NIKKEI 225 INDEXAfter the free fall, the 2nd biggest in their history , its time to breathe.
Japan is known for their ability to recover. This time lets see their index recover faster than ever.
I believe the Index has bottomed out.
Weekly Timeframe:
Monthly Timeframe:
Quarterly timeframe: Isn't this a beautiful pattern.
Fingers Crossed.
Common Japan. Love from India.
Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFD
A GOOD FALL SHOWING ON JP225ITS A SURESHOOT
IRS MY PERSONAL STRATEGY
Its showing a good falling
Having a good potential
There is nothing to doubt
It have a great surety of FALL
Due to these reason
1.It have clear-cut neckline without any confusing chat
2. It have clear entry and Tp point
3. Sellers seems heavy due to volume
NIKKIE completing (4) of larger circle 5.NIKKIE has a case where a long-term impulse started in Nov-12. We are in (4th of) 5th wave of a larger 3rd wave. This is in sync with most global markets that are completing some degree of complex correction.
Wave 1: Completed in 2015 SPREADEX:NIKKEI
Wave 2: Completed in 2016
Wave 3: Ongoing
Wave i: Jan 2018
Wave ii: Apr 2020
Wave iii: Feb 2021
Wave iv: Jane 2023
Wave v: Ongoing
Wave 1: Completed in Mar 2023
Wave 2: Completed in Mar 2023
Wave 3: Completed in Jun 2023
Wave 4: Ongoing – likely to complete very soon
Forming a WXYXZ complex correction pattern. Ending in a final ABC pattern.
Bias: Positive for overall equity markets over the next.
Chart 1: Long-term wave count:
Chart 2:
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/02/2023Nifty will be flat opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain below 17870 level and then possible downside rally up to 17800 in today's session. in case nifty trades above the 17900 level then the upside target can go up to the 17970 level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/02/2023Nifty will be slightly gap up opening in today's session. The expected opening above the 17750 level and the 17750 to 17790 level is the consolidation range and if nifty breaks the 17790 level this level then the possible upside go up to 17870+ in today's session. in case nifty trades below the 17750 level than possible downside rally up to 100-200 points.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/02/2023Nifty will be flat opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain Above 17850 level and then possible upside rally up to 17970 in today's session. in case nifty trades below the 17800 level then the downside target can go up to the 17700 level.
Nifty and other major World Indices: 18 TILL I DIE...!!!
With over a month gone by in 2019, we look in to the performance of Nifty and Bank Nifty against some of the World's major indices namely
- Dow Jones
- Germany Dax
- Hangseng
- China &
- Nikkei
...over different time horizons
In the above chart we see Year to date performance of our market which is in the negative ( NiftY -0.15% & Bank Nifty -1.12%)
Our markets have under-performed compared to other world markets by roughly 4 - 9.2%
So with the Interim Budget done with Will our markets play catch up... What do you think..???
Now Looking at 1 year time frame chart what have we got...
Well here we see things have turned upside down... Our markets although in the negative territory but fared far better ( Nifty -3.83% & Bank Nifty -2.72% than other world indices... (Dow Jones -6.84% to Shanghai -27.04%) . Our market managed to hold on to the onslaught and turmoil that other markets went through especially in late December 2018.
Q 2. So does the out-performance of world indices in year to date chart reflect that maybe it is not our chance but it is the world market who is playing the catch up game...
Well think again... tinker your mind...play around a little bit... ;-)
On a 5 year time horizon...
Well well well this is where we mark our difference. Bank Nifty leads the pack of indices UP by a whooping 160%. & Nifty holds on to the 2nd spot at 75%. Dow comes in at 3rd spot with 55% gain with Dax being the worst performer of the pack at 20%
Q3. So is there really any co-relation between our market and world market.
Well Every chart has it's own story but we cannot ignore the world markets totally. There are times when our indices move in tandem with World market ( we can differ in terms of magnitude of movement) & then there are times when our market moves on our own. As a trader knowing the difference can help us to plan our trade.
Now finally the last chart... how they fared since 2001
Whoa whoa whoa there is no stopping Bank Nifty... UP a staggering 2994%
Nifty too up 809%
All while the rest of markets (so called developed economies) managed to give returns just between 32-123% in 18 years . Well now you know why the headline is titled "18 TILL I DIE" :-)
What a performance. But the question is will we continue to outperform....
Will the yearly 10-15% Compounded interest return calculation that many Financial Sales people harp on, hold true even in future...
To put it in simple terms It all depends on the state of economy. Most of the indices are of economies which are considered a Developed economy or close to being a Developed one. The word Developed itself says it all... means the best part of growth is behind us now. And the country is more in a state of managing what they have in their hand.
Our economy is still in the state of developing that means we still have a good scope to grow. The out-performance of our market (more up in a bull market and more down in bear market but with faster recovery) will continue so long as we are in the middle of Developing economy stage. As we get closer to being a Developed country (closer because remember markets tend to move ahead) the out-performance will start to taper No matter the size of the economy no matter how different our economy is.
If we analyse Be it economy of smaller size countries like Japan, Germany, or be it bigger size countries like China and US - they are all different from each other & All have different set of problems yet are having similar kind of effect on the Stock Market performance.
"Do not take life too seriously. You will never get out of it alive." - Elbert Hubbard
Coming back from the economy to the comparison charts... How many of you changed your views or had a different perspective with each chart.
It's perfectly fine if you did. That's the beauty of viewing charts over different time horizons. It gives us different perspective... different views... different outcome from those views with regards to arriving at different targets and Stop losses and different strategies that can be deployed . A whole lot of things open up...
Remember in Financial Market at a ny given point of time Opportunities are aplenty. What is scarce is window of opportunity and our resources . And our objective is to make the best that we can ...
Cheers
Happy trading...!!!
How long will the range of 22000-23000 last?I think that the range of 22000-23000 will not last long.
Following the course,
July 2: It penetrated down 22000 that is the neckline of the blue double bottom.
July 5: It was bounced back by YPP (P) and returned to the range.
July 9th and July 12th: It went up as attacking the short entry on July 2nd while swinging around.
After the movement of attacking while swinging the breakout, the break succeeds after trying it a couple of times.
Therefore, it seems that there will be some move to clearly penetrate the red line or break YPP (P) downward.
Based on that, the latest is as follows.
<< tactics >>
1) MPP (R1) functioned as a resistance after failure to penetrate the red line.
Short entry.
The first limit is above MPP (P) 22441.9.
The second limit is above 22000.
The third limit is above YPP (P) 21488.5.
2) It went through the red line and 23000 upwards.
I will observe to find the next entry point.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
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