuss DXY selling strategies.
UPDATED THOUGTHS ON VIDEO ANALYSISHello traders, I am here with another video, this time with update from the last video I posted as today is Wednesday already. Currently it seem that some good set ups are developing on: NzdCad, EurJpy, AudNzd, AudChf, NzdUsd, EurUsd. I will be waiting to see what price will show me on this pairs. Thank you for following me, I will update you all with new analysis and thoughts once I see something interesting.
DXY 1D Timeframe ProjectionDXY 1D Timeframe Projection
DXY - Data Global forecasts say it will decline. Yes, it may, but the dollar is still rising today.
DISCLAIMER: All labelling and wave counts are done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't be bias, hope on my trade plans...try to learn, and make your strategy... Following is not that easy...
Technical Analysis Update: DXY & Bitcoin Price Correlation Technical Analysis Update: DXY & Bitcoin Price Correlation
DXY Overview:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at a pivotal support level of $105. This level is crucial as it has played a major role in dictating the next moves for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Price Implications:
If DXY Bounces: Should the DXY rebound from the $105 support level, we might see a bearish impact on Bitcoin, potentially driving BTC prices down towards the $50,000 mark.
If DXY Breaks Down: Conversely, if the DXY fails to hold this support and breaks below $105, it could signal a bullish scenario for Bitcoin, with price targets possibly reaching up to $75,000.
What to Watch:
Traders should keep a close eye on the DXY's behavior at the $105 support. A confirmed bounce or breakdown will be pivotal in setting the next direction for BTC prices.
Action Steps:
- Monitor DXY closely for any signs of reversal or continuation patterns at the support level.
- Prepare for potential volatility in BTC prices in response to DXY movements.
Stay Tuned: Follow for more updates.
#GBPUSD Present At Good Area For SellOnce the #GBPUSD closes below 1.2480 on the hourly chart, keep an eye for a retest of this level. If there's rejection on the retest on the M5/M15 timeframe, consider initiating a sell position with a 30-pip stop loss and a target of 70 pips down to 1.2400. There's substantial trendline liquidity beneath these levels.
USDMXN - Ready to Blast Again ? Last week, I took long position in UDMXN at 16.66000 & Closed at 16.92500
Closed that position in more that $5000 profit in just 2-3 days.
My long setup is formed again in USDMXN
Taking long positions here at CMP 16.67000
My SL would be 16.62000
Target I'm expecting is 17.00000
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Crude Oil AnalysisHello Friends, Hope you find doing well.
As there are so up down in market now a days because of many reasons
Elections, war, Global data, USDINR, DXY.
So based on following all parameter i am trying to analysis crude oil price action, hope it helpful for all commodities trader.
As we can see in chart it is making bullish flag pattern on 4hr timeframe. So we will se break out up side and we can make better position according. It may trigger by global data or by war declare.
Plan your trade according your analysis. I do not recommended to do as i said. I just analysis chart pattern and data which make positive price action.
Best of luck
Regards.
Wondering where the Dollar is headed next? He're is a hint. Analysis
A five wave decline from 107.34, the high on Oct 03, 2023 to 100.62, the low on Dec 28, 2023.
In Elliott terms, this impulse structure tells us that the movement at the next larger degree of trend is also downwards. Within this impulsive structure, wave (i) is a Leading Diagonal, wave (ii) is a Flat which neatly predicts a Zigzag wave (iv) by guideline of Alternation. Both waves (iii) and (v) are extensions. The impulsive decline holds well within the parallel trend channel as is often expected.
A five wave move is always followed by a three wave corrective pullback or variation thereof, irregardless of degree; in this case, a rally wave ((ii)).
To where? The Elliott wave guideline on the depth of corrective waves suggests that price action should ideally end within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Second, the ensuing correction, wave (ii) is unfolding as a sharp Double Zigzag correction labelled (w)-(x)-(y) with waves (w) and (x) completed, wave (y) in progress.
In ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave (ii) of an Impulse or wave (b) in a larger Zigzag.
Also, the actionary waves in a Double Zigzag correction namely waves (w) and (y) are often related by equality or Fibonacci (0.618) in time or amplitude.
wave (y) = 0.618 X (w) at 104.87; this level falls neatly within the previous guidelines.
Thus, the cluster of evidence suggest the rally is nearing its end and a reversal is onset; a third wave.
Trade Plan
1) Conservative Approach
Entry: Short at 104.879; the 0.618 retracement.
Protective Stop: 107.34; in an Impulse wave (ii) CAN NEVER retrace more than 100% of wave (i).
Target: 10.87 decline; in an impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the loss of
the first, as in:
wave ((i)) = -6.72 (100.62-107.34),
wave ((iii))= 1.618 X (-6.72) equals (-10.87)
Risk-Reward: 1:3
2) Aggressive Approach
Requires price action to break below a recent swing low; wave b of a Zigzag, that will virtually suggest the rally has ended and a reversal was underway.
Entry: Break below 103.89
Protective Stop: Recent swing high
Targets: Below 100.62
Risk-Reward: Greater than 1:3
NOTE: Stay tuned to get follow-up adjustments to stops as we monitor the move through completion.
BECAREFULL WITH GOLDMarket still round 2193 to 2203
Wait today...today Unemployment and Final GDP NEWS
If market cross & CLOSE ABOVE 2222 next zone will me 2238-2300
If market cross & CLOSE BELOW 2145 it will be RED ROSE...
then NEXT buy zones will be
2038-2025
1995-1973
1948-1931
1829-1811
Checking in day candle body doesn't close above DAY BOS in line chart seems M PATTERN ...
SO 60%SELL AND 40% BUYING
Sell Flip Zone 2203-2209
EURUSD,GBPUSD,NZDUSD,AUDUSD starts falls
so GOLD also will FALL soon...
Low equity members avoid trade today...
Use small lot max 0.01- 0.03 and 6-7 orders
SELL @
1st sell zone
2198-2200
2nd sell zone
2203-2207
Sl 2213
Tp 2193
Tp 2186
Tp 2176
Tp 2160
Tp 2148
Tp 2038
Tp 1950
Tp 1840
Buy stop @2212.8
x2lot size of sell total order
Tp 2221
Tp 2238
Tp 2270
Tp 2300
or avoid trade today
NOTES: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE
DXY next week overview - !06.500 or !03.800 ???the upcoming week ahead bring alot of volatility have days with events and major ones
Recap -
the previous week was more based on sharp turns that has tested important level and broken important level
but left behind some imbalance that given a strong sign or outperformance by DXY
What to Expect - 104.300 the price breakout now the upside potential liquidity would be 105
and there after we have higher time frame (M, W) bearish order block
but the price with big bars has left behind some fair value area
which might holding some good liquidity to fuel if the price expect the upside momentum
Key Area -
keep eye on 103.700 > 103.400 > 102.850
conclusion try to buy with limit order on key area rather than going short
GOLD IN BUYGOLD/USD March FINAL WEEK PLAN...
In GOLD-USD Friday (22-03-2024) Market reaches our 2nd sell target of 2160...
Which is buy correction zone(BUY FLIP ZONE)...
EXTREM BUY ZONE IS still there 2152-2146
I am looking for buy because of below mentioned points:
1.Before reaching 2160 market forms buy liquidity(BUYING PATTERN) in FAIR GAP Area
2.In 30M Awesome Oscillator indicates upside distribution even market comes down...
3.In 15M-50% Buy confirmation we got...
4.In DAY TF i am expecting 2258-2300 is 1st Pull back zone(only my opinion not confirms yet)
Here we got 3 entry zones with 3 different entry method...
1.Intraday Setup-- use 1% RISK of your capital in every entry
we have 3 intraday setup
(_a_).15M Gives only 50% confirmation for BUY REWARD---1:20 Ratio
BUY limit @2160
SL 2156
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2211
(_b_).5M mid range entry(if confirms get we will updates here then entry this)BUY
REWARD--1:22 Ratio
BUY limit @2153
SL 2149.4
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2211
(_c_).30M Extreme entry zone previous BUY LIQUIDITY zone...
Also PULL BACK AREA...In 2146 is trend line passing point...
you can place order without confirmation... REWARD--1:24 Ratio
BUY limit @2149
SL 2144
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2211
2.Mid Risk Setup-- use 4to5% RISK of your capital.... REWARD--1:8-1:10 Ratio
USE 2 Layers 5 Orders Strategy
BUY LIMIT @2153-2149
SL 2144
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2221
Once Market HIT 2149...SET 2153 as a Target BE(close @entry)
3.Swing setup-- Need higher capital.... REWARD--1:7-1:8-1:10 Ratio
USE 3 Layers 5 Orders Strategy
BUY LIMIT @2160-2153-2149
SL 2144
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2221
TP 2270
Once Market HIT 2149...SET 2160 as a Target BE(close @entry)
IF MARKET TREND CHANGE... OVER ALL SELL STOP 2143..use x2 lot size which total lot size you use in above buy limit orders ( Targets & SL will updates later)
or
Don't use sell stop wait for next recovery update...
All The Best...
NOTES:EDUCATION PURPOSE ONLY