CRUCIAL NFP DATA AHEAD!!!Market are betting on fed rates in today mainly. If NFP comes stronger than expected, markets might plunge giving fed signal to raise interest as economy is healthy. However of it comes weak, markets will speculate fed might slow down rates. US Dollar Index could rebound towards the 114.80 high.
During last OPEC meet on Wednesday OPEC decided in its first one-on-one meeting since 2020 to cut production by up to 2 million barrels per day from November. Oil prices have fallen to around $90 a barrel from $120 in early June, amid growing fears of the prospect of a global economic recession. However, still not knowing how long will it last and with what intensity, predictions are useless for now.
On the other side US opposes such a move, as OPEC keeps oil prices high, resulting in inflationary pressures on consumers and production costs. More specifically, President Biden is disappointed by OPEC's short-sighted decision to reduce production quotas while the global economy deals with the continuing negative effects of Putin's invasion of Ukraine. At a time when maintaining global energy, supplies are of the most importance, this decision will have the most negative impact on low- and middle-income countries that are already struggling with high energy prices. At Biden's direction, the Energy Department will release another 10 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve into the market next month.
As per opinion looking at the history US do not have a tendency to remain quiet after this big opposing move however based on current situation they not declare straight economic wars against each other however the COLD WAR has already been started and rumours are coming that all the upcoming moves from US are taken under the same considerations, now the Big question arises here is today's NFP will really be based on country's conditions or the it will be based on the Running conflict between other countries, Let's wait for few more hours and we have our answers,
For more details and further discussion on this matter even on any other market knowledge feel free to DM us...
Joebiden
AUDUSD is still in the long-term uptrend channel.AUDUSD is still in the long-term uptrend channel.
The Australian Dollar (AUDUSD) fell from the high of 0.7820 on January 6 to the low of 0.7659 on January 18. It rebounded in the past two trading days and returned to above the 0.7700 integer.
From the long-term trend and the FED Chairman Powell's dovish attitude, as well as the 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus plan of the new President Joe Biden, the long-term trend of the US Dollar Index is still downward, so the long-term trend of the AUDUSD is upward.
By technical analysis, the AUDUSD is still in the long-term uptrend channel, so it is recommended to Buy operations.
As shown in the figure: it can be buy now (entry market price around 0.7740), or price falling to above 0.7650 support.
Jan.20.2021
Reliability: 3-10 Market Days.
The U.S. Dollar Index rise in the short-termThe U.S. Dollar Index ( DXY ) rise in the short-term, but will downtrend in the long term.
Jan.06 2021, U.S.Capitol riots
U.S.Dollar index rebounded, because capitol riots that be global markets money entry U.S.Dollar.
U.S.Dollar index rebounded until Jan.20 presidential inauguration, and U.S.Dollar index will downtrend.
Reliability: 3-10 Markets Days.
GBPUSD is still in the Uptrend.GBPUSD is still in the Uptrend.
With the rebound of the US dollar index and the recent decline of non-US currencies, the British pound remains strong relative to other currencies, maintaining an upward trend. Currently, it faces the 1.37 integer mark and waits for a breakthrough.
In Jan.19 idea on the EURUSD: US Dollar Index is estimated to have a chance to fall again after the inauguration of the new President Biden on January 20. At this time, the EURUSD will be rise.
Therefore, the same reason: It is estimated that after January 20, when the Dollar Index turns down, the upward trend of the Pound will be more effective. There is a chance to break above the 1.37 integer resistance. The current upper target is 1.3800-1.3860.
Jan.19. 2021
Reliability: 3-10 Markets Days
EURUSD will Go Long in Mid-Term.EURUSD will Go Long in Mid-Term.
EURUSD in downtrend begin Jan.06, because U.S.capitol riots let be global markets money entry U.S.Dollar (Index).
EURUSD will Go Long in Mid-Term after Jan.20 U.S. presidential inauguration, and U.S.Dollar index will downtrend.
Jan.19. 2021
Reliability: 3-10 Markets Days